MLB systems

[rolltide]

Thats really odd.. He didnt ump the 1st game at all and as far as I know they dont rest umpires on DH they just rotate. I would have definitely kept my eye out for him if I knew he was just resting in the umpire lounge eating dough nuts.. WTF have you ever seen this before RT?

like i said he was on first base the night before (the original game 1). the crew you posted is his normal crew but they don't like to use the game 2 home plate ump in the field for game 1 so they pull in a floater (woodring or barber...neither have a full time assignment) to do the field in game 1 of a DH then have the previous night's 1B ump do game 2. same with the game 1 HPU (fletcher) they give him game 2 of a doubleheader off

my confusion was due to the fact that the original game 1 was played, just not finished, so I didn't know if they would use the original game 1 HPU + Muchlinski, send the crew off to their next assignment, etc.

wegner and fletch are in muchlinski's crew but the other two are not.

anyway, i'll be posting games that i'm playing umps but i'm not going to post names. my shit is way more detailed than pops' waldos as he didn't track umps in day, night, in LHP, with two bad pitchers/good pitchers, vs certain totals .... he just played games 1 and 2 on a set of 6-10 guys. I'll post the games and the o/u situation but without names. If you guys want to keep track of the HPU there's only 2-3 guys i play blindly.

speaking of blind i can't run systems right now as both sportsdatabase and killersports are down....

no umps today unless a FGS guy appears

 

[rolltide]

light day with just 1 system popping up ....

play on hot pitching away team vs opponent that just allowed 8+ runs (on tb)

A and po:runs <= 4 and ppo:runs <= 4 and pppo:runs <= 4 and ppppo:runs <= 4 and pppppo:runs <= 4 and opo:runs >= 8 ... SU: 65-29 (1.35, 69.1%) avg line: 104.3 / -116.1 on / against: +$4,339 / -$4,855 ROI: +40.7% / -41.3% OU: 51-38-4 (0.93, 57.3%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: +$1,040 / -$1,865 ROI: +10.3% / -17.9% <tbody> </tbody> Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Ground Balls Fly Balls Team LOB Team 5.2 9.6 0.5 3.3 7.3 9.6 6.1 7.1 Opp 3.9 8.1 0.6 3.0 7.2 10.2 6.0 6.5 <tbody> </tbody> Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings Aug 14, 2014 Thu away Rays Jake Odorizzi - R Rangers Robbie Ross - L <caption> </caption><thead> </thead><tbody role="alert"> </tbody> <tbody role="alert"> </tbody>

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</tbody>

cancelling team trends not playing:
Houston 5-11-1 o/u on FGS away after home stand since moving to AL
Red Sox 26-10-1 o/u FGS home after road trip


- A's have now won 13 straight off a fav loss ... today would be active against KC and Shields. not sure I'm playing that one though as I don't have any system supporting it, just a current team trend

- Feldman 6-23 SU as a road dog L29 ... again, no systems backing this single trend but something to consider

 

[rolltide]

hey roll, would you mind to run an nfl query for me? curious as to how the previous season super bowl winners do in the first game of the season ats. ive played this for the past several yrs and it seems like a good play against the sb winner. thanks.

with some major assistance from the dbase user group on google here is what you're looking for. i'd have never fn figured this one out

