NBA Systems 2014/15

[Biz]

49 away fav before 4/5 vs rested opponent (Play Phoenix Under and San Antonio Under)

SU: 117-58 (4.45, 66.9%) ATS: 100-74-1 (-0.15, 57.5%) avg line: -4.6 O/U: 66-104-5 (-2.77, 38.8%) avg total: 199.1 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.61 46.5 18.06 75.3 7.11 36.9 5.06 10.68 42.38 20.02 21.99 13.60 26.1 24.8 24.8 23.7 100.4 Opp 36.19 44.2 17.40 75.4 6.15 34.4 4.37 11.41 41.43 20.46 20.06 14.01 23.9 24.5 23.6 22.8 95.9 <tbody> </tbody>

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Since 2011, these unders are only 31-39 (44.3%). Just food for thought...

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight!!!!

 

[rolltide]

49 away fav before 4/5 vs rested opponent (Play Phoenix Under and San Antonio Under)

SU: 117-58 (4.45, 66.9%) ATS: 100-74-1 (-0.15, 57.5%) avg line: -4.6 O/U: 66-104-5 (-2.77, 38.8%) avg total: 199.1 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.61 46.5 18.06 75.3 7.11 36.9 5.06 10.68 42.38 20.02 21.99 13.60 26.1 24.8 24.8 23.7 100.4 Opp 36.19 44.2 17.40 75.4 6.15 34.4 4.37 11.41 41.43 20.46 20.06 14.01 23.9 24.5 23.6 22.8 95.9 <tbody> </tbody>

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swap that out for a line tightener. both SA under and Phx under still qualify. keep it, because the theory makes plenty of sense, but keep an eye on it for sure

p:rest > 0 and rest = 1 and n:rest = 0 and nn:rest > 0 and season > 2006 and AF and p:A and line <= -2 and p:line >= -8.5
SU: 100-46 (5.18, 68.5%) ATS: 85-61-0 (0.26, 58.2%) avg line: -4.9 O/U: 50-93-3 (-3.81, 35.0%) avg total: 198.7 <tbody> </tbody>

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[rolltide]

30: OPPOSE team avenging blowout loss after a close home loss: Washington
ATS: 45-89-2 (33.6%)
Loss was last year, rosters are different. Don't know if that matters.

​

26-58 avenging current season home loss
19-31-2 avenging last season home loss

since it's cavs (massive roster turnover), i would drop this one personally. normally not a big diff (31% vs 38% covers) but too much roster turnover to really make the difference it should

 

[rolltide]

46 playing away to a team you beat last by 30+ at home (​Play on Brooklyn)

SU: 32-14 (6.33, 69.6%) ATS: 29-15-2 (4.18, 65.9%) avg line: -2.1 O/U: 27-19-0 (2.95, 58.7%) avg total: 201.1 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.22 47.4 17.50 75.2 9.24 39.3 5.35 10.74 43.54 19.76 25.02 14.15 25.6 26.5 25.1 26.7 105.2 Opp 37.59 44.3 16.50 74.3 7.17 34.1 4.87 11.67 41.98 20.37 21.74 13.85 25.2 25.0 23.2 24.4 98.8 <tbody> </tbody>

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dump anything involving OKC right now (IMHO)

 

[rolltide]

FRI NBA:
PHX/PHI under 209.5
Phoenix -9.5
SA/MIN under 204

 

[DT32]

Saturday

Oppose Home team after a dog win when they were outrebounded (36-70) – Miami +1
Good three point shooting teams with rest UNDER (71-144) – Miami under 191
Saturday both unrested both off wins, b2b away, OVER (36-10) – Spurs over 193.5
Saturday nonconference unrested OVER (59-29) – Spurs over 193.5

 

[rolltide]

new one i have....play on strong single digit away favs off b2b2b big scoring games

