Numberz 2008-09 NBA THREAD....

[NumberZ]

Adding...

Action play:

Cleveland Cavaliers -10.5 (1.5)

Don't usually bet numbers this high, but Portland in a very tough spot tonight, playing b2b for 2nd time in 5 days, so that makes it their 4th game in 5 days, all of which have been played on the road. Expecting fatigue to be a huge factor in this one. Also, I am hearing that Portland, may be missing one of it's main contributors, in Aldridge, who is 2nd on the team in points, behind Roy, and also 2nd on the team in rebounds behind center Joel Pryzbilla. Throw that in, with a dominant Cavs team, who boasts a league best 30-1 home record this season, and an ATS record of 22-9 (71% cover rate) in Quicken, and I see no reason why the Cavs don't win this game, by DD, and continue on with their quest for homecourt advantage, throughout the Playoffs.


Action play:

Atlanta Hawks -5 (1.5)

Going to go ahead, and back yet another team, who is hotter than fire when playing at home, this season. Hawks have won 6 straight games, all 6 at home, and with this being their 7th, and final game of the home-stand, I expect the motivation to end it on a good note, to be there. More importantly, though, Hawks have covered 6 straight games. Really like the way that Maurice Evans has stepped up for the Hawks, since Marvin Williams was sidelined, and Hawks, Joe Johnson, playing some of his best basketball during this homestretch. Never really sure what to expect from the Mavs, but they are a soft road team, 2-7 SU, and 3-6 ATS, in their last 9 road games. The 5 seems fair, and worth the risk, imo. Would have been a bigger play on my part, but Mavs have owned this series in the past, so I'll stick to (1.5).

GL

 

[NumberZ]

Adding my 3rd, and final play for tonight..

Action play:

Cleveland Cavaliers -10.5 (1.5)

Don't usually bet numbers this high, but Portland in a very tough spot tonight, playing b2b for 2nd time in 5 days, so that makes it their 4th game in 5 days, all of which have been played on the road. Expecting fatigue to be a huge factor in this one. Also, I am hearing that Portland, may be missing one of it's main contributors, in Aldridge, who is 2nd on the team in points, behind Roy, and also 2nd on the team in rebounds behind center Joel Pryzbilla. Throw that in, with a dominant Cavs team, who boasts a league best 30-1 home record this season, and an ATS record of 22-9 (71% cover rate) in Quicken, and I see no reason why the Cavs don't win this game, by DD, and continue on with their quest for homecourt advantage, throughout the Playoffs.


Action play:

Atlanta Hawks -5 (1.5)

Going to go ahead, and back yet another team, who is hotter than fire when playing at home, this season. Hawks have won 6 straight games, all 6 at home, and with this being their 7th, and final game of the home-stand, I expect the motivation to end it on a good note, to be there. More importantly, though, Hawks have covered 6 straight games. Really like the way that Maurice Evans has stepped up for the Hawks, since Marvin Williams was sidelined, and Hawks, Joe Johnson, playing some of his best basketball during this homestretch. Never really sure what to expect from the Mavs, but they are a soft road team, 2-7 SU, and 3-6 ATS, in their last 9 road games. The 5 seems fair, and worth the risk, imo. Would have been a bigger play on my part, but Mavs have owned this series in the past, so I'll stick to (1.5).


Action play:

Atlanta/Dallas Under 196 (1.5)

Atlanta's recent success at home, can be attributed to their stellar defensive play. During their 6 game winning streak at home, they have held Pistons to 83, Hornets to 79, Utah to 93, Pacers to 87, Portland to 80, and Sacramento to 97. The Under is 5-1 in Atlanta's last 6 games at home. Also Dallas, is an "Under" road team, 13-22 in favor of the Under, so far this year, when playing on the road. I expected this total to be lower, by 6-8 pts, so I'm sensing some value in the line, as well. 196 is too many points for a Hawks home game, give me the Under.

 

[spreadproof]

Good card, good luck.

 

[NumberZ]

2-1, + 1.35 tonight. Cavs had plenty of chances to cover but blew each and every one. Went against my rule of not betting dd spreads, so only fair I lost. Couldn't pass up the chance to fade Portland because of their scheduling situation. Still a fun game to have watched, though. Hawks/Mavs Under, and Hawks cashed easily, which makes it 3 winning nights in a row now, with the weekends games on the way. Hoping for the best, as this may be the last weekend where I bet the NBA's regular season. Hope everyone had a profitable night.