R(W@team and season and playoffs = 1)[team and season -1 and playoffs = 1] = 1 and week = 1
SU: 10-2-0 (7.00, 83.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-4-1 (4.67, 63.6%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 10-2-0 (83.3%) -6: 4-8-0 (33.3%) +10: 10-2-0 (83.3%) -10: 3-9-0 (25.0%) O/U: 6-6-0 (-0.12, 50.0%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 4-7-1 (36.4%) -6: 8-4-0 (66.7%) +10: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -10: 8-4-0 (66.7%) <tbody> </tbody>
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 94.2 37.8 25.0 266.3 1.1 6.0 6.1 6.6 6.2 25.2 Opp 24.2 98.6 35.8 21.4 241.8 1.9 1.8 8.2 4.0 4.2 18.2 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 04, 2014 Thursday 1 2014 Seahawks Packers home -5.5 45.0 Sep 05, 2013 view Thursday 1 2013 Ravens Broncos away 7-0 10-14 0-21 10-14 27-49 8.0 49.0 -22 -14.0 27.0 6.5 20.5 L L O 0 Sep 05, 2012 view Wednesday 1 2012 Giants Cowboys home 0-0 3-7 7-10 7-7 17-24 -3.5 45.0 -7 -10.5 -4.0 -7.2 3.2 L L U 0 Sep 08, 2011 view Thursday 1 2011 Packers Saints home 21-7 7-10 7-10 7-7 42-34 -4.5 48.0 8 3.5 28.0 15.8 12.2 W W O 0 Sep 09, 2010 view Thursday 1 2010 Saints Vikings home 7-0 0-9 7-0 0-0 14-9 -5.0 48.5 5 0.0 -25.5 -12.8 -12.8 W P U 0 Sep 10, 2009 view Thursday 1 2009 Steelers Titans home 0-0 7-7 0-0 3-3 13-10 -6.0 35.5 3 -3.0 -12.5 -7.8 -4.8 W L U 1 Sep 04, 2008 view Thursday 1 2008 Giants Redskins home 10-0 6-7 0-0 0-0 16-7 -4.0 41.0 9 5.0 -18.0 -6.5 -11.5 W W U 0 Sep 06, 2007 view Thursday 1 2007 Colts Saints home 7-0 3-10 14-0 17-0 41-10 -6.0 52.0 31 25.0 -1.0 12.0 -13.0 W W U 0 Sep 07, 2006 view Thursday 1 2006 Steelers Dolphins home 0-0 14-10 0-7 14-0 28-17 -1.5 34.5 11 9.5 10.5 10.0 0.5 W W O 0 Sep 08, 2005 view Thursday 1 2005 Patriots Raiders home 10-7 7-7 6-0 7-6 30-20 -7.5 49.5 10 2.5 0.5 1.5 -1.0 W W O 0 Sep 09, 2004 view Thursday 1 2004 Patriots Colts home 3-0 10-17 14-0 0-7 27-24 -3.5 45.0 3 -0.5 6.0 2.8 3.2 W L O 0 Sep 08, 2003 view Monday 1 2003 Buccaneers Eagles away 0-0 3-0 7-0 7-0 17-0 3.0 36.0 17 20.0 -19.0 0.5 -19.5 W W U 0 Sep 09, 2002 view Monday 1 2002 Patriots Steelers home 7-7 3-0 17-0 3-7 30-14 2.5 37.5 16 18.5 6.5 12.5 -6.0 W W O 0 <caption> </caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody role="alert"> </tbody>

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</tbody>

 

[DT32]

with some major assistance from the dbase user group on google here is what you're looking for. i'd have never fn figured this one out

R(W@team and season and playoffs = 1)[team and season -1 and playoffs = 1] = 1 and week = 1
SU: 10-2-0 (7.00, 83.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 7-4-1 (4.67, 63.6%) avg line: -2.3 +6: 10-2-0 (83.3%) -6: 4-8-0 (33.3%) +10: 10-2-0 (83.3%) -10: 3-9-0 (25.0%) O/U: 6-6-0 (-0.12, 50.0%) avg total: 43.5 +6: 4-7-1 (36.4%) -6: 8-4-0 (66.7%) +10: 3-9-0 (25.0%) -10: 8-4-0 (66.7%) <tbody> </tbody>
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 25.9 94.2 37.8 25.0 266.3 1.1 6.0 6.1 6.6 6.2 25.2 Opp 24.2 98.6 35.8 21.4 241.8 1.9 1.8 8.2 4.0 4.2 18.2 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 04, 2014 Thursday 1 2014 Seahawks Packers home -5.5 45.0 Sep 05, 2013 view Thursday 1 2013 Ravens Broncos away 7-0 10-14 0-21 10-14 27-49 8.0 49.0 -22 -14.0 27.0 6.5 20.5 L L O 0 Sep 05, 2012 view Wednesday 1 2012 Giants Cowboys home 0-0 3-7 7-10 7-7 17-24 -3.5 45.0 -7 -10.5 -4.0 -7.2 3.2 L L U 0 Sep 08, 2011 view Thursday 1 2011 Packers Saints home 21-7 7-10 7-10 7-7 42-34 -4.5 48.0 8 3.5 28.0 15.8 12.2 W W O 0 Sep 09, 2010 view Thursday 1 2010 Saints Vikings home 7-0 0-9 7-0 0-0 14-9 -5.0 48.5 5 0.0 -25.5 -12.8 -12.8 W P U 0 Sep 10, 2009 view Thursday 1 2009 Steelers Titans home 0-0 7-7 0-0 3-3 13-10 -6.0 35.5 3 -3.0 -12.5 -7.8 -4.8 W L U 1 Sep 04, 2008 view Thursday 1 2008 Giants Redskins home 10-0 6-7 0-0 0-0 16-7 -4.0 41.0 9 5.0 -18.0 -6.5 -11.5 W W U 0 Sep 06, 2007 view Thursday 1 2007 Colts Saints home 7-0 3-10 14-0 17-0 41-10 -6.0 52.0 31 25.0 -1.0 12.0 -13.0 W W U 0 Sep 07, 2006 view Thursday 1 2006 Steelers Dolphins home 0-0 14-10 0-7 14-0 28-17 -1.5 34.5 11 9.5 10.5 10.0 0.5 W W O 0 Sep 08, 2005 view Thursday 1 2005 Patriots Raiders home 10-7 7-7 6-0 7-6 30-20 -7.5 49.5 10 2.5 0.5 1.5 -1.0 W W O 0 Sep 09, 2004 view Thursday 1 2004 Patriots Colts home 3-0 10-17 14-0 0-7 27-24 -3.5 45.0 3 -0.5 6.0 2.8 3.2 W L O 0 Sep 08, 2003 view Monday 1 2003 Buccaneers Eagles away 0-0 3-0 7-0 7-0 17-0 3.0 36.0 17 20.0 -19.0 0.5 -19.5 W W U 0 Sep 09, 2002 view Monday 1 2002 Patriots Steelers home 7-7 3-0 17-0 3-7 30-14 2.5 37.5 16 18.5 6.5 12.5 -6.0 W W O 0 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

