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[BuzzKill]

Newsletters
Gold Sheet College Football- /drive.google.com/file/d/1i_Y7SsyVu8tsxIMmHZLC-3F7pLT7NrGQ/view
Gold Sheet NFL - /drive.google.com/file/d/1MGflaPoPgX7M4ajf9koMsDvqd0y-uruw/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook - /drive.google.com/file/d/1hoQD8CXdZtEBRJXjcXeRAG2Dx1tgC96d/view?usp=sharing
oMsDvqd0y-uruw/view
Pointwise - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Ks8Q2-9m8ribPHT37smataE9zyVicIOX/view
Power Plays - /drive.google.com/file/d/17Z2RU99pbukOo8UwG0uZeIEUEYLjaBlZ/vie
Power Sweep - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Rb7CzWMUzMLdiTn32RwxJJli1oZJXr5e/view
Powers' Picks - /drive.google.com/file/d/1ZloXf4qy6PwhTC0XnxoXXnk4dIp-55vb/view
Sports Reporter - /drive.google.com/file/d/1pWmiuZQo0ghlKIC38EFerZD5fbVmnDF2/view?usp=sharing
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - /drive.google.com/file/d/1OI6RdtqHeEEzpTdWGEp6jaul5lN4SoNR/view[/QUOTE]

Podcast
Marc Lawrence's September 8 Podcast with Victor King - /soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2021-09-08-marc-lawrence-podcast

Tracking
This Season's Record Through September 6 - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=343&p=13579868&viewfull=1#post13579868

 

[Incubus]

Any chance we can get Victor King's "Totals Tip Sheet" posted in the newsletter's thread this season? If there's a buy group, let me know. TIA

 

[microphone]

Winning Points

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zMhH_fsOMhKFDNJVWuqGrcOQsNIk-8tn

 

[BuzzKill]

Red Sheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/1gBDjMIvUoXNIs2vSVgJWIOiSDATEceOc/view

 

[Knightrofins]

Is there any Wise Guys Contest this season ??

I dont see it being offered. Stinks

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters
Gold Sheet College Football- /drive.google.com/file/d/1i_Y7SsyVu8tsxIMmHZLC-3F7pLT7NrGQ/view
Gold Sheet NFL - /drive.google.com/file/d/1MGflaPoPgX7M4ajf9koMsDvqd0y-uruw/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook - /drive.google.com/file/d/1hoQD8CXdZtEBRJXjcXeRAG2Dx1tgC96d/view?usp=sharing
oMsDvqd0y-uruw/view
Pointwise - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Ks8Q2-9m8ribPHT37smataE9zyVicIOX/view
Power Plays - /drive.google.com/file/d/17Z2RU99pbukOo8UwG0uZeIEUEYLjaBlZ/vie
Power Sweep - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Rb7CzWMUzMLdiTn32RwxJJli1oZJXr5e/view
Powers' Picks - /drive.google.com/file/d/1ZloXf4qy6PwhTC0XnxoXXnk4dIp-55vb/view
Red Sheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/1gBDjMIvUoXNIs2vSVgJWIOiSDATEceOc/view
Sports Reporter - /drive.google.com/file/d/1pWmiuZQo0ghlKIC38EFerZD5fbVmnDF2/view?usp=sharing
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - /drive.google.com/file/d/1OI6RdtqHeEEzpTdWGEp6jaul5lN4SoNR/view
Winning Points - /drive.google.com/file/d/1zMh...QsNIk-8tn/edit

Podcast
Marc Lawrence's September 8 Podcast with Victor King - /soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2021-09-08-marc-lawrence-podcast

Tracking
This Season's Record Through September 6 - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=343&p=13579868&viewfull=1#post13579868

 

[Giant419]

[h=1]Stanford Steve and The Bear: College football picks and betting nuggets for Week 2[/h]"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica cover the college football season as only they can, offering their top picks, betting nuggets and totals worth wagering on.
Records:
The Bear (Last Week: 2-1, Season: 2-2)
Stanford Steve (Last Week: 3-2, Season: 3-2)
Note: All lines are from Caesars Sportsbook.

