Oh, Valencia
First order of business: I understand that at this point of the baseball season, the only reason you would even scour the waiver wire is because you still have a legitimate shot at actually winning your league. Or, at the very least, making things interesting. If so, kudos. I hope this column has played at least a small part in making that happen.
More broadly, many of us who play fantasy baseball also play fantasy football. I always see this as a good thing. You see, as people begin to obsess over who to start in their flex spot, they may miss an important piece of baseball news that could make a real difference down the stretch. Yes, it's sad that another fantasy baseball season is drawing to a close, but there are still opportunities to be found.
MIXED LEAGUES:
Ryan Madson RP, Phillies (Yahoo: 27 percent owned, ESPN: 10.6 percent)
As you probably know by now, Brad Lidge hyperextended his elbow over the weekend and was unavailable to pitch Tuesday night. He expects to be ready to pitch Friday against the Mets, but remember that he is coming off elbow surgery last November. It makes plenty of sense to pick up Madson until he proves he is close to 100 percent. There are some who doubt whether he has what it takes to close, but consider that he has a ridiculous 1.57 ERA to go along with a 46/4 K/BB ratio since coming off the disabled list from a broken toe at the start of July. That's one elite insurance policy.
Ike Davis 1B, Mets (Yahoo: 18 percent owned, ESPN: 22.3 percent)
Davis has generally been one of the game's least productive first baseman since the end of June, but he is finally starting to show signs of being a useful property in mixed leagues. The 23-year-old rookie is batting .349 (22-for-63) with a .488 on-base percentage and an impressive 17/17 K/BB ratio over his last 19 games. After failing to hit a home run for more than a month, he has went deep three times in his last five games. Play him while he's hot, especially in leagues where you need to fill a CI spot.
Ian Kennedy SP, Diamondbacks (Yahoo: 27 percent owned, ESPN: 18.3 percent)
Don't give up on Kennedy just yet. After going 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA and a 23/6 K/BB ratio in his last three starts, the Diamondbacks have softened on their stance of limiting him to around 180 innings this season. Things could change if he begins to show some fatigue -- he's currently at 173 innings -- but it sounds as if he has a pretty good chance to make his last few starts. This weekend's matchup against the red-hot Rockies may scare some fantasy owners off, but he'll face the last-place Pirates next week.
Casey Blake 3B, Dodgers (Yahoo: 41 percent owned, ESPN: 14.5 percent)
Blake's best days as a fantasy performer are probably behind him, but you wouldn't know it by how he's been hitting lately. The 37-year-old third baseman is batting .333/.407/.514 with two home runs, seven doubles, nine RBI and a 921 OPS over his last 20 games. I'm alarmed by the way he has fallen off against right-handed pitching this season, but the good news is that he is still destroying lefties. And wouldn't you know it, he'll face J.A. Happ and Wandy Rodriguez this weekend. You know what to do.
Vicente Padilla SP, Dodgers (Yahoo: 14 percent owned, ESPN: 6.1 percent)
No, Padilla didn't look so hot in his return from the disabled list Monday against the Padres, but I'll give him a mulligan since it was his first start since August 15. Instead, I'll bank on the pitcher who has a 4.07 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and an excellent 84/24 K/BB ratio over 95 innings (16 starts) this season. There's no reason to be shy in mixed leagues, especially with the Astros on tap for Saturday. Though they have looked like something resembling a real baseball team lately, they are still the second lowest scoring team in the National League this season.
Julio Borbon OF, Rangers (Yahoo: 25 percent owned, ESPN: 27.2 percent)
Borbon is yet another draft day sleeper that hasn't quite lived up to the hype. It happens. Fortunately for fantasy owners, he's easy to pick up in most mixed formats at the moment. The 24-year-old outfielder is batting .306 with three doubles, six RBI, two stolen bases and eight runs scored over his last 20 games and has hit safely in each of his last five starts. Considering that Josh Hamilton is banged up and will almost certainly get some extra rest once the Rangers wrap up the division, Borbon should play nearly every day as the regular season winds down.
Nick Blackburn SP, Twins (Yahoo: 13 percent owned, ESPN: 3.2 percent)
Blackburn has been absolutely brilliant since returning from the minors at the end of August, posting a 2.28 ERA and 17/5 K/BB ratio over three starts and one relief appearance. Fantasy owners shouldn't bank on the extra strikeouts going forward, but the good news is that he is inducing plenty of groundballs and showing the plus-command we've come to expect from him. With the Twins on a roll, he's a promising spot-start option against the last-place Indians on Saturday.