So play ON the SB team. Looks like last two lost though

 

[rolltide]

since you guys want to get some NFL chat going here's a 62% week 1 system that has only 4 losing years in last 22. a lot of situations in play this year...I'll play around with it and see if I can't find a 70-75% subsystem in these 179 games. I intend to have a separate NFL systems thread once the season starts but here's a start

week = 1 and 0 < Sum(o:W@o:team and playoffs = 0,N=16) - Sum(t:W@t:team and playoffs = 0,N=16) <= 8 and NDIV
SU: 86-93-0 (-0.55, 48.0%) Teaser Records ATS: 107-65-7 (2.70, 62.2%) avg line: 3.2 +6: 133-46-0 (74.3%) -6: 61-112-6 (35.3%) +10: 145-30-4 (82.9%) -10: 51-126-2 (28.8%) O/U: 85-93-1 (-0.20, 47.8%) avg total: 40.9 +6: 53-123-3 (30.1%) -6: 114-61-4 (65.1%) +10: 40-137-2 (22.6%) -10: 134-44-1 (75.3%) <tbody> </tbody>
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 27.3 106.6 31.3 18.5 200.6 1.7 4.0 6.4 4.0 5.6 20.1 Opp 26.2 102.5 34.3 20.8 222.4 1.9 3.4 6.4 4.7 5.9 20.6 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 08, 2014 Monday 1 2014 Chargers Cardinals away 3.5 44.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Bills Bears away 6.5 48.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Titans Chiefs away 6.0 44.0 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Vikings Rams away 5.5 45.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Raiders Jets away 4.5 39.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Jaguars Eagles away 11.0 51.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Texans Redskins home -2.5 45.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Cowboys Fortyniners home 4.0 48.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Colts Broncos away 6.5 55.5 Sep 04, 2014 Thursday 1 2014 Packers Seahawks away 5.5 45.0 <caption> </caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody role="alert"> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[rolltide]

So play ON the SB team. Looks like last two lost though

correct and correct

btw i wouldn't categorize this as a system...certainly nothing i would play blindly. was just responding to dr. the one above is an actual system with 62% winners in 179 chances.

