16-11 +443
Thursday night:
Pitts +3 -115 (vs Balty)
Since 2001 Divisional Week 4 Road Favs have the edge on Week 4 Home Dogs 18-13. But I'm going with the Home pup here.
The Ravens lost three games despite getting two defensive TDs (one in each of 2 games). So their scoring totals are bloated.
Tonight they go against the #3 passing offense. Sure Big Ben is integral to that standing. But I like veteran bench QBs who have been around the game for a long time in rescue roles like this. The Balty D gave up 351 yds to the Raiders and 372 to the Bengals. I think the dogcatcher Michael Vick gets his share. Don't forget that he gets to play off the 2014 leading running back, LeVeon Bell who will be suiting up for only his second game.
And don't overlook the Pittsburgh D. They held New England to 28 in New England and Saint Louis to 6 in St Louis. This D needs to be recognized.
Thanks
Thursday night:
Pitts +3 -115 (vs Balty)
Since 2001 Divisional Week 4 Road Favs have the edge on Week 4 Home Dogs 18-13. But I'm going with the Home pup here.
The Ravens lost three games despite getting two defensive TDs (one in each of 2 games). So their scoring totals are bloated.
Tonight they go against the #3 passing offense. Sure Big Ben is integral to that standing. But I like veteran bench QBs who have been around the game for a long time in rescue roles like this. The Balty D gave up 351 yds to the Raiders and 372 to the Bengals. I think the dogcatcher Michael Vick gets his share. Don't forget that he gets to play off the 2014 leading running back, LeVeon Bell who will be suiting up for only his second game.
And don't overlook the Pittsburgh D. They held New England to 28 in New England and Saint Louis to 6 in St Louis. This D needs to be recognized.
Thanks
Opening day at Keeneland tomorrow. Working tomorrow so posting these plays tonight in case I don't have time in the morning. Post time for first race is 1:05est
Race 1...#6 Livonzin 8-1 ML Claimed back in March by trainer Chris Hartman, who is winning at a 22% rate this year. Went to the sidelines off that claim and came back in August at Ellis Park to run 3rd and followed that up with a 4th place finish at Indiana Downs beaten just 2 lengths. Was closing fast in last outing and now makes 3rd start off layoff in a race with plenty of speed to set up his closing style.
Race 3...#1 Space Mountain 8-1 ML 2 year old switches to dirt after pairing beyers in first 2 starts on turf. Sired by Street Cry, who also sired 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, so should handle the switch to dirt. 2nd time Lasix.
Race 6...#4 Crocus Hill 5-1 ML 3 year old filly debuted at Saratoga in August finishing 7th,beaten just 4 lengths, and came back to run 3rd at Suffolk, beaten by 1 1/2 lengths. Adds Lasix and stretches out to 1 3/16 miles for trainer Jonathan Sheppard, who excels at route turf races.
race 8(Grade 3 Phoenix)...#4 Holy Boss 4-1 ML Ran 3rd last out as the favorite in the Grade 1 Kings Bishop at Saratoga, beaten by Runhappy who posted a 113 beyer going gate to wire. That race was at 7 furlongs. This race is 6 furlongs which is Holy Boss's preferred distance where he has 4 wins and a 2nd from 6 starts.
My full card selections are posted in the horse forum.
Good old luck to everyone tonight and tomorrow...
Race 1...#6 Livonzin 8-1 ML Claimed back in March by trainer Chris Hartman, who is winning at a 22% rate this year. Went to the sidelines off that claim and came back in August at Ellis Park to run 3rd and followed that up with a 4th place finish at Indiana Downs beaten just 2 lengths. Was closing fast in last outing and now makes 3rd start off layoff in a race with plenty of speed to set up his closing style.
Race 3...#1 Space Mountain 8-1 ML 2 year old switches to dirt after pairing beyers in first 2 starts on turf. Sired by Street Cry, who also sired 2007 Kentucky Derby winner Street Sense, so should handle the switch to dirt. 2nd time Lasix.
Race 6...#4 Crocus Hill 5-1 ML 3 year old filly debuted at Saratoga in August finishing 7th,beaten just 4 lengths, and came back to run 3rd at Suffolk, beaten by 1 1/2 lengths. Adds Lasix and stretches out to 1 3/16 miles for trainer Jonathan Sheppard, who excels at route turf races.
race 8(Grade 3 Phoenix)...#4 Holy Boss 4-1 ML Ran 3rd last out as the favorite in the Grade 1 Kings Bishop at Saratoga, beaten by Runhappy who posted a 113 beyer going gate to wire. That race was at 7 furlongs. This race is 6 furlongs which is Holy Boss's preferred distance where he has 4 wins and a 2nd from 6 starts.
My full card selections are posted in the horse forum.
Good old luck to everyone tonight and tomorrow...
Well if you don't want to pay for live lines just use RX Odds or one of the many copycat free odds sites sportsoptions puts up. Anything in RED is a recent change. You can click inside the box for a line history to see what was steamed. Just check what 5Dimes moves and the rest copy. That's steam.
Can someone please tell me why most NFL games (especially big prime time games) these days come down to the last ****ing play?
With few exceptions, the NFL has become pretty much unbettable...at least relative to every other league, college or pro. Imploding bullpens in MLB have nothing on 4th quarter craziness of NFL football where apparently no lead is safe.
It wasn't like this 20 years ago or even 10 years ago.
With few exceptions, the NFL has become pretty much unbettable...at least relative to every other league, college or pro. Imploding bullpens in MLB have nothing on 4th quarter craziness of NFL football where apparently no lead is safe.
It wasn't like this 20 years ago or even 10 years ago.
Well first off the parity in the league independent of QB is closer than ever in terms of scouting, coaching, personnel decision makers, players, etc. That is a little more big picture.
Just in terms of right now and what is happening, I think the kicker rule to move XPs back is possibly effecting kickers on other kicks. Guys are missing these XPs or having to kick XPs that are more like field goals and if you miss 1 or 2 it is easy to get you off your rhythm, so then you have kickers missing more actual FGs than in the past. It's only been a few weeks so maybe they will adjust but it seems like this is bothering kickers. I feel for Scobee's life, James Harrison is probably going to kill him.
Despite OT, all 3 of the Steelers guys go under. Ravens D played a lot better 2nd half vs the pass.
Forsett got the ball alright, Trestman fed him. Unfortunately it was in the running game. Career high in rushing yards I believe, no catches.
3-1 +2.35
Going forward might be some value against B'more. Always been a big Flacco fan but the rest of their offense is going to be awful if Smith is forced to miss time. Might be tough to price that in. Smith accounted for like 1/2 their yards weeks 2 and 3.
