A recap of plays from the previous page...
Action play:
Charlotte Bobcats -2.5 (3.5)
Feel like this is a good spot to back the Bobcats. Bobcats, have been playing good ball of late, as they have quietly put together a 4-game winning streak, and have won 9 of their last 12 at home, where they have held their opponents, to 89.4 ppg. Bobcats are in a groove defensively, and when coming off a game where they held their opponent, to 85 pts or less, Charlotte is 7-1 ATS this year. Something that does not bode well for an Atlanta team, that can struggle scoring points, while playing on the road, against good defensive teams. Atlanta, in a bit of a slump now, has lost 5 of 7 overall, and 4 of their last 5 games away from home. Also, Bobcats playing in a triple revenge spot, having lost all 3 h2h matchups this season against the Hawks, so the extra motivation should be there for Charlotte to win. Before that, Hawks were 1-7 SU on the road against the Bobcats. Bobcats are dealing with a few injuries, (which their players have been successfully playing through), but, have the luxury of coming off of 2 days rest, which should help a few of their guys get their legs back for tonight's game. Also when playing off 2 days rest, Bobcats are 8-3 ATS this season. Against division opponents, Bobcats are 10-2 ATS this season. Against the Hawks, when playing at home, Bobcats, are 4-1 SU and ATS, over the last 3 seasons. Take that fwiw. At what is virtually a pick, I'll back the hotter team, playing at home, off 2 days rest, with revenge on their mind, over a struggling Hawks team, that has trouble winning on the road, and who will also be playing their 4th game in 6 nights.
Action play:
Celtics/Cavs Under 185.5 (1.5)
Classic defensive matchup in this one, with the #1 defense in the NBA, squaring off with the #2 defense. I expect a playoff intensity in tonight's game, which can only mean one thing, Under. Both previous h2h matchups, between the Cavs and Celtics, went Under this total, and I don't see anything changing tonight. Without Garnet, Celtics take a hit offensively, but with the stellar defensive play of Perkins, Boston still has the personnel to maintain it's defensive identity, and make it difficult for opponents to score. Cavs no slouches on defense, either, obviously, they have held their opponents to 85 ppg, in their L7. I expected this total, to be 5-6 pts lower, so I am showing some value, in the line at where it is. Also, we all remember the type of games, the Celtics and Cavs played in, in last years playoff series. Just a classic defensive matchup in this one, so I'll take my chances with the Under.
Action play:
Spurs/Wizards Under 187 (1.5)
Really a fade, against a terrible Washington offense who might be without starter, Caron Butler once again in tonight's game. When Butler or Jameson, struggle, or sit for that matter, Washington, becomes the worst offense in the league, imo, hands down. Against a good Spurs "D", it is hard for me to envision this Washington team putting up 80+ in this one, which would give the Spurs room to score 100+ in the game, and for the game to still go Under the total. Which is key for me since, I expect Parker and co. to have a field day in this one. Number too high, to back the Spurs, so the Under is the best play, imo.
Small play:
Milwaukee Bucks + 6.5 (1)
Small plays:
Denver Nuggets +9 (.5)
Minnesota TimberWolves +15.5 (.5)
