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hacheman@therx.com
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The Return of the Hoff
We finally broke in the new house this weekend with a barbecue that did us all a ton of good. After all the scraping, sanding, and hauling we did on the place, it felt great to finally use the space for fun.

You could think about your fantasy team the same way. You've scraped, sanded, painted, primed and hauled your team to the point you're at. Don't forget to enjoy your players and the team you've put together. That's the point, isn't it?

* One of the best ways to profit off of the trade deadline and team turmoil as the contenders separate out from the pretenders is to find a closer on the wire. This weekend, two separate closing situations came to a point that may mint new saves opportunities for names both unfamiliar and familiar.

We all knew Trevor Hoffman's name, but he's been dropped from most of the fantasy teams that were holding on to him, still waiting for him to get those final three saves on the way to 600. Well, now it looks like the Brewers also want him to get those saves, if only to fill some seats in the final weeks of the season. The team said that Hoffman will share duties going forward with John Axford, which is unfortunate for Axford owners and mustache enthusiasts alike.

In Florida, Leo Nunez has had some struggles that may open the door for a new name in the category. Clay Hensley, the former starter from San Diego with no strikeouts in his game, might be next in line. He's suddenly been striking people out left and right this year, and pairing that with his always-strong groundball rate has made him a revelation in the way Leo Nunez was just last year.

* The dust has settled on some older closer situations, but things are not completely clear. Drew Storen had an up-and-down weekend, getting his first career save on Friday and giving up a few runs on Sunday. Sean Burnett didn't fair much better and is a lefty, though, and with all the buzz Storen still looks like the eventual winner there. The question is if that is in 2010 or 2011.

Joel Hanrahan got a nice save on August third and seemed like the closer in Pittsburgh, but since then he's given up five runs getting five outs. He's a flyball pitcher, and he'll give up home runs. With his great K-rate, and the Bucs' reliance on Evan Meek to garner double-plays and pitch multiple innings, Hanrahan is probably still the winner there. It may also be a rocky ride.

* For the first few years of his career, Brandon Morrow has been consistent in one category: walks. He has a career 5.21 walks per nine, which is ghastly - and backed up by his work in the minor leagues (4.34 BB/9). It's too bad, because he has commensurate strikeout ability as well. His 9.63 K/9 is elite for a starter, and this year he's bumped that number up to 10.19 - best in baseball for qualified starters.

So then Morrow went out on Sunday and came within one out of a no-hitter, and the most amazing thing about the performance was not the 17 strikeouts he amassed in nine innings. No, the best part of the start was the fact that Morrow only walked two batters. That will lower Morrow's career-best walk rate to 4.03. Considering that he strikes out so many batters, it might just work. If strikeouts are your main aim, Morrow is already mixed-league relevant.

* Daric Barton left Sunday's game with shoulder spasms, and Chris Carter was removed from his game in Triple-A after one at-bat. Carter is the obvious replacement for Barton and has upside to beat his predecessor at the position. Though Carter's current line at Triple-A (.260/.366/.526) doesn't look that great, he's playing in a tough home park, and he's still showing great home run power. He now has 26, 32, 39 and 25 home runs in his past four seasons in the minor leagues. He has been ironing out some contact issues this year, and looks ready to go. The batting average might not be there, but the power is legit.

* It looks like Vernon Wells may have a fractured toe. He dislocated it making a great catch, and if he misses significant time, his absence will be noted. After a terrible July, Wells was regaining steam in August and looked ready to continue being a surprising source of power this year.

* Matt LaPorta went 3-for-4 with a home run on Sunday, which raises his batting average to .297 since returning from the minor leagues. The power is there too, with six home runs in that same stretch, but it's borderline at first base if you're thinking forward. This year, he has outfield eligibility and is helping many fantasy teams at the back end of the lineup. If he's on your waiver wire and you're looking for a late boost, he makes a great free pickup.

NL Quick Hits: 2010 draftee Mike Minor blew through the minor leagues, showed more strikeout ability than was thought, and might just stick in the rotation after his start today; Kenshin Kawakami is in Triple-A now and not a Bobby Cox favorite … Former DVDer Thomas Diamond struggled in his second start for the Cubs after doing well in his first; sounds like a rookie … Fernando Martinez was called up in New York, but most owners should watch the playing time battle in that outfield sort itself out before picking him up … Takaishi Saito picked up a save for the Braves over the weekend, but only because Billy Wagner had been used three days in a row … In Arizona, Juan Gutierrez (shoulder) played catch, felt good and may not miss much more than the minimum; who knows if he's the closer when he returns, as Aaron Heilman has been doing fine, racking up eight strait scoreless appearances before giving up two runs over the weekend… Rafael Furcal has missed five days with a lower back strain, but thinks he'll be back on Tuesday … Chris Young the pitcher felt great after a bullpen Saturday and is hoping to help the team soon … Dusty Baker was forced to give Francisco Cordero a vote of confidence after another poor outing; Nick Masset is the name to remember behind him … Esmil Rogers got the first call to replace Aaron Cook, but the team is waiting for the more interesting Jhoulys Chacin to build up his innings to be the eventual replacement … Speaking of building up innings, Tony LaRussa admitted that the team may skip a Jaime Garcia turn sometime this month; Garcia has never thrown more than 155 innings and is coming off TJ surgery … Chris Coghlan underwent season-ending surgery, but might be interesting at third or second base next year … Stephen Strasburg (shoulder) felt good again on Saturday and is on track to start Tuesday … Mike Adams was activated over the weekend, and is an immediate pickup in holds leagues … The rebounding Geovany Soto has a mild ligament strain in his shoulder and might miss some time … Ruben Tejada took over at second base for the Mets, but he doesn't have much power or speed … Brad Penny (strained lat) is getting close to returning after playing catch … New Brewers' centerfielder Lorenzo Cain will get at-bats against lefties and may also steal some time from the old man, Jim Edmonds; Cain is able to give you speed while he fills in for the injured Carlos Gomez (concussion) … Chris Heisey has been starting for the Reds and playing well; he has enough power and speed upside to be relevant in most leagues.

