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JAKEPEAVY21 · Aug 31, 2021

Buzzlestein, looking forward to another football season and thank you for your hard work!! :aktion033

BuzzKill · Aug 31, 2021

Thanks!

BuzzKill · Aug 31, 2021

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BuzzKill · Aug 31, 2021

Latest Newsletters /drive.google.com/file/d/1UDVQCk798Bv7oxWZ6OZngDJdhpabWHhE/view

RAVENS2014 · Aug 31, 2021

Goldsheet this week

09-03-21	Michigan State @ Northwestern	Northwestern
09-04-21	Marshall @ Navy	Under
09-04-21	Oregon State @ Purdue	Oregon State
09-04-21	Georgia @ Clemson	Clemson

RAVENS2014 · Sep 1, 2021

Northweastern write up
Mel Tucker got a late start in East Lansing to begin with, and Covid-19 presented additional obstacles to the Michigan State rebuilding job in the wake of the sudden disintegration of the Spartan program under Mark Dantonio. The previously respected Dantonio resigned amid numerous disciplinary and legal problems among the players following an 8-18 spread run in 2018-19. This season Tucker brought in Temple grad transfer QB Anthony Russo in obvious hopes that he would win the job, but the competition remains tight with RS frosh Payton Thorne. The MSU attack must limit its turnovers and the OL, which does return five starters, has to do better than leading a run attack that was held to 91 ypc and 2.7 ypc om 2020. On the Northwestern side, Pat Fitzgerald gives the Wildcats a major edge, although he has numerous holes to fill in replacing 7 starters on each side of the ball. Normally, NW cycles in recruiting because it’s hard to line up much depth given the competition and the academic requirements in Evanston. However, the new transfer rules have helped immensely, as Northwestern landed some potentially key impact players through that route. QB Ryan Hilinski moved in from South Carolina after throwing for 2357 yds. and 11 TDs for the Gamecocks in 2019, but it was former Clemson Tiger sr. Hunter Johnson who won the job. This is nothing new at NW, as last year’s starter (Peyton Ramsey) was also a transfer (from Indiana). The WR ranks will be helped by former Kansas WR Stephon Robinson, and RB Cam Porter’s season-ending injury will be softened by the presence of former Bowling Green standout Andrew Clair (1937 career YR, 5.4 ypc, 44 career catches, 17 total TDs). Northwestern covered all four home games last season, including 3-0 mark as chalk, reversing failures the preceding two seasons (0-6-1) laying the lumber at Ryan Field, and only dropped one spread verdict overall (though that was an upset loss at East Lansing). At the price, and in revenge role, see a bit more to like with Wildcat bunch that figures to be tougher in the pits (three OL starters back and Fitzgerald expects the DL to be his best ever).
Play on Northwestern Key Release

Navy under write up
The Charles Huff era at Marshall begins on the road in Annapolis, which makes this one of Week One’s most interesting matchups. Huff, considered one of the top recruiters in college football, was hired to replace Doc Holliday after a two-year stint steering talent to Alabama and coaching running backs, something he’s done at Mississippi State, Penn State and Western Michigan. Holliday only suffered three losing seasons in 11 years and finished 85-54 with a 6-2 record in bowl games, so the decision was surprising and reportedly came from way above the athletic director’s head. Huff retained OC Tim Cramsey and hired Lance Guidry to run a talented defense that returns eight starters. Third-year freshman QB Grant Wells was awarded first-team C-USA honors but struggled down the stretch last season, so this will be a big opener for him. Navy star LB Diego Fagot leads nine returning starters back from a unit that was inconsistent during last year’s 3-7 run but surrendered an average of only 14.7 points over their last three games against Memphis, Tulsa and Army. All three of those teams finished with winning records. The Midshipmen posted their lowest rushing output since they started running the triple option in ’02, so significant improvement must be made on that side of the ball. Tai Lavatai, Xavier Arline and Maasai Maynor were all dueling to win the starting QB gig deep into camp, which suggests no one separated themselves. This is the first meeting between these programs, but it’s worth noting that Marshall has won its last eight season openers and covered in its last five road openers. The Herd are favored by three points on the road here and have an edge in having multiple weeks to prepare for Navy’s unique offense. A total of 45 is among Week 1’s lowest, but points should be hard to come by. This is a key release.
Play Marshall-Navy "Under" Key Release

