Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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702 HEAT -4 / 729 Illinois +11.5 / 740 Pitt -8.5 / 743 C.Mich +3 / 747 Gtown +10

HOOP = 148-140
 
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JDeuce, That's a heck of a bet. Think you have an excellent chance of cashing. My Pats just can't seem to get healthy. Looks like a couple of our key linebackers may be dinged now. That's important against a Bronco team that must run successfully to have any chance, Sunday. The Pats know where Peyton is vulnerable. Pass rush. He doesn't like to get hit so he puts it up. His offensive line has improved a lot since the beginning of the season, but it's still a lot worse than he's had for virtually all his career. If he has to throw the Pats will getr pressure and picks.

oops gotta post my picks

Miami -4' +100 (vs Mil)
 
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Add:

Minny +5' -102 (@ NOr)

yest 0-3 -333 ouch
YTD 105-92-1 +837

///

Think Carolina has a relatively easy time vs Arizona. Think Bruce Arians is a fraud, as is Carson Palmer. They should wilt under road Playoff pressure.

That leaves the Pats (if their linebackers can go) or Denver. With Keuchily and Davis on the other side of center, Denver won't be able to run. Which means what I said above. Peyton will give it up. Turnover differentials are deadly in the Playoffs. I'd be on Carolina big against Denver.

I'm not sure I'd throw 10,000 on any bet though. I bet thousands a game 10 or 20 years ago. No more. Funny you should mention Vegas and 10,000. That's how much I left there the last time I was there. No more. Can't afford to be that stupid anymore.

Good luck jdeuce.

///

And for our list of NBA cry stories - Last night I bet Brooklyn +11 @ Toronto. They managed to score one lousy 2 point basket in the last 6:49 of the game to lose by 12. Two stinkin' points in the last 6:49. I've seen it all when it comes to the NBA. Just forget it and move on.
 

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Brooklyn was tied with 4 minutes left #Brutal.

I recorded the UFC fights last night. Recorded an extra hour. Colin Cowherd had Brian Billick on and asked him, "Am i missing something?" regarding how easy a time the Pats should have with Denver. Billick said no and reiterated NE should roll on Sunday.
 
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Should roll if they can stop Denver's running game. We need our starting linebackers healthy.

And we always have trouble in Denver. B&B are 2-4 in Denver. Pretty sure that's their only losing record anywhere.
 

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Antwaan Randle El Becomes High School Athletic Director - Shuts down Football Program

Ex-NFL WR Randle El regrets football career

Given the opportunity to turn back the clock and reconsider, former Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Antwaan Randle El would not play football.

"Right now, I wouldn't be surprised if football isn't around in 20, 25 years," said Randle El, who told the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette he experiences great pain going down stairs – unless, he said, he goes down sideways -- and has experienced severe memory issues.

"I ask my wife things over and over again, and she's like, 'I just told you that,'" Randle El said. "I'll ask her three times the night before and get up in the morning and forget. Stuff like that. I try to chalk it up as I'm busy, I'm doing a lot, but I have to be on my knees praying about it, asking God to allow me to not have these issues and live a long life. I want to see my kids raised up. I want to see my grandkids."

Randle El, a running quarterback at Indiana before he coverted to wide receiver and won Super Bowl XL as a member of the Steelers, is only 36 years old. But 10 years after celebrating that win over the Seattle Seahawks in Detroit, Randle El said he wishes he could take it all back.

"If I could go back, I wouldn't," he said of whether he would play football if armed with hindsight. "I would play baseball. I got drafted by the Cubs in the 14th round, but I didn't play baseball because of my parents. They made me go to school. Don't get me wrong, I love the game of football. But right now, I could still be playing baseball."

Randle El retired in 2010 and is athletic director at a Christian high school in Ashburn, Va., where he recently made the decision to shut down the football program at the institution he founded. Students left – as many as 15 because of the loss of the football program – but Randle El said he proudly stood behind that decision.

"The kids are getting bigger and faster, so the concussions, the severe spinal cord injuries, are only going to get worse," he said. "It's a tough pill to swallow because I love the game of football. But I tell parents, you can have the right helmet, the perfect pads on, and still end up with a paraplegic kid.

"There's no correcting it. There's no helmet that's going to correct it. There's no teaching that's going to correct it. It just comes down to it's a physically violent game. Football players are in a car wreck every week."
 

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A friend of mine put 400.00 on Carolina to win SB at the start of the year. Told me he gets back 12k. Probably a good idea for him to hedge the next no? I would put 400.00 on Arizona this weekend and then see what my options are for super bowl. Some people are telling him to hedge more.


Obviously depends on his desire to hedge or ride it out.

He could probably guarantee himself roughly a $4k payout right now..take Arizona +150 ML for $3k, and if that doesn't hit, take the AFC team ML in the SB for $6k. The numbers aren't exact...just ballpark.