AL Quick Hits: The Red Sox lost Kevin Youkilis for the year, and gained Mike Lowell as the team's primary replacement as well as Jason Varitek (foot), who finally took batting practice, and teammate Dustin Pedroia (foot), who thinks he'll be back on the next homestead (August 17th) … Carlos Guillen should be in the lineup today, deep leaguers looking for middle infield help … Bizarrely, Jack Wilson will be replaced by Josh Wilson after the former Mariner shortstop J Wilson slipped in the bathroom and hurt himself … Gordon Beckham is having some groin issues and isn't sure when he'll be back in the lineup … Oakland closer Andrew Bailey is playing catch, but suffered a 4-to-6 week injury to his ribcage about two-and-a-half weeks ago … Michael Saunders has missed some games since he ran into an outfield wall, but is only day-to-day at worst … Michael Brantley, on the other hand, is up and playing most days in Cleveland; his speed makes him interesting to deeper leagues … The Twins activated Orland Hudson, but without any power or speed to speak of, he's not a great fantasy option … Breath is baited in Tampa Bay, where both Wade Davis and Jeff Niemann are getting their shoulders checked this week, but neither situation is red-alert yet … Gregor Blanco has no power, but a little bit of speed and is starting most games for the Royals right now … Kevin Slowey's next start has been pushed back because of a sore elbow, which is unfortunate given his recently improving performance … The Blue Jays called up super prospect J.P. Arencibia to fill in for an injured John Buck, but after the youngster's two-home-run performance in his debut, we'll see if Buck doesn't get Wally Pipped; pick up the prospect anyway for the time being … Alexi Casilla has bone chips in his left ankle and a stint on the DL looks likely … JJ Putz earned a save on Saturday, but it's unclear if Bobby Jenks was just getting time off or has lost his job; the public stance is that he's kept it … Aaron Hill went 3-for-4 with two home runs and might be a good pickup as his batted ball luck picks up … The Mariners have been talking to the Mets, and Chone Figgins might be the big name that moves to Flushing … Daniel Hudson had a nice start on Friday and is interesting in all leagues at this point, thanks to his competition most nights.
 

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Nearing Crunch Time
It's that time of year again. Teams are moving closer or further away from clinching divisional crowns and crucial series are making for high-drama baseball. On Monday night the National League Central-leading Reds opened a three-game series against the second-place Cardinals in front of an invigorated crowd at Cincinnati's Great American Ballpark. But those Redlegs encountered a hot-on-the-mound Chris Carpenter, who led the Cardinals to a decisive 7-3 victory. The right-hander now has a 1.79 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over six starts since the All-Star break, and, with two games left in the series, the Cards are just one game back of Cincinnati for the top spot in the division.

Of course, that's not the only exciting storyline in baseball this week. The Yankees begin an interesting two-game series against the American League West-leading Rangers on Tuesday, the Twins and White Sox are set to kick off a three-game set on the south side of Chicago, and the Giants will take on the Padres this weekend in a battle for baseball's smallest division. Oh, and the Mariners fired manager Don Wakamatsu and pitching coach Rick Adair in a questionable series of moves Monday. Thought we'd slip that in before getting to some other news items...

* The Rays lost both Wade Davis and Jeff Niemann to shoulder strains Monday and are left scrambling in the midst of a disappointing week of on-field results. Jeremy Hellickson has already been recalled from Triple-A Durham and is scheduled to take the mound Tuesday against the Tigers. He may be able to provide some hope. The 23-year-old held the Twins to two runs over seven innings in his major league debut last week and he's shown the kind of strikeout rate in the minors that gives him immediate relevance in fantasy leagues. Pick him up, start him, do whatever it takes. Even if Hellickson only gets a handful of outings down the stretch, he looks like the kind of guy that can be a real difference maker both for the second-place Rays and in mixed fantasy leagues.

* The Brewers' ninth-inning situation just got a bit murkier, or at least more confusing. It was announced over the weekend that veteran Trevor Hoffman would begin seeing save chances again in a sort of committee with the younger John Axford. Axford was handed the opportunity to close out Monday's game and blew his second save of the season. Hoffman entered in the 10th inning with the lead lost and allowed three innings in one inning of work as the Brew Crew fell 7-4 to the Diamondbacks. What are we supposed to make of all of this? First, the Brewers aren't very good. Second, neither Axford nor Hoffman is a reliable fantasy option.

* When the White Sox traded for Edwin Jackson at the July trade deadline, many on the reporting side of the baseball industry thought that the right-hander would then be flipped to the Nationals in a deal for slugger Adam Dunn. That second part never happened, however, and the White Sox have to be pleased with that fact. Jackson has suddenly turned into an ace for the Southsiders, allowing just two total earned runs in his first 13 innings with the club. He doesn't have the best peripheral numbers and won't be kicking around a sub-2.00 ERA for very long in the American League, but he's definitely worth checking out in all mixed fantasy leagues.

* We're likely to see a swapping of roles in the back end of the Orioles' bullpen this week. Alfredo Simon blew his fourth save of the season on Monday against the White Sox and has now allowed nine runs in his last eight appearances. Mike Gonzalez, meanwhile, has allowed just six hits and two earned runs in 10 appearances since returning from the disabled list. He's being paid like an elite closer and should have the ninth-inning job in Baltimore by the weekend, unless new manager Buck Showalter has gone crazy.

NL Quick Hits: The Brewers have diagnosed Ryan Braun with a left wrist strain and contusion, and are calling him day-to-day ... Braves prospect Mike Minor allowed four runs over six innings in his major league debut Monay against the Astros ... Carlos Silva has undergone a minor cardiac ablation to remedy his irregular heartbeat and could be cleared to return by the end of August ... Martin Prado won't be ready to return from the disabled list on the first day he's eligible ... Astros shortstop Tommy Manzella has begun a rehab assignment and should be less than a week from returning to the big leagues ... Travis Wood will return once his mandatory 10-day stay in the minor leagues is up ... Phillies second baseman Chase Utley has been able to build muscle mass while on the disabled list and believes it will help him down the stretch ... Pat Burrell has a .391 batting average, five doubles, a homer and seven walks in 23 August at-bats ... Braves phenon Jason Heyward hit his first home run since June 17 in the Braves' loss to the Astros on Monday ... The Giants designated right-hander Todd Wellemeyer for assignment ... Aaron Heilman allowed three hits in the ninth inning Monday but escaped with his sixth save of the year ... Reds rookie Mike Leake has been knocked around in three straight starts and may be showing signs of wearing down ... Kyle Lohse will make his next rehab start on Tuesday for Triple-A Memphis ... Geovany Soto is still struggling with a shoulder ailment ... The Reds will use Jim Edmonds as a part-time outfielder ...

