***NFL Computer Picks***

[Mistermj]

What do you do personally when EMO and puter picks are on opposite sides? Do you skip the play or do you always side with one or the other or just go with your gut? Thx.

The EMO"s have a large sweet spot...they seem to work well from Week #2 to about Week #14...after that you need to use some common sense if teams will be effected so much by motivation and emotional factors.


I won't usually go against an EMO until late in the year.

These last few weeks are tricky...many things that worked earlier will flip.

Thats my take anyway.

 

[CheddarFries]

Mj, Thanks for taking the time to write me back. I totally understand ur reasoning and glad to see an Emo pick on Miami... hence they are one of my bigger plays. BOL this weekend

Cheddar

:toast:

 

[Club]

Seems like someone knew something the computer didn't on that Clev/KC total. I looked one minute and saw 37 with 36.5 availabloe and then a few minutes later it was 39. I wish I could tell when those kind of moves mean something.

 

[Club]

Of course, the smae can be said for St. louis. That went from 12.5 to 14 and Stl has a good chance of winning outright.

 

[Mistermj]

The EMO's continue to rack up winners without any real sign of a late season fade.

I like all the EMO dogs this week...there is a ton of late season value here in my opinion.

Good luck if you use them.

NFL EMO's


Sunday, December 27

<table class="thepicks"> <tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Buffalo </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Buffalo +9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Seattle </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Seattle +14</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Green Bay </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Carolina +9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> N.Y. Giants </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Tampa Bay </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>New Orleans -14</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> New Orleans </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Baltimore </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Pittsburgh -3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Pittsburgh </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> N.Y. Jets </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>N.Y. Jets +5.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Indianapolis </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Dallas </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:20 PM ET</td> <td>Washington +7</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Washington </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Monday, December 28

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Minnesota </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>Chicago +7</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Chicago </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center"> 30-23-0 </td><td> 56.60% </td><td> +2350 </td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

NFL Pick 3
Sunday, December 27

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Buffalo </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Buffalo +9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Carolina +9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> N.Y. Giants </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Jacksonville </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>New England -9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> New England </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="center">21-21-3</td><td>50.00%</td><td>-1050</td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

This weeks NFL EMO's ...all dogs by design for the last week of the season.

I'll take a look at these for next year...if I add a filter it will be related to playing dogs during the last 3 weeks or so.

NFL EMO's


Sunday, January 3

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> New Orleans </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>New Orleans +7</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Chicago </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Detroit +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Detroit </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> N.Y. Giants </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>N.Y. Giants +9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Minnesota </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> San Francisco </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>St. Louis +9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> St. Louis </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Tampa Bay +1</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Tampa Bay </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Tennessee </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>Seattle +6</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Seattle </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center"> 33-27-1 </td><td> 55.00% </td><td> +1650 </td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

NFL Pick 3

Sunday, January 3

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Tampa Bay +1</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Tampa Bay </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Philadelphia </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>Philadelphia +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Dallas </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Green Bay </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>Under 43.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Arizona </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="center">23-22-3</td><td>51.11%</td><td>-600</td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

edit

 

[HacheMan]

Best of luck mj

 

[Bennyshoe]

The Pick 5 have not been doing well this year. Those two extra games have just struggled. I'm sure it's strange to you too. The Pick 3 has a chance to break even though.

Will you have computer picks for the playoffs?

 

[Mistermj]

NFL 2010-2011

I will be tracking my NFL Pick 3 and NFL EMO selections here when I have time.

Both systems have a solid 3 year record with me.

Good luck this year!

NFL Pick 3 (Only 1 this week)

NFL Computer Pick 3's


Sunday, September 12

1:00 PM ET N.Y. Giants -6.5 $500

Record 0-0-0

 

[bank--it]

Nice hit thanks!

 

[Mistermj]

NFL Week # 2

We have a couple of Pick 3's...it's possible I could add one more yet. But these are good to go.


These are full wagers...I recommend flat betting. I never assign extra value to any pick.

