NBA Systems 2014/15

rolltide · Nov 19, 2014

Soriano12 said:
Does anyone one know the record SU and ATS of the HOU Rockets last year when their opponent plays them @HOU as the 2nd game of a back-to-back set? Usually the 1st game would have been either in Dallas or San Antonio, but Lakers flying in from ATL looks like a nice spot for HOU to cover -12 even though they have been struggling a bit in the last few games and Lakers showed some reaction winning at the Hawks after hitting rock bottom vs GSW.

last few years i have been playing HOU team total OVER when hosting unrested...usually nice spot for them. anyway, here is the breakdown you're looking for

team = Rockets and H and o:rest = 0 and season >= 2011 and ...

games	ATS W - L- P (marg, %win)	Avg Line	OU W - L- P (marg, %over)	Avg Total	SU W - L (marg, %win)	SDQL
2	1-1-0 (-2.50, 50.0%)	-11.5	0-2-0 (-23.75, 0.0%)	200.8	2-0 (9.00, 100.0%)	season = 2014
15	9-4-2 (2.90, 69.2%)	-9.0	7-6-2 (2.57, 53.8%)	211.2	14-1 (11.87, 93.3%)	season = 2013
13	8-5-0 (2.23, 61.5%)	-4.5	6-7-0 (3.08, 46.2%)	203.2	8-5 (6.69, 61.5%)	season = 2012
15	8-7-0 (0.87, 53.3%)	-3.5	5-9-1 (0.27, 35.7%)	195.7	10-5 (4.33, 66.7%)	season = 2011

Showing 1 to 4 of 4 entries

same years, opponent previously NOT in SA or DAL:
team = Rockets and H and o:rest = 0 and season >= 2011 and (opo:team != Spurs and opo:team != Mavericks)

SU:	23-8 (6.58, 74.2%)
ATS:	19-11-1 (1.16, 63.3%)	avg line: -5.4
O/U:	10-19-2 (-0.19, 34.5%)	avg total: 202.6

same years, opponent previous in SA:
team = Rockets and H and o:rest = 0 and season >= 2011 and opo:team = Spurs

SU:	5-2 (8.43, 71.4%)
ATS:	4-3-0 (3.79, 57.1%)	avg line: -4.6
O/U:	5-2-0 (2.07, 71.4%)	avg total: 201.8

same years, opponent previously in Dallas:
team = Rockets and H and o:rest = 0 and season >= 2011 and opo:team = Mavericks

SU:	6-1 (12.14, 85.7%)
ATS:	3-3-1 (2.57, 50.0%)	avg line: -9.6
O/U:	3-3-1 (3.79, 50.0%)	avg total: 207.5

rolltide · Nov 19, 2014

here is LAL since Jan 2012 unrested after an away win

team = Lakers and A and rest = 0 and date > 20111231 and p:W

SU:	4-17 (-8.76, 19.0%)
ATS:	5-16-0 (-6.21, 23.8%)	avg line: 2.5
O/U:	11-10-0 (0.31, 52.4%)	avg total: 199.0

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	34.57	42.6	19.71	74.6	6.43	31.8	4.90	10.95	43.24	20.10	18.86	15.67	24.3	22.6	25.2	21.6	95.3
Opp	39.90	45.7	17.19	73.1	7.05	36.2	5.00	12.38	46.24	21.71	23.38	12.10	26.5	25.7	24.1	26.6	104.0

Date	Link	Day	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Final	Rest	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Nov 19, 2014	recap	Wed	2014	Lakers	Rockets	away		0&1	13.0	210.0

DT32 · Nov 19, 2014

Wednesday

Overs with team off a blowout loss as a favorite, now Non Conference (58-30) – Clippers over 203.5, Pistons over 204.5 (FYI – 0-4 so far this season)

Oppose Home team after dog win where outrebounded (36-69) – Clippers -5

Home Dog off an away loss where they shot poorly (17-38-1) – Celtics -6 (FYI- Against Philly!)