AL Quick Hits: There is still no timetable on Justin Morneau's return from a concussion ... Bobby Abreu drove in four runs Monday against the Royals ... Andy Pettitte threw a successful bullpen session over the weekend and is on course for an August 20-22 return ... Mariners starter Doug Fister picked up his first win since May 14 on Monday against the A's ... The Yankees are confident that A.J. Burnett will be able to start on Tuesday night against the Rangers ... Jacoby Ellsbury has been dropped temporarily to ninth in Boston's batting order ... The Tigers activated second baseman Carlos Guillen from the disabled list ... Curtis Granderson is batting just .206/.242/.275 in 102 at-bats against left-handed pitchers this season ... Mike Napoli may co-lead the Angels in home runs, but he's been held out of the lineup for two straight days ... O's second baseman Brian Roberts had the game-winning homer in Monday's defeat of the White Sox ... Matt Tolbert has begun a minor league rehab assignment with the Twins' affiliate in the Gulf Coast League ... Chris Carter went 0-for-3 with two strikeouts in his major league debut Monday against the Mariners ... The Yankees still aren't sure when Nick Johnson (wrist) might be ready to return ... Vernon Wells is day-to-day with a dislocated toe that he suffered while making a great catch during Brandon Morrow's near no-hitter on Sunday ... Ryan Rowland-Smith (back) allowed 11 hits over 5 2/3 innings Saturday in his first rehab start at Triple-A Tacoma ... Jeremy Hermida has been sent outright to Triple-A Pawtucket.
 

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Hoffman returns to closing

In this week's edition of Saves and Steals, your irascible correspondent wonders what happened to Jose Valverde, takes note of a shot across Leo Nunez' bow by his skipper and welcomes Trevor Hoffman back to the closer's job in Milwaukee (for three more saves, anyway).

In honor of The Expendables (a group of mercenaries are hired to infiltrate a South American country!), which opens on Friday, this week's tiers are brought to you by the five levels of star power amongst the film's crew.


Tier 1: Elite (2) (AKA: The "Arnold Schwarzenegger" Tier.)



Mariano Rivera, New York Yankees
Jonathan Papelbon, Boston Red Sox


Tier 2: Rock Steady (9) (AKA: The "Mickey Rourke" Tier.)



Jonathan Broxton, Los Angeles Dodgers
Joakim Soria, Kansas City Royals
Billy Wagner, Atlanta Braves
Carlos Marmol, Chicago Cubs
Heath Bell, San Diego Padres
Rafael Soriano, Tampa Bay Rays
Francisco Rodriguez, New York Mets
Brian Wilson, San Francisco Giants
Neftali Feliz, Texas Rangers

Comment:
Billy Wagner's increased workload since the start of the month afforded him a day off Sunday and gave Takashi Saito his first save of the season in a win over the Giants. Wagner punted three save opportunities in July, but he's returned to automatic status in August.

The 38-year-old is first in ESPN.com's fantasy baseball Player Rater for closers, sitting over a point above the second most valuable reliever.

The runner-up on that list, by the way, is Heath Bell.


Tier 3: OK options (6) (AKA: The "Jason Statham" Tier.)



neg_arrow.gif
Jose Valverde, Detroit Tigers
Huston Street, Colorado Rockies
Leo Nunez, Florida Marlins
Ryan Franklin, St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Capps, Minnesota Twins
Brian Fuentes, Los Angeles Angels

Comment:
No one is suffering through the dog days of summer quite like Jose Valverde. The veteran stopper has allowed runs in six of his last nine appearances and his ERA has jumped from 0.51 to 2.76 since the start of July.

Marlins interim manager Edwin Rodriguez overreacted over the weekend by saying he might go to a closer's committee if Leo Nunez continues to struggle. Nunez was coming off a rough week, but Florida doesn't have a reliever near his talent level. Nunez blew Saturday's save against St. Louis and Thursday's opportunity versus Philadelphia. He also allowed three hits and a run in a non-save situation on Wednesday against the Phillies.

Rodriguez believes the problem is Nunez' over reliance on his changeup.

"We're trying to get him to use his fastball more," Rodriguez told MLB.com. "We've been using the bullpen way too much, and that may be the reason he doesn't want to go with the fastball. For now, he's our closer, but if he doesn't make an adjustment, we may have to explore other options -- maybe do a closer by committee."

For what it's worth, this seems like a hollow threat sent through the media to force Nunez to take his coaching more seriously. Despite his recent struggles, the young closer has a 2.91 ERA and 49/12 K/BB rate over 46 1/3 innings. He's only given up one homer all year.

If we're wrong about Rodriguez' intentions and Nunez blows a few more opportunities, the rookie manager could hand a save opportunity off to Clay Hensley, Brian Sanches or Will Ohman.


Tier 4: Question marks (7) (AKA: The "'Stone Cold' Steve Austin" Tier.)



Brad Lidge, Philadelphia Phillies
Bobby Jenks, Chicago White Sox
Francisco Cordero, Cincinnati Reds
Matt Lindstrom, Houston Astros
David Aardsma, Seattle Mariners
Kevin Gregg, Toronto Blue Jays
Chris Perez, Cleveland Indians

Comment:
Bobby Jenks hasn't pitched since August 5 while suffering from back stiffness, but he's available to return the next time Chicago needs him. Manager Ozzie Guillen said Jenks would be eased back into the closer role when he returns, so Putz or Matt Thornton could vulture a save or two in the near future.

