This is the way I see it..
Washington been involved in alot of high scoring affairs lately..Specifically when playing against sub .500 teams, and bad defensive teams, such as the Griz..The Over is 12-6, 2h of season when Washington plays sub .500 teams, and 22-12 on the year, when Washington matches up with poor defensive teams that are giving up an average of 100 + per contest, such as the Griz..In the Wizards last 7 road games, 6 have gone over this total..Memphis playing up tempo 1st game back home after road trip, the Over is 5-1 in this situation for memphis..With the Wizards finally getting Arenas back, this team has a formidable arsenal on offense, between Arenas, Butler, and Jamison..would not be surprised to see the Wizards put up 105+ against a tired Memphis team, coming back from 4 game West Coast Trip..Both teams play sloppy, and turn the ball over, and fast break oppurtinities are common in both team's games, which should help the Over assuming they are knocking down a decent percentage..As far as Memphis putting up points, they are not exactly the best of offenses, but matching up against a bad road defense in Washington , which has surrendered 100 + in 8 straight road games, should provide Mayo and company with plenty of scoring oppurtinities..We'll see what happens..
Wizards down 3 pts with the ball, and 2 seconds left in the game, with a chance to score and bring in the cover, or at worst push if they miss the last second shot, since we had them at +3. Instead, they throw in a bad pass from the sideline, turn it over, Memphis recovers, Wizards immediately foul after the bad pass, and send Memphis to the line with 1 second left in the game, for 2 free throws. And the cover was lost. Ended up being the difference between a + night and a - night. A tough loss, but these things happen. Only thing to do is take the loss and move on. Mavericks live up to their inconsistent reputation, and nearly lose a home game, to the Heat, but manage to sneak in the W, but lose the cover. Always, tough to swallow a loss when backing the Mavs, because of how inconsistent they can be. In all likelihood I will stay away from their games for the rest of their season. On a side note, I will be interested to see what odds the oddsmakers give us, for Lakers to win 1st round against the Mavs in a clean sweep, assuming of course that the Mavs end up with the 8 seed, which at this point seems very likely. May be worth a small play if the number is good. Magic/Raptors, on the other hand, post lowest scoring quarter in the 4th, and much to everyone's surprise, the defensively challenged Raptors, hold Magic to under 100 pts on the night, and get the W on the Magic's homecourt, and the Over is lost as a result. Finally the Wizards/Memphis game, plays to form, and every quarter results in 52+pts scored and the Over cashes easily to bring in the lone Win on the night. All in all a tough night. Nothing to do but shake it off and move on, and hope to bounce back next time out 
In a bit of a rush, so going to keep it short and sweet..GL as always..
Action play:
Charlotte Bobcats -4.5 (4)
Charlotte comes into tonight’s game having covered 4 straight. Bobcats playing good basketball of late. Miami on the other hand, struggling losing 4 of their last 5 overall, and 7 of their last 8 games on the road. Charlotte much more desperate for the win, as they continue their fight to make playoffs. Bobcats 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Miami. Good spot here, for the Bobcats to pick up the Win, and improve their chances of grabbing the 8th seed in the East, against the road weary Heat, who have really been struggling lately.
Action play:
Orlando Magic -3.5 (1.5)
Cleveland playing b2b, and 3rd game in 4 nights. Both teams coming off loses so both will be hungry for the victory. Orlando 9-1 ATS in it’s last 10 games against Cleveland, and 4-1 ATS when playing against Cleveland at home. Orlando matches up well against Cleveland, as indicated by ATS records, Orlando with bigger perimeter players, and a better inside presence, with Howard. I expect a playoff atmosphere, and give the edge to the home team to cover the small number.
Action play:
Portland Trail Blazers -5 (1.5)
Fading the Thunder playing 1st game at home, after 3 game road trip. Portland playing great ball of late, on a 3 game winning streak, beating the competition by 20 + points during that winning streak. Portland 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Thunder on the other hand, 2-5 ATS in their last 7. Backing the hungrier team, still fighting for a division title, and fighting for playoff positioning in the crowded Western Conference. Helps that Portland has been on their A game lately.
Action play:
Charlotte Bobcats -4.5 (4)
Charlotte comes into tonight’s game having covered 4 straight. Bobcats playing good basketball of late. Miami on the other hand, struggling losing 4 of their last 5 overall, and 7 of their last 8 games on the road. Charlotte much more desperate for the win, as they continue their fight to make playoffs. Bobcats 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Miami. Good spot here, for the Bobcats to pick up the Win, and improve their chances of grabbing the 8th seed in the East, against the road weary Heat, who have really been struggling lately.
Action play:
Orlando Magic -3.5 (1.5)
Cleveland playing b2b, and 3rd game in 4 nights. Both teams coming off loses so both will be hungry for the victory. Orlando 9-1 ATS in it’s last 10 games against Cleveland, and 4-1 ATS when playing against Cleveland at home. Orlando matches up well against Cleveland, as indicated by ATS records, Orlando with bigger perimeter players, and a better inside presence, with Howard. I expect a playoff atmosphere, and give the edge to the home team to cover the small number.
Action play:
Portland Trail Blazers -5 (1.5)
Fading the Thunder playing 1st game at home, after 3 game road trip. Portland playing great ball of late, on a 3 game winning streak, beating the competition by 20 + points during that winning streak. Portland 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. Thunder on the other hand, 2-5 ATS in their last 7. Backing the hungrier team, still fighting for a division title, and fighting for playoff positioning in the crowded Western Conference. Helps that Portland has been on their A game lately.
<link rel="File-List" href="file:///C:/DOCUME%7E1/Nikolas/LOCALS%7E1/Temp/msoclip1/01/clip_filelist.xml"><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <w:WordDocument> <w:View>Normal</w:View> <w:Zoom>0</w:Zoom> <w
oNotOptimizeForBrowser/> </w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--><style> <!-- /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-parent:""; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman";} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.25in 1.0in 1.25in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style> Hey Hammer, all but done with the Investment plays, for the regular season. I have made enough money on those plays, and reached my goals for the season, so I don't care to make anything an Investment play for the time being...As for the Charlotte play, it was indeed an action play.<o
></o><!--[if !supportEmptyParas]--> <o
></o><!--[endif]--> Throughout, most of every NBA regular season, I bet action plays, and Investment plays for the same amount of money, in other words I flat bet them. For example, every action play for 1 unit, and every investment play for 10 units. (not necessarily that exact ratio, but you get the point) Towards the end of every season, as lines get tighter, I adjust the unit size depending on how much edge I have found in a certain play. It didn't work out well the other night, as Charlotte lost, while the other 2 plays won easily, but overall, it has been a profitable adjustment for me, in the later parts of the season. I've been able to hit at much higher percentages over the years, in the beginning/middle parts of the season, which is why I choose to flatbet during those parts of the year, and just play my record. The end of the season, turns into somewhat of a grind, and I designate different amounts to each play, depending on relative confidence. This way I can hit at a slower clip, but make just as much cash. Hope this helps to clarify.
GL tonight
<o></o>
