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I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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would this be a play on pitt also or just total

remember i don't play a FGS total until i know the ump

but likely will play either Pit TT o3.5 or just PIT straight up anyway. i won't play 2 or 3 on same game...just one is fine with me

list for me would be:
1- KC
2- LAA
3- SEA under (after ump is known and line is not falling below -145)
4- PIT or PIT tt o3.5
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Twins at home vs good lefties last 2.5 seasons (JUNE+)

team = Twins and o:STL and H and season >= 2012 ... and o:STDSERA < 4.24 and month >= 6
SU:
5-24 (-2.52, 17.2%) avg line: 130.7 / -143.4 on / against: -$1,850 / +$1,748 ROI: -61.9% / +41.8%
OU:13-15-1 (0.69, 46.4%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: -$315 / +$65 ROI: -10.0% / +2.0%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.18.20.62.37.99.86.26.8
Opp5.710.20.62.26.58.65.16.3

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 18, 2014MonhomeTwinsTrevor May - RRoyalsJason Vargas - L1478.5

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Feb 25, 2010
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Vanover is HPU in PItt. Over is good right? :aktion033

Barksdale in Philly.. :aktion033
 

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I don't have Vanover on my waldo radar

Barksdale makes SEA u a play

waldo in Boston/LAA for under
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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wow worley grooving 84 mph fastballs down the middle. over shouldn't be an issue...
 

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will also be active tomorrow but obviously braves will win tonight

braves on road vs decent starter since mid-june

team = Braves and A and o:STDSERA < 3.90 and date > 20140620
SU:1-14 (-2.07, 6.7%) avg line: 109.0 / -120.2 on / against: -$1,430 / +$1,370 ROI: -86.4% / +73.1%
RL:5-10 (-1.97, 33.3%) avg line: -126.4 / 112.6 on / against: -$791 / +$721 ROI: -37.2% / +37.9%
OU:5-9-1 (-0.33, 35.7%) avg total: 6.9 over / under: -$480 / +$350 ROI: -29.3% / +21.1%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team2.38.10.32.78.88.74.37.3
Opp4.38.90.53.47.610.83.77.3

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TueawayBravesAaron Harang - RPiratesFrancisco Liriano - L1307.0
Aug 18, 2014MonawayBravesErvin Santana - RPiratesVance Worley - R1037.0

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I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Tue ump:
SEA u7 - one of only two guys i play blindly
 

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avoid, or oppose, bad hitting AL teams after allowing 7+ (on BAL) - opposing system below

HD and league = AL and Average(runs@team and season) <= 4.3 ... and o:STDSERA <= 4.2
SU:
81-176 (-1.68, 31.5%) avg line: 128.4 / -139.8 on / against: -$7,461 / +$6,540 ROI: -29.0% / +18.2%
RL:109-115 (-0.14, 48.7%) avg line: -133.7 / 122.0 on / against: -$4,413 / +$3,084 ROI: -14.5% / +13.3%
OU:119-124-14 (0.47, 49.0%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: -$1,730 / -$675 ROI: -6.1% / -2.4%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.68.10.72.87.610.37.66.7
Opp5.39.70.53.46.89.76.87.3

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TuehomeWhite SoxJose Quintana - LOriolesChris Tillman - R1058.0

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after a win bet on avg-hitting AL favs vs a starter off 1 good start (on NYY)

o:STDSERA > 0.00 and ... and tS(hits) / tS(at bats) <= 0.265 and league = AL ...and p:W
SU:
52-14 (2.09, 78.8%) avg line: -162.5 / 152.4 on / against: +$3,004 / -$3,144 ROI: +28.0% / -47.6%
RL:39-26 (0.53, 60.0%) avg line: 126.7 / -137.6 on / against: +$2,318 / -$2,737 ROI: +35.7% / -30.6%
OU:32-33-0 (0.47, 49.2%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: -$375 / -$295 ROI: -5.3% / -4.1%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team5.39.50.53.56.69.45.37.2
Opp3.27.60.62.48.38.45.66.3

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TuehomeYankeesChris Capuano - LAstrosBrett Oberholtzer - L-1558.5