Guillen is very loyal and we're betting he doesn't yank Jenks from the closer's job over the remainder of the season, so Putz needn't be plucked from the waiver wire in mixed leagues just yet.

Jenks blew a three-run lead Thursday against the Tigers, but he is still 23-for-26 in save opportunities this year and his strikeout rate has been good despite his 5.13 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Putz, by the way, has a 1.96 ERA in 41 1/3 innings, but he took the loss Monday by allowing a tenth-inning homer to Brian Roberts.

Reds manager Dusty Baker pledged his support for scuffling closer Francisco Cordero over the weekend. Cordero has blown six save chances (converting 30) and has a 4.11 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. CoCo was up to his old tricks on Saturday, getting yanked in the ninth inning after walking the bases loaded and plunking a hitter to force in a run.


Tier 5: Rollercoaster rides (6) (AKA: The "Terry Crews/Dolph Lundgren" Tier.)



Alfredo Simon, Baltimore Orioles
Joel Hanrahan, Pittsburgh Pirates
Aaron Heilman, Arizona Diamondbacks
Michael Wuertz, Oakland Athletics
Drew Storen/Sean Burnett, Washington Nationals
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Trevor Hoffman/John Axford, Milwaukee Brewers

Comment:
Orioles manager Buck Showalter refuses to name an official closer, but Alfredo Simon remains the main option. For now. Simon blew his fourth save Monday when he allowed a solo homer to Paul Konerko with a one-run lead. Simon's ERA has ballooned to 4.62 as he's given up nine runs and four homers in his last eight appearances

Keep watching Mike Gonzalez, who has allowed only two runs in nine appearances since his activation from the disabled list. We expect him to get another crack at the closer's job very soon.

Joel Hanrahan is getting the first shot at the vacant closing job in Pittsburgh. He converted his first save on Tuesday against the Reds, but was touched up for two runs over 2/3 of an inning in a non-save situation Friday against the Rockies. Evan Meek lurks, but Hanrahan should keep getting opportunities unless a few more implosions force a change in ideology.

Aaron Heilman is owned in only 12.6% of ESPN.com leagues, a number that should be a lot higher. For now, he's the undisputed closer. Heilman earned his sixth save by tossing a scoreless tenth inning on Monday against the Brewers, but he made it interesting by allowing three hits and escaping a bases-loaded jam.

Sam Demel probably won't get a shot at the job until next year and Juan Gutierrez is on the disabled list with right shoulder inflammation.

Gutierrez is on a throwing program and the most optimistic prognosis for his return is 7-10 days. At that time he could re-enter the picture, as Gutierrez did convert a pair of save opportunities in July and slashed his ERA from 10.31 to 6.69 since June 1.

Andrew Bailey, out since July 21, does not yet have a timetable for his return. Realistically, he could be a few weeks from returning.

Michael Wuertz is the closer until his return. Craig Breslow could also vulture an opportunity based on matchups, but he's relevant only in AL-only formats.

Nationals manager Jim Riggleman hinted Saturday that he's still not comfortable naming Drew Storen the full-time closer.

"For me, he is kind of a work in progress," Riggleman told MLB.com. "He is showing flashes of a really fine guy."

Storen picked up his first career save on Friday and it says here that he'll have the most fantasy value of any National reliever from here on out.

Sean Burnett is the other Washington reliever with fantasy relevance. He picked up the first save after Matt Capps' trade out of town, but allowed a run in 1/3 of an inning Saturday against the Dodgers to take the loss.

Tyler Clippard is still ownable in NL-only formats, but it looks like he's fallen out of the closer's race.

Milwaukee had a save opportunity Saturday against the Astros and Ken Macha summoned greybeard Trevor Hoffman to convert it. The next day Macha said Hoffman and John Axford would share closing duties.

On Monday, both got a chance to blow a potential Brewers win. Axford was called on with a 4-3 lead in the ninth inning against the D'Backs, but he walked two batters and allowed a run to force the game into extra innings. Hoffman entered in the tenth and was chased off the mound, allowing three runs on two walks and three hits to get slapped with a well-deserved loss.

Axford deserved to finish out the year as closer after converting 16-of-18 save chances and posting a 3.16 ERA and 44/14 K/BB rate in 37 innings, but Macha is doing right by a legend in allowing Hoffman to reach 600 saves before his inevitable retirement this offseason.

Hoffman owns a 6.81 ERA in 37 innings, but he'd posted a 1.42 ERA over his last 19 appearances prior to Monday's disaster. Hoffman is three saves short of 600 and that march toward a milestone is the last thing Milwaukee fans have to interest themselves in over the next month and a half. Look on the bright side, Axford owners: Perhaps Macha will make Axford the undisputed closer again once Hoffman earns those three saves.

Both Hoffman and Axford need to be owned in all formats while they're in a timeshare.

<CENTER>* * * * * * * * * *</CENTER>


Injured


Joe Nathan, Minnesota Twins (Out for the season with a torn ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow)
Andrew Bailey, Oakland Athletics (15-day disabled list with a strained intercostal muscle)
Juan Gutierrez, Arizona Diamondbacks (15-day disabled list with right shoulder inflammation)

The Deposed:
Frank Francisco, Texas Rangers
Jason Frasor, Toronto Blue Jay
Jim Johnson, Baltimore Orioles
Mike Gonzalez, Baltimore Orioles
Chad Qualls, Tampa Bay Rays
Kerry Wood, New York Yankees
Octavio Dotel, Los Angeles Dodgers
Jon Rauch, Minnesota Twins
 

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You Talkin' To Me?
Fireworks! Not the pretty kind, but plenty colorful.

It was one of the wildest scenes you'll ever see on a baseball diamond. Upset about comments that Reds second baseman Brandon Phillips made on Sunday to the Dayton Daily News, Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina entered Tuesday's game in Cincinnati ready for a fight. Yadi refused a friendly bat-to-shin-guard tap from Phillips before a pitch was thrown in the bottom of the first inning and apparently let Phillips know that the two were "not friends." That set off Phillips, and resulted in the benches clearing at Great American Ballpark.