It's hard to tell what the SB line will be...but if NE wins, it'll probably be a pk against the Panthers. If Denver wins, Carolina is all but certain to be favored. In other words, I can't envision a scenario where the Panthers are underdogs in the SB...where your friend could possibly get majorly screwed if NE was favored by, say, 3...and won by 2, forcing him to lose all plays.
 

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Obviously depends on his desire to hedge or ride it out.

He could probably guarantee himself roughly a $4k payout right now..take Arizona +150 ML for $3k, and if that doesn't hit, take the AFC team ML in the SB for $6k. The numbers aren't exact...just ballpark.

It's hard to tell what the SB line will be...but if NE wins, it'll probably be a pk against the Panthers. If Denver wins, Carolina is all but certain to be favored. In other words, I can't envision a scenario where the Panthers are underdogs in the SB...where your friend could possibly get majorly screwed if NE was favored by, say, 3...and won by 2, forcing him to lose all plays.

From sports book:

We just opened lines for all possible Super Bowl Matchups:
NE -1 vs ARI
NE -1.5 vs CAR
ARI -4 vs DEN
CAR -3.5 vs DEN


=====
If NE plays Carolina that line will move rather quickly to 3, IMO
 
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So I just studied Manning and Brady's Playoff games.

20-2 is the Patriot record when New England scores at least 19 points in Brady's Playoff games.

3-12 is Peyton Manning's team record when his team allows the opposition to score 19 or more points.
 

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So I just studied Manning and Brady's Playoff games.

20-2 is the Patriot record when New England scores at least 19 points in Brady's Playoff games.

3-12 is Peyton Manning's team record when his team allows the opposition to score 19 or more points.


Interesting stuff. I guess we all know the magic number for this game.

Haven't looked at the weather yet...was surprised to see clear and sunny for a January weekend in Denver last week.

Incidentally, does anyone else feel the same way I do in the sense that I couldn't give a crap about the 9,402nd matchup of Brady v Manning? Jesus, enough already. Both of you...please retire.
 

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So I just studied Manning and Brady's Playoff games.

20-2 is the Patriot record when New England scores at least 19 points in Brady's Playoff games.

3-12 is Peyton Manning's team record when his team allows the opposition to score 19 or more points.

The Patriots are 187-18 in ANY game that they reach at least 23 points.
 
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Brady isn't going anywhere soon. We're kinda happy about that in New England.

///

NBA

In a 5 game slump.

yest 0-2 -202
YTD 105-94-1 +635

Wednesday:

Philly +7 (@ Orl)
NY Knicks -2' -107 (vs Ut)
Portland +1' -105 (vs Atl)
 

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529 Va Tech +13 / 537Geo Mason +3.5 / 553 Kan ST +9

Tempted to play all the teams that went OVER on MLK to go UNDER today.

But after last night's 1-4 reversal eh-eh.
 

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I don't know if this chart will paste propely but this is the final minute of Michigan vs Minny. The Total was 141. They scored 26 pnts in the last minute including 18 in the last 30 seconds! The last colloege game that I can recall seeing this crazy was a Purdue-Gonzaga game in the Tourney around the late 90s that had 34 points in the last minute.

1:01Michigan Timeout
0:59Foul on Nate Mason.55-62
0:5955-63Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:5955-64Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:5455-64Foul on Zak Irvin.
0:54Nate Mason made Free Throw.56-64
0:54Nate Mason made Free Throw.57-64
0:50Foul on Nate Mason.57-64
0:5057-64Derrick Walton Jr. missed Free Throw.
0:50Joey King Defensive Rebound.57-64
0:44Nate Mason Turnover.57-64
0:4457-64Duncan Robinson Steal.
0:37Foul on Joey King.57-64
0:3757-65Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman made Free Throw.
0:3757-66Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman made Free Throw.
0:33Nate Mason made Layup.59-66
0:31Minnesota Timeout
0:30Foul on Carlos Morris.59-66
0:3059-67Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:3059-68Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:27Joey King made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Nate Mason.62-68
0:23Foul on Dupree McBrayer.62-68
0:2362-69Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman made Free Throw.
0:2362-70Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman made Free Throw.
0:2062-70Foul on Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman.
0:20Nate Mason made Free Throw.63-70
0:20Nate Mason made Free Throw.64-70
0:20Foul on Nate Mason.64-70
0:2064-71Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:2064-72Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:16Carlos Morris missed Layup.64-72
0:1664-72Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman Block.
0:16Minnesota Offensive Rebound.64-72
0:11Nate Mason made Three Point Jumper.67-72
0:05Foul on Dupree McBrayer.67-72
0:0567-73Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:0567-74Derrick Walton Jr. made Free Throw.
0:01Dupree McBrayer made Layup.69-74
0:00End of Game
 
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Wow. When the coach has 'em fouling anything can happen. Jeez. Hope that fell your way, Scott. Would be a nice one to be on the right side.

///

yest 4-1 +295
YTD 109-95-1 +930

Thursday:

New Orleans -2 -109 (vs Det)
Denver +2 -101 (vs Memp)
Sacramento -1 -110 (vs Atl)
 

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