Oz's NCAAB thread...

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Nov 17, 2014
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Adding:

0.5 Units on Penn St/Marshall OVER (142.5) @ $1.952
0.75 Units on Wake Forest (+9.5) @ $1.935

That's all folks :)

Oz
 

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Graded (in record):
1.5 Units on Penn St (-5.5) @ $1.952 &
2 Units on Penn St (-6.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1 Unit on Wisconsin (-9.5) @ $1.91 - WIN
1.25 Units on Michigan/NJIT UNDER (134.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.75 Units on Wisconsin-GB (+11) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on North Dakota (+5.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
0.75 Units on Northwestern (+11.5) @ $1.926 - WIN
0.75 Units on Ohio St/Colgate UNDER (134.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
0.5 Units on Penn St/Marshall OVER (142.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS

To go:
0.75 Units on Wake Forest (+9.5) @ $1.935
2 Units on Pepperdine (-3) @ $1.952

Penn State game couldn't have turned out much worse, missed the total by the hook and the spread by 1.5points....one extra basket and that whole game was different...on the whole the day was OK - 5-3, although staking cost a little (darn statistics can bite you sometimes), -0.54 units. Still time to make this a positive day, but relying on Pepperdine now.

Oz
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YTD (2014)
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71-54-6 (56.8%)
My staking: +13.55 Units (167 units wagered; 8.11% ROI; 6.76% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +13.59 Units (125 units/10.9% ROI/6.80% ROC)
 

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Ended the day upbeat and positive...

0.75 Units on Wake Forest (+9.5) @ $1.935 - LOSS
2 Units on Pepperdine (-3) @ $1.952 - WIN

Overall 6-4 (right on 60%), although staking cost us a little profit were still positive on the day, +0.61 units. A lot of work for not very much return today, but positive is better than negative!

Oz
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YTD (2014)
--------------
72-55-6 (56.8%)
My staking: +14.70 Units (169.75 units wagered; 8.66% ROI; 7.35% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +13.54 Units (127 units/10.7% ROI/6.77% ROC)
 

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Early plays:

0.75 Units on Colorado/Georgia OVER (132) @ $1.91 (shop for this line...Bookmake had it at 11am EST)
2.5 Units on Western Illinois (+14.5) @ $1.941
1.5 Units on Marist (+14) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Wisconsin-Mil/Depaul UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952


More to come, just need a little coffee to wake up...

Best
Oz
 

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A couple of early totals that are already moving:

1.25 Units Arkansas/Clemson UNDER (141) @ $1.952
1.5 Units UCLA/San Diego UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952


Best
Oz
 

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The rest of my card, a little early hopefully it doesn't bite me...

1 Unit on California (-6.5) @ $1.952 (this line is moving up right now, starting to see 7-7.5's)
2 Units on East Carolina/UNC UNDER (141) @ $1.971
1.25 Units on Mississippi/Oregon UNDER (142.5) @ $1.952
2 Units on Creighton/Nebraska UNDER (134.5) @ $1.952

One I want to put out there, but will add line near game time. Looks like a lot of sharp money going on the other side and I have seen it move from 5 to 6.5 points in the last 20-30 minutes. Currently +6 @ $1.99.

1 Units on N Dakota St (+...) @ $....

Best
Oz
 

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Results (included in record):
0.75 Units on Colorado/Georgia OVER (132) @ $1.91 - LOSS
2.5 Units on Western Illinois (+14.5) @ $1.941- LOSS
1.5 Units on Marist (+14) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Wisconsin-Mil/Depaul UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.25 Units Arkansas/Clemson UNDER (141) @ $1.952 - WIN
1 Unit on California (-6.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
2 Units on East Carolina/UNC UNDER (141) @ $1.971 - LOSS
1.25 Units on Mississippi/Oregon UNDER (142.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS


Pending:
2 Units on Creighton/Nebraska UNDER (134.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units UCLA/San Diego UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952




Adding:
1 Unit on N Dakota St (+6) @ $1.952


Today has been very ugly so far (2-5 and -7.36 units...awful so far), relying on the late games to save this one...even a sweep would mean a few units lost...


Good luck!
Oz
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YTD (2014)
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74-60-6 (55.2%)
My staking: +7.34 Units (181.5 units wagered; 4.04% ROI; 3.67% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +10.45 Units (134 units/7.80% ROI/5.23% ROC)
 

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Previous Results (included in record):
0.75 Units on Colorado/Georgia OVER (132) @ $1.91 - LOSS
2.5 Units on Western Illinois (+14.5) @ $1.941- LOSS
1.5 Units on Marist (+14) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Wisconsin-Mil/Depaul UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.25 Units Arkansas/Clemson UNDER (141) @ $1.952 - WIN
1 Unit on California (-6.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
2 Units on East Carolina/UNC UNDER (141) @ $1.971 - LOSS
1.25 Units on Mississippi/Oregon UNDER (142.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS

Final grade:
2 Units on Creighton/Nebraska UNDER (134.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units UCLA/San Diego UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1 Unit on N Dakota St (+6) @ $1.952 - LOSS

Final three games: 2-1 and +2.33 units. A sweep would have helped more
Overall on the day: 4-6 and -5.03 units (only -2.19 with straight unit betting...)