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[h=2]The Plays[/h]

Washington Huskies at Michigan Wolverines (-7, 48.5)
Fallica: This line move is a big overreaction in my mind. Yes, Washington suffered a brutal loss to Montana last week, but self-inflicted damage did the Huskies in (3 INT). Michigan put up good offensive numbers and ran the ball at will vs. a MAC defense, but Cade McNamara will likely have to do more through the air this week -- and do it without the services of his best WR, Ronnie Bell. This is a Michigan team which is 2-6 in its last eight games vs. Power 5 opposition, and while I am not as high as others on Washington this season, I think the move from 1 or 1.5 on the lookahead line to 7 is too much.
Pick: Washington +7

No. 10 Iowa Hawkeyes at No. 9 Iowa State Cyclones (-4, 46)
Fallica: I expect this to come down below four after Iowa's defensive performance in the opener vs. Indiana, where the Hawkeyes returned two Michael Penix passes for touchdowns. But offensively, they will need better QB play from Spencer Petras, who hit on 13-of-27 for just 145 yards. Iowa State predictably struggled through its opener with Northern Iowa, as there has been so much hype surrounding this game. But it got through it, unlike last year when the Cyclones lost to Louisiana in the opener. Expect Iowa State's defense -- which has allowed a total of 16 second-half points in the past six games -- to make life difficult for the Iowa offense and break the losing streak here.
Pick: Iowa State -4
Stanford Steve: When will it end? Iowa has won five in a row in this rivalry and has turned the ball over once in those wins. A lot of people will look at the scores of these two teams last week and ask why Iowa State is giving points after a close win over FCS school, Northern Iowa, and I understand how they can do so. But, it seems to happen all the time with the Cyclones in Week 1, no matter who the opponent is. In this matchup, both teams are similar: They don't play hurry-up, they play good defense and they are very well-coached. I just think this is the year the Clones get it done and stop the streak, with the stars they have returning in RB Breece Hall and TE Charlie Kolar, to name a few. I expect the Iowa State offensive line to be better than it was last week in the run game and keep QB Brock Purdy upright. I'm pumped for this game, and I'll take the Cyclones to win and cover.
Pick: Iowa State -4 (Iowa State 27, Iowa 19)

Toledo Rockets at No. 8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-17, 55.5)
Stanford Steve: I talked a lot about the Rockets in the preseason, as they were my pick to win the MAC. That's mainly because I feel great about the talent they return and their coaching staff. Everyone saw the Irish's new offense last week in the OT win in Tallahassee led by transfer QB Jack Coan, who threw for four TDs.
There was a lot of talk about Notre Dame's inability to run the ball, and I think that had to do with some injuries it suffered on the offensive line. So, the expectation here is Notre Dame still has plenty of talent to fill in those holes, and on the other side I think Toledo can cause the ND defense some problems. I do think the Rockets will keep it close, and we'll take the over.
Pick: Toledo +17; over 55.5 (Notre Dame 35, Toledo 23)

Pittsburgh Panthers (-3, 57) at Tennessee Volunteers
Stanford Steve: This will be a great, great uniform game, as long as Pitt wears the gold helmets, white jerseys and gold pants. The Vols got a win in the first start for Joe Milton in Knoxville, but I wanted to see more; there was not enough consistency in the passing game for me to like this matchup. Knowing how much Pat Narduzzi likes to make opponents one-dimensional, I think the Panthers' defense handles the Vols' offense and Pitt QB Kenny Pickett (272 yards and 2 TDs last week) has his way with Josh Heupel's team. I like the Panthers to win and cover on the road.
Pick: Pitt -3 (Pitt 27, Tennessee 17)

California Golden Bears at TCU Horned Frogs (-11, 48)
Fallica: The Bears jumped out to a 14-0 lead last week vs. Nevada and then stopped scoring as a result of red zone struggles. Cal did a nice job slowing down the Wolf Pack running game and will be tested here vs. a dual-threat QB in Max Duggan. But like so many games this week, I think there's been a bit of an overreaction in perception of teams from their Week 1 performance and, as a result, the spread. Chase Garbers should have a better game at QB, and Justin Wilcox is back in his beloved underdog role, where he's 19-8 ATS with 12 outright wins as a head coach.
Pick: Cal +11