Oregon State write up
Oregon State could be without jr. QB Tristan Gebbia for this one due to a hamstring injury that sidelined him in preseason camp, forcing HC Jonathan Smith to choose between Colorado transfer Sam Noyer (who was pushing Gebbia for the job before the injury) and 4th-year soph Chance Nolan, but offense is not the issue for the Beavers. It’s not whether Smith’s Boise State scheme is potent (30 ppg L2Ys), it’s whether OSU d.c. Tim Tibesar can make some tangible progress after his defense yielded 37.2 ppg and 475 ypg during this coaching staff’s first three years on the job. Certainly it figures Purdue’s passing attack, which generated 309 ypg in the air for HC Jeff Brohm’s strike force the past three seasons, will be dangerous, even after losing mercurial WR Rondale Moore to the NFL. Moore had injury problems and had been supplanted by David Bell as the lead WR in West Lafayette anyway, and there were three targets who gained more receiving yards than Moore last year. However, the Boilermaker defense also has its problems, yielding 30 ppg over the past three seasons, forcing Brohm to make a change and hire new d.c. Brad Lambert (former Charlotte HC). Purdue has been vulnerable at Ross-Ade Stadium, logging a 7-11 SU mark at home and going just 1-7 vs. the points as a home favorite over the past few seasons. Meanwhile, OSU has covered eight straight as a road dog and the vet Beaver defense (9 starters) has looked better in camp work.
Play on Oregon State Key Release

Clemson write up
Early-season playoff eliminator? Could be, not to mention a very crucial result for those who bet an “over” season win total on either of these sides, as a loss out of the box puts such tickets in immediate danger with almost no room for error the rest of the way. Whatever, it's neat to see these two renew what was once a very spirited regional border rivalry (check Looking for an Angle for a brief thumbnail) often with national title implications, though this will only be the fifth meeting since 1995 in what was a near-annual rivalry the preceding 33 years. The post-Trevor Lawrence era begins at Clemson, but Dabo Swinney not exactly breaking in a greenhorn at QB, as D.J. Uiagalelei got a test-run last autumn when Lawrence was out with Covid and along the way set a Notre Dame opponent passing record with 439 yards thru the air vs. the Fighting Irish. Getting big-play WR Justyn Ross (112 career catches) back in the fold after missing 2020 should be another plus, and it is expected that Brent Venables can work more of his schematic magic on the defensive side with a lot more experience in the fold (10 returning starters) than at this time a year ago. We’re less convinced about Georgia really being among the elite, or that QB J.T. Daniels (for whom USC did not put up much resistance when he decided to transfer) is really ready to lift the Bulldogs to national heights. It's also been a few years since Kirby Smart fielded a truly elite-level offense after cycling thru a carousel of coordinators (Todd Monken beginning his second year now), and Smart’s much-hyped defense was in fact exposed by the top offenses (Bama & Florida) it faced in 2020. Edge in big game results to Dabo Swinney, who in this sort of high-profile contest (playoffs, bowls, and ACC title games) has won and covered 15 of 19 since 2012, and we do wonder about the Bulldogs as a prime-time headliner after the heavy losses to the Tide and Gators a year ago, not to mention the escape in the Sugar Bowl after being outplayed much of the afternoon by Cincinnati. It also can't hurt the Tigers' cause that they are very familiar with this Charlotte venue after winning ACC title games on this field (and romps in most of those) each of the past six years.
Play Clemson Key Release

BuzzKill · Sep 1, 2021

BuzzKill · Sep 1, 2021

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BuzzKill · Sep 1, 2021

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BuzzKill · Sep 1, 2021

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BuzzKill · Sep 1, 2021

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ninjatactics · Sep 1, 2021

Thanks Buzz !

BuzzKill · Sep 1, 2021

sleepwalker · Sep 2, 2021

Gold Sheet (New Format) R.I.P.

danstiller · Sep 2, 2021

Beware the Gold Sheet new ownership started last year and take a look at their CFB record last year. Wish I faded all those picks.

BuzzKill · Sep 2, 2021

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BuzzKill · Sep 2, 2021

sleepwalker said:
Gold Sheet (New Format) R.I.P.

danstiller said:
Beware the Gold Sheet new ownership started last year and take a look at their CFB record last year. Wish I faded all those picks.

RIP Mort

Morton “Mort” Olshan 1926-2003

Beloved husband, father and grandfather passed away on September 29th. Mort was born on April 6, 1926 in Buffalo, New York. He served in the marines in Okinawa in WWII. He founded "The Goldsheet" in 1957, a nationally read sports publication that is considered #1 in the industry. His name is one of the most respected in the world of sports handicapping. He had a passion for sports, politics and charitable causes. Mort lived and died with dignity. He will be remembered for his sense of humor, altruism, love of family and tremendous kindness. Mort was an extraordinary and unique person whose enthusiasms touched the lives of many in positive ways.

Giant419 · Sep 2, 2021

[h=1]Stanford Steve and The Bear: College football picks and betting nuggets for Week 1[/h]"Stanford Steve" Coughlin and Chris "The Bear" Fallica cover the college football season as only they can, offering their top picks, betting nuggets and totals worth wagering on.
Note: All lines are from Caesars Sportsbook.