Shopping at the five-and-dime:
(Note: Players included are owned in less than 10 percent of Y! and ESPN leagues)
Michael Brantley OF, Indians (Yahoo: 9 percent owned, ESPN: 1.3 percent)
If you really think about it, Brantley's early struggles have actually turned out to be something of a blessing in disguise for fantasy owners. You see, masked by a lousy .233 batting average on the year, the 23-year-old outfielder is batting .299/.346/.393 with two home runs, three doubles, one triple, six stolen bases and 18 runs scored in 1172 at-bats since his latest recall from the minors on August 6. With proven on-base skills and the plus-wheels to match, he should be on your radar if you are in the hunt for runs and stolen bases.
Danny Espinosa 2B, Nationals (Yahoo: 4 percent owned, ESPN: 5.3 percent)
It only took one week for Espinosa to graduate from an NL-only option to a mixed property. And why not? The 23-year-old is 9-for-22 (.409) with three doubles, three home runs and 10 RBI over his first seven major league games. We've already witnessed some of his power, but get ready to see some of the speed that helped him swipe 25 bases in the minors this season. Jim Riggleman said he could see time out of the leadoff spot with Nyjer Morgan expected to begin serving his suspension Friday. Espinosa is the perfect speculative play if you've been getting squad out of your MI spot lately.
Justin Masterson SP, Indians (Yahoo: 4 percent owned, ESPN: 0.9 percent)
This one comes with a rather obvious caveat. Masterson is currently at 166 innings and is expected to finish the season as a reliever in order to limit his workload. But even if you'll only be able to use him in one start against the Angels next week, it could be worth it. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 1.74 ERA and a 15/6 K/BB ratio over his last three starts, allowing two runs or less in each of them. He tossed seven innings of one-run ball against the Angels on Monday and could make for a nice spot-start option in a rematch. Just don't look for much beyond that.
Danny Valencia 3B, Twins (Yahoo: 6 percent owned, ESPN: 5.3 percent)
Valencia hasn't played in nearly a week due to a hamstring injury, but he is slated to return to the starting lineup Friday night against the Indians. I'm waiting for his .385 batting average on balls in play to catch up with him -- and it will eventually -- but a .343 batting average over 216 at-bats is nothing to sneeze at. I'm skeptical that he'll actually hit enough to stick at the hot corner in the long-term -- so be careful in keeper leagues -- but he's well worth trying if you use a CI spot.
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AL ONLY:
Casper Wells OF, Tigers (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 1.4 percent)
If you are considering picking up Wells based on his current .327 batting average, you are doing it wrong. The 25-year-old outfielder had a modest .250 batting average over six seasons in the minors and struggled to make contact, striking out more than 28 percent of the time. That's okay, though. Wells possesses enough power and speed to make it worth your while. He's a nice late-season sleeper, but recognize that he had a 952 OPS against lefties in the minors compared to a 778 OPS against right-handers.
Trevor Bell SP, Angels (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.7 percent)
Bell continues to get by with a little help from his friends. The schedule-makers, that is. The 23-year-old right-hander has taken advantage of some of the league's worst offenses (BAL, SEA, CLE) to allow two runs or less in each of his last three starts. And fortunately for him, he's scheduled to get the Indians again next week. Joel Pineiro will probably reclaim his spot in the starting rotation eventually, so this is all about short-term gains.
NL ONLY:
Cory Luebke SP, Padres (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.2 percent)
Look for Luebke to be the hot waiver wire add of the day Thursday. And for good reason. The 25-year-old left-hander was brilliant in his second major league start Wednesday against the Dodgers, allowing just two hits over six shutout innings while striking out seven and walking just one. It should be enough for him to stay in the starting rotation, at least for now. He hasn't proven enough to be a decent streaming option in mixed leagues, especially with a matchup at Colorado next week, but his command the strike zone (2.1 BB/9 in the minors) should keep him in most games.
Nick Hundley C, Padres (Yahoo: 2 percent owned, ESPN: 0.4 percent)
There aren't many Padres hitters who have actually played well lately, but Hundley is a notable exception. The 27-year-old backstop is batting .370 (10-for-27) with four doubles, two home runs and seven RBI over his last nine games and has hit safely in six out of his last seven starts. While he is in a timeshare behind the plate, consider that Yorvit Torrealba is batting just .215 since the start of August. Don't be surprised if Padres manager Bud Black plays the hot hand.
Edinson Volquez SP, Reds (Yahoo: 10 percent owned, ESPN: 8.7 percent)
Volquez was admittedly awful in his first go-around after Tommy John surgery, posting a 6.17 ERA and 36/27 K/BB ratio over eight starts before being sent to Single-A Dayton to work on his mechanics. In turn, Volquez was excellent over two starts with the Dragons, allowing four runs (two earned), posting an encouraging 19/4 K/BB ratio. Let's hope his problems are solved. It's very possible that Aaron Harang will be ousted from the starting rotation, which means Volquez could start against the Pittsburgh on Saturday. In case you forgot, the Pirates are the lowest scoring team in the National League this season. Worth a shot.
