Mls

[rolltide]

adding one play in MLS as I'm starting a chase for Montreal HT draw. Since stats for HT are available (2006 season) no team has drawn at HT less than 2x in MLS in a season. This will be Montreal's 8th road match and are 3-0-4 so far at HT so I will start a chase for HT draw. Mostly price will be in the range of +100 to +120 and upcoming roadies are tonight, 7/13, 8/3, 8/10

Montreal HT X .5u to win .53u

 

[rolltide]

big odds move on both croatia under and colombia in last hour so adding .25u to win .35u on that double (odds now -283 and -129)

now have Croatia u3.5 parlay with Colombia 1u to win 1.30u

 

[rolltide]

early for Sat in u20

Uzbekistan .5u to win 4.75 (+950)

no doubt France is favored here but defensively they are not a sound team and Uzbekistan do have a nice attack. Every player they have is a professional in local league so not dealing with a bunch of college kids and got to the Asians semis in u19s last year. France solid club, 3rd in Toulon tourney, lost only by a goal L2 times they played Spain but no way they should be +950 when USA were +745 and actually outplayed France

 

[rolltide]

Wed lost a unit on the Colombian parlay and lost the first .5u on chase for Mtl X at halftime. Winners with Ghana advancing, Chicago, and Seattle. Lucky full win with Sea HC as they scored on silly DC error on final kick of match. Picked up 3.64u on 7.25u staked

tonight colorado...

 

[rolltide]

if you're looking for a little Euro action today i'd recommend some of the following, unofficially.

malmo/kr double, skonto under, libertas over 4.5, videoton -1.75

 

[rolltide]

Sun u20

Chile u20 vs Ghana u20
- for me Chile came here as 3rd or 4th favs (#1 Spain, #2 Colombia) and have not disappointed. Tremendous 2013 they have going with wins over Argentina, Colombia 2x, Paraguay, Bolivia, Ecuador, and now Egypt and Croatia. Ghana finished 2nd in African u20 but lost to teams like Uganada, Morocco, and Egypt 2x that are nowhere near Chile's level. Very impressive against USA which doesn't say a whole lot and pretty fortunate against Portugal where they allowed a ton of chances. They've played South American teams 2x in u20 and drew them both while Chile have done really well against Africans...beat Egypt this tourney, defeated Nigeria and Congo the last time they were here. Few teams can match Ghana for experience at u20 level but Chile are one of them with 16 players owning double digit caps although they will be without defensive mf and captain, Sebastian Martinez.

Chile u20 pk 1u to win .8u

 

[rolltide]

Rapids with a comfortable 2-0 over RBNY

YTD 190-14-138 +57.05 (staked 428.77)
thread 50-3-28 +30.62

pending:
Montreal X (next away game will be 1u)
Chile u20 pk 1/.8
Uzbekistan .5/4.75

 

[rolltide]

Sun MLS

Portland 1u to win 1.8u

- too high odds for a team unbeaten in 18 against shaky Cbus defense

 

[rolltide]

will have at least two more MLS bets

this one saturday evening

NE Revolution 1.5u to win 1.58u

 

[rolltide]

Sat 9pm

Houston 2.52u to win 2.4u

 

[rolltide]

pending:
Sat 11am Uzbekistan .5/4.75
Sat 7:30 Revs 1.5/1.58
Sat 9pm Houston 2.52/2.4
Sun 2pm Chile u20 pk 1/.8
Sun 5pm Portland 1/1.8
Montreal X (next away game, 7/13, will be 1u risk)

 

[gobucks]

Philadelphia has been a play on team for the past month or so, but I agree with you that they are in a terrible spot tonight at Houston. Coming off a Wednesday night match in Salt Lake and missing many key players due to International duty and injury the last place the Union want to be is in the heat of Houston against a solid home side. I took the Dynamo with a very large play for me.

 

[rolltide]

sat lost uzbek, won both revs and houston. +3.48 day with 4.52 risked...

 

[the1yankee]

Wanna say thanks for the HOU play n keep up the solid capping!

 

[mason456]

Ditto want to say tks for picks and write ups

 

[rolltide]

felt like doing this to howard webb, baldomero toledo, and marco antonio rodriguez a few times

http://sports.yahoo.com/news/brazilian-mob-decapitates-soccer-referee-stabs-player-204306608.html

 

[the1yankee]

OMG I saw this last night and huffington post has most info on incident as I've heard it was relatives friends n family of stabbed player who found out that their family member was player stabbed by ref and once they found out they got the stones n stake out. Just....WOW!

 

[rolltide]

Sun 5:30 Gold Cup

Canada 1.5u to win 1.19u

 

[rolltide]

a push and two losses today for -2.5 off of 3.5u staked. never trust Canada

YTD 193-14-141 +58.03 (staked 436.79)
thread 53-3-31 +31.60

 

[rolltide]

Wed u20 semifinals....gold cup in a bit

Uruguay u20 vs Iraq u20
- I have to go with the far better defensive team who are much more disciplined as well. Iraq lost the lead 3 different times vs South Korea winning on penalties in a really draining match while Uruguay won in ET over favorites Spain. Match in Trabzon so both have to travel but Iraq with a day less rest as Uruguay played on Saturday, Iraq on Sunday. Very difficult to come back on short rest in such an emotional game where they conceded in final seconds for penalties then came from a penalty down to win the spot kicks. Uruguay have gotten better every match and have forced the most fouls of any team left while conceding the fewest.

Uruguay u20 1.25u to win 1u

France u20 vs Ghana u20
- teams met in group stage ending 3-1 France with the French knocking 20 shots at Ghana. Offensively they are dominating right now with b2b 4-goal matches. Ghana conceding easily without a single clean sheet in tournament and an even bigger issue with rest. Not only did they play the late Sunday match in a full 120 minutes but face France who played the early Saturday match in a game that was never tested. They will have both starting center backs suspended (Lartey & Attamah) as well as Odjar in midfield who has been awesome down the right side. Just don't see how they contain Sanogo, Pogba, and Kondogbia so I'm calling for both France and Uruguay to win in regulation

France u20 1.5u to win 1u