Nate Silver says Trump would be favorite if election were held today

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Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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I know, it's far too early, there can and will be numerous swings between now and election day

I'm just mocking the fucking idiots "dysfunctional RNC" and "no convention bounce"

sometimes they make it way too easy, takes all the fun out of it

and then I added this

butt nowhere did I say anything about a November prediction, so please do reconcile for me
 

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well then, I said what he said, and you just don't know what was said

it's not accurate to say I said something I didn't say

check again

I was talking mostly about other posters.

It was certainly a positive story and development for trump though.

I would imagine today or yesterday would be the only dates to date where trump would have possibly won the election in a hypothetical scenario since this whole thing started so it's certainly a positive trend for trump backers
 

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None of my post highlighted anything you said Willie
 

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None of my post highlighted anything you said Willie

you quoted me my friend, gave me the impression you were talking directly too and about me

not sure who said Silver predicted a win in November, maybe somebody did I suppose

anyhow, I'm cool, peace and my apologies for the misunderstanding
 

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I was talking mostly about other posters.

It was certainly a positive story and development for trump though.

I would imagine today or yesterday would be the only dates to date where trump would have possibly won the election in a hypothetical scenario since this whole thing started so it's certainly a positive trend for trump backers
I'm just hoping the damn odds catch up to the current polling so I can set up a nice scalp.
 

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are the village idiots bashing Silver yet?

or is it my fault he said what he said?

@):mad:@):mad:@):mad:
The only people that have bashed Nate are incompetent idiots like you, when you don't like what his numbers say. I will always go with Nate's numbers, whatever they say. It's easy when you believe in facts, not fairy tales of what you hope and wish will happen, like you do when it comes to Elections. Come late October, if not slightly before, he'll have it nailed. And he'll be right.
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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odds at Bovada at this moment

Democrat -200
Republican +160

surprised me they were so low
 

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How did your bovada payout go willie
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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still waiting, today is two weeks

they said a check could take 15 days, so I expect to receive it real soon

I'll update the thread when I receive it
 

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Do the direct deposit thing next time 72 hrs or less. Free up to 3500
 

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Vitterd: "Michelangelo has had such a miserable year betting, that he has an advantage over a future bet"

BWHHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

Unbelievably stupid.

Seriously.

Is he really this unbelievably stupid or in a cash crunch and too embarrassed to say? It has to be one or the other.

1,200 MLB games = "shortened season"

256 NFL games = loooooooooooooong season

Guys, It's not a roulette wheel! Smart bettors know this!

:ohno:
 

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Seriously.

Is he really this unbelievably stupid or in a cash crunch and too embarrassed to say?

1,200 MLB games = "shortened season"

256 NFL games = loooooooooooooong season

Guys, It's not a roulette wheel! Smart bettors know this!

:ohno:

Cash crush? Get your thousand out today and I will get mine out today as well. Any sport....you choose.

4 months into season......2 short month contest. I'm 60 dimes ahead.....I win 13k on season and he loses 60k and I pay him. Makes a lot of senseface)(*^%
 

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are the village idiots bashing Silver yet?

or is it my fault he said what he said?

@):mad:@):mad:@):mad:

Silver is trying to have it both ways and hedging his bets so the sheep can still claim he was right no matter what happens.

- Hillary is the still favorite

- if the election were held today, Trump would win

Just like Silver's "4 roads in Iowa" and... "It's Rubio!"

Fraud.
 

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Cash crush? Get your thousand out today and I will get mine out today as well. Any sport....you choose.

4 months into season......2 short month contest. I'm 60 dimes ahead.....I win 13k on season and he loses 60k and I pay him. Makes a lot of senseface)(*^%

Ugh.

You are NOT "ahead"....you are both starting 0-0 and each game is an independent event going forward.

If you really believe your own stupidity, explain the correlation between the following two games yesterday:

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox

Philadelphia at Miami

Two separate independent events, so explain the correlation. How are they in any way linked?

"this isn't a roulette wheel"

face)(*^%
 

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Ugh.

You are NOT "ahead"....you are both starting 0-0 and betting independent events going forward.

If you really believe your own stupidity, explain the correlation between the following two games yesterday:

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox

Philadelphia at Miami

Two separate independent events, so explain the correlation.

"this isn't a roulette wheel"

face)(*^%

Why do you think he won't take a bet for the 2nd half if we include our first half records? They are posted here for all to see. Let's just include those records....then we can see who wins over the ENTIRE season.

He wont do that because he's trailing by a huge amount.
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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Do the direct deposit thing next time 72 hrs or less. Free up to 3500

they didn't offer me that, but I'll ask next time

the most they let me withdraw was 3k by check, but it was free
 

Conservatives, Patriots & Huskies return to glory
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Ugh.

You are NOT "ahead"....you are both starting 0-0 and each game is an independent event going forward.

If you really believe your own stupidity, explain the correlation between the following two games yesterday:

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox

Philadelphia at Miami

Two separate independent events, so explain the correlation. How are they in any way linked?

"this isn't a roulette wheel"

face)(*^%

using that logic, he should quit
 

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using that logic, he should quit

You should not advise anyone on gambling. You hit 40 percent and below for years and akp took an easy dime from you.

You wouldnt understand what giving up a 60 dime lead is like. You're never ahead.
 

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Vit, did I read the other day that you met another poster in AC? if not, has anyone from here ever met you? not ask a million questions but have you ever mad a wager with anyone on this forum? thanks
 

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