NBA Systems 2014/15

[rolltide]

H and p:A and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and rest > 0 and n:rest = 1 and on:rest=1 and season > 2010

59: UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest

Tide,
What does 1 game rest mean? What does the n: signify? Thanks....​

n=next so n:rest=1 means they have one day of rest before playing next game.


so if a team was playing today:
rest=1 means they last played on Saturday (one day rest for today's game)
n:rest=1 means they next play on wednesday (one day rest after tonight's game)
p:rest=1 means they played last Thursday (had one day rest before playing saturday's game)

p:rest=1 and rest=1 and n:rest=1 would be a team that is playing every other day

 

[Biz]

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - Phoenix
ATS: 124-67-4 (64.9%)

Subset: off blowout (>10) loss
ATS: 34-11-1 (75.6%)

Subset: Non Conference
ATS: 49-21-1 (70%)

Subset: Non Conf AND off Blowout Loss
ATS: 13-4 (76.5%)

 

[Biz]

n=next so n:rest=1 means they have one day of rest before playing next game.


so if a team was playing today:
rest=1 means they last played on Saturday (one day rest for today's game)
n:rest=1 means they next play on wednesday (one day rest after tonight's game)
p:rest=1 means they played last Thursday (had one day rest before playing saturday's game)

p:rest=1 and rest=1 and n:rest=1 would be a team that is playing every other day

Thanks Tide.

 

[rolltide]

as mentioned above the nuggets line is incorrect in dbase so isn't pulling this one up:
op:FW and op:ats margin >= 0 and D and pL and p:ats margin < -.5 and line >= 10.5 and game number < 49 and date > 20071120

- nuggets are a play tonight (74-21 ATS - play on big dog off non-cover dog loss vs fav off a cover)

Mon NBA:
Denver +12
Phoenix -1.5
Portland -3
DET/ORL under 192
SA/PHI under 196
NO/POR under 203
HOU/MEM under 187.5


sound right?

 

[tripleh]

as mentioned above the nuggets line is incorrect in dbase so isn't pulling this one up:
op:FW and op:ats margin >= 0 and D and pL and p:ats margin < -.5 and line >= 10.5 and game number < 49 and date > 20071120

- nuggets are a play tonight (74-21 ATS - play on big dog off non-cover dog loss vs fav off a cover)

Mon NBA:
Denver +12
Phoenix -1.5
Portland -3
DET/ORL under 192
SA/PHI under 196
NO/POR under 203
HOU/MEM under 187.5


sound right?

Dallas/Charlotte Under should be a play, but not sure about NO/Port

 

[rolltide]

Dallas/Charlotte Under should be a play, but not sure about NO/Port

ok, let me go through them again

 

[rolltide]

Dallas/Charlotte Under should be a play, but not sure about NO/Port

shit, of course charlotte hornets not new orleans hornets.....ha

Mon NBA:
Denver +12
Phoenix -1.5
Portland -3
DET/ORL under 192
SA/PHI under 196
CHA/DAL under 200
HOU/MEM under 187.5

 

[edgereport]

shit, of course charlotte hornets not new orleans hornets.....ha

Mon NBA:
Denver +12
Phoenix -1.5
Portland -3
DET/ORL under 192
SA/PHI under 196
CHA/DAL under 200
HOU/MEM under 187.5

Great night. I've been following for a week now and am intrigued by the formulas. Thanks for all the work guys.

 

[Biz]

Mon NBA:
Denver +12
Phoenix -1.5
Portland -3
DET/ORL under 192
SA/PHI under 196
CHA/DAL under 200
HOU/MEM under 187.5

5-2

Current Record: 21-14
Sides: 11-8
Totals: 10-6

 

[Biz]

Tuesday, Nov 18

32: OPPOSE and UNDER - dog after breaking big losing streak with a home win: Play On Milwaukee (-3.5) and UNDER 189.5
ATS: 17-34: 33.3%
O/U: 16-35: 31.4%

24: OVER - Western Conf game with Low Total: OKC/Utah OVER 189
O/U: 101-37-4: 73.2%

 

[rolltide]

24: OVER - Western Conf game with Low Total: OKC/Utah OVER 189
O/U: 101-37-4: 73.2%

i'd recommend putting OKC on the back burner for this category. Books still struggling to go low enough to make their totals competitive while the "big two" are out.

