Oz's NCAAB thread...

[OzCap]

Early play:
1.5 Units on Purdue/Kansas UNDER (140) @ $1.952

This is the rest of my totals card...

2.25 Units on VA Commonwealth/Villanova UNDER (152) @ $1.952
1.25 Units on Santa Clara/Michigan State UNDER (138) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on BYU/San Diego St UNDER (136) @ $1.952
2 Units on Alabama/Iowa St UNDER (147) @ $1.952
1.25 Units on E Washington/Indiana UNDER (147.5) @ $1.952
0.75 Units on NJIT/Marquette UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952

I might possibly add to the VA Commonwealth/Nova line later, watching the line move on this one.

Good luck to all!
Oz

--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
24-15 (61.5%)
+5.14 Units (46.0 units wagered; 11.2% ROI; 2.57% ROC)

 

[OzCap]

Adding two plays:

0.75 Units on Gardner-Webb/ODU UNDER (134) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Murray State/Xavier (146) @ $1.93

Just watched Purdue/Kansas State decide to put homing beacons in the net and ball at halftime...ridiculous....but it happens.

Good luck
Oz

 

[Eccocide]

Adding two plays:

0.75 Units on Gardner-Webb/ODU UNDER (134) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Murray State/Xavier (146) @ $1.93

Just watched Purdue/Kansas State decide to put homing beacons in the net and ball at halftime...ridiculous....but it happens.

Good luck
Oz

I assume thats xavier under ?

 

[varkeyboy]

Is it an UNDER system on every game you play?

 

[OzCap]

@Varkey: It is not an under system. I have a model built that simply showing best value in unders right now (as it should be, unders have been coming through at better than average clip this season). I noticed this morning that I have posted predominantly unders, it will change I am sure as the season moves forward and/or books shave the points (which I believe they are already doing a little).

Hope that helps.
Oz

 

[OzCap]

Xavier is an UNDER, sorry my typo.

 

[OzCap]

Results...

1.5 Units on Purdue/Kansas UNDER (140) @ $1.952 - LOSS
2.25 Units on VA Commonwealth/Villanova UNDER (152) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.25 Units on Santa Clara/Michigan State UNDER (138) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on BYU/San Diego St UNDER (136) @ $1.952 - LOSS (Was praying for the push as I watched that tip in in the gym lol)
2 Units on Alabama/Iowa St UNDER (147) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.25 Units on E Washington/Indiana UNDER (147.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.75 Units on NJIT/Marquette UNDER (143.5) @ $1.952 - WIN
0.75 Units on Gardner-Webb/ODU UNDER (134) @ $1.952 - WIN
1.5 Units on Murray State/Xavier (146) @ $1.93 - LOSS

4-5 and stakes once again got me, -3 units, a push on the BYU game would have helped tremendously! The overs were truly overs and i don't have any gripes about bad beats etc... As a side note, if you had simply level staked my plays (assuming nickel lines) you would be up 6.66 units (6 units on dime lines). You can make your own calls - I believe in my staking and will hold to it, but straight unit betting on my plays will work too.

Hope you all had a profitable day!
Oz

--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
28-20 (58.3%)
+2.14 Units (57.75 units wagered; 3.71% ROI; 1.07% ROC)

 

[OzCap]

Early play that is posting late - the line is literally only just now going up at Pinnacle/5Dimes/BetUS:

1.5 units on E Carolina/Fresno St UNDER (138) @ $1.971

Will add the rest shortly.

Best
Oz

 

[OzCap]

Started off good....

1.5 units on E Carolina/Fresno St UNDER (138) @ $1.971 - WIN

Will add the rest shortly, 1-0 & + 1.46 units.

Best
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
29-20 (59.2%)
+3.60 Units (59.25 units wagered; 6.08% ROI; 1.30% ROC)

 

[OzCap]

Rest of the day...

