Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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Pretty dumb switch by Noel and Covington there......RC defended Melo well all game .....no reason to switch ......not sure the thought process there.

I don't watch must B-ball but I've clipped toenails that have more common sense than the Sixers or the 27 walking dead coaches they now have on the bench. You would think with the 37 timeouts Brett Brown calls every game they'd get a few things right. Fortunately Ish Smith is a winner. Anyway, the play-by-play guy always asks the color analyst the same question, "You're up 3, do you foul here?" And the answer is always a discussion of philosophy, which is stupid..... Here is the correct answer - When leading by 3 with your opponent possessing the ball (1) if opponent is advancing toward your basket with momentum and can immediately go into a shooting motion if you touch him then you don't. However (2) if opponent is face up to you, man to man and OBVIOUSLY intending to stay behind the 3 point line until he can raise up and shoot, AND the opponent is also the go to guy on the other team, and he is dribbling and the clock is melting 7,6,5,4 then if you have some semblance of an IQ you slap his fucking hand! You don't need Mike D'Antoni or some other knucklehead to tell you that! Fouling Mello there gives Sixers 99% chance to win. Don't foul Mello and.....
 

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FYI Oklahoma vs Iowa St has been an absolute nightmare for OU bettors last 3 games. Last year at ISU OU (+6) led by 21 late and were assessed a technical for taunting. After the technical Iowa St scored the NEXT 22 POINTS and pulled away to win by 7. Then in the Big 12 tournament OU again blew a lead and lost by 2 as a 1 point Dog. Then this year OU was -6 and the people burnt twice last year piled on the money to drive it t 8. Guess what happened? OU immediately fell down big and took the entire game to catch up and they 'won' 87-83, screwing the bettors again. Tonight?
 

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can't decide between Syracuse +12 (bth) and Duke.. wanna play Syaracuse but just can't make myself pull the trigger yet.. probably will when it hits +12 on it's on. Also, wanna play Youngstown cuz too many points and mh book has +18.5 right now I could buy tol +19.. bout to pull the trigger on that. Those are the tough ones for me tonight. Everything else is played.
 

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Hawks -7 and Under 202 is looking good as of now.. only current games in action atm. I bombed Monmouth HARD and that help off set some of the BAD BEATS today.. Knicks Under at the top of the list.
 
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NBA

Had no clue there were day games today. Dumbdumb.

yest 3-0 +304
YTD 105-89-1 +1170

Monday:

Brooklyn +11 -108 (@ Tor)
Cleveland -3 -115 (vs GS)
Boston -2 -110 (@ Dal)
 

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I don't watch must B-ball but I've clipped toenails that have more common sense than the Sixers or the 27 walking dead coaches they now have on the bench. You would think with the 37 timeouts Brett Brown calls every game they'd get a few things right. Fortunately Ish Smith is a winner. Anyway, the play-by-play guy always asks the color analyst the same question, "You're up 3, do you foul here?" And the answer is always a discussion of philosophy, which is stupid..... Here is the correct answer - When leading by 3 with your opponent possessing the ball (1) if opponent is advancing toward your basket with momentum and can immediately go into a shooting motion if you touch him then you don't. However (2) if opponent is face up to you, man to man and OBVIOUSLY intending to stay behind the 3 point line until he can raise up and shoot, AND the opponent is also the go to guy on the other team, and he is dribbling and the clock is melting 7,6,5,4 then if you have some semblance of an IQ you slap his fucking hand! You don't need Mike D'Antoni or some other knucklehead to tell you that! Fouling Mello there gives Sixers 99% chance to win. Don't foul Mello and.....

I can't disagree with your comments on Sixers coaching staff.

However, basketball IQ of the players come into play here. Noel is not normally defending perimeter players and why Covington switched there, I don't know but I'm sure Brown instructed no switches off Melo and to go over top of any screen....at least I hope. Also, these pros can draw some players into a shooting foul in those spots.....I'm sure Noel was thinking that as well. Either way, that's just what bad teams do unfortunately.
 

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I can't disagree with your comments on Sixers coaching staff.

However, basketball IQ of the players come into play here. Noel is not normally defending perimeter players and why Covington switched there, I don't know but I'm sure Brown instructed no switches off Melo and to go over top of any screen....at least I hope. Also, these pros can draw some players into a shooting foul in those spots.....I'm sure Noel was thinking that as well. Either way, that's just what bad teams do unfortunately.

I had a good read on Mello's body language. Vit it's really hard for a defender to make a mistake when the guy who is going to shot has his eyes and neck pointed to the floor. Plenty of time to bump him. Even if the ref is in FU Sixers mode I'd rather demand Mello go 3for3 from the stripe then give him the open look at a 3-ball. Some smart coaches are even bright enough to saddle up to the crew chief during a TO and inform him, "If they get into a set play we're going to foul the guy with the ball (as he's dribbling)." Only the worst teams don't get out of there in regulation with a W.
 

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Had no clue there were day games today. Dumbdumb.

yest 3-0 +304
YTD 105-89-1 +1170

Monday:

Brooklyn +11 -108 (@ Tor)
Cleveland -3 -115 (vs GS)
Boston -2 -110 (@ Dal)

On all 3 of these as well.. split CLE m/l & -3 though.. bol to us.. also got Warriors Under 210 myself and Over 196 in the Brooklyn game fwiw.
 