Illinois Fighting Illini at Virginia Cavaliers (-10, 55)
Stanford Steve: Plenty was made about the Illini's win vs. Nebraska, and then last week, the Roadrunners from UT-San Antonio traveled up to Champaign and upset Bret Bielema's team, 37-30. So where do we stand when it comes to Illinois? I am not at all surprised by last week's result, because I think UTSA is a darn good football team and I picked it to win its conference before the 4eason started.
[h=1]Sports Betting[/h]CFB: Everything you need for CFB season
CFB: SP+ win total projections
NFL: Super Bowl odds and win totals
NBA: Nets open as 2021-22 favorites
MLB: Best bets for the second half
ESPN Chalk home
What's impressed me about the Illini is that they've had zero turnovers in their first two games. That shows me that Bielema has stressed how important those facets of the game are. They do get QB Brandon Peters back this week, and I am confident that the Illini will keep it close enough in Charlottesville against a team that did whatever it wanted last week in a blowout win over William & Mary.
Pick: Illinois +10 (Virginia 26, Illinois 20)

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[h=3]The Bear's money-line parlay[/h]$100 returns $124
Last Week: -100
Season: -100
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Texas A&M Aggies
Penn State Nittany Lions
Miami Hurricanes
SMU Mustangs
USC Trojans

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[h=3]The Bear's underdogs to play on the money line[/h]Last Week: 4-2, +8.65 units
Season: 4-2, +8.65 units
Akron Zips +220
California Golden Bears +340
Mississippi State Bulldogs +120
Washington Huskies +220

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[h=3]Bear Bytes[/h]No. 12 Oregon Ducks at No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes
This is just the third time Ohio State is less than a 20-point home favorite under Ryan Day. The Buckeyes won the the other two games 38-7 vs. Wisconsin and 42-0 vs. Cincinnati.
This is the first time Oregon has been a double-digit underdog since 2017, when the Ducks lost 38-3 to Washington as a 17-point 'dog. Under Mario Cristobal, Oregon has never been greater than a 6.5-point 'dog, which was when it beat Utah for the Pac-12 title. Oregon has won five of the 10 games it has been a 'dog under Cristobal.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Syracuse Orange
This is the first time the Scarlet Knights are a road favorite since 2015 at Army. It's the first time since 2009, when they were favored by three at Louisville, that they were a road favorite over a team that is a current Power 5 member.
Air Force Falcons at Navy Midshipmen
Underdogs are 12-2 ATS with eight outright wins in the last 14 CIC games.
Stanford Cardinal at No. 14 USC Trojans
Under Clay Helton, USC is 25-0 outright as a double-digit favorite. Seven of those wins have come by five points or fewer, and after last week's cover vs San Jose State, the Trojans are 11-13-1 ATS in those games.
Since 2019, Stanford is 6-13 ATS and has been an underdog in more than half of those games. This will be the 11th time in the last 20 games the Cardinal are a 'dog (3-7 ATS in last 10).
Buffalo Bulls at Nebraska Cornhuskers
Nebraska has lost five of the last seven games vs. FBS teams in which it has been a favorite. The Huskers are just 2-7 ATS in the last nine games as a double-digit favorite vs. FBS teams.
No. 10 Iowa Hawkeyes at No. 9 Iowa State Cyclones
Iowa State is just 5-10 ATS in its last 15 home games as a favorite. It has lost two of them outright -- last year vs. Louisiana and in 2019 vs. Oklahoma State.
This is the first time since 2000 that Iowa State is favored over Iowa. The Cyclones beat the Hawkeyes 24-14 at Kinnick Stadium that year.
In its last nine games as a road underdog, Iowa has pulled just one upset -- last year at Penn State when the Hawkeyes won 41-21 as a one-point 'dog. Iowa is 2-7 ATS in those nine games.
Washington Huskies at Michigan Wolverines
Michigan has lost its last four home games vs. Power 5 opponents, including last year as a 21.5-point favorite vs Michigan State.
California Golden Bears at TCU Horned Frogs
Justin Wilcox is 19-8 ATS with 12 outright wins as a 'dog. Seven of those outright wins have been as a 'dog of at least seven points. Since 2019, those numbers are even better -- 8-2 ATS, six outright wins.
Temple Owls at Akron Zips
The Owls are a seven-point road favorite at Akron. Temple has lost six straight road games, with the last four coming by 47, 25, 35 and 12 points.
No. 15 Texas Longhorns at Arkansas Razorbacks
Arkansas is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games as an underdog. The Razorbacks won three games outright as a 'dog last year.
Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats
The underdog has covered the last five in the series, winning four outright.
Vanderbilt Commodores at Colorado State Rams
How bad is Vandy? The Commodores are a 7-point 'dog to a team that just lost 42-23 on its home field to South Dakota State.

