I blew 3 of them in col foots last night.
So I posted a system a few days ago - In Week A 'on the blind' Favorites of 11 or more are 107-75 ATS the past 7 years, including 14-7 ATS last year. To tighten this Angle further narrow the range from -11 to -22. These teams in Week A are 20-6 the last 2 years and 64-31 ATS the last 7 years.
Results last night for those games that fit were 0-4 ATS/0-3 ATS -11-22. A few more go tonight. I just dumped Boise from my playlist after loving them all week #BandwagonGame.
Foots (2-5)
Mich St -16.5 ...... Fits the System and hopefully not looking ahead.
Illinois -13.5 ...... Another System that's made me coin over many years - Take any Big Ten team in their first meeting of the Season vs a MAC school if the B10 team is at Home = 65-6 SU / 49-22 ATS. Also just noting the OVER = 40-29-2 in these games. Illinois chews up $ as Faves but Kent has lost 23 out of their last 28 Away vs Major Conferences by 20 or more since 2000.
MLB (+$237 yesterday / Thread -$343)
WAS -1.5 Runs +135 / STL -140 / SF +113 / UNDER 8.5 +100 det-cle / PHI +200
Note: I am notorious for winning by 1 when laying 1.5 in this thread. However the Braves are 10-45 last 55 Away outside of Miami. They've lost 20 of their last 23 games, and when they lose, 26 of their last 27 and 59 of their last 70 defeats have been by 2+Runs.
Mich St -16.5 ...... Fits the System and hopefully not looking ahead.
Illinois -13.5 ...... Another System that's made me coin over many years - Take any Big Ten team in their first meeting of the Season vs a MAC school if the B10 team is at Home = 65-6 SU / 49-22 ATS. Also just noting the OVER = 40-29-2 in these games. Illinois chews up $ as Faves but Kent has lost 23 out of their last 28 Away vs Major Conferences by 20 or more since 2000.
MLB (+$237 yesterday / Thread -$343)
WAS -1.5 Runs +135 / STL -140 / SF +113 / UNDER 8.5 +100 det-cle / PHI +200
Note: I am notorious for winning by 1 when laying 1.5 in this thread. However the Braves are 10-45 last 55 Away outside of Miami. They've lost 20 of their last 23 games, and when they lose, 26 of their last 27 and 59 of their last 70 defeats have been by 2+Runs.
FYI NCAAF: On opening Saturday last year between 9-11 AM every line where a team was favored by 10+ tumbled 2-3 points. Also every Total that was 62 or higher got whacked down 2-3 points. This has already shown up yesterday and today. So if you like DOG or UNDER in any game best to go early. If you are a FAV or OVER bettor wait until post-time.
I wanted to wait for halftime of this game...I was hoping it was close or tied at the half so I could play Stanford for the 2H.
Even though it has played out exactly as I hoped, now I'm not so sure. It isn't a good sign when a team looks like they don't want to be there in Week 1. Pretty sorry and uninspired effort by the Cardinal. Their OL is getting manhandled.
FYI NCAAF: On opening Saturday last year between 9-11 AM every line where a team was favored by 10+ tumbled 2-3 points. Also every Total that was 62 or higher got whacked down 2-3 points. This has already shown up yesterday and today. So if you like DOG or UNDER in any game best to go early. If you are a FAV or OVER bettor wait until post-time.
Well if ya can't pick Winners......
All high Totals dropping. Most Favorites as well. Some nice MIDDLES being set up.
Now WHEN do I buy back?
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What you DO know CAN hurt you. I ended up with about 10 Middle Opps where I led UNDER. I bought back on each one, leaving $100 extra on the UNDERS because, "I had the best of it." Didn't hit one, lost most of them including the BYU hail mary. And speaking of Totals you may have noticed: Games that closed 57 or higher were 10-2 OVER yesterday. BW's computer programmer got him smashed again.
Went 3-2 in Foots yesterday, now 5-8 and passing today.
Gained $160 in MLB and now down $-488.
Sunday MLB:
WAS -1.5 Runs -115 / ARIZ +165 / SD +117 / OAK +125 / PHI +190
Notes:
Stat posted earlier in thread anti-ATL. Also note ATL last 33 Aay were outscored 86-191.
ARIZ = 5-0 Away off 3 Away Losses this year and has better arm today.
BOS = 1-11 since last year when holding a 2-0 lead in a Series. They are 8-2 when Rodriguez starts at night and his ERA = 1.68. But his afternoon starts are the opposite. The team is 2-5 and his ERA = 9.27.
Gained $160 in MLB and now down $-488.
Sunday MLB:
WAS -1.5 Runs -115 / ARIZ +165 / SD +117 / OAK +125 / PHI +190
Notes:
Stat posted earlier in thread anti-ATL. Also note ATL last 33 Aay were outscored 86-191.
ARIZ = 5-0 Away off 3 Away Losses this year and has better arm today.
BOS = 1-11 since last year when holding a 2-0 lead in a Series. They are 8-2 when Rodriguez starts at night and his ERA = 1.68. But his afternoon starts are the opposite. The team is 2-5 and his ERA = 9.27.