 

[rolltide]

pretty easy to jump it to 70% ... just take the teams that finished equal to or 1 game behind the non-division opponent previous season

those teams are also 35-5 when used in a 6 point teaser. nice

week = 1 and 0 < Sum(o:W@o:team and playoffs = 0,N=16) - Sum(t:W@t:team and playoffs = 0,N=16) <= 1 and NDIV
SU: 27-13-0 (4.45, 67.5%) Teaser Records ATS: 25-11-4 (4.84, 69.4%) avg line: 0.4 +6: 35-5-0 (87.5%) -6: 13-25-2 (34.2%) +10: 37-3-0 (92.5%) -10: 12-28-0 (30.0%) O/U: 17-23-0 (-1.79, 42.5%) avg total: 40.4 +6: 12-28-0 (30.0%) -6: 23-16-1 (59.0%) +10: 8-31-1 (20.5%) -10: 29-11-0 (72.5%) <tbody> </tbody>
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.8 110.7 29.7 18.9 209.5 1.3 3.9 6.0 4.7 6.7 21.5 Opp 24.1 89.9 34.8 21.6 221.6 1.9 2.4 6.0 3.5 5.1 17.1 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 08, 2014 Monday 1 2014 Chargers Cardinals away 3.5 44.5 Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Texans Redskins home -2.5 45.5 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[DT32]

correct and correct

btw i wouldn't categorize this as a system...certainly nothing i would play blindly. was just responding to dr. the one above is an actual system with 62% winners in 179 chances.

Gotcha. I like that matchup for seattle but the line looks about right to me. I jumped on the rays when I saw the system earlier

 

[rolltide]

another one for seattle...this one i would categorize as a system. comes from this year's bible. play against dogs that were round 1 playoff losers in previous season.

week = 1 and Sum(playoffs@team,N=2) = 1 and D and season >= 2004
SU: 2-22-0 (-11.29, 8.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 3-20-1 (-7.17, 13.0%) avg line: 4.1 +6: 12-12-0 (50.0%) -6: 2-22-0 (8.3%) +10: 16-7-1 (69.6%) -10: 0-23-1 (0.0%) O/U: 15-8-1 (2.46, 65.2%) avg total: 42.8 +6: 9-15-0 (37.5%) -6: 18-6-0 (75.0%) +10: 6-18-0 (25.0%) -10: 19-5-0 (79.2%) <tbody> </tbody>
Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 23.3 99.8 36.3 22.1 215.7 2.4 2.4 5.9 4.2 4.5 17.0 Opp 28.5 110.1 31.8 20.8 242.1 1.3 5.7 9.1 7.0 6.4 28.3 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 07, 2014 Sunday 1 2014 Bengals Ravens away 2.5 43.0 Sep 04, 2014 Thursday 1 2014 Packers Seahawks away 5.5 45.0 <caption> </caption> <thead> </thead> <tbody role="alert"> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[drpugilist]

correct and correct

btw i wouldn't categorize this as a system...certainly nothing i would play blindly. was just responding to dr. the one above is an actual system with 62% winners in 179 chances.

if i wanted to check wks 2,3,4,5 or so of the sb winners ats, which number would i change in that query above? the one that follows "week="? thanks.

 

[rolltide]

if i wanted to check wks 2,3,4,5 or so of the sb winners ats, which number would i change in that query above? the one that follows "week="? thanks.

yes just change week or, even easier, just do the word week without an "=" and a number. that'll list every week of the season

 

[rolltide]

ump play BOS u9 +100

 

[rolltide]

tonight we have a 9 total at the rock. just 2nd game all year to have a total u9.5 ... puts us in a nice spot where nearly 2/3 of the games in colo with a 9 or less total have gone over since 2010 season

team = Rockies and H and total <= 9 and season > 2010
SU: 32-42 (-0.15, 43.2%) avg line: -122.8 / 110.8 on / against: -$2,229 / +$1,791 ROI: -22.7% / +21.2% OU: 45-25-4 (1.97, 64.3%) avg total: 8.7 over / under: +$1,720 / -$2,355 ROI: +20.8% / -29.4% <tbody> </tbody>
Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Ground Balls Fly Balls Team LOB Team 5.3 9.3 0.6 3.0 6.7 11.2 4.9 6.6 Opp 5.4 10.1 0.8 3.4 6.8 10.0 4.9 7.3 <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[rolltide]

same query as above but weeding out FGS since mid 2010

team = Rockies and H and total <= 9 and FGS and date > 20100701
SU: 17-16 (0.45, 51.5%) avg line: -127.5 / 114.7 on / against: -$420 / +$220 ROI: -9.3% / +5.9% OU: 21-11-1 (1.82, 65.6%) avg total: 8.5 over / under: +$855 / -$1,135 ROI: +22.9% / -32.2% <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[rolltide]

ump play BOS u9 +100

not even the famous Doug Eddings has a plan for these two terrible starting pitchers

 

[cordial]

rolltide, Win or Lose, you're a Valuable asset to this forum...thank you...BOL...