1 Unit on Charlotte (+6.5) @ $1.952

2.25 Units on Oregon/VA Commonwealth UNDER (152) @ $1.921
2 Units on KState/Arizona UNDER (135.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Miami (FL)/Charlotte UNDER (135) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on UT Arlington/Kentucky UNDER (141) @ $1.99
1.5 Units on Maryland/Iowa St UNDER (148.5) @ $1.94
1 Unit on Pittsburgh/SDSU OVER (119.5) @ $1.94
1.5 Units on CS Fullerton/USC UNDER (139) @ $1.952

Someone asked about the large number of plays...there tends to be a lot at the beginning of the season and it tapers off some. All the Thanksgiving week tournaments gives a lot of plays. Typically only weekends give a large number (this pace would kill me all season lol)

Good luck!
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
29-20 (59.2%)
+3.60 Units (59.25 units wagered; 6.08% ROI; 1.30% ROC)

 

[OzCap]

Results:
Early Play:
1.5 units on E Carolina/Fresno St UNDER (138) @ $1.971 - WIN

Rest of day:
1 Unit on Charlotte (+6.5) @ $1.952 - WIN

2.25 Units on Oregon/VA Commonwealth UNDER (152) @ $1.921 - WIN
2 Units on KState/Arizona UNDER (135.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.5 Units on Miami (FL)/Charlotte UNDER (135) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1.5 Units on UT Arlington/Kentucky UNDER (141) @ $1.99 - WIN
1.5 Units on Maryland/Iowa St UNDER (148.5) @ $1.94 - WIN
1 Unit on Pittsburgh/SDSU OVER (119.5) @ $1.94 - WIN
1.5 Units on CS Fullerton/USC UNDER (139) @ $1.952 - WIN

An additional: 6-2 and +4.79 units.

Overall on the day: 7-2 and +6.24 units - I will take that any day!

Good luck!
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
35-22 (61.4%)
+8.38 Units (71.5 units wagered; 11.7% ROI; 4.19% ROC)

 

[Eccocide]

Great job Oz. Thx again!

 

[OzCap]

Earlier play:

1 Unit on UCLA/Oklahoma UNDER (151) @ $1.952

Best
Oz

 

[OzCap]

Slim pickings today...

1 Unit on BYU/Purdue UNDER (159.5) @ $1.952
1 Unit on Gonzaga/Georgia UNDER (146.5) @ $1.952
0.5 Unit on UAB (+23.5) @ $.1952
0.5 Unit on BYU (-1.5) @ $1.952

That's all I see...

Good luck!
Oz

 

[OzCap]

Should have laid off the later plays, they were on the low end of the win% (hence the low units):

1 Unit on UCLA/Oklahoma UNDER (151) @ $1.952 - WIN
1 Unit on BYU/Purdue UNDER (159.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
1 Unit on Gonzaga/Georgia UNDER (146.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS
0.5 Unit on UAB (+23.5) @ $.1952 - LOSS
0.5 Unit on BYU (-1.5) @ $1.952 - LOSS

Honestly thought BYU would run away against Purdue, in the end, the last minute sank me, BYU could have won with the last attempt in regular time too...twice they scuppered me this week.

Overall a poor day, sorry gents - 1-4 and -2.05 units - staking worked in our favour this time.

Good luck!
Oz
--------------
YTD (2014)
--------------
36-26 (58.1%)
+6.33 Units (75.5 units wagered; 8.38% ROI; 3.16% ROC)

 

[OzCap]

Early play that I like for Thursday:

1.25 Units on SANTA CLARA (+5.5) @ $1.952

Will add more plays in the morning.

Best
Oz

 

[OzCap]

Adding a couple more early plays:

1.25 Units on Robert Morris (+3.5) @ $1.952
1.25 Units on Oklahoma (-4) @ $1.98

More to come

Best
Oz

 

[OzCap]

And some totals plays for the day:

1.75 Units on Michigan St/Rider UNDER (134) @ $1.952
2 Units on UNC/UCLA UNDER (151.5) @ $1.952
1.5 Units on Long Beach/ W Michigan UNDER (143) @ $1.971

Best of luck.

Watching the Michigan St line and may add to it later depending on how it moves.

Best
Oz

 

[OzCap]

Adding 1.5 units on Illinois/Indiana St UNDER (138) @ $1.952...

Mad about the early post of Santa Clara, would have been a push had I waited to post until game time....grrr.

 

[OzCap]

Adding 0.5 units to the Long Beach UNDER 142.5 @ $1.952