Managers Dusty Baker and Tony La Russa then got into it, and momentum carried a big pile of players into the backstop. Chris Carpenter found himself pinned against the protective net, as did Reds starter Johnny Cueto, who began kicking at everything in sight in an attempt to free himself. Cueto wound up booting Cardinals backup catcher Jason LaRue in the face with his metal spikes, also landing a shot or two in Carpenter's back. Things eventually calmed down and only Baker and LaRussa were ejected, but this one feels far from finished.

Witnessing the birth of a rivalry is a pretty cool thing. Knowing that said rivalry is still in its infancy is even better. The Reds and Cardinals will close out this crucial three-game series on Wednesday afternoon, and then the two teams will meet again over Labor Day weekend in St. Louis. Right now, there's a tie for first place atop the National League Central and it could remain that way well into September.

What are the fantasy implications? Well, there aren't many. Cueto will probably be suspended for several games, but he'll essentially only miss one start. Yadi may miss a game or two, but he's not exactly a fantasy guy despite his heroic second-inning blast and leisurely trot around the bases in the aftermath of Tuesday's brouhaha. On that note, and with the word "brouhaha" making its Daily Dose debut, we should probably move on...

* The National League Central isn't the only division that has turned into a dogfight. The Twins and White Sox have been doing battle for weeks in the AL Central and they will finish up a major three-game series with games Wednesday and Thursday night. The Twins recaptured sole possession of first place in the division on Tuesday thanks, in part, to a four-RBI effort from Michael Cuddyer. Joe Mauer also drove in three runs and homered, and Scott Baker pitched well enough to win his 10th game of the season. Cuddyer was selected pretty early in fantasy drafts this season because of the 32 homers, 94 RBI and .862 OPS that he posted in 153 games last year. He's been a disappointment in 2010, though, with only 10 dingers and 50 RBI through 105 contests. Maybe Tuesday's outburst will prove to be the start of something good.

* Any time Stephen Strasburg makes a start, good or bad, it's going to be big news. Tuesday's outing was of the bad variety. The 22-year-old phenom spent the last two weeks on the disabled list nursing a sore shoulder, and he was shelled for six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings Tuesday when he stepped back atop a mound for his first start since July 21. Whether Strasburg is hitting a wall because of his high innings total or was simply showing a normal case of rust, it may be time to reconsider his must-start status. Ah, nevermind. He still has some of the best pure stuff in the game and we're sure he will bounce back next week. Keep him active, keep starting him.

* It seems like we are forced to hit on the Diamondbacks' ninth-inning situation on a daily basis here at Rotoworld. Probably because it has been a carousel this entire year. On Tuesday, 24-year-old right-hander Samuel V. Demel earned his first career save with a scoreless ninth inning against the Brewers. He was given the save opportunity because Aaron Heilman had appeared in five of Arizona's last six games, but it's still significant. Heilman has not been good and Demel, if installed at closer for the remainder of the season, may give the D'Backs a much-needed glimpse at the future. Hopefully manager Kirk Gibson will bring clarity to this situation by the end of the week. We'd definitely put Demel on a watch list in all fantasy leagues.

NL Quick Hits: Dodgers shortstop Rafael Furcal is headed to the disabled list with a back injury ... Jason Heyward is being called day-to-day with a sore right knee ... Brewers slugger Ryan Braun could miss several games with a sore wrist ... Chipper Jones felt a "pop" in his knee while making a spectacular play at third base Tuesday ... Placido Polanco is day-to-day with left triceps tendinitis ... Tim Lincecum watched his ERA balloon to 3.41 on Tuesday, the highest it's been since May of 2009 ... New Padres outfielder Ryan Ludwick hit his first two home runs for the club on Tuesday in a defeat of the Pirates ... Matt Holliday is batting .375/.412/.656 over 32 at-bats in the month of July and .330 with a .951 OPS since the All-Star break ... Edgar Renteria exited Tuesday's game with a left biceps strain ... Phillies outfielder Shane Victorino has begun a minor league rehab assignment ... Chase Utley could be cleared to swing a bat this week ... Braves prospect Mike Minor will make his next big league start on Monday against the Nationals ... Jerry Hairston Jr. is playing through painful shin splints ... Mike Pelfrey twirled a rare gem Tuesday, firing seven shutout innings against a strong Rockies lineup ... Corey Hart is day-to-day with back stiffness ... Cardinals second baseman Skip Schumaker left Tuesday's game with leg cramps ... Homer Bailey could take Mike Leake's spot in the Reds' starting rotation later this week ... David Eckstein (calf) is still about five days from beginning a running program ... Jordan Zimmermann was again impressive in his latest rehab start ... Aaron Harang threw a 59-pitch simulated game Tuesday ... Mets outfielder Carlos Beltran cleared waivers.

AL Quick Hits: Rays youngster Jeremy Hellickson fired seven shutout innings against the Tigers Tuesday in his second major league start ... Mariners ace Felix Hernandez struck out 13 batters Tuesday and combined on a shutout of the A's with closer David Aardsma ... Ian Kinsler is not expected to return from the disabled list before the end of August ... Rehabbing second baseman Dustin Pedroia ran at close to 100 percent on Tuesday ... Jorge Posada is day-to-day with a "cranky" right shoulder ... Rangers outfielder David Murphy hit a walkoff RBI single to defeat the Yankees on Tuesday night in Arlington ... Max Scherzer limited the Rays to one earned run over seven innings Tuesday in yet another fine outing ... Yankees first baseman and new father Mark Teixeira is not expected to return to the lineup until Thursday in Kansas City ... Carlos Pena is on track to return from the disabled list the first day that he's eligible ... Mike Gonzalez should begin seeing more save opportunities in Baltimore ... The Angels may soon designate setup man Scot Shields for assignment ... Ben Sheets underwent successful shoulder surgery this week and is still set on making a comeback ... A's closer Andrew Bailey is beginning to throw long toss and is less than two weeks from returning ... Robinson Cano was held out Tuesday with a cold ... Mitch Talbot made a three-inning rehab start Monday at Single-A Mahoning Valley ... Gil Meche threw a successful simulated game Monday ... Mariners shortstop Jack Wilson has been placed on the disabled list with a fractured hand and is unlikely to return this season ... Blue Jays shortstop Yunel Escobar is day-to-day with a sore right knee.
 