 

[rolltide]

Fri systems...

oppose bad hitting AL home dog after allowing 7+ runs and facing a good starter (vs CWS)

HD and league = AL ... po:runs >= 7 and o:STDSERA <= 4.2
SU: 80-175 (-1.71, 31.4%) avg line: 128.4 / -139.9 on / against: -$7,491 / +$6,580 ROI: -29.4% / +18.5% OU: 117-124-14 (0.44, 48.5%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: -$1,930 / -$475 ROI: -6.9% / -1.7% <tbody> </tbody>
Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Ground Balls Fly Balls Team LOB Team 3.6 8.1 0.7 2.8 7.6 10.3 7.6 6.7 Opp 5.3 9.7 0.5 3.4 6.8 9.7 6.8 7.3 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings Aug 15, 2014 Fri home White Sox Hector Noesi - R Blue Jays Marcus Stroman - R 135 8.5 <caption> </caption><thead> </thead><tbody role="alert"> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

play ON a fav that hits few HR off a big offensive game (on BOS) - i will likely avoid this game as i don't like Buchholz at home or as a fav

tA(HR) <= 0.911 and p:runs >= 8 and ...and date > 20100901
SU: 260-141 (1.08, 64.8%) avg line: -121.1 / 111.0 on / against: +$9,267 / -$10,875 ROI: +19.1% / -26.7% OU: 209-176-14 (0.61, 54.3%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$1,760 / -$5,260 ROI: +4.0% / -11.9% <tbody> </tbody>
Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Ground Balls Fly Balls Team LOB Team 4.9 9.1 0.6 3.2 6.7 9.7 5.4 6.9 Opp 3.8 8.3 0.6 2.9 7.5 9.8 5.5 6.9 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings Aug 15, 2014 Fri home Red Sox Clay Buchholz - R Astros Dallas Keuchel - L -144 8.5 <caption> </caption><thead> </thead><tbody role="alert"> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

play on AL fav a pitcher off 1 good start (13-3 L16) on duffy

0.215 <= tS(hits) / tS(at bats) <= 0.265 ... and oS:SRA <= 1 and league = AL ...
SU: 263-123 (1.45, 68.1%) avg line: -158.1 / 146.3 on / against: +$7,087 / -$8,519 ROI: +11.6% / -22.1% OU: 174-196-16 (0.32, 47.0%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: -$4,910 / +$430 ROI: -11.4% / +1.0% <tbody> </tbody>
Runs Hits Errors Walks Strike Outs Ground Balls Fly Balls Team LOB Team 5.0 9.3 0.6 3.6 6.3 9.7 7.0 7.3 Opp 3.6 8.1 0.7 2.8 7.9 9.4 7.3 6.6 <tbody> </tbody>
Date Link Day Site Team Starter Opp Starter Final SUm W/L OUm O/U Hits Errors BL Line Total Innings Aug 15, 2014 Fri away Royals Danny Duffy - L Twins Ricky Nolasco - R -140 8.0 <caption> </caption><thead> </thead><tbody role="alert"> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

two for LAA tonight...one system on them, one team trend for over so I'll likely play LAA over team total runs if the ump is ok (never play a total in FGS without knowing the ump!):

team = play angels over back home in FGS after a road trip 23-8-1 o/u scoring 6 runs per game

team = Angels and p:H and pp:H and ppp:H and pppp:H and ppppp:H and A and date > 20110520
SU: 19-13 (0.84, 59.4%) avg line: -107.9 / -102.7 on / against: +$588 / -$775 ROI: +15.8% / -20.8% OU: 23-8-1 (2.61, 74.2%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$1,415 / -$1,770 ROI: +40.4% / -49.9% <tbody> </tbody>

<tbody>
</tbody>

Runs	Hits	Errors	Walks	Strike Outs	Ground Balls	Fly Balls	Team LOB
Team	5.9	10.3	0.6	2.8	7.9	9.4	5.9	6.6
Opp	5.1	9.5	0.8	2.8	6.5	9.9	4.9	6.6

<tbody>
</tbody>

 

[XSPower]

Good luck tonight!!!

 

[DT32]

How are you handling these today? Doubling up kc and tor? RL's have a decent return?

 

[rolltide]

How are you handling these today? Doubling up kc and tor? RL's have a decent return?

just a double for me, no RL's. will play LA tt over if the ump is right...

misspoke above. this is LAA's FGS away after home stand not the other way around