[h=2]The Plays[/h]

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No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers at No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes (-3, 46 O/U)
Fallica: This number has come down some, and I'm happy it has. I've mentioned for a while how much I like the Hawkeyes in this spot. Indiana pretty much had everything go right last year, and its record was better than what their underlying numbers would have indicated. Can they repeat that without safety Jamar Johnson and defensive coordinator Kane Wommack? Iowa was very close to an undefeated 2020, and Kirk Ferentz's program is built on just replacing upperclassmen with a new round of upperclassmen. In addition, these are the typically the kinds of games Iowa wins. Since 2015 when it reached the Big Ten title game, Iowa has been favored by less than six points 16 times. The Hawkeyes have won 15 of them. While that doesn't guarantee anything, I'll take my chances with the Hawkeyes at Kinnick.
Pick: Iowa -3

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Fresno State Bulldogs at No. 11 Oregon Ducks (-20.5, 64)
Stanford Steve: A lot to look at with this game. Namely, the Bulldogs getting a win last week and the Ducks maybe having their attention on a trip to Columbus next week to play Ohio State.
Gotta think Fresno QB Jake Haener will be plenty motivated to play a Pac-12 school as he transferred from Washington. With these schools getting only nine practices in full pads for camp, I think it was a huge advantage for the Bulldogs to get a game under their belt last week, whipping UConn. The game is also being played at 11 a.m. local time -- Autzen Stadium is a different place at that time as compared to a night game there.
Pick: Fresno State +20.5 (Oregon 31, Fresno State 23)

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No. 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-7.5, 55.5) at Florida State Seminoles
Fallica: I still think Mike Norvell is trying to get the FSU roster to his liking. Defensively the Noles have been a mess lately and now have to stop a dynamic back in Kyren Williams, a matchup challenge in Michael Mayer and a WR group that might just get more speed on the field for the Irish. Jack Coan was a big loss for Wisconsin last year and should be a very capable replacement for Ian Book. New DC Marcus Freeman might not have Marist Liufau but should still have a triumphant debut.
Pick: Notre Dame -7.5

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San Jose State Spartans at No. 15 USC Trojans (-14, 59.5)
Stanford Steve: This is about the situation. Love the idea of the Spartans having a game under their belt, pummeling Southern Utah 45-14. Loved seeing QB Nick Starkel get familiar with a new group of wide receivers, throwing for almost 400 yards and four TDs. Traveling to L.A. to play the Trojans in the Coliseum provides plenty of motivation for SJSU as they look at these opportunities to play in-state Pac-12 teams as their own Super Bowls. Love the experience the Spartans also bring on the defensive side of the ball.
Pick: San Jose State +14 (USC 27, SJSU 18)

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Stanford Cardinal at Kansas State Wildcats (-3, 53)
Stanford Steve: Stanford rebounded well last year when they had to play all road games to end the year, and in doing so they lost some vital parts of the offense to the NFL draft, including their best QB, WR and C. That QB Tanner McKee hasn't won the starting QB job over Jack West is a little worrisome, seeing how West has not been good when he has had to play. Cardinal WR Michael Wilson is also out for this game. I expect a well-balanced offensive game plan from the Wildcats as they welcome QB Skylar Thompson back, as he suffered a season-ending injury last year when the Wildcats were undefeated in Big 12 play.
Picks: Kansas State -3, Under 53 (Kansas State 24, Stanford 17)

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Baylor Bears (-13.5, 53) at Texas State Bobcats
Fallica: It's not often a school like Texas State gets one of the big in-state Power 5 teams on its home field, and that's the case here. I'm curious how the Baylor offense will look this year with a new QB and OC, and how that might help an offensive line that struggled mightily last year. Nobody is going to confuse good defense with Texas State, but Jake Spavital has a ton of transfers on his squad to go along with a lot of freshman and experienced sophomores. I'm not sure the Bobcats can score enough to win outright, but they sure won't stop trying, thus the backdoor should be wide open here. I'll be taking the points.
Pick: Texas State +13.5

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Nevada Wolf Pack at California Golden Bears (-3, 52.5)
Stanford Steve: Bears head coach Justin Wilcox is 10-1 in nonconference games in Berkeley. His QB, Chase Garbers, is 14-5 as a starter. People will make a big deal about what Cal did last year, but I look at it as a throwaway season with all they endured. Nevada comes in with a lot of hype surrounding QB Carson Strong, who has plenty of upside, but I like the Bears' defense to keep that offense in check.
Pick: Cal -3 (Cal 23, Nevada 17)

[h=3]The Bear's Money-line Parlay[/h]$100 returns $91.40
NC State Wolfpack -1000
Ohio State Buckeyes -600
Cincinnati Bearcats -2200
Alabama Crimson Tide -1300
USC Trojans -700
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -1100
Oregon Ducks -1600

[h=3]The Bear's Underdogs to play on ML[/h]Charlotte 49ers +200
Rice Owls +800
Maryland Terrapins +125
Oregon State Beavers +220
UTSA Roadrunners +190
Utah State Aggies +550

[h=3]Bear Bytes[/h]Bowling Green Falcons at Tennessee Volunteers
The Vols are a 34.5-point favorite in their season-opener. They were a 24.5-point favorite in their 2019 season-opener when they lost 38-30 to Georgia State.
No. 10 North Carolina Tar Heels at Virginia Tech Hokies
Virginia Tech has won its past three home games as an underdog vs. teams not named Clemson. Prior to that, it had lost five straight games at Lane Stadium as a home underdog and covered only one of them.
Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats
The underdog has won this matchup outright in four of the past five, and in five of the past seven years.
Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan Wolverines
Michigan failed to cover any of its final five games of 2020 -- three coming as an underdog -- and dating back to 2019 the Wolverines are 1-7 ATS in their past eight games. Michigan is 3-7 ATS in its past 10 games as greater than a 10-point favorite, including a loss to Michigan State as a 21.5-point favorite and a triple-OT win at Rutgers as a 12.5-point favorite in the past two instances.
Stanford Cardinal at Kansas State Wildcats
Under David Shaw, Stanford has been in 23 games in which the spread was within a FG either way. The Cardinal have won 15 of the 23 and 11 of the past 14 dating back to 2016.
No. 19 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 12 Wisconsin Badgers
Wisconsin has been a difficult team to beat when Paul Chryst and his staff have been given time to prepare. In season-openers and bowl games, the Badgers are 10-2 outright and 8-3-1 ATS in those 12 games. The only two outright losses came against Alabama in a season-opener and by a point in the 2020 Rose Bowl vs. Oregon.
Fresno State Bulldogs at No. 11 Oregon Ducks
Under Mario Cristobal, the Ducks have been a 20-point favorite nine times. While they have not been upset as this heavy of a favorite, they have covered only twice in this position.
No. 14 Miami Hurricanes at No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide
Under Nick Saban, the Tide are 14-0 outright and 11-2 ATS in season-openers (there was no line in one of the games). Against ranked opponents in season-openers, Saban's Crimson Tide are 6-0 ATS with an average margin of victory of 23.7 PPG. Every win came by double-digits.
No. 23 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns at No. 21 Texas Longhorns
Texas has lost just once in its past 17 games as at least a seven-point favorite -- a 33-31 loss to TCU last year. They have been far from a good bet, however, going just 7-9-1 ATS in those games. In its past 12 games as an underdog, Louisiana is 9-3 ATS with five outright wins.
San Jose State Spartans at No. 15 USC Trojans
Under Clay Helton, USC is 24-0 outright as a double-digit favorite. Seven of those wins have come by five points or fewer, and the Trojans are just 10-13-1 ATS in those games. Since winning the Rose Bowl following the 2016 season, USC is 0-4 ATS in nonconference games as a double-digit favorite.
No. 9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Florida State Seminoles
Florida State is 5-14-1 ATS as an underdog since the start of the 2017 season. FSU has pulled three outright upsets in that span, including last year vs. North Carolina as a 13.5-point home 'dog. The Irish have won 31 straight games as a favorite. Notre Dame hasn't lost a game as a favorite since 2017 at Stanford as a 3-point favorite. Notre Dame has won 34 straight games as a seven-point favorite, with the last loss coming to Navy in 2016.
No. 16 LSU Tigers at UCLA Bruins
UCLA is 7-3 ATS with five outright wins in its past 10 games as an underdog. Three of the five losses have come by 3, 3 and 5 points.
No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs at No. 3 Clemson Tigers
Since 2015, Clemson has been favored by less than seven points in a regular-season game six times. Outside of a blowout win at Louisville in 2017, the other five games were all one-possession games, including the OT loss at Notre Dame last year.

SEASON	OPPONENT	SPREAD	RESULT
2020	at Notre Dame	-5	Lost 47-40
2017	at Louisville	-3.5	Won 47-21
2017	Auburn	-6	Won 14-6
2016	at Florida State	-4	Won 37-34
2015	Notre Dame	-2	Won 24-22
2015	at Louisville	-6	Won 20-17

BYU Cougars at Arizona Wildcats
Dating to 2019, Arizona has lost 12 straight games by an average of 21.4 PPG -- just one by fewer than 10 points -- and covered only two of them.
No. 17 Indiana Hoosiers at No. 18 Iowa Hawkeyes
Since 2015, Iowa is 15-1 in games in which it was a favorite of fewer than six points. Its 13-game win streak in such games ended last year vs. Purdue. In 12 of those 15 wins, the Hawkeyes were favored by 3.5 or less.