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play ON and UNDER light hitting hr teams that are big favs after a 8+ run game

tA(HR) <= 0.9068 and p:runs >= 8 and line <= -145 and date > 20130426
SU:
52-24 (1.03, 68.4%) avg line: -174.4 / 159.9 on / against: +$1,122 / -$1,435 ROI: +8.5% / -18.9%
RL:33-43 (-0.47, 43.4%) avg line: 120.6 / -130.9 on / against: -$259 / -$107 ROI: -3.4% / -1.1%
OU:
20-56-0 (-1.24, 26.3%) avg total: 7.8 over / under: -$4,095 / +$3,380 ROI: -49.4% / +40.0%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.88.10.43.46.49.34.57.2
Opp2.87.20.72.58.79.64.96.3

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TuehomeMarlinsJarred Cosart - RRangersMiles Mikolas - R-1588.0

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play on home dog with a starter that K's a lot of hitters (PHI, CWS, TB) - already played TB under....

7.22 >= sA(SSO) > 5.0 and HD and 0.207 <= tS(hits) ...and STDSERA > 1.95
SU:237-220 (-0.11, 51.9%) avg line: 118.8 / -129.1 on / against: +$5,724 / -$8,172 ROI: +12.5% / -13.9%
RL:289-165 (1.38, 63.7%) avg line: -143.6 / 132.2 on / against: +$5,457 / -$7,393 ROI: +8.3% / -16.0%
OU:212-224-18 (0.44, 48.6%) avg total: 7.7 over / under: -$2,935 / -$1,250 ROI: -6.0% / -2.5%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team4.08.40.63.07.79.76.56.7
Opp4.18.70.63.38.09.25.97.1

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TuehomePhilliesAJ Burnett - RMarinersHisashi Iwakuma - R1407.0
Aug 19, 2014TuehomeRaysChris Archer - RTigersMax Scherzer - R1057.0
Aug 19, 2014TuehomeWhite SoxJose Quintana - LOriolesChris Tillman - R1058.0

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I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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team trends....don't play them blindly but use in your capping AND NEVER play a FGS total without knowing the ump (getting tired of me typing that yet?)

NYY have been solid L3 years rested at home off a road trip

team = Yankees and p:A and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and ppppp:A and H and ...
SU:
11-1 (2.33, 91.7%) avg line: -137.8 / 127.8 on / against: +$975 / -$1,000 ROI: +59.2% / -81.6%
RL:9-3 (1.33, 75.0%) avg line: 127.4 / -139.9 on / against: +$873 / -$956 ROI: +66.2% / -54.0%
OU:5-7-0 (-0.04, 41.7%) avg total: 8.7 over / under: -$250 / +$120 ROI: -19.7% / +8.8%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team5.58.60.44.06.08.95.17.2
Opp3.28.50.92.18.610.34.26.7

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TuehomeYankeesChris Capuano - LAstrosBrett Oberholtzer - L-1558.5

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MIL heavy overs FGS after road trip

team = Brewers and p:A and pp:A and ppp:A and pppp:A and ppppp:A and H ...
SU:33-33 (-0.29, 50.0%) avg line: -138.4 / 125.7 on / against: -$945 / +$598 ROI: -10.3% / +8.8%
RL:22-37 (-1.04, 37.3%) avg line: 125.6 / -140.5 on / against: -$1,330 / +$1,031 ROI: -19.8% / +11.6%
OU:
42-23-1 (1.73, 64.6%) avg total: 8.6 over / under: +$1,665 / -$2,315 ROI: +22.9% / -31.9%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team5.08.80.83.17.79.97.96.8
Opp5.39.90.83.47.78.87.47.6

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TuehomeBrewersMike Fiers - RBlue JaysJA Happ - L-1608.5

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Mets 14-4 away dog FGS road after home stand

team = Mets and p:H and pp:H and ppp:H and pppp:H and ppppp:H and AD ...
SU:14-4 (2.78, 77.8%)
avg line: 148.1 / -162.6 on / against: +$1,574 / -$1,744 ROI: +87.4% / -60.4%
RL:16-2 (4.28, 88.9%) avg line: -155.7 / 142.9 on / against: +$1,316 / -$1,339 ROI: +47.0% / -74.3%
OU:10-5-3 (0.83, 66.7%) avg total: 7.7 over / under: +$465 / -$635 ROI: +24.0% / -31.4%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team5.79.20.63.97.310.54.57.2
Opp2.97.60.52.36.99.65.16.2

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TueawayMetsDillon Gee - RAthleticsScott Kazmir - L1707.0

