Poly Forum Picks and Game Discussion Thread (ongoing....)

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I would re-post the quote, but what is the point?

What is the point of you two still riding each other? What is the point that can't be stressed OUTSIDE of this thread?

But then again there's Vitterd. He just cannot help himself! After everything posted yesterday he just had to.... had to make post #476.
Most of Vit's issues in here he brings upon himself. Like the post below, completely unnecessary:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1027454&p=11200434&viewfull=1#post11200434
 

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Next post by Vit or Ace about the other person I will seek a mod to give a few days off. Done with this Shit. Don't respond to this as I don't give a fuck.
 

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Sounds good. Will continue in my own threads in MLB and football parts of the forum. I'm not taking the blame for this fucking shit. Disgraceful that I'm called out after what he's done in here. Disappointing but not surprising responses. Later
 
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Quitters never win. Winners never quit.

yest 5-5 +193

YTD 226-271 +3370

Tuesday:

TBy +134 (@ Bal)
Bos +133 (vs NYY)
Phi +182 (@ NYM)
Minny +146 (vs CWS)
St L +100 (vs Wash)
Oak +109 (vs LAA)
LAD -114 (vs SFo)

Thanks
 

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Tonight’s steamers:

Sharp line move detected against Chicago Cubs
The smart money is coming on Cincinnati

Sharp line move detected in favor of Arizona

*Ignoring St Louis game as pitching change (hope they lose!)

Sharp line move detected against Toronto
The smart money is coming on Cleveland

Sharp line move detected in favor of Baltimore

Sharp line move detected in favor of Kansas City

Last 2 there are chalky. A few other line moves but not listed. The NYY move appeared to be...
 

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Ace put so-called Steamers in another thread please. They provide no betting edges to anyone's methods in here. And please continue posting your own picks and analysis, even if you don't wager daily. I like hearing how other people size up a game.
 

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Blind Betting Week A NCAAF:

I call it Week A because it's the week before the NFL launches its Reg Sea. In Week A 'on the blind' Favorites of 11 or more are 107-75 ATS the past 7 years, including 14-7 ATS last year. To tighten this Angle further narrow the range from -11 to -22. These teams in Week A are 20-6 the last 2 years and 64-31 ATS the last 7 years. These Stats are based on Closing Lines. So if a team is -11.5 early AM Saturday and kicks off at -10 I do not include them in the results. Using Closing Lines is the only way to keep Stats. And that's pretty much why ATS results from places like Covers, and masny databases have so many incorrect ATS results.
 

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(MLB = -$480)

A $100 Win on Texas last night. The Rangers do NOT open Road Trips 0-2!

Tonight's Shot-taker Special = SF +235. Can't pass it up and the rest of the games don't excite me.
 
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yest 5-2 +462
YTD 231-273 +3832

Wednesday:

Philly +219 (@ NYM)
Milw +138 (vs Pit)
St L +125 (vs Wash)
KCy -189 (vs Det)
2x KCy -1' +109
Minny -128 (vs CWS)
SDo +123 (vs Tex)

Thanks
 

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"yest 5-2 +462
YTD 231-273 +3832"


52 games under 500
With 3 new cars in the driveway :)
 

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Sounds good. Will continue in my own threads in MLB and football parts of the forum. I'm not taking the blame for this fucking shit. Disgraceful that I'm called out after what he's done in here. Disappointing but not surprising responses. Later

Get back in here man, you can't leave just when I am starting to post picks, besides this self banning thing is over rated...trust me. I will make up lies and get my neighbor after you in another thread but you need to keep posting your plays here. If you are going tout than I understand but if not, postem up.

Thursday, 9-3:

#133 USC -2 1/2 (hate this line but USC is the better team)
#135 FIU +13

Vit's TKO free total of the day: Take the over 12 years in the Jimmy "Superfly" Snuka sentencing as a solid future play
 

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Get back in here man, you can't leave just when I am starting to post picks, besides this self banning thing is over rated...trust me. I will make up lies and get my neighbor after you in another thread but you need to keep posting your plays here. If you are going tout than I understand but if not, postem up.

Thursday, 9-3:

#133 USC -2 1/2 (hate this line but USC is the better team)
#135 FIU +13

Vit's TKO free total of the day: Take the over 12 years in the Jimmy "Superfly" Snuka sentencing as a solid future play

No self ban. My picks are posted in baseball forum and football forum now. Another huge winning day yesterday. Good luck mountain
 

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Welcome Home Mountain!

MLB = -$580 / Foots = 2-2

Early Play today = OVER 8 EVEN min-cws



I missed a Stat yesterday that I've posted before :(
STL is now 2-18 off consecutive Wins if they scored 7+ in both games since July, 2012 - Dammit!
Not enough hours in the day.
 

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Welcome Home Mountain!

MLB = -$580 / Foots = 2-2

Early Play today = OVER 8 EVEN min-cws



I missed a Stat yesterday that I've posted before :(
STL is now 2-18 off consecutive Wins if they scored 7+ in both games since July, 2012 - Dammit!
Not enough hours in the day.

A nice angle there....one that likely scores pretty well for most teams who have consecutive wins with 7+ runs.

As the deep stats geeks have been clearly demonstrating over past decade, baseball extremely actuarial. If league average for three games is right at 14 runs, then 14 in two games creates a legit lean to below league avg (4.5) results in subsequent game
 

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A nice angle there....one that likely scores pretty well for most teams who have consecutive wins with 7+ runs.

Hey Bardude - Yep, and actually lends more validity when you have a negative angle vs a team who is above 600, or vice-versa, a positive angle on a bad team.
 
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Welcome back, mountain.

Wish there were three cars in the driveway, Scott. Heading up to Saratoga for a couple of days on Sat and my mechanic spent all yesterday afternoon working on my car. But despite being a crack mechanic and spending all that time the problem was back today. I'm going Saturday if I have to ride a horse. Friends will already be there. Look forward to this little excursion every year on Labor Day weekend. Don't worry, I'll bring the laptop and get the bases numbers done.



 
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yest 4-3 +256
YTD 235-276 +4088 (PS only 41 games below .500. Not 52. haha)

Thursday:

KCy -168 (vs Det)
KCy -1' +113
Col +117 (vs SFo)

Thanks
 

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