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K-Rod Tries Slugging
It's not terribly often that a player becomes a top fantasy news headline on a day that he didn't do anything baseball-related whatsoever, but that was precisely what happened to Francisco Rodriguez yesterday.

The New York Post reports that K-Rod was arrested on Wednesday at Citi Field for assaulting his father-in-law. The incident began in Citi Field's Family Lounge (as most ballpark brawls do) and spilled over into the hallway, resulting in K-Rod's father being hospitalized with "facial bruises and minor head injuries." K-Rod has actually been stellar on the mound lately, allowing just one hit and no runs in his last 9 1/3 innings, but the reliever has been charged with third-degree assault and appears to be at risk of missing games.

* Astros' closer Matt Lindstrom was unavailable on Wednesday and could get the next few days off due to lingering back spasms after allowing seven runs and two blown saves in his last three appearances. The good news for Lindstrom is that Brandon Lyon was drilled for five runs in 1 1/3 innings on Wednesday, meaning Lindstrom's job should be safe for the time being.

* Matt Kemp was out of the starting lineup for a second straight day Wednesday, but did appear as a pinch-hitter and struck out. Kemp told Dylan Hernandez of the Los Angeles Times on Tuesday that there is nothing wrong with him physically, so the reason for his absence likely has something to do with a slump that has seen the outfielder go 2-for-22 in his last eight games. Kemp is still having a solid year in terms of counting stats (18 homers and 16 steals), but with 13 caught stealings and a 766 OPS, it has been a pretty disappointing 2010 for the 25-year-old.

* Have we seen the last of Ben Sheets in a big league uniform? The 32-year-old underwent the double whammy of elbow procedures on Wednesday: Tommy John and flexor and pronator tendon surgery. There's no word yet on the timetable for his recovery, but this certainly looks likely to wipe out a large part of his 2011 campaign, if not end his career altogether.

NL Quick Hits: Mike Stanton had a career-high five hits (with a homer and four RBI) to push his average to .259 and his OPS to 850… Roy Oswalt got his first win for Philly with seven shutout innings against the Dodgers… Daniel Hudson (seven innings, two runs, nine K's) moved to 3-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.75 WHIP as a member of the D'Backs… After combining for 17 RBI in June and July, Casey McGehee has three homers and 12 RBI (with a .333 average) in his first 39 at-bats of August… Ian Desmond (two homers Wednesday) is hitting .333 with three steals in 36 at-bats so far this month… Chipper Jones is headed for a more thorough exam of his knee on Thursday… Shane Victorino (oblique) triple and homered in a rehab game and could potentially be back on Friday, which is bad news for Domonic Brown… Ryan Braun (wrist) appeared as a pinch-hitter Wednesday and struck out… The scuffling Josh Willingham got a day off due to lingering knee trouble.

NL Quick Hits, Part II: Martin Prado will test his finger with a BP session on Friday and may need only one or two rehab games if all goes well… Brian McCann's seventh career grand slam (a pinch-hit number) helped the Braves win 8-2 in extra innings… Tommy Hanson (seven innings, one unearned run on Wednesday) is 0.84 with a 0.70 WHIP in August, but has no wins to show for it… Jhoulys Chacin will make at least one more start at Triple-A… Wandy Rodriguez has allowed just two earned runs in his last 28 1/3 innings after seven strong innings against the Braves… Chase Utley (thumb) was cleared to swing a bat and remains on course for an early September return… Felipe Paulino (shoulder) is headed for a Thursday visit with Dr. James Andrews… Adam Wainwright threw seven scoreless innings en route to win No. 17 and Colby Rasmus hit his first career grand slam as the Cardinals outscored the Reds 21-8 in a high-stakes three-game sweep… The D'Backs hit four consecutive homers on Wednesday, with the most notable coming from Mark Reynolds, who went yard for the first time since being hit in the head last week… Jason Heyward (knee) is expected to return on Friday.

AL Quick Hits: John Danks (one run in eight innings) allowed one run or less for the fourth time in his last five starts… Clay Buchholz got win No. 13 by holding the Blue Jays to one unearned run in eight innings… Meanwhile Buchholz's opponent, Shaun Marcum, was tagged for eight runs in four innings… Bill Hall went deep twice on Wednesday, but faces a serious cut in playing time with Dustin Pedroia aiming to return on Tuesday… Justin Morneau (concussion) worked out for a second straight day, but there's still no timetable for his return… Brad Bergesen held the Indians to one run in a complete-game win and now has a 1.56 ERA in his last three starts… Brian Roberts homered for the second time in three games… Yankees hitting coach Kevin Long said Wednesday that he's working with Curtis Granderson on a "total reformation of his swing," which is never a good sign in August.

AL Quick Hits, Part II: Bobby Abreu had his third straight multi-hit game, punctuated by a walkoff 10th inning homer… Kila Ka'aihue went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts and is just 2-for-25 since rejoining the Royals… Jered Weaver was masterful again on Wednesday, striking out 11 in a no-decision against the Royals… Zack Greinke went eight innings without allowing more than one run for just the second time all season… Dallas Braden is 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA in five starts since coming off the DL after a complete-game win over the Mariners… Chris Carter is now 0-for-9 with five strikeouts since his callup… Jose Valverde notched his first save since July 25.
 

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K-Rod Tries Slugging
It's not terribly often that a player becomes a top fantasy news headline on a day that he didn't do anything baseball-related whatsoever, but that was precisely what happened to Francisco Rodriguez yesterday.

The New York Post reports that K-Rod was arrested on Wednesday at Citi Field for assaulting his father-in-law. The incident began in Citi Field's Family Lounge (as most ballpark brawls do) and spilled over into the hallway, resulting in K-Rod's father being hospitalized with "facial bruises and minor head injuries." K-Rod has actually been stellar on the mound lately, allowing just one hit and no runs in his last 9 1/3 innings, but the reliever has been charged with third-degree assault and appears to be at risk of missing games.

