Poster Michelangelo wants to bet Vitterd $1K on baseball for the rest of the season. Vit won't take the bet. Why?

[vitterd]

Acebb, he is accepting a bet at the start of the NFL season and next yr start of the baseball season. So , with all due respect, coward is a bit harsh. Looks like he is basing his decision on his historical baseball record and his current ytd numbers.

Of course. That's just Acebb trolling. Let's not forget, Acebb has never accepted a bet here from me. NEVER

 

[Ricboff]

for the record both Vit and Mich are good guys......

 

[MantisToboggan]

When the bet starts and how long it goes would change the probability of who is going to win if player A was 55% and player B was 53%.

What do you mean in terms of when it starts?

 

[vitterd]

One other point here. It is fucking hilarious that mr. "I won $20K!!!" (or whatever the fake, monopoly number is today) and mr. never-has-to-work-again, "my wife's entire paycheck goes into the bank" is terrified to pay out $1,000 in a scenario where he would have a profit for the baseball season anyway.

Why, it is almost as if he isn't really a never-have-to-work-again millionaire who is profiting in baseball or something.

Smart people don't throw away a penny on things like this.

Youre dead broke so you wouldn't know.

"If you have a lot of money you should just make stupid bets"face)(*^%

 

[Acebb]

Acebb, he is accepting a bet at the start of the NFL season and next yr start of the baseball season. So , with all due respect, coward is a bit harsh. Looks like he is basing his decision on his historical baseball record and his current ytd numbers.

HE'S A NEVER-HAS-TO-WORK AGAIN MILLIONAIRE!!!

His wife's entire paycheck, every penny, goes "into the bank" and "never gets touched!"

Why is $1,000 such a big deal?

 

[wabashwonders]

I wouldnt take that bet either if I have been on a streak to the positive, and someone has been on a streak to the negative.

Streaks have a way of ending, and law of averages kick in, and the positive streaker and negative streaker switch sides.

I would be in the same boat with Vit on this one, I would not take a bet with someone who has been doing the complete opposite of me after the middle of a betting race.

But, I would make a bet beginning of a new season.

I agree with this also. But I do expect these two to do battle head to head when football season starts. If not, whichever one backs out deserves the bashing they get.

 

[PatsFan1283]

What do you mean in terms of when it starts?

If it starts at the beginning of the season instead of midseason, the 55% bettor (or whoever has better theoretical win-rate) has a better chance to win the bet.

 

[SheriffJoe]

apparently michelangelo doesnt want this bet either.
im on vits side on this one. he's bound to come back percentage wise. if of course these percentages and figures are true to begin with.
now, with that said, wouldnt those figs carry over to next mlb season, or do the gambling gods wipe the slate clean after the world series each yr?

id say take the bet. its 1k which is nothing compared to your bankroll. unless youre worried abt not being called the better handicapper. you could stop all of these people calling you a pussy though win or lose. take the bet and shut them all up!

Yes, this is essentially his argument: "the gambling gods will get me!" hno:

But if Michelangelo has a horrific year and vtard finishes "above average" (whatever the hell THAT is) using vtard logic, he shouldn't take this bet with Michelangelo NEXT season either.

face)(*^%

 

[MantisToboggan]

If it starts at the beginning of the season instead of midseason, the 55% bettor (or whoever has better theoretical win-rate) has a better chance to win the bet.

Oh ya, definitely. The larger the sample size the better for 55%.

 

[vitterd]

I agree with this also. But I do expect these two to do battle head to head when football season starts. If not, whichever one backs out deserves the bashing they get.

Im in for football.....when the season starts. That way we start at 0-0......not at me +13k and him -60k

of course I'm not backing out of anything.

 

[Acebb]

here is the deal...i have no kids....my wife still teaches school. I dont live too extravagant....my home is paid off....my cars are paid off...i do the things i like....like going to sporting events, vegas, take care of the nephews and alot of family people ....i gamble everyday...and im going to be able to do these things until the day i die if i stay on this path. Im not a mulitmillionare but i hit a crazy stretch that allows me to live like this. end of story......

Ok mr. I do the things I like, engage in a $1,000 wager that you have a very good possibility of winning.

HUH!? WHAT?! LMFAO, NO WAY!!!!

 

[vitterd]

Oh ya, definitely. The larger the sample size the better for 55%.

I tried asking earlier. You don't see how silly the bet is? If he loses 59k for the year and I win 12k.....he wins a dime from me.

Surely you can see why that's not a smart wager and is not an accurate representation of who the better capper is. I hope you can.

 

[Ricboff]

HE'S A NEVER-HAS-TO-WORK AGAIN MILLIONAIRE!!!

His wife's entire paycheck, every penny, goes "into the bank" and "never gets touched!"




Why is $1,000 such a big deal?

Acebb, i think the logic is along these lines; say i have $5,000,000. why wouldnt i buy a condo in the shit part of Toronto? i have the money .....i wouldn't cause i'd likely lose. Gotta release ego and make a rational decision. He doesn't feel the historical data is on his side given both are in outlier territory ytd and is walking. He's in at the start of the season


wtf happened to your avatar bro?!......

 

[drpugilist]

but vit if you continue this streak and he continues on his path, does that mean the next season you guys are starting even?

 

[MantisToboggan]

I tried asking earlier. You don't see how silly the bet is? If he loses 59k for the year and I win 12k.....he wins a dime from me.

Surely you can see why that's not s smart wager and is not an accurate representation of who the better capper is. I hope you can.

Huh? No it's a smart bet because you are still getting even money even though you are a better baseball bettor. I'm unsure why my comment you quoted led you to believe something else.

 

[vitterd]

Ok mr. I do the things I like, engage in a $1,000 wager that you have a very good possibility of winning.

HUH!? WHAT?! LMFAO, NO WAY!!!!

This is why you have no money. People with money don't say " oh well I will give away a thousand bucks"

why by did you stop posting picks after going winless in 3 sports?

 

[PatsFan1283]

So if you do it next year and he wins 30k and you win 12k. Then you win 22k and he is still down 29k over the two years and he still wins.

What is the difference? None of that matters. When the season starts and ends is a completely arbitrary interval bro.

 

[Acebb]

Acebb, i think the logic is along these lines; say i have $5,000,000. why wouldnt i buy a condo in the shit part of Toronto? i have the money .....i wouldn't cause i'd likely lose. Gotta release ego and make a rational decision. He doesn't feel the historical data is on his side given both are in outlier territory ytd and is walking. He's in at the start of the season


wtf happened to your avatar bro?!......

There is a vast gulf between the price of a condo and $1,000.

He claims to have won ~$20,000 in baseball and bets $1,000 a game. He also has a solid chance to win this contest, but will not do so.

There is a lie here and I think that it is very clear what the lies are.

My avi is Margot Robbie, you don't want to be on team Margot?

WTF!! ;-)

 

[Acebb]

This is why you have no money. People with money don't say " oh well I will give away a thousand bucks"

why by did you stop posting picks after going winless in 3 sports?

I have much, much more money than you. You are a laughable liar and utter simpleton. We are now at example 14,924 where your previous posts refute your current posts.

Mr. High Roller.

 

[vitterd]

Huh? No it's a smart bet because you are still getting even money even though you are a better baseball bettor. I'm unsure why my comment you quoted led you to believe something else.

I quoted just to get an answer.

If you believe that making this bet will be a clear representation of who the better capper is....I guess I can't help you.

He loses 60 dimes and I win 12 dimes in the year but he eeks out a win in 2nd half.....he's the winner and better capper. That makes no sense at all. Surely you should be able to see that.