Oz's NCAAB thread...

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1.5 Units on Arkansas/Iowa St UNDER (160) @ $1.935 - LOSS
1.5 Units on WVU/LSU UNDER (147) @ $1.952 - PUSH

Another bloody Push...I cannot believe I have had 7 (yes, SEVEN) pushes in barely 120 plays...nearly 6%?? Wow. I made a little on the 2H under (0.5 units), so the game wasn't a total loss, but frustrating as now I have another losing night...patience...

0-1 and -1.5 units.

Oz
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YTD (2014)
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66-51-6 (57.4%)
My staking: +14.09 Units (158 units wagered; 8.92% ROI; 7.05% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +11.83 Units (117 units/10.1% ROI/5.92% ROC)


Well don't feel too bad. I've had 4 losses by a half point on those pushes including last night!! Keep grinding =)
 

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Man, that is definitely worse - sorry (although you hopefully got the infamous Push on Santa Clara ;) ). Shows the importance of getting good lines (i.e., multiple accounts/books and timing....is bloody everything).

I was talking with a couple of other cappers about this, the number of pushes and extremely close games has been unreal. I actually had two pushes in one game...really freaky. I have complete respect for the linesmakers and their ability/statistical models, but even they aren't this good lol (I would have to think that pushes aren't necessarily a good thing for them as it means less money taken in).

Even with my wins, there have been a number where I am literally waiting for the last possible shot of the game to see if I will win...I am not going to go back and count them up, because I think it would be a much higher number than I would like to think about.

Here's to winning a few by a comfortable margin....

Now I need some sleep (whatever, I don't sleep) :)

Oz
 

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Sorry gents, don't see anything that I really like on the card tonight.

Already see a couple that I like tomorrow, will post later.

Can relax and just enjoy the games tonight ;)

Best
Oz
 

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hey Oz, what part of Hawaii you from. I grew up in Palolo valley, Saint Louis grad.
 

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Live on Maui. Not from here though (as you might have figured from the name :) ). You back on Oahu?
 

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A little etiquette Sunshine...politely asking that you keep your plays in your thread so that there is no confusion. I was polite and did my best not to hijack your thread before.

Cheers
Oz
 

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Taking an overnight line that I really like and will quite possibly add to it tomorrow as I finish up my analyses:

1.5 Units on Penn State (-5.5) @ $1.91 (most places have 6 overnight, but I know that Bookmaker.eu still has this line)

Will add more in a bit have a couple that I really like (including Penn St) and will add totals once the books start to release them.

Best
Oz
 

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Also adding another early line that I think will move in the wrong direction:

1 Unit on Wisconsin (-9.5) @ $1.91 (gotta shop for that line - BetOnline has it at around 5:30am EST)

Oz
 

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Adding:

1.25 Units on Michigan/NJIT UNDER (134.5) @ $1.952

More to come shortly...just waking up...
 

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Grew up in Honolulu but moved to Vegas in '83. Been here ever since. I would love to live on Maui but too much GMO crops growing there now.
 

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No more GMO, just got voted down in the referendum...albeit a lot closer than it should have been courtesy of some Monsanto confusion marketing.....
 

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Adding:

0.75 Units on Wisconsin-GB (+11) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on North Dakota (+5.5) @ $1.952
0.75 Units on Northwestern (+11.5) @ $1.926
2 Units on Pepperdine (-3) @ $1.952

May be a couple more to come.

Best
Oz
 

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Just realized how close to game time the St Edwardsville play was, my apologies. I will not include it in my record (try to make my "followability" reasonable).

0.75 Units on Ohio St/Colgate UNDER (134.5) @ $1.952

Not many more games left to analyse.
Oz
 

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Oz, in the last couple weeks, a federal judge (forgot his name) who has ties to Monsanto sided with them and Dow Chemical in their lawsuit challenging the legality of the vote referendum. So this will end up in being appealed. Monsanto money at work.
 

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You are correct. I guess I just like that the people at least had a small victory lol If you go on Craig's List and look in the rant sections that are some interesting pieces lol...including a few ranting about the nepotism/shadiness of the Judges/Monsanto/local environmental groups etc... Ah well...in the meanwhile I will enjoy my capping on the lanai looking at the mountains and the ocean ;)
 

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Adding (this is additional):

2 Units on Penn St (-6.5) @ $1.952 (will leave a large 3.5 units bet on them over two spreads of -5.5 and -6.5)

One more game left that I am figuring out.

Oz
 

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Sunshine you are welcome to post winners, just do it in your thread...
 

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