* Astros' closer Matt Lindstrom was unavailable on Wednesday and could get the next few days off due to lingering back spasms after allowing seven runs and two blown saves in his last three appearances. The good news for Lindstrom is that Brandon Lyon was drilled for five runs in 1 1/3 innings on Wednesday, meaning Lindstrom's job should be safe for the time being.

* Matt Kemp was out of the starting lineup for a second straight day Wednesday, but did appear as a pinch-hitter and struck out. Kemp told Dylan Hernandez of the Los Angeles Times on Tuesday that there is nothing wrong with him physically, so the reason for his absence likely has something to do with a slump that has seen the outfielder go 2-for-22 in his last eight games. Kemp is still having a solid year in terms of counting stats (18 homers and 16 steals), but with 13 caught stealings and a 766 OPS, it has been a pretty disappointing 2010 for the 25-year-old.

* Have we seen the last of Ben Sheets in a big league uniform? The 32-year-old underwent the double whammy of elbow procedures on Wednesday: Tommy John and flexor and pronator tendon surgery. There's no word yet on the timetable for his recovery, but this certainly looks likely to wipe out a large part of his 2011 campaign, if not end his career altogether.

NL Quick Hits: Mike Stanton had a career-high five hits (with a homer and four RBI) to push his average to .259 and his OPS to 850… Roy Oswalt got his first win for Philly with seven shutout innings against the Dodgers… Daniel Hudson (seven innings, two runs, nine K's) moved to 3-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 0.75 WHIP as a member of the D'Backs… After combining for 17 RBI in June and July, Casey McGehee has three homers and 12 RBI (with a .333 average) in his first 39 at-bats of August… Ian Desmond (two homers Wednesday) is hitting .333 with three steals in 36 at-bats so far this month… Chipper Jones is headed for a more thorough exam of his knee on Thursday… Shane Victorino (oblique) triple and homered in a rehab game and could potentially be back on Friday, which is bad news for Domonic Brown… Ryan Braun (wrist) appeared as a pinch-hitter Wednesday and struck out… The scuffling Josh Willingham got a day off due to lingering knee trouble.

NL Quick Hits, Part II: Martin Prado will test his finger with a BP session on Friday and may need only one or two rehab games if all goes well… Brian McCann's seventh career grand slam (a pinch-hit number) helped the Braves win 8-2 in extra innings… Tommy Hanson (seven innings, one unearned run on Wednesday) is 0.84 with a 0.70 WHIP in August, but has no wins to show for it… Jhoulys Chacin will make at least one more start at Triple-A… Wandy Rodriguez has allowed just two earned runs in his last 28 1/3 innings after seven strong innings against the Braves… Chase Utley (thumb) was cleared to swing a bat and remains on course for an early September return… Felipe Paulino (shoulder) is headed for a Thursday visit with Dr. James Andrews… Adam Wainwright threw seven scoreless innings en route to win No. 17 and Colby Rasmus hit his first career grand slam as the Cardinals outscored the Reds 21-8 in a high-stakes three-game sweep… The D'Backs hit four consecutive homers on Wednesday, with the most notable coming from Mark Reynolds, who went yard for the first time since being hit in the head last week… Jason Heyward (knee) is expected to return on Friday.

AL Quick Hits: John Danks (one run in eight innings) allowed one run or less for the fourth time in his last five starts… Clay Buchholz got win No. 13 by holding the Blue Jays to one unearned run in eight innings… Meanwhile Buchholz's opponent, Shaun Marcum, was tagged for eight runs in four innings… Bill Hall went deep twice on Wednesday, but faces a serious cut in playing time with Dustin Pedroia aiming to return on Tuesday… Justin Morneau (concussion) worked out for a second straight day, but there's still no timetable for his return… Brad Bergesen held the Indians to one run in a complete-game win and now has a 1.56 ERA in his last three starts… Brian Roberts homered for the second time in three games… Yankees hitting coach Kevin Long said Wednesday that he's working with Curtis Granderson on a "total reformation of his swing," which is never a good sign in August.

AL Quick Hits, Part II: Bobby Abreu had his third straight multi-hit game, punctuated by a walkoff 10th inning homer… Kila Ka'aihue went 0-for-5 with three strikeouts and is just 2-for-25 since rejoining the Royals… Jered Weaver was masterful again on Wednesday, striking out 11 in a no-decision against the Royals… Zack Greinke went eight innings without allowing more than one run for just the second time all season… Dallas Braden is 3-1 with a 2.83 ERA in five starts since coming off the DL after a complete-game win over the Mariners… Chris Carter is now 0-for-9 with five strikeouts since his callup… Jose Valverde notched his first save since July 25.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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All Aboard!
As some of you may know, in my other life, I'm a die-hard Mets fan. Some would argue that the franchise is perpetually comical, but last night's antics by closer Francisco Rodriguez successfully raised the bar in absurdity.

I've only briefly thought about the potential fantasy fallout should the Mets suspend K-Rod for a lengthy period of time -- and I think they absolutely should -- but here's my quick take on his potential replacement(s). For some reason, Hisanori Takahashi strikes me as the most obvious candidate for the ninth-inning gig. His 4.24 ERA is inflated a bit by time spent in the starting rotation, but Takahashi has a 2.83 ERA in 35 innings as a reliever this season, averaging an eye-popping 10.3 K/9. Keep in mind that many of these strikeouts were when batters were getting a look at him for the first time, so look for some natural regression there. Otherwise, I'd look for Jerry Manuel to play the matchups, maybe using Pedro Feliciano against a string of left-handers or even Bobby Parnell if he needs a strikeout in a tough spot.

Heck, everything I just mentioned above might not matter if the Mets don't score runs. Entering play Thursday, they have scored a grand total of 22 runs over the first nine games this month, tied with the Royals for dead-last in the major leagues.

At least I always have fantasy baseball to keep me sane.

