***NFL Computer Picks***

[Mistermj]

This weeks EMO System Picks.

NFL EMO's


Sunday, November 22

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Washington </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Dallas -11</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Dallas </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Philadelphia </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:20 PM ET</td> <td>Chicago +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Chicago </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="center">20-14-0 </td><td> 58.82% </td><td> +2300 </td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

This weeks Pick 3

NFL Pick 3


Sunday, November 22

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Washington </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Over 41.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Dallas </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Buffalo </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Buffalo +9</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Jacksonville </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> N.Y. Jets </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>New England -10.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> New England </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>



<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center">12-16-2</td><td>42.86%</td><td>-2800</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[nickgrab]

Does the computer make adjustments for Jauron getting fired and Edwards being benched? Or is it just past stats from Edwards?

 

[Mistermj]

Does the computer make adjustments for Jauron getting fired and Edwards being benched? Or is it just past stats from Edwards?

No...it doesn't add the extra value from those actions.

 

[dice711]

Nice job on the pick 3 this week MJ. So much for Dallas' offense as of late on the EMO, although I do believe the Redskins have a tough D, they still should of scored more than ZERO points in the first 55 minutes.

It's nice to see the other system pick up some slack when the EMO takes a break for a week.

 

[Icemantbi]

This is gonna be a tough loss on the Bears... Damn.

 

[$am$ter]

yo cutler suks - it is like betting on jamarcus russel, that blocked fg too, hard loss

 

[Icemantbi]

yo cutler suks - it is like betting on jamarcus russel, that blocked fg too, hard loss

Had that FG gone in, Bears +3.5 would have cashed... I just knew the eagles were gonna score a TD and won by 4 after that blocked FG attempt. So many chances, Cutler is awful... Bears should have won straight up, and the Bears were the correct play, but the right play doesn't always win.

 

[Mistermj]

One EMO qualifies on Turkey day.

Good luck!

NFL EMO


Thursday, November 26

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> N.Y. Giants </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:20 PM ET</td> <td>Denver +6</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Denver </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="center">20-16-0 </td><td> 55.56% </td><td> +1200 </td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>
===================

This also qualifies as a Pick 3

Denver +6

<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center">14-17-2</td><td>45.16%</td><td>-2350</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Icemantbi]

Thanks MJ... Love that play also.

Have a great thanksgiving... I wish I was an american today, we miss out on the best holiday here

 

[nickgrab]

thanks for the pick! happy thanksgiving

 

[Mistermj]

Here are the rest of this weeks EMO picks.

These teams are full of emotion or playing teams without it...or both.

NFL EMO's


Sunday, November 29

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Tampa Bay </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>Tampa Bay +11.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Atlanta </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Carolina </td> <td> - </td> <td>1:00 PM ET</td> <td>N.Y. Jets -3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> N.Y. Jets </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Kansas City </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:05 PM ET</td> <td>Kansas City +13.5</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> San Diego </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center"> 21-16-0 </td><td> 56.76% </td><td> +$1700 </td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Mistermj]

NFL Pick 3

Sunday, November 29

<table class="thepicks"> <tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> Arizona </td> <td> - </td> <td>4:15 PM ET</td> <td>Arizona +3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Tennessee </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> Monday, November 30

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> New England </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:30 PM ET</td> <td>New Orleans -1</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> New Orleans </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="center">15-17-2</td><td>46.88%</td><td>-1850</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Birdieman2]

Nice week MJ!! Maybe the NBA matchups will line up with some plays this week. Good Luck to you!

 

[dice711]

EMO's are really steady. You got a nice little subsystem there. Keep up the good work.

 

[Mistermj]

EMO's are really steady. You got a nice little subsystem there. Keep up the good work.

Thanks...I love them because they have been consistent for longer than two years now...too bad it's not all documented... but I know it anyway.

Last year was spectacular.

After this season I may just go with them as my main system week 2 - week 12 or so.

Week 1 and the late season seem to require old fashioned handicapping with human intervention.

 

[Mistermj]

The Jets qualify as an EMO pick tonight.

NFL EMO picks attempt to handicap the emotional ups and downs of all NFL teams.

Buffalo is an emotional (EMO) fade after last weeks win...we are looking for a letdown or underperformance tonight that gives the Jets an edge against the spread.

Good luck if you decide to follow the system

NFL EMO's


Thursday, December 3

<table class="thepicks"><tbody><tr class="datahead"> <td width="32%">Game</td> <td width="15%">Score</td> <td width="15%">Status</td> <td width="29%">Pick</td> <td width="9%">Amount</td> </tr> <tr class="firstline"> <td> N.Y. Jets </td> <td> - </td> <td>8:20 PM ET</td> <td>N.Y. Jets -3</td> <td>500</td> </tr> <tr> <td> Buffalo </td> <td> - </td> <td> </td> <td> </td> <td> </td></tr></tbody></table>
<table class="data" id="ctrl_leaderboard_dgContestLeaders" style="border-collapse: collapse;" border="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr class="my-stats"><td class="left">
</td><td class="center"> 23-17-0 </td><td> 57.50% </td><td> +2150 </td><td>View</td><td>
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[MemphisMonroe]

Def on the jets tonight goodluck to us.:toast:

 

[cytdemasi08]

MJ, DO YOU USUALLY STOP THE EMO's AFTER WEEK 12 OR DO THEY STILL USUALLY HAVE VALUE AFTER WEEK 12. THANKS

 

[Mistermj]

MJ, DO YOU USUALLY STOP THE EMO's AFTER WEEK 12 OR DO THEY STILL USUALLY HAVE VALUE AFTER WEEK 12. THANKS

I am going through all my old notes trying to determine how long we can safely play them.

As of now this is what I have.

2009 23-17 57.5% ATS through week 12
2008 33-18 64.7 % ATS through week 12 with no other information available
2007 41-20 67.2 % ATS through week 14 with no other information available.

I'm worried about the garbage games at the end of the year...the last 3 weeks are a completely different season in my opinion. But it looks like we have some evidence to think they will be ok for another week yet.

I might be able to look into this more when I have time.