You're welcome Eco, hopefully you have been able to tag along. It has been hard to post as I try to balance getting the best line with posting early enough for people to tail if they desire.
After 100 plays I am only very slightly disappointed with the win% and the ROI%, both are a hair lower than I would like, but I think I can attribute that to a couple of bad lines on my side because I had posted extremely early (notably Santa Clara +5.5 vs +7). If I had taken that somewhere near game time I would have definitely had a push and this would leave my model right at the 60% and 15% marks that I shoot for.
Are my posts too complicated? I feel like I am adding way to much information sometimes lol
Cheers
Oz
After 100 plays I am only very slightly disappointed with the win% and the ROI%, both are a hair lower than I would like, but I think I can attribute that to a couple of bad lines on my side because I had posted extremely early (notably Santa Clara +5.5 vs +7). If I had taken that somewhere near game time I would have definitely had a push and this would leave my model right at the 60% and 15% marks that I shoot for.
Are my posts too complicated? I feel like I am adding way to much information sometimes lol
Cheers
Oz
12/2 Plays:
1.75 Units on St.John's/Niagara UNDER (134.5) @ $1.926
0.5 Units on Niagara (+18) @ $1.971
1.5 Units on Memphis/S F Austin UNDER (134.5) @ $1.91
1.5 Units on Wake/Minnesota UNDER (135) @ $1.952
0.5 Units on UT Arlington (+22.5)
1.5 Units on Indiana/Pittsburgh UNDER (137) @ $1.952 (this line has already moved in a lot prior to me posting)
1.5 Units on Purdue/NC State UNDER (140.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Utah St/BYU UNDER (144.5) @ $1.952
1.75 Units on Arizona/Gardner Webb UNDER (142.5) @ $1.952
I may add to a couple of these if the lines move in the right direction.
Best
Oz
1.75 Units on St.John's/Niagara UNDER (134.5) @ $1.926
0.5 Units on Niagara (+18) @ $1.971
1.5 Units on Memphis/S F Austin UNDER (134.5) @ $1.91
1.5 Units on Wake/Minnesota UNDER (135) @ $1.952
0.5 Units on UT Arlington (+22.5)
1.5 Units on Indiana/Pittsburgh UNDER (137) @ $1.952 (this line has already moved in a lot prior to me posting)
1.5 Units on Purdue/NC State UNDER (140.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Utah St/BYU UNDER (144.5) @ $1.952
1.75 Units on Arizona/Gardner Webb UNDER (142.5) @ $1.952
I may add to a couple of these if the lines move in the right direction.
Best
Oz
Sorry,
Purdue/NC State should be 2 units.
While I wouldn't hang around too long on the totals lines, I have a feeling the Niagara and UT Arlington lines might improve a little towards game time, so your call on whether you wait or not. If they move substantially I might add a little to them.
Oz
Purdue/NC State should be 2 units.
While I wouldn't hang around too long on the totals lines, I have a feeling the Niagara and UT Arlington lines might improve a little towards game time, so your call on whether you wait or not. If they move substantially I might add a little to them.
Oz
1.75 Units on St.John's/Niagara UNDER (134.5) @ $1.926 - WIN
0.5 Units on Niagara (+18) @ $1.971 - WIN
1.5 Units on Memphis/S F Austin UNDER (134.5) @ $1.91 - WIN
1.5 Units on Wake/Minnesota UNDER (135) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.5 Units on UT Arlington (+22.5) - WIN
1.5 Units on Indiana/Pittsburgh UNDER (137) @ $1.952 - LOSS
2.0 Units on Purdue/NC State UNDER (140.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on Utah St/BYU UNDER (144.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.75 Units on Arizona/Gardner Webb UNDER (142.5) @ $1.952 & 0.75 Units on Arizona/Gardner Webb UNDER (142.5) @ $1.926 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Alabama/South Florida UNDER (138) @ $1.952 - LOSS
Really got beat by Gardner-Webb, really didn't expect them to put that many points on the board and to be honest, Arizona just kept dropping bombs from behind the arc when they were already dominating the game with hardly any time left....grrr, that play made/broke yesterday and alas it broke me (for the day).