 

[Giant419]

[h=1]Week 2 college football best bets: Who has the edge in Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Iowa State Cyclones[/h]Intro by Doug Kezirian
Sports bettors routinely preach sample size and power ratings, and those principles are tested during the college football season's first two weeks. For a prime example, look no further than Saturday's lone matchup between top-10 teams and the site of College GameDay.
Iowa State (-4.5, 46) hosts Iowa in their annual Cy-Hawk rivalry, but the Cyclones were as high as 8-point favorites earlier this summer. However, each school's opener has swayed the perception. Iowa State barely survived FCS school Northern Iowa 16-10, while the Hawkeyes manhandled Indiana by four touchdowns.
"That's the 64,000-dollar question. With what you've spent days and maybe weeks over the summer compiling your power ratings, how much do you factor in the Week 1 results," professional bettor Paul Stone told ESPN, also sharing that he grabbed Iowa +7 over the summer. "Sometimes we learn a lot from Week 1, especially at the quarterback position. So sometimes you have to be fluid, but it also can be a blip on the radar."
Accurately wagering on which narrative comes to fruition is what handicapping is all about.

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Every Wednesday during the season, betting analysts Doug Kezirian (2-3), Bill Connelly (3-2), Tyler Fulghum (1-1), Joe Fortenbaugh (4-1) and David M. Hale (1-3) will provide their top plays across the college football landscape.
Here are their best bets for Week 2 of the college football season.
Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook as of Wednesday (unless otherwise indicated).

[h=2]Friday's game[/h]

[h=3]Kansas Jayhawks at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-25.5, 52), 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2[/h]Fulghum: I will preface this by saying I love being a betting bully against the Kansas football program because I went to Mizzou ... but that doesn't make it any less profitable. The Jayhawks squeaked by South Dakota 17-14 at home in Week 1 thanks to a late TD. Still, the Jayhawks were outgained in the contest and now travel to play Coastal Carolina -- the 17th-ranked team in the country -- on the road. The Chanticleers blew the doors off The Citadel in Week 1, beat Kansas in Lawrence last season as underdogs and need all the style points they can get as a G5 team striving to climb the top 25.
Pick: Coastal Carolina -25.5 (-110)

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[h=2]Saturday's games[/h]

[h=3]No. 12 Oregon Ducks at No. 3 Ohio State Buckeyes (-14.5, 63.5), noon ET[/h]Fortenbaugh: This total opened at 58.5 and was bet up to 63.5 for very good reason. Not only did Ohio State's offense look incredibly explosive during a 35-point second half at Minnesota last Thursday night, but it'll be facing an Oregon defense that is down linebacker Dru Mathis (leg) and possibly without all-world pass-rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux, who is day-to-day with an ankle injury suffered against Fresno State last Saturday. Even if Thibodeaux can play, he won't be 100 percent effective against a Buckeyes unit that averaged a wild 10.3 yards per play in Week 1 (second best in NCAA among schools that played FBS opponents). Look for Oregon to score its share of points as well with nine starters back from last year's offense and facing an Ohio State defense that was gashed for 408 total yards against Minnesota.
Pick: Over 63.5

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[h=3]Wyoming Cowboys (-6.5, 44.5) at Northern Illinois Huskies, 1:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+[/h]Connelly: Call this one a prime "don't overreact" game. NIU just upset Georgia Tech last week, and Wyoming needed a late score to avoid losing to Montana State, but there's a reason why my SP+ ratings are built about 92% around preseason projections after one game. We don't know much yet. And with that mixture, SP+ sees this as something in the neighborhood of Wyoming 28, NIU 18. The Cowboys are seasoned and solid and should play their way into this season pretty well. We'll say that starts this week.
Pick: Wyoming -6.5

