NBA Systems 2014/15

[Biz]

Rolltide:
Philadelphia +17 (1h season huge dog off non-cover vs fav off cover) - ugly as it is
Milwaukee +2.5 (2 diff systems - oppose home team off dog win where they were out-rebounded & play on mediocre team on winning streak in a conference game)
Cleveland -5 (2 diff systems - play on mediocre team on winning streak in conference & oppose home team that lost a big HT lead last game)
Celtics over 210 (play OVER with home team that lost a big HT lead last game)
Nuggets over 196 (OVER non-conf game team off DD fav loss with low total)
Twolves over 205.5 (OVER bad team in 5/7 situation after loss, away dog)
New Orleans -8 (FADE bad team in 5/7 situation after loss, away dog)

Biz:
Cleveland -5 (oppose dog that lost a 15+ lead last game)
Suns under 200.5 (UNDER home team off b2b comeback wins)

4-3

Current Record: 14-9
Sides: 7-5
Totals: 7-4

 

[BRUTUS]

Isnt that 5-3 record for day?

 

[Biz]

I'm only tracking Tide's picks. Its his thread. A couple other guys and myself have added to the discussion, but the official record is Tide.

 

[rolltide]

cleve now 3-4 ATS and i'm 0-3 ATS playing them. seems i've found my bogey team for 14/15


Twolves in same spot as Philly was last night so MIN +11.5 in a 74-20 ATS spot playing on big dogs early in season off ATS loss as dog vs team off ATS win as fav. ugly, as they always are, but usually effective. will see if either of you guys have something to cancel it although I don't have many systems that play on 12 point favs

 

[DT32]

Home after road comeback win OVER (40-13) - Cavs over 207

 

[Biz]

45: OVER 2 Teams off Huge Overs - Atlanta/Cleveland OVER 207 (57-34-2: 62.6%)
31: OPPOSE unrested away dog after single home fav loss - Chicago -9, LA Clippers -7 (66-115-3: 36.5%)
11: OPPOSE home after dog win after being out rebounded - Brooklyn +4 (35-69-4: 33.7%)
Subset of 11: add pp:W (win 2 games ago) - (8-35-2: 18.6%)

Biz: OPPOSE dog, previous game Blown DD Half Time lead and blown 3Q Lead - San Antonio -2 (42-73-4: 36.5%)

 

[Biz]

cleve now 3-4 ATS and i'm 0-3 ATS playing them. seems i've found my bogey team for 14/15


Twolves in same spot as Philly was last night so MIN +11.5 in a 74-20 ATS spot playing on big dogs early in season off ATS loss as dog vs team off ATS win as fav. ugly, as they always are, but usually effective. will see if either of you guys have something to cancel it although I don't have many systems that play on 12 point favs

I played Philly 2 nights ago, passed last night.

A play is a play. Ugh.

 

[rolltide]

I played Philly 2 nights ago, passed last night.

A play is a play. Ugh.

i played them last night again but went for the middle with houston -9.5 2H so canceled out an easy win. still bleeding from losing the nuggets over by a point. teams combined for 3 points in a 5.5 minute stretch in the 4th quarter.

 

[Biz]

i played them last night again but went for the middle with houston -9.5 2H so canceled out an easy win. still bleeding from losing the nuggets over by a point. teams combined for 3 points in a 5.5 minute stretch in the 4th quarter.

I saw that, just like by Brk/Dubs Over thursday night. 121 1H, 85 2H.

BTW, that Minny play has a 26-4 subset on a BTB

 

[rolltide]

I saw that, just like by Brk/Dubs Over thursday night. 121 1H, 85 2H.

BTW, that Minny play has a 26-4 subset on a BTB

yeah, basically identical to spot 76ers were in last night. i played them @11.5 hopefully they lead at HT and i can hit a nice middle. then again who knows what condition i'll be in at 9pm to remember an nba middle play .... first drink pouring in 11 minutes. roll tide!

