I expect the LA Atlanta game, to be hard fought, all throughout. Tough to pick a side here, ATL a good home team coming off b2b losses at home, so they should be fired up for this one. Lakers on the other hand, continue to win and are 6-0 ATS when playing role of 3-6pt road fav. With a gun to my head, I would take the home dog catching points, but tough to bet against the Lakers with this small of a number. Imo, it is best to pass on picking a side. I do have a lean to the Under in this one.
Toronto, too unpredictable of a team, to back, although they have been playing well lately. Backing the Bulls on the road is also a risky propisition. I would pass on picking a side in this game as well, although I do have a lean to the Over in this game.
GL with whatever you decide MLM, and I hope this helps..
A split is always better than a loss mlm
Ended up playing the ATL Under and TOR Over myself, for heavy action plays, and made a small play on the ATL ML..figured the odds I was receiving by betting ML, and the probability of ATL winning considering, were enough to warrant a small play on my part, even if it meant betting against the Lakers..and it ended up paying off :drink:
Action play:
Utah over 192.5 (1.5)
Total is off here, imo, due to Portland’s last game, which resulted in 152 total points scored. But lets be fair, they were playing Memphis. The Blazers held the lowly Grizzlies, to 66 points all game, but will find it much harder to repeat that defensive performance, against the efficient pick-and-roll offense that Utah runs. After allowing 85 pts or less, the Over is 10-1 in Portland’s next game. Also, the Over is 11-3, in the 2nd half of the season, when Portland has played against + .500 teams. In Utah’s road games, this season, when the total has been between 190-194 the Over is 4-1. 8 of Utah’s last 9 road games, have gone over this total. The one that did not, stayed Under by only 1/2 pt. 2 of the 3 games played this season between the 2 ball clubs, went over this total. The one that did not, was early on in the season, and saw some key players, specifically for Utah, sit out due to injury. Jazz only took 5 shots from the paint in that game. Utah, however, a completely different team now. They live in the paint, and take a majority of their shots on offense from short range (high percentage shots). Jazz struggle defensively on the road, give up an avergage of about 105 ppg, so Portland should have no trouble scoring. I expect both teams to come very close to 100, if not surpass the century mark in this one, so I'll ride with the Over.
Utah over 192.5 (1.5)
Total is off here, imo, due to Portland’s last game, which resulted in 152 total points scored. But lets be fair, they were playing Memphis. The Blazers held the lowly Grizzlies, to 66 points all game, but will find it much harder to repeat that defensive performance, against the efficient pick-and-roll offense that Utah runs. After allowing 85 pts or less, the Over is 10-1 in Portland’s next game. Also, the Over is 11-3, in the 2nd half of the season, when Portland has played against + .500 teams. In Utah’s road games, this season, when the total has been between 190-194 the Over is 4-1. 8 of Utah’s last 9 road games, have gone over this total. The one that did not, stayed Under by only 1/2 pt. 2 of the 3 games played this season between the 2 ball clubs, went over this total. The one that did not, was early on in the season, and saw some key players, specifically for Utah, sit out due to injury. Jazz only took 5 shots from the paint in that game. Utah, however, a completely different team now. They live in the paint, and take a majority of their shots on offense from short range (high percentage shots). Jazz struggle defensively on the road, give up an avergage of about 105 ppg, so Portland should have no trouble scoring. I expect both teams to come very close to 100, if not surpass the century mark in this one, so I'll ride with the Over.
GL with the play Hammer, alot of public love for Utah to cover the 6 in this one, but I personally don't see it happening..my lean is with Portland to cover..Jazz do not perform well in b2b, or on the road for that matter..this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights, all on the road, Blazers have taken advantage of teams in this situation..Either way, I will probably pass on picking a side in this one, so I'll be wishing you luck
Pushed on the early play with the Pacers...
Will add a (1) to the Utah play...It will be played for (2.5)...
In addition to the things I mentioned in my writeup, also worth noting that Utah leads the league in fouls per contest..They are no doubt, one of the more physical teams, and fouls = free points, which gives us even more edge in betting the Over.
So...
Action play:
Utah/Portland Over 192.5 (2.5)
Total is off here, imo, due to Portland’s last game, which resulted in 152 total points scored. But lets be fair, they were playing Memphis. The Blazers held the lowly Grizzlies, to 66 points all game, but will find it much harder to repeat that defensive performance, against the efficient pick-and-roll offense that Utah runs. After allowing 85 pts or less, the Over is 10-1 in Portland’s next game. Also, the Over is 11-3, in the 2nd half of the season, when Portland has played against + .500 teams. In Utah’s road games, this season, when the total has been between 190-194 the Over is 4-1. 8 of Utah’s last 9 road games, have gone over this total. The one that did not, stayed Under by only 1/2 pt. 2 of the 3 games played this season between the 2 ball clubs, went over this total. The one that did not, was early on in the season, and saw some key players, specifically for Utah, sit out due to injury. Jazz only took 5 shots from the paint in that game. Utah, however, a completely different team now. They live in the paint, and take a majority of their shots on offense from short range (high percentage shots). Jazz struggle defensively on the road, give up an avergage of about 105 ppg, so Portland should have no trouble scoring here. I expect both teams to come very close to 100, if not surpass the century mark in this one, so I'll ride with the Over.
Will add a (1) to the Utah play...It will be played for (2.5)...
In addition to the things I mentioned in my writeup, also worth noting that Utah leads the league in fouls per contest..They are no doubt, one of the more physical teams, and fouls = free points, which gives us even more edge in betting the Over.
So...
Action play:
Utah/Portland Over 192.5 (2.5)
Total is off here, imo, due to Portland’s last game, which resulted in 152 total points scored. But lets be fair, they were playing Memphis. The Blazers held the lowly Grizzlies, to 66 points all game, but will find it much harder to repeat that defensive performance, against the efficient pick-and-roll offense that Utah runs. After allowing 85 pts or less, the Over is 10-1 in Portland’s next game. Also, the Over is 11-3, in the 2nd half of the season, when Portland has played against + .500 teams. In Utah’s road games, this season, when the total has been between 190-194 the Over is 4-1. 8 of Utah’s last 9 road games, have gone over this total. The one that did not, stayed Under by only 1/2 pt. 2 of the 3 games played this season between the 2 ball clubs, went over this total. The one that did not, was early on in the season, and saw some key players, specifically for Utah, sit out due to injury. Jazz only took 5 shots from the paint in that game. Utah, however, a completely different team now. They live in the paint, and take a majority of their shots on offense from short range (high percentage shots). Jazz struggle defensively on the road, give up an avergage of about 105 ppg, so Portland should have no trouble scoring here. I expect both teams to come very close to 100, if not surpass the century mark in this one, so I'll ride with the Over.
I am glad, we all passed on grabbing what looked like a good middle opportunity in last night's division showdown between the Jazz & Blazers..although the cushion was large, the line showed no value, and did not reflect the pace of the game..1h, 2h, and game, all fly Over the totals..a good win, and a good pass on the middle