 

[Biz]

Tide,

Number already dropped 2 points, thanks for the heads up.

Milwaukee number has gone up 2 points since last night. 189.5 to 191.5

 

[rolltide]

on HHH stuff missed Memphis vs good opponent at home last night

and today is Kings hosting unrested - i'd play this one tonight but if it goes under put on back burner. is 3-5 o/u L8 and I pull the plug pretty quickly with team-specific ones since they change styles and players so frequently.

SU:27-38 (-1.08, 41.5%)
ATS:27-38-0 (-0.49, 41.5%) avg line: 0.6
O/U:46-18-1 (9.08, 71.9%) avg total: 204.3

unless something else comes out from HHH or dan then just 3 for Tuesday

Tuesday:
SAC/NO over 200.5
Milwaukee -3.5 (line now -2)
MIL/NYK under 189.5 (now 192)

 

[DT32]

Nothing popped up for me

 

[varkeyboy]

on HHH stuff missed Memphis vs good opponent at home last night

and today is Kings hosting unrested - i'd play this one tonight but if it goes under put on back burner. is 3-5 o/u L8 and I pull the plug pretty quickly with team-specific ones since they change styles and players so frequently.

SU:27-38 (-1.08, 41.5%)
ATS:27-38-0 (-0.49, 41.5%) avg line: 0.6
O/U:46-18-1 (9.08, 71.9%) avg total: 204.3

unless something else comes out from HHH or dan then just 3 for Tuesday

Tuesday:
SAC/NO over 200.5
Milwaukee -3.5 (line now -2)
MIL/NYK under 189.5 (now 192)

I REALLY appreciate you letting us know what the plays are in BOLD. It helps big time! Thanks RT.

 

[varkeyboy]

So you are officially playing all 3 of those, or you're not playing the SAC OVER?

 

[tripleh]

The only one I found was the Sac Kings team specific over that RT mentioned.

 

[Soriano12]

Does anyone one know the record SU and ATS of the HOU Rockets last year when their opponent plays them @HOU as the 2nd game of a back-to-back set? Usually the 1st game would have been either in Dallas or San Antonio, but Lakers flying in from ATL looks like a nice spot for HOU to cover -12 even though they have been struggling a bit in the last few games and Lakers showed some reaction winning at the Hawks after hitting rock bottom vs GSW.

 

[Biz]

Tuesday:
SAC/NO over 200.5
Milwaukee -3.5 (line now -2)
MIL/NYK under 189.5 (now 192)

2-1

Current Record: 23-15 (60.5%)
Sides: 12-8 (60%)
Totals: 11-7 (61.1%)

 

[Biz]

Wednesday, Nov 19

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover: Play On Charlotte, LA Clippers
ATS: 125-67-4 (65.1%)

Subset: Non Conference - LA Clippers
ATS: 50-21-1 (70.4%)

41: UNDER first half of season high total with home teams that went under by 14+ in each of last two games - Philadelphia/Boston UNDER
O/U: 32-82-5 (28.1%)

59: UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest - Philadelphia/Boston UNDER
O/U: 19-49 (27.9%)

39: Game 11+ OPPOSE lightly rested away fav vs decent teams - PLAY ON Washington
ATS: 38-74-2 (33.9%)

28: OVER home team, low total after a lot of FG attempts nd 12+ made 3's - OVER Oklahoma City/Denver
O/U: 62-19-2 (76.5%)

Tide has warned about playing OKC OVERS, tread lightly.

NY Knicks/Minnesota have 2 systems that cancel each out on the total. Systems 18 and 45 on Tide's list.

A couple other systems not on Tide's List:

Biz: FADE - Dog, Lost Previous, Biggest Lead >=15 Pts - PLAY ON Denver
ATS: 25-59-2 (29.8%)

Biz: Road Fav and OVER - Previous Loss and Out Rebounded by 10+: Charlotte and OVER
ATS: 62-40-1 (60.8%)
O/U: 66-37 (64.1%)


Play List (Tide's List):
Charlotte
LA Clippers
Philadelphia/Boston UNDER
Washington