Good three point shooting teams with rest – UNDER (70-144-4) – Twolves under 206

Soriano12 · Nov 19, 2014

Thanks rolltide.

tripleh · Nov 19, 2014

45 OVER with two teams off huge overs (Play on Min/NYK Over)

SU:	62-32 (3.78, 66.0%)
ATS:	49-43-2 (0.18, 53.3%)	avg line: -3.6
O/U:	58-34-2 (4.39, 63.0%)	avg total: 201.8

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	39.23	47.3	18.78	76.8	7.74	37.9	5.28	11.29	41.64	20.62	23.31	13.49	27.0	25.7	26.0	25.4	105.0
Opp	37.60	45.5	18.60	77.1	7.43	36.8	4.69	11.43	41.53	20.89	21.72	14.71	25.6	24.9	24.9	25.1	101.2

tripleh · Nov 19, 2014

Don't know if RT still wants to use this one - Denver team specific, lost last 3 and % down to 58%

82 Nuggets home with unrested opponent

SU:	27-9 (7.28, 75.0%)
ATS:	21-15-0 (0.89, 58.3%)	avg line: -6.4
O/U:	15-21-0 (1.24, 41.7%)	avg total: 207.6

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	40.53	47.6	19.50	72.2	7.50	36.0	6.64	12.33	46.22	21.94	26.11	15.28	26.3	28.4	27.4	25.4	108.1
Opp	37.22	43.6	18.94	74.9	7.39	34.2	6.03	11.31	41.36	21.69	22.64	15.31	24.9	25.1	26.4	24.0	100.8

Biz · Nov 19, 2014

Wednesday, Nov 19

Play List (Tide's List):

Charlotte
LA Clippers
LA Clippers/Orlando OVER
Boston
Philadelphia/Boston UNDER
Washington
Phoenix/Detroit OVER

NY/Minnesota Total Cancel Out

rolltide · Nov 19, 2014

triple h said:
Don't know if RT still wants to use this one - Denver team specific, lost last 3 and % down to 58%

82 Nuggets home with unrested opponent

SU: 27-9 (7.28, 75.0%)
ATS: 21-15-0 (0.89, 58.3%) avg line: -6.4
O/U: 15-21-0 (1.24, 41.7%) avg total: 207.6

<tbody>
</tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 40.53 47.6 19.50 72.2 7.50 36.0 6.64 12.33 46.22 21.94 26.11 15.28 26.3 28.4 27.4 25.4 108.1
Opp 37.22 43.6 18.94 74.9 7.39 34.2 6.03 11.31 41.36 21.69 22.64 15.31 24.9 25.1 26.4 24.0 100.8

<tbody>
</tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

nah, don't really want to get involved in any game right now involving OKC, side or total. unless there was a league-system that backed this up, which i don't believe there is

btw, this is best tightener for nuggets at home...rested vs unrested opponent. still it's just 3-6 ATS L9 so back burner material for now

team = Nuggets and o:rest = 0 and H and date > 20101225 and rest > 0

SU:	33-9 (10.31, 78.6%)
ATS:	28-13-1 (3.27, 68.3%)	avg line: -7.0
O/U:	19-23-0 (1.65, 45.2%)	avg total: 208.5

rolltide · Nov 19, 2014

Biz said:
Wednesday, Nov 19

Play List (Tide's List):

Charlotte
LA Clippers
LA Clippers/Orlando OVER
Boston
Philadelphia/Boston UNDER
Washington
Phoenix/Detroit OVER

NY/Minnesota Total Cancel Out

thx for summary. with current lines...

NBA WED:
Charlotte +2.5
LA Clippers -4.5
LA Clippers/Orlando OVER 203
Boston -6
Philadelphia/Boston UNDER 211.5
Washington +2.5
Phoenix/Detroit OVER 203.5

rolltide · Nov 19, 2014

why the grizz line is on the move.....

Grizzlies guard Tony Allen, center Kosta Koufos, guard Courtney Lee, forward Jon Leuer and guard Beno Udrih are all questionable for Wednesday's game against the Raptors due to a stomach virus, according to reporter Rob Fischer. Lee was taken to the hospital due to dehydration

Rob Fischer @thefishnation · 7m 7 minutes ago At this point (3hrs prior to tip), there's a slim chance that any of the five <s>@</s>memgrizz players who have stomach virus will play tonight.

indiana · Nov 19, 2014

R/T...........good luck tonight with your action...........indy

Biz · Nov 20, 2014

NBA WED:
Charlotte +2.5
LA Clippers -4.5
LA Clippers/Orlando OVER 203
Boston -6
Philadelphia/Boston UNDER 211.5
Washington +2.5
Phoenix/Detroit OVER 203.5

5-2

Current Record: 28-17 (62.2%)
Sides: 15-9 (62.5%)
Totals: 13-8 (61.9%)

Willydk · Nov 20, 2014

Great picks ytd, wash game was so close

Biz · Nov 20, 2014

Thursday, Nov 20

41: UNDER first half of season, high total with home teams that went under by 14+ in each of last two games - LAC/Miami UNDER 198.5
O/U: 33-83-5 (28.4%)

29: OPPOSE and OVER home team after losing big HT lead - Chicago +4 and OVER 196
ATS: 43-70-3 (38.1%)
O/U: 77-37-2 (67.5%)

Today's Plays:
LA Clippers/Miami UNDER 197.5
Chicago +2.5
Chicago/Sacramento OVER 194

Rose and Gasol out tonight.

varkeyboy · Nov 20, 2014

Let's do this, mang! Thanks for last night, RT!!! Go Bulls baby.

Biz · Nov 21, 2014

Thursday, Nov 20

Today's Plays:
LA Clippers/Miami UNDER 197.5
Chicago +2.5
Chicago/Sacramento OVER 194

Current Record: 28-20 (58.3%)
Sides: 15-10 (60%)
Totals: 13-10 (56.5%)

tripleh · Nov 21, 2014

46 playing away to a team you beat last by 30+ at home (Play on Brooklyn)

SU:	32-14 (6.33, 69.6%)
ATS:	29-15-2 (4.18, 65.9%)	avg line: -2.1
O/U:	27-19-0 (2.95, 58.7%)	avg total: 201.1

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	39.22	47.4	17.50	75.2	9.24	39.3	5.35	10.74	43.54	19.76	25.02	14.15	25.6	26.5	25.1	26.7	105.2
Opp	37.59	44.3	16.50	74.3	7.17	34.1	4.87	11.67	41.98	20.37	21.74	13.85	25.2	25.0	23.2	24.4	98.8

tripleh · Nov 21, 2014

49 away fav before 4/5 vs rested opponent (Play Phoenix Under and San Antonio Under)

SU:	117-58 (4.45, 66.9%)
ATS:	100-74-1 (-0.15, 57.5%)	avg line: -4.6
O/U:	66-104-5 (-2.77, 38.8%)	avg total: 199.1

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	37.61	46.5	18.06	75.3	7.11	36.9	5.06	10.68	42.38	20.02	21.99	13.60	26.1	24.8	24.8	23.7	100.4
Opp	36.19	44.2	17.40	75.4	6.15	34.4	4.37	11.41	41.43	20.46	20.06	14.01	23.9	24.5	23.6	22.8	95.9

tripleh · Nov 21, 2014

51 OPPOSE eastern dogs, high total, vs west (Play on Phoenix)

SU:	14-61 (-9.47, 18.7%)
ATS:	19-53-3 (-3.59, 26.4%)	avg line: 5.9
O/U:	32-42-1 (-3.06, 43.2%)	avg total: 213.3

	FG	Pct	FT	Pct	3s	Pct	BLKS	O-RBND	RBND	Fouls	AST	TOvers	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	38.31	44.5	17.16	74.0	6.61	33.2	4.69	11.71	41.89	21.52	21.81	15.36	25.9	25.6	24.4	24.2	100.4
Opp	40.48	48.0	19.83	77.2	9.07	39.1	5.59	11.11	44.48	20.00	24.48	15.08	29.0	28.9	26.5	25.3	109.9

Biz · Nov 21, 2014

41: UNDER first half of season, high total, home team went under by 14+ each of last two games: Phoenix/Philadelphia UNDER 209.5
O/U: 34-83-5 (29.1%)

30: OPPOSE team avenging blowout loss after a close home loss: Washington
ATS: 45-89-2 (33.6%)
Loss was last year, rosters are different. Don't know if that matters.

NBA Systems 2014/15

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