Not much to say, lost one by the hook, won one by the hook and another game was a point loser, just one of those days.

I will do better next time, I hate posting plays that result in losing money...

Oz
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YTD (2014)
--------------
76-61-6 (55.5%)
My staking: +9.67 Units (186 units wagered; 5.2% ROI; 4.83% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +11.35 Units (137 units/8.29% ROI/5.63% ROC)
 

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Small card tonight:

1 Unit on Nebraska-Omaha (+6) @ $1.952

Good luck
Oz
 

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Adding:

0.75 Units on Minnesota/N Dakota UNDER (140.5) @ $1.952

Good luck
Oz
 

Your Bookies Worest Enemy
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Thanks and good luck tonight my friend!!!!
 

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1 Unit on Nebraska-Omaha (+6) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.75 Units on Minnesota/N Dakota UNDER (140.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS

0-2 and I feel like the cooler at the table right now...sorry guys, as every gambler believes, my time is coming. I have seen this before and you have heard it before, it is a grind. Still up on the season, but definitely batting a little low right now, the bounce will come. I did miss a winning play tonight, so I am a little annoyed (SMU over), but it was given by some very respectable cappers in the forum, so hopefully you followed it anyway.

Oz

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YTD (2014)
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76-63-6 (54.7%)
My staking: +7.92 Units (187.75 units wagered; 4.21% ROI; 3.96% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +9.35 Units (139 units/6.72% ROI/4.68% ROC)
 

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One play for the day - Villanova should be able to shut down the Illini perimeter game and so the under should hold for the full game. If the halftime score is vastly different to the predicted total there may be a play on the over/under for the second half:

0.75 Units on Villanova/Illinois UNDER (138) @ $1.91

Good luck!
Oz
 

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Adding:

0.75 Units to Villanova/Illinois UNDER (139) @ $1.952
2 Units on Xavier/IUPUI UNDER (146) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Louisville/Indiana UNDER (141) @ $1.935

Time for a rebound...

Good luck!
 

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Adding:

0.5 Units on Michigan/E Michigan OVER (1H 60) @ $1.91

Best
Oz
 

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Adding the last two plays of the day:

1 Unit on Michigan/E Michigan UNDER (132) @ $1.952
0.75 Units on S Dakota/Creighton UNDER (142) @ $1.86 (you can get 141.5 @ $1.95, but with the closeness of games recently, not taking my chances...)

Note that the Michigan game is UNDER and the first half play is OVER....this may seem like hedging, but that is a 12 point differential 1H to 2H - which is much bigger than normal (typically this season it has run 8-10), especially when you factor in the fact that it is only a 130ish line than becomes almost a 10% differential, so over 1H and under game is a reasonable bet pair. Just wanted to explain what otherwise might look odd. If that 1H goes wayyyy over I would strongly consider adding with a 2H under to cover the game under.

Good luck to us all!
Oz
 

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Adding (really is the last play and a little late, sorry):

1 Unit on S Dakota/Creighton UNDER (141.5) @ $1.952
 

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Well Indiana and Louisville blowing out the 1H, going to follow this one up with:

0.5 Units on Indiana/Louisville 2H UNDER (78.5) @ $1.91

This would equate to an under of 165.5 (compared to the original total of 142ish), that's an additional 23 points, I like the chances of winning this and hedging back a likely loss on the whole game under.

Oz
 

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0.75 Units on Villanova/Illinois UNDER (138) @ $1.91 & 0.75 Units to Villanova/Illinois UNDER (139) @ $1.952 - WIN
2 Units on Xavier/IUPUI UNDER (146) @ $1.952 - WIN
0.5 Units on Michigan/E Michigan OVER (1H 60) @ $1.91 - LOSS
1 Unit on Michigan/E Michigan UNDER (132) @ $1.952 - WIN
0.75 Units on S Dakota/Creighton UNDER (142) @ $1.86 & 1 Unit on S Dakota/Creighton UNDER (141.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS (agggh)
1.5 Units on Louisville/Indiana UNDER (141) @ $1.935 - LOSS
0.5 Units on Indiana/Louisville 2H UNDER (78.5) @ $1.91 - LOSS

A very frustrating day, Indiana couldn't get the D in place and a buzzer-beater three from S Dakota cost us 2OT and snatched defeat from the jaws of victory ...uggh....

Overall, 3-4 and -0.04 units on the day (I.e., flat). Staking saved the day, but really thought this was going to be that breakout day that I have been waiting for, but S Dakota caused a 3+ unit swing.

Oz

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YTD (2014)
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79-67-6 (54.7%)
My staking: +7.88 Units (196.5 units wagered; 4.01% ROI; 3.94% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +8.21 Units (146 units/5.62% ROI/4.11% ROC)
 

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Literally just watched this line move 1 point in front of my eyes...should have gotten 134.5...

1.5 Units on Kansas/GTown UNDER (133.5) @ $1.952
 

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