 

[mlmleads]

good work numberz..took the games in a teaser before I saw these and Cleveland made it a push.. oh well always next time.

 

[NumberZ]

good work numberz..took the games in a teaser before I saw these and Cleveland made it a push.. oh well always next time.

Glad you pushed, as most teasers got burned by the hook in this one. Push is always better then a loss...

 

[NumberZ]

Action plays:

New Orleans/Memphis Under 190 (2)

Utah Jazz -4 (2)

 

[NYG4lifeNYK]

Action plays:

New Orleans/Memphis Under 190 (2)

Utah Jazz -4 (2)

Would it be worth it to tease these with a 6 1/2 pt?

 

[NumberZ]

I don't really do teasers, but, if I did, I would look for underdogs to tease..more value, imo..GL

 

[HammerTime]

gl

friend

 

[NumberZ]

2-0, +4 units tonight. Both bets cash easily, and make it 4 winning nights in a row now, and 5 winning days, out of the last 6 that I have bet. Feels good to bounce back from that horrible slump, with a nice winning streak. :toast:

 

[NYG4lifeNYK]

Nice job Z... I never ended up taking that teaser but I've had a very profitable night so far to say the least.. wish I had though it would of been easy money +6.5 to each line. Oh well keep it up bro!! :toast:

 

[mlmleads]

nice work.. keep plugging.

 

[HacheMan]

Great work Zman!

 

[NumberZ]

Thanks fellas...just one play tonight..

Action play:

L.A. Lakers -3.5 (1.5)

 

[NumberZ]

Action play:

LA Lakers -3.5 (1.5)


Much is being made of the potential trap game at hand, but I'm not reading too much into it. Same situation, yesterday, with the Jazz. They opened up as 5 pt favorite, and dropped to -4 despite the majority of the public being on Utah. On the surface the game had "trap game" written all over it. Result: Utah covered easily, and dominated the game all throughout. The Lakers have been Underdogs in 7 games this season. The reason I mention this, you ask? Because, each and every time, there was the sentiment that backing the Lakers at + points, was "too easy" and looks too much like a trap to justify betting on them. The result? Lakers go 7-0 ATS as an Underdog, and 7-0 SU as an Underdog. Now the Lakers, are not exactly a great team ATS this season, we all know this, but that is largely due to the DD spreads we have seen in their games. In games, where the Lakers have been small road favs, 3.5-6? People felt the game was a trap, and again, that it was "too easy" of a number to cover for the Lakers, and this scared some off the game. Result? Lakers 5-0 SU and ATS in these games. Tonight we have a Bulls team, who has been playing lights out at home, knocking off some of the better teams in the league, Cleveland, Orlando, Denver, New Orleans, Houston, just to name a few. What the Bulls have done at home, has been nothing short of amazing, and this angle, imo, is what oddsmakers are using to justify the low line. However, concentrating on the Lakers success, and not the Bulls..may serve us best in this one. This is the same Laker team that went 7-0 on its last road trip, and went into Boston, and beat a healthy Celtics team, and went into Cleveland, and dealt the Cavs their only home loss on the year. The Lakers boast they best Away record of any team in the NBA this year. With this being the first of a 6 game road trip, the emphasis will be there to start it out on a good note, it also helps that the race for home court throughout, is tight, so Lakers still have much to play for. With a line like 3.5 all you need is for the Lakers to have some type of lead in the last few minutes, and free throws should take care of the rest. Will the Lakers join the list of good teams that the Bulls have beat at home this season? As a Bulls fan, I sure hope so, as a bettor? I just can't see it. I'll back the much better team, in this one. Lakers -3.5..

Heading out to the game in a bit, and needless to say I will be rooting for the Bulls, despite my money being with LA..

GL to all tonight..going to be around for a bit for anyone wanting to discuss basketball or spreads..

Numberz

 

[HacheMan]

Nice writeup buddy, Best of luck

 

[spreadproof]

I jammed the Lakers 2nd half, and your game bet is starting to look hot. Thanks for the pick!

 

[NumberZ]

Lakers dominate the 2H, and steal the win on the road. 1-0, +1.5 units tonight, bringing in the 5th straight winning day, and 6th out of the last 7 bet. Too bad the Bulls couldn't pull it off as this would have been a huge victory for them. Better team won, though, so you can't say much..They have an easy game coming up against Washington, and then come back home, to play Detroit and Miami..Should be interesting to see if they can manage to win all 3..they are getting better and better as the season goes on, which is really all you can ask for from your team

 

[HacheMan]

Nice call Z......:toast: