NCAA Tournament Plays

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With 10:48 to go North Carolina was up by 25 points.

5 minutes later and a 20-4 run by Baylor only up 9. Ridiculous.
 
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Play I posted last night coming up soon:


Big 12 Favorites of -7 or more are on a 20-1 SU & 15-6 ATS run in the NCAA Tournament.

2nd round: Double digit favorites are 46-2 SU & 31-17 ATS since 2001

Play: Kansas -11.5
 
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Tennessee -7 -108
 
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Favorites of five or more points have gone 71-52-1 (57.7%) ATS and though it is a small sample, unpopular favorites, teams getting less than 50% of spread tickets, have covered 65.5% of the time (36-19-1 ATS).

New Mexico St has 62% of the tickets and 72% of the money.

Play: Arkansas -6.5 -108
 
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1-4 yesterday. Underdogs went 6-2. Favorites usually win more than underdogs in the round of 32 so somewhat surprising yesterday. Maybe favorites rule the day today? We will see.

Todays first plays:

Villanova -5 -108
Favorites are 24-10 ATS (70.5%) in the last 34 Big East games in NCAA tourney.

Houston -3.5 -108

Big 10 #4 seeds are 3-11-1 ATS (21%)in their last 15 games
 
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Live play:

Iowa St. +3.5

Too much money on Wisconsin. Over 85%
 
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2nd Half Play:

Duke -3 -110

Original line was -6.5. Duke up 4 at half and they make 2nd half line -3. So now game line is -7

Michigan St. was 7-10 for 3 in first half. 4-4 from a 37% 3 pt shooter. That drops in 2nd half.
 
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Texas Tech:

5-1 against the spread the last six tournament games when laying chalk and 18-5 vs. the number the last 22 against winning teams

Big 12 favorites of 7 points or more are on a 20-2 SU and 15-7 ATS (68.1%) run

Notre Dame has 60% of the tickets and 62% of the money.

Play: Texas Tech -8 -108
 
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Miami with 58% of the tickets and 79% of the money.

Too much money on them.

Play: Auburn -6 -108
 
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Texas with 84% of the money on them. Way too much

Play: Purdue -3 -108
 
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2nd Half Play:

Auburn -4 -110
 

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So you're pretty much betting against the public
 
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2nd Half:

Purdue -1/2
 
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Live Play:

Arizona -8.5

Kerr Kriisa is playing so Zona should cover
 
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6-4 +1.59 today

26-19 +5.33 NCAA Tourney

Mediocre day. Mediocre Tourney so far.
 
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NIT Play:

Xavier -2.5 -108
 

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