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SF a lot of unders FGS away after home stand (no total up yet in chicago)

team = Giants and A and p:H and pp:H and ppp:H and pppp:H and ppppp:H ...
SU:6-9 (-0.33, 40.0%) avg line: 103.6 / -113.5 on / against: -$297 / +$210 ROI: -18.1% / +11.8%
RL:7-8 (-0.23, 46.7%) avg line: -123.5 / 109.8 on / against: -$287 / +$219 ROI: -13.4% / +11.6%
OU:3-11-1 (-1.23, 21.4%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: -$915 / +$755 ROI: -55.5% / +45.6%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.08.10.52.47.28.64.97.3
Opp3.37.80.32.86.910.34.37.1

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TueawayGiantsRyan Vogelsong - RCubsTsuyoshi Wada - L102

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this one active from the mlb bible .... dbacks as a 200+ dog

team = Diamondbacks and date >= 20040801 and line >= 200 and streak <= 3 and p:runs >= 1
SU:
0-32 (-3.94, 0.0%) avg line: 229.5 / -275.9 on / against: -$3,200 / +$3,200 ROI: -100.0% / +36.1%
RL:3-9 (-2.50, 25.0%) avg line: 106.8 / -118.5 on / against: -$590 / +$530 ROI: -48.3% / +36.8%
OU:12-18-2 (0.83, 40.0%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: -$785 / +$500 ROI: -22.1% / +14.3%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team2.87.91.02.27.89.78.16.4
Opp6.810.40.34.35.810.48.77.8

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 19, 2014TueawayDiamondbacksChase Anderson - RNationalsStephen Strasburg - R2057.0

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roll so you would play Washington right ??? arizona is su 0-32

Im pretty sure RT wouldn't play a line that high by itself. If he did it would be on a double. The information he gave out was play against AZ though. I played Wash with NYY.. Keeping my fingers crossed with the pin stripes to cash this fpr me
 

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Wed umps:
CHC o7.5 - but it's peavy again...hmm
TB u7.5
PHI u7
 

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wed systems:

PLAY ON cleveland as fav vs team on losing streak

team = Indians and F and o:streak <= -3 and season >= 2008
SU:
56-20 (1.51, 73.7%) avg line: -146.3 / 133.7 on / against: +$2,892 / -$3,092 ROI: +25.9% / -40.7%
RL:38-37 (0.10, 50.7%) avg line: 134.3 / -145.2 on / against: +$1,501 / -$1,850 ROI: +19.2% / -16.6%
OU:39-32-4 (0.57, 54.9%) avg total: 8.5 over / under: +$400 / -$1,005 ROI: +4.8% / -12.3%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team5.29.40.43.66.710.16.37.4
Opp3.78.70.73.07.89.96.97.1

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 20, 2014WedawayIndiansTJ House - LTwinsRicky Nolasco - R-1108.5

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oppose light hitting home dog vs good pitcher (on CLE)

HD and league = AL and Average(runs@team and season) <= 4.3 and ...
SU:
81-177 (-1.69, 31.4%) avg line: 128.2 / -139.7 on / against: -$7,565 / +$6,640 ROI: -29.3% / +18.4%
RL:109-116 (-0.15, 48.4%) avg line: -133.9 / 122.2 on / against: -$4,582 / +$3,240 ROI: -15.0% / +13.9%
OU:119-125-14 (0.46, 48.8%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: -$1,840 / -$575 ROI: -6.5% / -2.0%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.68.10.72.87.610.37.66.7
Opp5.39.70.53.46.89.76.87.3

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 20, 2014WedhomeTwinsRicky Nolasco - RIndiansTJ House - L1008.5

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play ON light HR-hitting fav off a lot of runs (on LAD)

tA(HR) <= 0.911 and p:runs >= 8 and 100 >= line >= -150 ...
SU:260-144 (1.04, 64.4%) avg line: -121.2 / 111.2 on / against: +$8,843 / -$10,481 ROI: +18.1% / -25.5%
RL:213-189 (0.09, 53.0%) avg line: 132.4 / -147.0 on / against: +$9,681 / -$12,073 ROI: +20.8% / -18.9%
OU:210-178-14 (0.60, 54.1%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$1,640 / -$5,160 ROI: +3.7% / -11.6%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team4.89.10.63.26.89.75.46.9
Opp3.88.30.62.97.59.85.56.9

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 20, 2014WedhomeDodgersRoberto Hernandez - RPadresEric Stults - L-1457.5

