Random thoughts:
DEN at CLE (line CLE -5.5, 200) -- LeBron must be sick and tired of losing to Melo...5 straight and 8 of 10 overall...LeBron on an absolute tear as CLE has won 5 straight (3-2 ATS) with 4 straight Overs...Denver doing just fine, thank you, without Iverson as Billups has come aboard, and despite struggling (shooting 28% in 3 games with DEN), the Nuggets are 3-0 SU & ATS since Billups and McDyess (who hasn't played yet) came over...DEN Under their last 2 games, but they were against MEMP & CHAR and the pace of both games were extremely slow...Nuggets go to Boston on Friday, so this is a tough 2-day stretch...Looks like a stay-away game for me...
DAL at CHI (no line) -- DAL has lost 3 straight and Josh Howard is questionable as of now...The Mavs have had success in CHI, winning 8 of their last 9 trips into the Windy City...Will the Mavs have a slight let-down after playing the Lakers very tough at home last time out?...Bulls have lost 2 straight Home games, going Over both games...DAL Over their last 3...Kinda lean to the Bulls and the Over right now, but this may be another no-play...
DET @ GS (no line) -- Stuckey questionable for DET (although I read somewhere he won't play) and Maggette questionable for GS...Pistons started with 5 Overs and now have 2 straight Unders...GS Over all 4 Home games and Under all 4 Away games (in regulation, there was 1 OT-aided Over)...GS Over in the 1Q every home game...DET has gone Over 6 of their 7 games in the 3Q...Depending on the line, I think this can be an Under, but I would take the 1Q Over as again, I compare GS Home games to SAC Home games this year so far, and although DET pushed in the 1Q against SAC at SAC last time out, the pace was an Over pace, DET just shot terrible in the 1Q (7-for-23 from the field and 3-6 from the FT line)...SAC had 24 shots and 3 FTs in that 1Q...And as we know, GS Home games have had frenetic paces in the 1Q...DET has shown a propensity to get sucked in to the up-tempo style at times so far, although if they need to, they will slow it down and go to a half-court set like they did in the 4Q against SAC...And GS games, Home and Away, have been very slow-paced in the 4Q more often than not, with yet another example last time out vs. Minny...These totals are both teams combined:
1Q -- 50 shots, 7 FTs
2Q -- 41 shots, 17 FTs
3Q -- 50 shots, 7 FTs
4Q -- 35 shots, 13 FTs
And GS has had many low-scoring 4Qs this season, going Under in the 4Q 7 of 8 games...So to me, this game should go Over in the 1Q & 3Q and Under in the 4Q, while the 2Q is a toss-up, but I'd take it Under...
DET won and covered both gams last year h2h vs. GS, winning by 7 at GS, although GS had covered 11 of the previous 12 meetings before last season...
DET may have a look-ahead to the Lakers, who they play on Friday at Staples...
If I have a bet, it'll be on this game...
DEN at CLE (line CLE -5.5, 200) -- LeBron must be sick and tired of losing to Melo...5 straight and 8 of 10 overall...LeBron on an absolute tear as CLE has won 5 straight (3-2 ATS) with 4 straight Overs...Denver doing just fine, thank you, without Iverson as Billups has come aboard, and despite struggling (shooting 28% in 3 games with DEN), the Nuggets are 3-0 SU & ATS since Billups and McDyess (who hasn't played yet) came over...DEN Under their last 2 games, but they were against MEMP & CHAR and the pace of both games were extremely slow...Nuggets go to Boston on Friday, so this is a tough 2-day stretch...Looks like a stay-away game for me...
DAL at CHI (no line) -- DAL has lost 3 straight and Josh Howard is questionable as of now...The Mavs have had success in CHI, winning 8 of their last 9 trips into the Windy City...Will the Mavs have a slight let-down after playing the Lakers very tough at home last time out?...Bulls have lost 2 straight Home games, going Over both games...DAL Over their last 3...Kinda lean to the Bulls and the Over right now, but this may be another no-play...
DET @ GS (no line) -- Stuckey questionable for DET (although I read somewhere he won't play) and Maggette questionable for GS...Pistons started with 5 Overs and now have 2 straight Unders...GS Over all 4 Home games and Under all 4 Away games (in regulation, there was 1 OT-aided Over)...GS Over in the 1Q every home game...DET has gone Over 6 of their 7 games in the 3Q...Depending on the line, I think this can be an Under, but I would take the 1Q Over as again, I compare GS Home games to SAC Home games this year so far, and although DET pushed in the 1Q against SAC at SAC last time out, the pace was an Over pace, DET just shot terrible in the 1Q (7-for-23 from the field and 3-6 from the FT line)...SAC had 24 shots and 3 FTs in that 1Q...And as we know, GS Home games have had frenetic paces in the 1Q...DET has shown a propensity to get sucked in to the up-tempo style at times so far, although if they need to, they will slow it down and go to a half-court set like they did in the 4Q against SAC...And GS games, Home and Away, have been very slow-paced in the 4Q more often than not, with yet another example last time out vs. Minny...These totals are both teams combined:
1Q -- 50 shots, 7 FTs
2Q -- 41 shots, 17 FTs
3Q -- 50 shots, 7 FTs
4Q -- 35 shots, 13 FTs
And GS has had many low-scoring 4Qs this season, going Under in the 4Q 7 of 8 games...So to me, this game should go Over in the 1Q & 3Q and Under in the 4Q, while the 2Q is a toss-up, but I'd take it Under...
DET won and covered both gams last year h2h vs. GS, winning by 7 at GS, although GS had covered 11 of the previous 12 meetings before last season...
DET may have a look-ahead to the Lakers, who they play on Friday at Staples...
If I have a bet, it'll be on this game...