First order of business: I understand that at this point of the baseball season, the only reason you would even scour the waiver wire is because you still have a legitimate shot at actually winning your league. Or, at the very least, making things interesting. If so, kudos. I hope this column has played at least a small part in making that happen.
More broadly, many of us who play fantasy baseball also play fantasy football. I always see this as a good thing. You see, as people begin to obsess over who to start in their flex spot, they may miss an important piece of baseball news that could make a real difference down the stretch. Yes, it's sad that another fantasy baseball season is drawing to a close, but there are still opportunities to be found.
MIXED LEAGUES:
Ryan Madson RP, Phillies (Yahoo: 27 percent owned, ESPN: 10.6 percent)
As you probably know by now, Brad Lidge hyperextended his elbow over the weekend and was unavailable to pitch Tuesday night. He expects to be ready to pitch Friday against the Mets, but remember that he is coming off elbow surgery last November. It makes plenty of sense to pick up Madson until he proves he is close to 100 percent. There are some who doubt whether he has what it takes to close, but consider that he has a ridiculous 1.57 ERA to go along with a 46/4 K/BB ratio since coming off the disabled list from a broken toe at the start of July. That's one elite insurance policy.
Ike Davis 1B, Mets (Yahoo: 18 percent owned, ESPN: 22.3 percent)
Davis has generally been one of the game's least productive first baseman since the end of June, but he is finally starting to show signs of being a useful property in mixed leagues. The 23-year-old rookie is batting .349 (22-for-63) with a .488 on-base percentage and an impressive 17/17 K/BB ratio over his last 19 games. After failing to hit a home run for more than a month, he has went deep three times in his last five games. Play him while he's hot, especially in leagues where you need to fill a CI spot.
Ian Kennedy SP, Diamondbacks (Yahoo: 27 percent owned, ESPN: 18.3 percent)
Don't give up on Kennedy just yet. After going 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA and a 23/6 K/BB ratio in his last three starts, the Diamondbacks have softened on their stance of limiting him to around 180 innings this season. Things could change if he begins to show some fatigue -- he's currently at 173 innings -- but it sounds as if he has a pretty good chance to make his last few starts. This weekend's matchup against the red-hot Rockies may scare some fantasy owners off, but he'll face the last-place Pirates next week.
Casey Blake 3B, Dodgers (Yahoo: 41 percent owned, ESPN: 14.5 percent)
Blake's best days as a fantasy performer are probably behind him, but you wouldn't know it by how he's been hitting lately. The 37-year-old third baseman is batting .333/.407/.514 with two home runs, seven doubles, nine RBI and a 921 OPS over his last 20 games. I'm alarmed by the way he has fallen off against right-handed pitching this season, but the good news is that he is still destroying lefties. And wouldn't you know it, he'll face J.A. Happ and Wandy Rodriguez this weekend. You know what to do.
Vicente Padilla SP, Dodgers (Yahoo: 14 percent owned, ESPN: 6.1 percent)
No, Padilla didn't look so hot in his return from the disabled list Monday against the Padres, but I'll give him a mulligan since it was his first start since August 15. Instead, I'll bank on the pitcher who has a 4.07 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and an excellent 84/24 K/BB ratio over 95 innings (16 starts) this season. There's no reason to be shy in mixed leagues, especially with the Astros on tap for Saturday. Though they have looked like something resembling a real baseball team lately, they are still the second lowest scoring team in the National League this season.
Julio Borbon OF, Rangers (Yahoo: 25 percent owned, ESPN: 27.2 percent)
Borbon is yet another draft day sleeper that hasn't quite lived up to the hype. It happens. Fortunately for fantasy owners, he's easy to pick up in most mixed formats at the moment. The 24-year-old outfielder is batting .306 with three doubles, six RBI, two stolen bases and eight runs scored over his last 20 games and has hit safely in each of his last five starts. Considering that Josh Hamilton is banged up and will almost certainly get some extra rest once the Rangers wrap up the division, Borbon should play nearly every day as the regular season winds down.
Nick Blackburn SP, Twins (Yahoo: 13 percent owned, ESPN: 3.2 percent)
Blackburn has been absolutely brilliant since returning from the minors at the end of August, posting a 2.28 ERA and 17/5 K/BB ratio over three starts and one relief appearance. Fantasy owners shouldn't bank on the extra strikeouts going forward, but the good news is that he is inducing plenty of groundballs and showing the plus-command we've come to expect from him. With the Twins on a roll, he's a promising spot-start option against the last-place Indians on Saturday.