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play ON and UNDER light HR-hitting team after a big run game (LAD, LAD u, WAS, WAS u)

tA(HR) <= 0.9068 and p:runs >= 8 and line <= -145 and date > 20130426
SU:53-24 (1.03, 68.8%) avg line: -174.3 / 159.6 on / against: +$1,222 / -$1,535 ROI: +9.1% / -19.9%
RL:33-44 (-0.47, 42.9%) avg line: 121.2 / -131.5 on / against: -$359 / -$7 ROI: -4.6% / -0.1%
OU:20-57-0 (-1.23, 26.0%) avg total: 7.8 over / under: -$4,205 / +$3,480 ROI: -50.1% / +40.7%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.88.20.53.46.59.44.57.3
Opp2.87.30.72.68.79.64.96.4

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 20, 2014WedhomeDodgersRoberto Hernandez - RPadresEric Stults - L-1457.5
Aug 20, 2014WedhomeNationalsTanner Roark - RDiamondbacksTrevor Cahill - R-1957.5

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play ON away team off 4 straight great pitching games (on ATL)

A and po:runs <= 4 and ppo:runs <= 4 and pppo:runs <= 4 and ppppo:runs <= 4 and pppppo:runs <= 4 and...
SU:
67-29 (1.38, 69.8%) avg line: 103.8 / -115.5 on / against: +$4,539 / -$5,055 ROI: +41.7% / -42.3%
RL:66-29 (1.59, 69.5%) avg line: -129.2 / 116.1 on / against: +$3,552 / -$3,992 ROI: +26.4% / -35.7%
OU:51-39-5 (0.87, 56.7%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: +$935 / -$1,765 ROI: +9.1% / -16.6%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team5.29.60.53.37.39.66.17.0
Opp3.88.00.63.07.310.26.06.6

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 20, 2014WedawayBravesAlex Wood - LPiratesGerrit Cole - R1107.5

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play ON AL fav vs opponent starter who had a strong last start (on 13-2 run)

0.215 <= tS(hits) / tS(at bats) <= 0.265 and ... oS:SRA <= 6 and oss:SRA <= 5 and ss:SRA <= 5 and SG < 4
SU:
184-80 (1.45, 69.7%) avg line: -158.1 / 146.2 on / against: +$6,053 / -$6,945 ROI: +14.5% / -26.3%
RL:118-122 (-0.07, 49.2%) avg line: 132.6 / -144.2 on / against: +$3,213 / -$4,723 ROI: +13.4% / -13.7%
OU:117-134-13 (0.30, 46.6%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: -$2,800 / +$440 ROI: -9.7% / +1.5%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team5.09.50.63.56.39.57.07.4
Opp3.58.00.72.77.99.37.26.5

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 20, 2014WedhomeYankeesMichael Pineda - RAstrosScott Feldman - R-1958.0

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oppose NL big road dogs in pitching duel (on 17-2 run...is also 12-1 interleague) - on OAK

tS(hits) / tS(at bats) <= 0.259 and league = NL and AD and o:STDSERA <= 3.50 and STDSERA <= 3.50 ...
SU:
31-91 (-1.52, 25.4%) avg line: 180.3 / -204.7 on / against: -$3,517 / +$2,752 ROI: -28.8% / +11.0%
RL:66-49 (-0.03, 57.4%) avg line: -122.0 / 110.1 on / against: +$708 / -$1,314 ROI: +5.0% / -11.2%
OU:55-60-7 (0.10, 47.8%) avg total: 7.7 over / under: -$925 / -$80 ROI: -7.0% / -0.6%

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RunsHitsErrorsWalksStrike OutsGround BallsFly BallsTeam LOB
Team3.17.90.52.68.69.86.96.7
Opp4.79.10.53.76.510.36.67.4

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DateLinkDaySiteTeamStarterOppStarterFinalSUmW/LOUmO/UHitsErrorsBLLineTotalInnings
Aug 20, 2014WedawayMetsZack Wheeler - RAthleticsJeff Samardzija - R1707.0

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note: dodgers under only active if line is at least -145 (aka -150, -155) if drops below that only the side (LAD) is active, so wait for line move before playing under

for the bigger favs would put was, oak, nyy in a RR system if playing. lad single (right now -143)
 

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three nice preseason systems in play this weekend:

Bears +7
Vikings +3.5
Redskins +3



(btw line dropping now under -140 for LAD so looks like just a single on LAD and no under in play....)
 

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