 

[Biz]

Tide Play List:
Atl/Clev OVER
Chicago
LA Clippers
Minnesota
Brooklyn

Biz Play List:
San Antonio -2

 

[Biz]

Tide Play List:
Atl/Clev OVER
Chicago
LA Clippers
Minnesota
Brooklyn

Biz Play List:
San Antonio -2

Tide: 2-3

Current Record: 16-12
Sides: 8-8
Totals: 8-4

 

[Biz]

H and p:A and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and rest > 0 and n:rest = 1 and on:rest=1 and season > 2010

59: UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest

Tide,
What does 1 game rest mean? What does the n: signify? Thanks....​

 

[tripleh]

51 OPPOSE eastern dogs, high total, vs west (​Play on Phoenix)

SU: 14-60 (-9.54, 18.9%) ATS: 19-52-3 (-3.61, 26.8%) avg line: 5.9 O/U: 31-42-1 (-3.32, 42.5%) avg total: 213.3 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.22 44.4 17.12 74.2 6.65 33.1 4.70 11.72 41.86 21.55 21.73 15.32 25.8 25.6 24.3 24.1 100.2 Opp 40.38 47.9 19.92 77.1 9.07 39.1 5.64 11.14 44.53 19.96 24.41 15.04 28.9 28.9 26.5 25.2 109.7 <tbody> </tbody>

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[tripleh]

52 OPPOSE eastern home dogs, high total (Play on Phoenix)

SU: 12-49 (-8.23, 19.7%) ATS: 18-42-1 (-3.14, 30.0%) avg line: 5.1 O/U: 26-35-0 (-3.40, 42.6%) avg total: 210.1 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 38.18 43.9 16.66 75.5 6.21 31.0 4.41 11.90 41.52 21.62 22.25 14.36 24.6 24.8 24.3 24.4 99.2 Opp 39.51 47.3 19.82 74.7 8.62 37.1 5.61 11.66 45.03 19.46 24.00 15.18 28.5 27.6 26.0 24.4 107.5 <tbody> </tbody>

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[1958]

beware Denver odds are wrong at SDB

Nov 17, 2014	Mon	2014	Cavaliers	Nuggets	home		1&0	-2.0	216.5

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[tripleh]

59 UNDER home team exactly 1 game rest after road trip vs team with 1 game rest (​Play on Spurs Under, Hornets Under and Pistons Under)

SU: 32-33 (1.38, 49.2%) ATS: 29-35-1 (-1.52, 45.3%) avg line: -2.9 O/U: 18-47-0 (-5.45, 27.7%) avg total: 196.1 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 36.15 44.2 16.48 74.1 7.22 34.8 4.68 11.35 42.38 20.14 21.45 13.68 24.0 23.9 23.9 23.7 96.0 Opp 35.63 44.1 16.80 74.7 6.55 34.5 4.88 10.95 42.55 20.22 19.80 14.46 23.2 24.3 23.3 23.3 94.6 <tbody> </tbody>

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[tripleh]

60 PLAY ON midseason away dogs, bad team off noncover, vs winning team off cover with another home game coming (​Play on Denver)

SU: 65-167 (-6.96, 28.0%) ATS: 151-77-4 (2.42, 66.2%) avg line: 9.4 O/U: 107-124-1 (-0.70, 46.3%) avg total: 197.4 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 35.79 43.8 17.28 74.8 6.00 35.4 4.41 11.19 41.11 22.13 20.01 14.39 23.2 23.7 23.3 23.8 94.9 Opp 37.66 46.7 19.21 74.2 7.28 36.0 5.67 11.00 42.98 20.08 23.41 13.69 26.1 25.3 25.2 24.2 101.8 <tbody> </tbody>

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[tripleh]

62 OPPOSE road team, not big fav, after scoring 136+ and making <86% free throws (​Play on Portland)

SU: 4-29 (-9.85, 12.1%) ATS: 6-26-1 (-5.89, 18.8%) avg line: 4.0 O/U: 17-16-0 (2.33, 51.5%) avg total: 206.4 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.61 45.1 17.00 74.6 7.24 34.5 4.12 11.48 40.36 20.06 20.91 14.24 23.9 25.0 25.8 24.0 99.5 Opp 42.03 49.1 17.55 77.7 7.70 41.0 5.15 12.52 43.58 19.88 25.21 12.67 28.4 28.1 26.9 25.2 109.3 <tbody> </tbody>

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[tripleh]

team = Grizzlies and o:rest = 0 and H and rest > 0 and C and date > 20000101 - TEAM SPECIFIC (Play Memphis Under)

SU: 53-39 (2.52, 57.6%) ATS: 48-42-2 (0.72, 53.3%) avg line: -1.8 O/U: 28-63-1 (-3.31, 30.8%) avg total: 195.1 <tbody> </tbody>

FG Pct FT Pct 3s Pct BLKS O-RBND RBND Fouls AST TOvers Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 37.27 45.8 17.53 74.3 5.08 34.6 5.49 12.40 42.71 20.52 21.26 13.46 24.8 24.3 24.0 23.4 97.2 Opp 35.82 44.5 17.16 76.0 5.84 33.6 5.13 12.10 41.57 21.63 20.16 14.53 24.4 23.4 23.2 23.1 94.6 <tbody> </tbody>

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