Shopping at the five-and-dime:
(Note: Players included are owned in less than 10 percent of Y! and ESPN leagues)
Michael Brantley OF, Indians (Yahoo: 9 percent owned, ESPN: 1.3 percent)
If you really think about it, Brantley's early struggles have actually turned out to be something of a blessing in disguise for fantasy owners. You see, masked by a lousy .233 batting average on the year, the 23-year-old outfielder is batting .299/.346/.393 with two home runs, three doubles, one triple, six stolen bases and 18 runs scored in 1172 at-bats since his latest recall from the minors on August 6. With proven on-base skills and the plus-wheels to match, he should be on your radar if you are in the hunt for runs and stolen bases.
Danny Espinosa 2B, Nationals (Yahoo: 4 percent owned, ESPN: 5.3 percent)
It only took one week for Espinosa to graduate from an NL-only option to a mixed property. And why not? The 23-year-old is 9-for-22 (.409) with three doubles, three home runs and 10 RBI over his first seven major league games. We've already witnessed some of his power, but get ready to see some of the speed that helped him swipe 25 bases in the minors this season. Jim Riggleman said he could see time out of the leadoff spot with Nyjer Morgan expected to begin serving his suspension Friday. Espinosa is the perfect speculative play if you've been getting squad out of your MI spot lately.
Justin Masterson SP, Indians (Yahoo: 4 percent owned, ESPN: 0.9 percent)
This one comes with a rather obvious caveat. Masterson is currently at 166 innings and is expected to finish the season as a reliever in order to limit his workload. But even if you'll only be able to use him in one start against the Angels next week, it could be worth it. The 25-year-old right-hander has a 1.74 ERA and a 15/6 K/BB ratio over his last three starts, allowing two runs or less in each of them. He tossed seven innings of one-run ball against the Angels on Monday and could make for a nice spot-start option in a rematch. Just don't look for much beyond that.
Danny Valencia 3B, Twins (Yahoo: 6 percent owned, ESPN: 5.3 percent)
Valencia hasn't played in nearly a week due to a hamstring injury, but he is slated to return to the starting lineup Friday night against the Indians. I'm waiting for his .385 batting average on balls in play to catch up with him -- and it will eventually -- but a .343 batting average over 216 at-bats is nothing to sneeze at. I'm skeptical that he'll actually hit enough to stick at the hot corner in the long-term -- so be careful in keeper leagues -- but he's well worth trying if you use a CI spot.
<!--RW-->
AL ONLY:
Casper Wells OF, Tigers (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 1.4 percent)
If you are considering picking up Wells based on his current .327 batting average, you are doing it wrong. The 25-year-old outfielder had a modest .250 batting average over six seasons in the minors and struggled to make contact, striking out more than 28 percent of the time. That's okay, though. Wells possesses enough power and speed to make it worth your while. He's a nice late-season sleeper, but recognize that he had a 952 OPS against lefties in the minors compared to a 778 OPS against right-handers.
Trevor Bell SP, Angels (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.7 percent)
Bell continues to get by with a little help from his friends. The schedule-makers, that is. The 23-year-old right-hander has taken advantage of some of the league's worst offenses (BAL, SEA, CLE) to allow two runs or less in each of his last three starts. And fortunately for him, he's scheduled to get the Indians again next week. Joel Pineiro will probably reclaim his spot in the starting rotation eventually, so this is all about short-term gains.
NL ONLY:
Cory Luebke SP, Padres (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.2 percent)
Look for Luebke to be the hot waiver wire add of the day Thursday. And for good reason. The 25-year-old left-hander was brilliant in his second major league start Wednesday against the Dodgers, allowing just two hits over six shutout innings while striking out seven and walking just one. It should be enough for him to stay in the starting rotation, at least for now. He hasn't proven enough to be a decent streaming option in mixed leagues, especially with a matchup at Colorado next week, but his command the strike zone (2.1 BB/9 in the minors) should keep him in most games.
Nick Hundley C, Padres (Yahoo: 2 percent owned, ESPN: 0.4 percent)
There aren't many Padres hitters who have actually played well lately, but Hundley is a notable exception. The 27-year-old backstop is batting .370 (10-for-27) with four doubles, two home runs and seven RBI over his last nine games and has hit safely in six out of his last seven starts. While he is in a timeshare behind the plate, consider that Yorvit Torrealba is batting just .215 since the start of August. Don't be surprised if Padres manager Bud Black plays the hot hand.
Edinson Volquez SP, Reds (Yahoo: 10 percent owned, ESPN: 8.7 percent)
Volquez was admittedly awful in his first go-around after Tommy John surgery, posting a 6.17 ERA and 36/27 K/BB ratio over eight starts before being sent to Single-A Dayton to work on his mechanics. In turn, Volquez was excellent over two starts with the Dragons, allowing four runs (two earned), posting an encouraging 19/4 K/BB ratio. Let's hope his problems are solved. It's very possible that Aaron Harang will be ousted from the starting rotation, which means Volquez could start against the Pittsburgh on Saturday. In case you forgot, the Pirates are the lowest scoring team in the National League this season. Worth a shot.