One of those days you wish you didn't get out of bed...5-5 (not a disaster) and -2.65 units (ick) - straight units would have left you losing juice (about 0.3 units). Sorry gents, will get up tomorrow and put my shorts on one leg at a time and figure out the next big play
Best
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
62-44-5 (58.5%)
My staking: +16.54 Units (140 units wagered; 11.8% ROI; 8.27% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +15.02 Units (106 units/14.2% ROI/7.51% ROC)
0.5 Units on Niagara (+18) @ $1.971 - WIN
1.5 Units on Memphis/S F Austin UNDER (134.5) @ $1.91 - WIN
1.5 Units on Wake/Minnesota UNDER (135) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.5 Units on UT Arlington (+22.5) - WIN
1.5 Units on Indiana/Pittsburgh UNDER (137) @ $1.952 - LOSS
2.0 Units on Purdue/NC State UNDER (140.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on Utah St/BYU UNDER (144.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.75 Units on Arizona/Gardner Webb UNDER (142.5) @ $1.952 & 0.75 Units on Arizona/Gardner Webb UNDER (142.5) @ $1.926 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Alabama/South Florida UNDER (138) @ $1.952 - LOSS
Really got beat by Gardner-Webb, really didn't expect them to put that many points on the board and to be honest, Arizona just kept dropping bombs from behind the arc when they were already dominating the game with hardly any time left....grrr, that play made/broke yesterday and alas it broke me (for the day).
One of those days you wish you didn't get out of bed...5-5 (not a disaster) and -2.65 units (ick) - straight units would have left you losing juice (about 0.3 units). Sorry gents, will get up tomorrow and put my shorts on one leg at a time and figure out the next big play
Best
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
62-44-5 (58.5%)
My staking: +16.54 Units (140 units wagered; 11.8% ROI; 8.27% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +15.02 Units (106 units/14.2% ROI/7.51% ROC)
12/3 Plays:
Getting these first plays in early as the line has already moved 3.5 points on Temple (I saw this last night @ +1 and didn't move on it, more fool me...) and moved a little on Dayton too.
1 Unit on Temple (-2) @ $1.952
1 Units on Dayton (-9) @ $1.91
Will post more in a bit.
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
62-44-5 (58.5%)
My staking: +16.54 Units (140 units wagered; 11.8% ROI; 8.27% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +15.02 Units (106 units/14.2% ROI/7.51% ROC)
Getting these first plays in early as the line has already moved 3.5 points on Temple (I saw this last night @ +1 and didn't move on it, more fool me...) and moved a little on Dayton too.
1 Unit on Temple (-2) @ $1.952
1 Units on Dayton (-9) @ $1.91
Will post more in a bit.
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
62-44-5 (58.5%)
My staking: +16.54 Units (140 units wagered; 11.8% ROI; 8.27% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +15.02 Units (106 units/14.2% ROI/7.51% ROC)
There are more to come later (still too early for me to feel comfortable posting), but a couple more where I want to lock in numbers or am already seeing line moves that I want to get in front of....
1.75 Units on Penn St/VA Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Miss Valley St/Oregon St UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952
Best
Oz
1.75 Units on Penn St/VA Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Miss Valley St/Oregon St UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952
Best
Oz
Early plays (sorry today is piecemeal, been dealing with real life in the middle )
1.5 Units on Michigan St/Notre Dame UNDER (136) @ $1.98
1.5 Units on Iowa/N Carolina UNDER (150) @ $1.91
1.5 Units on Auburn/Texas Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952
0.5 Units on Miss Valley St(+18.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Duke/Wisconsin UNDER (135.5) @ 1.952
Looking at one more line that is later in the card,will post in a bit.
Good luck to all!