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[h=3]Toledo Rockets at No. 8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-16.5, 55), 2:30 p.m. ET[/h]Hale: After Notre Dame blew an 18-point lead against FSU and went to overtime (eventually winning 41-38), head coach Brian Kelly said he wanted to execute all his players. Now, if the threat of "The Purge: South Bend" isn't enough to motivate the Irish to keep their foot on the gas vs. a MAC team, I'm not sure what would be.
As good a story as Florida State's near miracle over the Irish was, it was probably not overly indicative of Notre Dame's overall ability. After all, Jack Coan looked terrific at QB, Kyle Hamilton continues to be the best safety in the country, and a few miscues (Michael Mayer, catch the ball!) kept the game closer than it should've been.
Notre Dame's biggest issue against FSU, however, was its struggles on the O-line. The Irish didn't run the ball well, and Coan was sacked four times. Don't expect the same issues vs. a far less physical front at Toledo. Notre Dame wins this one with ease.
Pick: Notre Dame -16.5
Fortenbaugh: This is a tremendous spot to fade the Irish, who are operating on a short week of preparation time following Sunday night's emotional overtime win at Florida State. Take note that in beating the Seminoles, Notre Dame permitted a staggering 5.5 yards per rushing attempt en route to surrendering 264 yards on the ground. That plays right into the hands of Toledo, which brings back 21 starters from last year's 4-2 squad and loves to run the football, as evidenced by the 205 yards and four touchdowns the program rolled up against Norfolk State last week. Give me those points and don't be surprised if Toledo has a lead come halftime.
Pick: Toledo +16.5

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[h=3]UAB Blazers at No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs (-24.5, 46), 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2[/h]Kezirian: Georgia was as impressive defensively as any team, defeating Clemson with a defensive effort that did not allow a touchdown. The Bulldogs demonstrated speed, ferocity and ability, while even scoring a touchdown. But as we know, a team can never maintain the same intensity for every single game and this has all the makings of a flat performance. The Bulldogs offense will likely fare better against the Blazers than they did the Tigers but I think UAB brings more energy and hangs around for a half. Getting that extra hook on the first half line is critical because it's an extra possession.
Pick: UAB +14.5 first half
Connelly: There are few units in college football more reliable than UAB's defense. At Georgia -24.5 and 46 total points, that's equivalent to a UGA 35.3, UAB 10.8 score or so, and UAB has given up more than 35 points just four times in its last 36 games. Granted, UGA is absurdly talented and the Dawgs defense is one of the only units more reliable than UAB's, so Georgia should win comfortably. But this feels more like a dominant 28-7 win, or something to that effect. SP+ says 33-12, which is fine, too.
Pick: UAB +24.5

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[h=3]Air Force Falcons (-6, 40.5) at Navy Midshipmen, 3:30 p.m. ET[/h]Hale: We all know the history by now. Since 2005, games between two service academies have gone over the total just nine times. The under is now 38-9-1 in that span, including all three games in 2020. It's certainly no guarantee, but we'll ride the hot hand as long as we can.
Pick: Under 40.5

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[h=3]Temple Owls (-7, 52.5) at Akron Zips, 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+[/h]Kezirian: Each team got smoked in its season opener, but I still believe there is a considerable talent gap. Akron is once again among the nation's worst teams, and the Owls fell to a Rutgers team that is making serious strides under Greg Schiano. Twenty-one of the Zips' past 23 losses have come by double digits. This is not really a program that hangs around unless it is facing an awful opponent like Bowling Green or UMass. Temple is not good, but it is much more competent and respectable than Akron. I have to lay the points.
Pick: Temple -7
Connelly: Whew, Temple giving a touchdown to anyone feels dicey, but while the Owls creatively imploded against Rutgers -- they managed to lose by 47 while only allowing 4.6 yards per play -- Akron was straight terrible against Auburn. No creativity involved. The Temple defense is maybe the only decent unit in this game, but if the Owls implode slightly less (not a given), this one should be semi-comfortable.
Pick: Temple -7

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[h=3]Buffalo Bulls at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5, 54.5), 3:30 p.m. ET[/h]Kezirian: Handicapping overreactions is always a fun component to betting football in September. I have been quite unimpressed with Huskers QB Adrian Martinez and his inability to connect with open receivers. With that being said, this number is too low. Based on power ratings entering the season, the line should be around 20. I am not going to praise Buffalo's 62-point win over Wagner, and the same goes for Nebraska's beatdown of Fordham. Both faced FCS opponents. This weekend's matchup comes down to whether the Bulls are as short-handed as everyone believed this summer. I believe that is the case -- and with a limited QB and coaching staff still unfamiliar with its roster.
Pick: Nebraska -13.5

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[h=3]South Alabama Jaguars (-14.5, 50) at Bowling Green Falcons, 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+[/h]Kezirian: Like Akron, Bowling Green is one of the nation's worst teams and hails from the MAC. The Falcons should get some credit for covering at Tennessee in their opener, but I felt that was more about Vols QB Joe Milton's poor arm and UT's self-inflicted mistakes. This is a much more manageable spread than Tennessee's, and South Alabama will not miss a prime opportunity for a convincing win. The Jaguars (-2) held Southern Miss to just 258 yards in its convincing 31-7 win and cover and will carry that into the second game.
Pick: South Alabama -14.5
Spoe