SU: 116-24 (8.49, 82.9%) ATS: 102-33-5 (2.95, 75.6%) avg line: -5.5 O/U: 74-64-2 (-0.06, 53.6%) avg total: 205.9 <tbody> </tbody> FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 39.97 48.6 19.05 78.7 8.16 38.7 4.68 10.74 42.70 20.13 23.96 13.45 27.0 26.7 27.2 25.6 107.2 Opp 37.55 44.5 17.70 76.2 5.86 33.5 4.24 12.38 41.46 21.14 20.88 13.62 25.5 24.6 23.8 24.4 98.7 <tbody> </tbody> Date Link Day Season Team Opp Site Final Rest Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 22, 2014 recap Sat 2014 Mavericks Rockets away 0&2 -3.0 205.5 <caption> </caption><thead> </thead><tbody> </tbody> <tbody> </tbody>

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[rolltide]

unfortunately i checked out of two easy winners last night making a 3-2 night a 1-2 night...i'll not do that again

Sat NBA with current lines:
Dallas -3
Miami +1
Miami under 192.5
Spurs over 193.5

 

[Biz]

FRI NBA:
PHX/PHI under 209.5
Phoenix -9.5
SA/MIN under 204

Sat NBA with current lines:
Dallas -3
Miami +1
Miami under 192.5
Spurs over 193.5

Current Record: 31-24 (56.3%)
Sides: 16-11 (59.2%)
Totals: 14-13 (51.8%)

 

[Biz]

38: PLAY ON mediocre teams away on a winning streak in conference game - DENVER
ATS: 88-42-1 (67.7%)

51: OPPPOSE eastern dogs, high total, vs west - PORTLAND
ATS: 19-53-3 (26.4%)

60: PLAY ON midseason away dogs, bad team off non cover, vs winning team off cover with another home game coming - CHARLOTTE
ATS: 152-77-4 (66.4%)

 

[Biz]

Sunday, Nov 23

Denver -2
Portland -5
Charlotte (This line flip flopped from +2 to Pk, lets call it a push. Miami won 94-93)

Current Record: 33-24 (57.8%)
Sides: 19-11 (63.3%)
Totals: 14-13 (51.8%)

 

[Biz]

23: PLAY ON away fav off non-cover vs home off cover - LA Clippers -5
ATS: 126-67-4 (65.3%)
SUBSET: Non-Conference: 51-21-1 (70.8%)
SUBSET: Off Blowout Loss: 36-11-1 (76.6%)
SUBSET: Non-Conference AND Off Blowout Loss:15-4 (78.9%)

37: OPPOSE big streaking fav - Philadelphia +12.5
ATS: 12-37-1 (24.5%)

60: PLAY ON midseason away dogs, bad team off non cover vs winning team off cover with next game at home - NY Knicks +6.5
ATS: 153-77-4 (66.5%)

Monday, Nov 24:
LA Clippers -5
Philadelphia +12.5
NY Knicks +6.5

 

[DT32]

Oppose home team after a dog win where they were outrebounded (36-71) – Suns +5
Losing team after losses in 5 of 7, away dog OVER (31-14) – Knicks over 192.5

 

[Biz]

Monday, Nov 24:
LA Clippers -5
Philadelphia +12.5
NY Knicks +6.5
Suns +5
NY Knicks OVER 192.5

 

[diamonds_no_rough]

BOL today fellas.

 

[rolltide]

a couple quick notes:

76ers are 5-0 ATS in that same system....

Raptors are in the worst of the outrebounded spots, 5-24 ATS as they won b2b games including away game last time they played.

Knicks over in a 23-5 o/u subsystem as total is >190.5

 

[wilbur]

GL and thanks guys.

 

[indiana]

R/T.......BOL with your action tonight...........indy

 

[tripleh]

49 away fav before 4/5 vs rested opponent (O/U 68-104) -PLAY ON GS/MIA UNDER (THIS SYSTEM IS 13 OVERS VS 5 UNDERS IN LAST 18 SITUATIONS THOUGH)