Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

[PatsFan1283]

Might have to deposit at one of those joints. Local takes an eternity to put up win totals, props, and what not.

I'd ask you which totals you like but I'm sure you'd like to wait until you've made this wager with Vit.

Yeah I'd rather just put them in the draft. Not like he is gonna steal them or anything but just easier to do it that way.

FWIW, nothing great. Nothing like the Hawks at 41 last year when they won 38 with Horford hurt the year before, 2nd year under coach Bud.... Or the Pelicans at 41 when the Brow was about to Brow. The Wizards the year before when they got Gortat for free a few days before the season started and the market didn't even care, etc.

More incremental value plays. Stuff that the line is wrong but nothing where I just see a team as like 70% to beat the #.

 

[MantisToboggan]

Yeah I'd rather just put them in the draft. Not like he is gonna steal them or anything but just easier to do it that way.

FWIW, nothing great. Nothing like the Hawks at 41 last year when they won 38 with Horford hurt the year before, 2nd year under coach Bud.... Or the Pelicans at 41 when the Brow was about to Brow. The Wizards the year before when they got Gortat for free a few days before the season started and the market didn't even care, etc.

More incremental value plays. Stuff that the line is wrong but nothing where I just see a team as like 70% to beat the #.

Ya, there's one number I like quite a bit, but we'll see if my local's site posts the same number.

The draft method is interesting. Cool idea to turn it into a head to head contest.

 

[mountain]

Saturday 10-3-15

115 Bowling Green -8 (110)
118 Ball State + 6 1/2 (105)
122 Akron + 2 1/2 (+100)
129 Fl International + 2 1/2 (+105)
137 Iowa +6 (102)
141 Miss St + 5 1/2 (105)
143 C Fla + 1 1/2 (+110)
159 Bama + 1 1/2 (105)
202 UL Monroe + 6 (110)
215 UNLV + 6 1/2 (110)

Thursday 1-0-1

2015 NFL
YTD 14-9-1 +485

2015 NCAAF
YTD 23-20 + 180 Parlay (0-1) (25) Total: +155

 

[JDeuce]

UConn +10 for the 2H.

If you'd like to guarantee you win and every crazy ass bounce goes your way, fade me. The way I've been improbably losing for the last month has been beyond maddening.

 

[mountain]

UConn +10 for the 2H.

If you'd like to guarantee you win and every crazy ass bounce goes your way, fade me. The way I've been improbably losing for the last month has been beyond maddening.

I hit it myself JD, I like it.

 

[The Guesser]

Recap of where I stand now and some additional bets:

-$353
1U Closed 6 Point Teaser with Ariz(-.5) at Betpop(-105)
1U Open 6 Point Teaser Ariz (-.5) Betpop((-105)
2U Steelers (+3) (-115) Hollywood Sportsbook (Fuckin PUSH)
1U Pitt (+10)(Win) and SD (-.5) Betpop(-120) 7 Point Teaser
1U Buff (-5) Betmania
3/4 U Houston +7(-120) on a 1/2 point Buy Betpop- Think Houston will play a very competitive game at Atlanta, possibly even winning it.
1/2 U Minn (+7) Betpop- Same with Minn at Denver. Will probably place a small, untracked ML parlay on these 2 for fun.

 

[JDeuce]

I hit it myself JD, I like it.

I'm sorry you did.

See what I mean? An idiotic decision to do an onside kick, and possibly the dumbest unsportsmanlike penalty I've ever seen in my life turned a 4th down into a TD for BYU.

We're sunk. I turned this one off. Already know how it ends.

 

[Acebb]

NCAAF record is 5-3-1 (+$170)
My MLB record is 0-3 (-$303)

Increasingly concerned about weather so I put on of those tiny umbrellas over my little hat and here is what we got (all at -$110):

CENTRAL MICHIGAN + 3
MARSHALL -17½
UL Monroe +6
INDIANA +22½
UNLV +6

Good luck on this rainy day!