[h=3]No. 10 Iowa Hawkeyes at No. 9 Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5, 46), 4:30 p.m. ET on ABC[/h]Connelly: I've made an effort not to take too much from Iowa State struggling against Northern Iowa -- Iowa State always plays it as vanilla as possible and rarely dominates in-state FCS opponents. We'll see the real Cyclones this week, and they should be pretty good. But this pick is based on Iowa value. During the Hawkeyes' seven-game winning streak, they've beaten the spread six times and beaten it by at least three touchdowns five times. I'm not sure the books have caught up to how good they are, and even without watching some of ISU-UNI last week, I'd have picked Iowa straight up this week. It's an amazing thing to say about a team with such mediocre quarterback play, but they're so good at the things they're good at.
Pick: Iowa +4.5

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[h=3]Appalachian State Mountaineers at No. 22 Miami Hurricanes (-9, 54.5), 7 p.m. ET on ESPNU[/h]Hale: Let's hop in the time machine and go back five years to a magical time called 2016. The world was a much different place. There were no conference alliances, no global pandemics. Bishop Sycamore was nothing but a P.O. Box at a rural Ohio UPS store. (OK, so that's what it still is, but bear with me here.) Back in 2016, Miami was in turmoil. The doubters were in every corner. The program was reeling. And back then, the Hurricanes were sent on a road trip to Appalachian State in Week 3, where Vegas made them a measly 4.5-point favorite. It was an affront to Miami's rich history which, at that point, included an underwhelming win over FAU the week before. App State fans were dreaming of another historic win over a college football blue blood -- but the betting public wasn't even thinking it'd be much of an upset.
What happened? Miami utterly dominated, thumping the Mountaineers 45-10.
The lesson: Miami might not be what it used to be, but don't go writing the Canes off quite so easily.
This time around, Miami is fresh off an ugly loss to Alabama, which turns out, puts them in pretty good company. Everyone gets embarrassed by the Crimson Tide. It was a terrible matchup for the Canes, but it was hardly indicative of how good this team might be. So why is this line so low?
Chalk it up to an overreaction to Week 1 and a general feeling that Miami will still be nursing the hangover in Week 2. We're not buying it. This matchup is far better for the Canes, who won't need to bring the blitz nearly so often to rattle App State QB Chase Brice (who threw for just 94 yards in a 48-0 loss to Miami last year as the QB at Duke), and D'Eriq King should find a few more running lanes to get the Canes' offense rolling.
Miami has something to prove in this one. The Hurricanes will win by double digits with ease.
Pick: Miami -8

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[h=3]NC State Wolfpack (-2.5, 55.5) at Mississippi State Bulldogs, 7 p.m. ET on ESPN2[/h]Fortenbaugh: NC State's 3-3-5 defense, which held USF to exactly zero points on just 271 total yards of offense while forcing three turnovers in Week 1, is tailor-made to limit Mike Leach's Air Raid passing attack, which puts the Wolfpack in an advantageous position entering Saturday's showdown in Starkville. As a bonus, NC State has two extra days to prepare for this matchup against a sloppy Bulldogs unit that committed 12 penalties and six turnovers in a razor-thin one-point win over Louisiana Tech last Saturday.
Pick: NC State -2.5

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[h=3]Missouri Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats (-5, 56.5), 7:30 p.m. ET[/h]Connelly: Mark Stoops never minds a rock fight -- Kentucky games have only topped 56.5 points 26% of the time over the last three seasons. The past three Tiger-Wildcats games, in fact, have averaged only 31.7 points, so generally speaking, a Missouri-Kentucky game is a prime "under" candidate. That's especially true coming off of a week in which unders were rampant.
So the question is, have circumstances changed? Are these Missouri and Kentucky teams different from years past? It's conceivable. Missouri's offense seemed further along than its all-or-nothing defense in last week's 34-24 win over CMU, and Liam Coen's first game as UK offensive coordinator produced 564 yards and 45 points, albeit against a likely dreadful ULM defense. There will almost certainly be more than 31.7 points scored in this one, but SP+ projects something more in the 51.9-point range, which is still a decent cushion.
Pick: Under 56.5