)1.5 Units on Michigan St/Notre Dame UNDER (136) @ $1.98
1.5 Units on Iowa/N Carolina UNDER (150) @ $1.91
1.5 Units on Auburn/Texas Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952
0.5 Units on Miss Valley St(+18.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Duke/Wisconsin UNDER (135.5) @ 1.952
Looking at one more line that is later in the card,will post in a bit.
Good luck to all!
A mixed day...
1 Unit on Temple (-2) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1 Units on Dayton (-9) @ $1.91 - LOSS
1 unit on UC Irvine (-6.5) @ $1.87 - LOSS
1.75 Units on Penn St/VA Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on Miss Valley St/Oregon St UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 & 1.75 Units on Miss Valley St/Oregon St UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on Michigan St/Notre Dame UNDER (136) @ $1.98 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Iowa/N Carolina UNDER (150) @ $1.91 - WIN
1.5 Units on Auburn/Texas Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
0.5 Units on Miss Valley St(+18.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Duke/Wisconsin UNDER (135.5) @ 1.952 & 1.5 Units on Duke/Wisconsin UNDER (135.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.5 Units on Idaho/Washington St UNDER (148) @ $1.91 - PUSH
Overall a 4-6-1 and net -0.95 - staking saved the day. Ready to see a solid day push us back up. I am shocked by the number of pushes I have had in the last five days, crazy.
Oz
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YTD (2014)
--------------
66-50-6 (57.4%)
My staking: +15.59 Units (156.5 units wagered; 9.96% ROI; 7.80% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +12.83 Units (116 units/11.1% ROI/6.42% ROC)
1 Unit on Temple (-2) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1 Units on Dayton (-9) @ $1.91 - LOSS
1 unit on UC Irvine (-6.5) @ $1.87 - LOSS
1.75 Units on Penn St/VA Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on Miss Valley St/Oregon St UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 & 1.75 Units on Miss Valley St/Oregon St UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on Michigan St/Notre Dame UNDER (136) @ $1.98 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Iowa/N Carolina UNDER (150) @ $1.91 - WIN
1.5 Units on Auburn/Texas Tech UNDER (138.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
0.5 Units on Miss Valley St(+18.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Duke/Wisconsin UNDER (135.5) @ 1.952 & 1.5 Units on Duke/Wisconsin UNDER (135.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.5 Units on Idaho/Washington St UNDER (148) @ $1.91 - PUSH
Overall a 4-6-1 and net -0.95 - staking saved the day. Ready to see a solid day push us back up. I am shocked by the number of pushes I have had in the last five days, crazy.
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
66-50-6 (57.4%)
My staking: +15.59 Units (156.5 units wagered; 9.96% ROI; 7.80% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +12.83 Units (116 units/11.1% ROI/6.42% ROC)
1.5 Units on Arkansas/Iowa St UNDER (160) @ $1.935 - LOSS
1.5 Units on WVU/LSU UNDER (147) @ $1.952 - PUSH
Another bloody Push...I cannot believe I have had 7 (yes, SEVEN) pushes in barely 120 plays...nearly 6%?? Wow. I made a little on the 2H under (0.5 units), so the game wasn't a total loss, but frustrating as now I have another losing night...patience...
0-1 and -1.5 units.
Oz
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YTD (2014)
--------------
66-51-6 (57.4%)
My staking: +14.09 Units (158 units wagered; 8.92% ROI; 7.05% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +11.83 Units (117 units/10.1% ROI/5.92% ROC)
1.5 Units on WVU/LSU UNDER (147) @ $1.952 - PUSH
Another bloody Push...I cannot believe I have had 7 (yes, SEVEN) pushes in barely 120 plays...nearly 6%?? Wow. I made a little on the 2H under (0.5 units), so the game wasn't a total loss, but frustrating as now I have another losing night...patience...
0-1 and -1.5 units.
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
66-51-6 (57.4%)
My staking: +14.09 Units (158 units wagered; 8.92% ROI; 7.05% ROC)
1 unit (@ $1.95): +11.83 Units (117 units/10.1% ROI/5.92% ROC)