 

[ScottL]

Duke and Nebraska just dropped 2.5 points each. Stanford dropped 2 points earlier. Houston from -6.5 to -9.5. Anyone have info on these moves?

 

[MantisToboggan]

NCAAF - 3-2 (+0.8)
NFL - 4-5 (-1.5)

Mississippi -6.5
Iowa +6 -115

 

[mountain]

Teams that more than 1 poly forum agree so far:

UL Monroe: Ace, Mountain
UNLV: Ace, Mountain
Akron: Vit, Mountain
Bama: Vit Mountain
Miss. State: Vit, Mountain
Iowa: Mantis, Mountain

Will update as more are picked but out until later this afternoon

 

[vitterd]

Duke and Nebraska just dropped 2.5 points each. Stanford dropped 2 points earlier. Houston from -6.5 to -9.5. Anyone have info on these moves?

Steam??? I better get on those.

Kidding......I saw the Illinois move and glad I got them early in the week. If I'm Scott L I go for a middle here no?

 

[Acebb]

Teams that more than 1 poly forum agree so far:

UL Monroe: Ace, Mountain
UNLV: Ace, Mountain
Akron: Vit, Mountain
Bama: Vit Mountain
Miss. State: Vit, Mountain
Iowa: Mantis, Mountain

Will update as more are picked but out until later this afternoon

Good idea. Maybe we can build some consensus picks.

The trends say you guys are definitely on the right side on Iowa. Iowa 6-2 vs. spread last 8t as Big Ten road dog & 8-3 vs Badgers, holding UW <18 pts 5-of-last-9. Iowa on 10-3 road run, 9-0 dog of 5+ pts vs .750+ foes. Badgers 2-5 lately & 0-3 in Big10.

Good luck.

 

[Acebb]

Duke and Nebraska just dropped 2.5 points each. Stanford dropped 2 points earlier. Houston from -6.5 to -9.5. Anyone have info on these moves?

I'd guess Duke might have to due with the weather.

The others could just be service plays. Though Nebraska sucks so you have to consider that too!

 

[ScottL]

Made $100 last night.

133 Louiv +3
138 Wisc -5.5
147 Kan ST +7
151 Ariz ST +13
160 Georgia Pick
188 Mizzou -3
MLB TAM +105 and OAK +150

 

[MantisToboggan]

Best of luck to all of you today.

 

[SheriffJoe]

Scott, you probably already know this...

CFB: Overs this year are now 17-4 when O/U closes 70+

 

[ScottL]

I'd guess Duke might have to due with the weather.

The others could just be service plays. Though Nebraska sucks so you have to consider that too!

Should I add this 0-3 to your record

Weather wouldn't drop a line (Duke) from 6 to 4. A higher line yes, and likely a total.

"Suck" is in the pointspread before Saturday. Meanwhile sucky Nebraska is 8-1 ATS Away last 9 while Illinois is 3-12 at Home in Big Ten play.

Services don't move lines. They all suck. Betting groups move lines but usually because they find out someone like a QB or Center is injured before the Books adjust. That is rare anymore. But so are moves like these before Saturday. Haven't seen such swings since Marshall Faulk was at San Diego State and no one could confirm his status every week.

 

[Michelangelo]

Tanking at the end.

yest 2-7 -753
YTD 345-418 +3424

Saturday early:

Minny +111 (vs KCy)
3x Tex -107 (vs LAA)
2x Tex -1' +186
Wash +136 (@ NYM)

 

[ScottL]

Scott, you probably already know this...

CFB: Overs this year are now 17-4 when O/U closes 70+

Joe I'll keep score on this as you may have a crystal ball. Don't know where you're getting 21 games. I only have 10 Totals CLOSING at 70 or higher so far.
Week A = 1-0
Week 1 = 1-1
Week 2 = 3-1
Week 3 = 2-0-1
Total = 7-2-1 so far