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Good luck EStraight.

///

NFL

///


Can any bet smell like a stinker this year for the Championship games? I think all sides will be well backed. But just in case they see it my way I'm gonna lock in the 3s while they are available. Injury reports could change things but I don't want to chance losing the 3.

///

Regular season 79-73-1 +341
Wild Card 2-2 -17
Divisionals 2-1 +100

///

Conference Championships:

New England -3 -110 (@ Denv)
Carolina -3 -116 (vs Azo)
 

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I had a good read on Mello's body language. Vit it's really hard for a defender to make a mistake when the guy who is going to shot has his eyes and neck pointed to the floor. Plenty of time to bump him. Even if the ref is in FU Sixers mode I'd rather demand Mello go 3for3 from the stripe then give him the open look at a 3-ball. Some smart coaches are even bright enough to saddle up to the crew chief during a TO and inform him, "If they get into a set play we're going to foul the guy with the ball (as he's dribbling)." Only the worst teams don't get out of there in regulation with a W.

I really can't disagree with what you're saying.....I truly think Noel was scared to foul behind the 3 point line, but I blame the switch. Covington may have been able to play it better and foul. Typical Sixers stuff....I was more shocked that Okafur didn't see one minute of time in 4th and overtimes. He was having his way with Knicks front court. I'm confused with what the staff is trying to do.. I guess it's a matchup thing. Here is the scary part....if Imbid gets healthy and Saric comes over.....with picks coming this year, I really think the Sixers will have built something there. Noel will be prob be odd man out and traded because him and Okafur play terrible together.
 

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I really can't disagree with what you're saying.....I truly think Noel was scared to foul behind the 3 point line, but I blame the switch. Covington may have been able to play it better and foul. Typical Sixers stuff....I was more shocked that Okafur didn't see one minute of time in 4th and overtimes. He was having his way with Knicks front court. I'm confused with what the staff is trying to do.. I guess it's a matchup thing. Here is the scary part....if Imbid gets healthy and Saric comes over.....with picks coming this year, I really think the Sixers will have built something there. Noel will be prob be odd man out and traded because him and Okafur play terrible together.

Okafur did something that put him in Brown's doghouse? That's my guess as I only watched last minute of Reg + 2OTs.
 

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Okafur did something that put him in Brown's doghouse? That's my guess as I only watched last minute of Reg + 2OTs.

I don't think so. Brown has been doing that to Okafur in 4th quarters. Not really sure why.....he struggles on defense but not to where he's a complete liability out there. I'm not sure what the issue is but he needs to be in the floor....this kid is incredible for being only 19.....really good skills on offensive end.
 

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Baseball 98-85(+13,475)

NCAAF 76-80(-12,000)

NFL 54-64(-16,900)

NBA 40-46(-10,600)

NCAAB 15-7(+7300)

Baseball 98-85(+13,475)

NCAAF 76-80(-12,000)

NFL 56-64(-14,900)

NBA 42-49(-11,900)

NCAAB 17-8(+8200)



overall 289-286(-17,175)
 

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I was unsure whether it would be more appropriate to post this on this thread or my own "I suck" thread. But here goes...

Sometimes, good opportunities come along. Opportunities
which are too good to pass up.

I was sitting in the sports book at the Hilton/Westgate/whatever the fuck they call themselves nowadays over the weekend (btw, great book...check it out if you haven't yet). I saw Carolina at +500 to win the SB. I put in a large play on that with my local, and am planning on playing them each game the rest of the way. They remind me a lot of Seattle from two years ago, and I had never been more confident of a play in my life than that game. If they end up playing the Pats, I see a ton of similarities between this SB and the one from two years ago, but we'll get to all that once the matchup is determined.

For reasons I won't get into now, I'm completely convinced it's the Panthers' year. Will wait to see the line and matchup, but if it's what I think it'll be, I won't hesitate to put 10k or more on them.
 

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I was unsure whether it would be more appropriate to post this on this thread or my own "I suck" thread. But here goes...

Sometimes, good opportunities come along. Opportunities
which are too good to pass up.

I was sitting in the sports book at the Hilton/Westgate/whatever the fuck they call themselves nowadays over the weekend (btw, great book...check it out if you haven't yet). I saw Carolina at +500 to win the SB. I put in a large play on that with my local, and am planning on playing them each game the rest of the way. They remind me a lot of Seattle from two years ago, and I had never been more confident of a play in my life than that game. If they end up playing the Pats, I see a ton of similarities between this SB and the one from two years ago, but we'll get to all that once the matchup is determined.

For reasons I won't get into now, I'm completely convinced it's the Panthers' year. Will wait to see the line and matchup, but if it's what I think it'll be, I won't hesitate to put 10k or more on them.

A friend of mine put 400.00 on Carolina to win SB at the start of the year. Told me he gets back 12k. Probably a good idea for him to hedge the next no? I would put 400.00 on Arizona this weekend and then see what my options are for super bowl. Some people are telling him to hedge more.
 

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