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[h=3]No. 21 Utah Utes (-7, 49) at BYU Cougars, 10:15 p.m. ET on ESPN[/h]Fortenbaugh: BYU is in big trouble here, as evidenced by the opening line move from Utah -4 to Utah -7. The Cougars could be without cornerback Keenan Ellis (concussion protocol, highly unlikely) and wide receiver Gunner Romney (leg, doubtful) against a loaded Utes squad that returns 19 starters from last year's team, possesses the best offensive and defensive lines in the Pac-12 and just rolled Weber State 40-17 despite a very slow start to that contest. BYU's defense, which allowed 426 total yards to a lousy Arizona team last Saturday, will have its hands full trying to slow down Baylor quarterback transfer Charlie Brewer.
Pick: Utah -7

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[h=3]Stanford Cardinal at No. 14 USC Trojans (-17, 52.5), 10:30 p.m. ET[/h]Kezirian: Historically, this game has all the makings of a close one, despite Stanford looking feeble offensively in its opening loss to Kansas State. Not only does Clay Helton tend to play down to his opponents in the favorite role, but these are two staffs quite familiar with each other. The Cardinal are changing quarterbacks and turning to Tanner McKee, who played much more effectively last weekend than Jack West. I think that helps the under because it will likely prevent USC from forcing three-and-outs and operating with short fields. David Shaw is on the hot seat and will approach this game conservatively, hoping to avoid the blowout. I think the Trojans cover, but I prefer to bet the under.
Pick: Under 52.5

---

[h=3]UNLV Rebels at No. 23 Arizona State Sun Devils (-33.5, 53.5), 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2[/h]Kezirian: Frankly, I do not understand why this total has been steamed so low from as high as 61. UNLV's defense will have no answer for Arizona State's offense, and Sun Devils QB Jayden Daniels should be able to score at will. Occasionally he can stall drives with risky deep balls, but ultimately I believe ASU can light it up against a defense that ranked fourth worst in yards per play allowed in 2020. The key to this handicap is UNLV's offense, which in my eyes is much more competent than oddsmakers believe. QB Doug Brumfield will get the start, and he is a far superior passer than Justin Rogers. Additionally, he has a flair for the big play. This is a low team total for UNLV, and I expect the Rebels to keep fighting and find points in garbage time. I anticipate a 44-17 final.
Pick: Over 53.5, over 30.5 first half, UNLV team total over 10.5

 

[jjmcg4737]

.

 

[jjmcg4737]

Any chance we can get Victor King's "Totals Tip Sheet" posted in the newsletter's thread this season? If there's a buy group, let me know. TIA

I just called up and was told they are not doing it this year. They didn't do it last year either and when I spoke to them last year, they said it would be back this season.......I guess not.

 

[LENBO]

I just called up and was told they are not doing it this year. They didn't do it last year either and when I spoke to them last year, they said it would be back this season.......I guess not.

They did it last year and it’s for sale on the playbook site this year .

<h9 style="margin: 0px 0px 4px; padding: 0px; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 22px; line-height: 1em; color: rgb(81, 81, 81);">2021 Playbook NFL Totals Tipsheet Newsletter</h9>

[FONT=&quot]The only Over/Under NFL Totals Newsletter in the nation. Best Bets 199-144-4 Last 6 Years. Winning Seasons 12 of Last 13 Years. Overall 381-279-8 ATS (58%). Available every Tuesday thru the end of the NFL regular season via Member Center Thursdays after 5 PM ET. NFL Team Total Of The Week 25-9 last two seasons! You also receive a digital 2021 Playbook Yearbook Magazine Added bonuses: FREE 7 DAY A WEEK COFFEE CLUB and 2021 NFL DRAFT COMPLETE RECAP with full season football newsletter subscription [/FONT] <tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"> </tbody>

<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
</tbody>

 

[nigel_d]

It was posted in here last year

 

[BuzzKill]

Kenny White Sports Insider - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Y-zf3LZlmsaMWJ0MxCHJ-T03MwM_dMaY/view

 

[Malooka]

American Turf Club 1372

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1hEhYksPW0eLmS5hLi6vJZdlIc7e1Zc2j/view?usp=sharing

Delayed due to Labor Day.