Please note the wager amounts are for record keeping purposes only...your wagers should be managed according to your own bank roll and risk tolerance.

I like Minnesota with 10 days of preparation...it could be a sloppy non-conference game but I think Minny will cover it...and Dallas is in a good spot vs. Chicago which I think is still a major under performer this year.

Detroit was just a gift for Chicago last week...and they still barely pulled it off at home.
High probability of Dallas putting down a beating in my opinion. I didn't see the -7 coming earlier in the week...so I should have waited. But I keep real documented records that you can actually look at...so -9 it is for the Cowboys.

No way Chicago is ready for a high pressure away Conference game yet...and Dallas is already in a must win.

For the life of me I do not understand all the Chicago love this week...8 and 9 was dangled to sucker in the masses in my opinion. I'll stick my neck out with my strong feeling that Dallas dominates this game enough to cover DD's.

Good luck!

MisterMJ's NFL Computer Pick 3's

NFL
Sunday, September 19

Miami - 1:00 PM ET Minnesota -5.5 $500
Minnesota
-
Chicago - 1:00 PM ET Dallas -9 $500
Dallas

2010 Record:
1-0-0 100.00% +$500

Documented Record

====================
MisterMJ's NFL EMO System

Ok...we have our first EMO pick this year. Only one qualifies this week.

Not much explanation will be provided for EMO's...all I can say is an EMO pick is based on emotional factors I have developed, in favor of a team to outperform that week...or they are playing a team with emotional factors that suggest it will under perform that week...or both. Either way...it tends to lead to ATS wins.

Good luck!

MisterMJ's NFL EMO's

NFL
Sunday, September 19

Seattle - 4:05 PM ET Denver -3.5 500
Denver

Record 0-0-0

 

[KooKooKachoo]

Thanks MJ, I'm on these as well, good luck!

 

[Mistermj]

A lot of picks this week...I never weed them out...if they qualify they qualify and I post them.

More picks later for the late games. Good luck!

These were documented earlier in the week at Wagerline...so if there is line slippage not much I can do about it now. I insist on fair lines at the time of documentation...or whats the point?

Sorry about the formatting...I put the picks in red.


NFL Week #3 EMO's


Sunday, September 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount Cleveland - 1:00 PM ET Baltimore -10.5 500 Baltimore - Tennessee - 1:00 PM ET Tennessee +3 500 N.Y. Giants - Atlanta - 1:00 PM ET Atlanta +4 500 New Orleans - Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET New England -14 500 New England - Dallas - 1:00 PM ET Dallas +3 500 Houston -
1-0-0 100.00% +500

==============
NFL Pick 3 System Week # 3

NFL Pick 3 (Only 2 this week ;-) )


Sunday, September 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

1:00 PM ET
Atlanta +4 500
Under 49 500
1-2-0 33.33% -600

 

[Mistermj]

Late Game EMO's


4:05 PM ET Jacksonville +3
4:15 PM ET Seattle +5.5

8:20 PM ET Miami -1

 

[Mistermj]

There has been some line slippage since these were locked in...earlier in the week. Some of the lines went my way...and some didn't.

Good luck!

NFL EMO's Week # 4
Sunday, October 3

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Seattle - 1:00 PM ET St. Louis +1 500
St. Louis -

5-4-0 55.56% +300
===============
NFL Pick 3's Week # 4



1:00 PM ET Pittsburgh -1 500

1:00 PM ET St. Louis +1.5 500

1:00 PM ET Cleveland +3 500


2-3-0 40.00% -650

 

[rywill2006]

BOL today MJ

 

[Mistermj]

Both systems on Oakland today...Good luck!

NFL EMO's Week # 5

Sunday, October 10

4:15 PM ET Oakland +6 $500

7-4-0 63.64% +$1300
===================
NFL Pick 3 Week # 5
Sunday, October 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount
Tennessee - 4:15 PM ET Tennessee +7 500
Dallas -

San Diego - 4:15 PM ET Oakland +6 500
Oakland

4-4-0 50.00% -200