 

[BuzzKill]

Newsletters
American Turf Club - /drive.google.com/file/d/1hEhYksPW0eLmS5hLi6vJZdlIc7e1Zc2j/view
Gold Sheet College Football- /drive.google.com/file/d/1i_Y7SsyVu8tsxIMmHZLC-3F7pLT7NrGQ/view
Gold Sheet NFL - /drive.google.com/file/d/1MGflaPoPgX7M4ajf9koMsDvqd0y-uruw/view
Kenny White Sports Insider - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Y-zf3LZlmsaMWJ0MxCHJ-T03MwM_dMaY/view
Marc Lawrence's Playbook - /drive.google.com/file/d/1hoQD8CXdZtEBRJXjcXeRAG2Dx1tgC96d/view?usp=sharing
Pointwise - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Ks8Q2-9m8ribPHT37smataE9zyVicIOX/view
Power Plays - /drive.google.com/file/d/17Z2RU99pbukOo8UwG0uZeIEUEYLjaBlZ/vie
Power Sweep - /drive.google.com/file/d/1Rb7CzWMUzMLdiTn32RwxJJli1oZJXr5e/view
Powers' Picks - /drive.google.com/file/d/1ZloXf4qy6PwhTC0XnxoXXnk4dIp-55vb/view
Red Sheet - /drive.google.com/file/d/1gBDjMIvUoXNIs2vSVgJWIOiSDATEceOc/view
Sports Reporter - /drive.google.com/file/d/1pWmiuZQo0ghlKIC38EFerZD5fbVmnDF2/view?usp=sharing
VSiN Point Spread Weekly - /drive.google.com/file/d/1OI6RdtqHeEEzpTdWGEp6jaul5lN4SoNR/view
Winning Points - /drive.google.com/file/d/1zMhH_fsOMhKFDNJVWuqGrcOQsNIk-8tn/edit

Podcast
Marc Lawrence's September 8 Podcast with Victor King - /soundcloud.com/marclawrencepodcast/2021-09-08-marc-lawrence-podcast

Tracking
This Season's Record Through September 6 - /www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=971451&page=343&p=13579868&viewfull=1#post13579868

 

[Incubus]

They did it last year and it’s for sale on the playbook site this year .

<h9 style="margin: 0px 0px 4px; padding: 0px; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 22px; line-height: 1em; color: rgb(81, 81, 81);">2021 Playbook NFL Totals Tipsheet Newsletter</h9>

[FONT=&quot]The only Over/Under NFL Totals Newsletter in the nation. Best Bets 199-144-4 Last 6 Years. Winning Seasons 12 of Last 13 Years. Overall 381-279-8 ATS (58%). Available every Tuesday thru the end of the NFL regular season via Member Center Thursdays after 5 PM ET. NFL Team Total Of The Week 25-9 last two seasons! You also receive a digital 2021 Playbook Yearbook Magazine Added bonuses: FREE 7 DAY A WEEK COFFEE CLUB and 2021 NFL DRAFT COMPLETE RECAP with full season football newsletter subscription [/FONT] <tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"> </tbody>

<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">
</tbody>

Precisely. This is why we should start a buy group for this newsletter. It's $99 for the 2021 NFL season? If we can get 10 people to chip in $10 each, we'd have each issue posted here. Is any one here up for this? I am. Perhaps 10 of us can send $10 PayPalpayments to Buzz. This way, he can purchase the subscription & post the issues. This makes logical sense since he is the Big Cheese of this thread. Buzz, would you be willing to do this? If anyone reading this is will to chip in $10, post a reply comment. Victor King's "Totals Tip Sheet" is truly an informative newsletter IMO. It's one of my favorites.

 

[JPW]

Totals Tipsheet

http://drive.google.com/file/d/1Tq9HTnPO7ErfRRgMDguuEfYV84goWegU/view?usp=drivesdk

 

[nigel_d]

Totals Tipsheet

http://drive.google.com/file/d/1Tq9HTnPO7ErfRRgMDguuEfYV84goWegU/view?usp=drivesdk

Thank you, much appreciated

 

[Incubus]

Totals Tipsheet

http://drive.google.com/file/d/1Tq9HTnPO7ErfRRgMDguuEfYV84goWegU/view?usp=drivesdk

Thank you so much, kind person! If you're footing the bill for this newsletter, we can surely start a collection for you. The newsletter thread needs this particular publication posted weekly. I'm certain there are others sports gamblers than just me who appreciate Victor King's "Totals Tipsheet." Again, THANK YOU!

 

[RAVENS2014]

Inside the Pressbox College Week 2 http://philsteele.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/21-ITPB-Week-2_All_Games.pdf