MIXED LEAGUES

Jeremy Hellickson SP, Rays (Yahoo: 25 percent owned, ESPN: 16.8 percent)

I'm still wondering how the Rays will handle his workload in the weeks to come -- especially with Jeff Niemann and Wade Davis expected to return -- but Hellickson is a must-own across all formats right now. The 23-year-old left-hander has the distinction of being just the third pitcher since 1920 to throw seven innings or more while allowing three hits or less in each of his first two major league starts. He handled the Tigers and Twins without a hitch, so I would have no reservations about using him against the Rangers at the Trop next week.

Jake Westbrook SP, Cardinals (Yahoo: 11 percent owned, ESPN: 7.6 percent)

Westbrook was in a bit of fantasy limbo for me last week -- too obvious for NL-only leagues, too shaky for mixed leagues -- but it only took two outings under the guidance of Cardinals pitching guru Dave Duncan to upgrade him in my mind. Not only has Westbrook induced 26 groundballs over his first two starts with the Redbirds, but he has also posted an impressive 16/1 K/BB ratio in 13 innings. The switch to the National League (and a winning team) was likely to help his fantasy value anyway, so I'm buying.

Carlos Ruiz C, Phillies (Yahoo: 39 percent owned, ESPN: 37.8 percent)

Ruiz is batting .357 (20-for-52) with three home runs, six doubles and 14 RBI over his last 14 games -- even with a recent mini-funk -- placing him behind only Joe Mauer among fantasy catchers over the past two weeks. Don't be surprised by this. Ruiz has traditionally enjoyed more success during the latter part of a season, posting an 859 career OPS in August and an 810 career OPS in September. He makes for an excellent option for those who have lost Geovany Soto or Carlos Santana to injury or missed out on hotshot rookie J.P. Arencibia.

Mike Lowell 1B/3B, Red Sox (Yahoo: 19 percent owned, ESPN: 4.6 percent)

Lowell is no Kevin Youkilis, but he has hit safely in seven out of eight games since coming off the disabled list, including two home runs, seven RBI and a three-hit game on Wednesday night. I'm also liking that he has batted sixth in four out of his last five games. Before you go too crazy, though, just remember that Carlos Delgado is currently prepping at Triple-A Pawtucket, so this may eventually be a first base platoon. I'd shy away from him in shallow leagues, but pick him up if you use a CI slot.

Brandon Morrow SP, Blue Jays (Yahoo: 42 percent owned, ESPN: 38.3 percent)

Well, duh. I recommended Morrow in early July, but after his incredible one-hit, 17-strikeout performance against the Rays on Sunday -- rated the fourth best single-game pitching performance since 1920 by Bill James' "Game Score" metric -- here's a friendly reminder. With his once-shoddy command suddenly a strong suit, Morrow has a 3.03 ERA over his last 12 starts and leads all major league starters with 10.67 K/9 this season. No excuse if he's not owned in your league.

Omar Infante 2B/3B/SS/OF, Braves (Yahoo: 21 percent owned, ESPN: 46.2 percent)

This is still a pretty fluid situation, but word going around is that Chipper Jones will undergo season-ending surgery to repair a torn ligament in his left knee. Naturally, this is a very tough blow to the Braves' playoff chances, but if he is truly done for the year, Infante becomes a must own in deeper mixed leagues. The super-sub is batting .330 on the year, including a .366/.393/.446 batting line with two homers, three doubles, 10 RBI and an 840 OPS since the start of July. He doesn't offer much power or speed, but his multi-position versatility is a life-saver.

Mike Stanton OF, Marlins (Yahoo: 26 percent owned, ESPN: 31 percent)

I had plans to include Stanton here even before he went 5-for-5 and finished a triple short of the cycle Wednesday night. Honest. On the chance that you doubt my intentions, consider that the 20-year-old outfielder was batting .314 (11-for-35) with two homers, four doubles, five RBI and a 9/6 K/BB over his previous 10 games. Counting on him for batting average would be folly, but with 11 homers and 14 doubles over his first 189 at-bats in the majors, he's already a pretty reliable power bat.

Brandon Lyon RP, Astros (Yahoo: 9 percent owned, ESPN: 25.6 percent)

I know what you're thinking. Dude was charged with five runs in Wednesday's loss to the Braves. Am I crazy? Yes, he was responsible for those runs, however Jeff Fulchino was the one who gave up the grand slam and two intentional walks ordered by Brad Mills set up the damage. Don't let this one game distract you too much. Matt Lindstrom, fresh off blowing two save opportunities, is currently sidelined with back spasms. Meanwhile, Lyon entered Wednesday's action with 10 consecutive scoreless appearances. He's one worth stashing if you need saves.

Shopping at the five-and-dime:

(Note: Players included are owned in less than 10 percent of Y! and ESPN leagues)

Carlos Guillen 2B/OF, Tigers (Yahoo: 6 percent owned, ESPN: 8.1 percent)

Guillen has understandably fallen off the radar for some fantasy owners due to a recent calf injury, but go ahead and snatch him up now that he's back. Granted, Guillen is hitless over his first 10 at-bats since returning from the disabled list, but he has batted fifth in two out of his first three games. Should Jim Leyland keep him there, he figures to have plenty of RBI opportunities hitting behind Miguel Cabrera. Guillen's fantasy value was shot in the outfield, but with his added eligibility at second base, he makes for a fine MI option.

David Murphy OF, Rangers (Yahoo: 7 percent owned, ESPN: 3.2 percent)

Here's your chance to pick up one of the hottest hitters in baseball. Murphy is batting .423 (11-for-26) with three homers and 11 RBI over his last seven games and has notched multi-hit games in four of them. With Julio Borbon doing absolutely nothing since the early part of July, Murphy has been starting in left field on a nightly basis. I'm not so sure how much longer it will last, given that Josh Hamilton is being asked to play center field right now, but Murphy is a pretty good source for pop and speed while he sticks there.



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AL ONLY

Conor Jackson 1B/OF, Athletics (Yahoo: 2 percent owned, ESPN: 8.1 percent)

You were probably expecting to see Chris Carter here. I certainly considered him, but keep in mind that he is only eligible at first base in most leagues, significantly cutting into his value. Carter is also 0-for-9 with five strikeouts over his first three major league games. Sorry to break you heart, but the A's could opt to send him back to the minors once Jackson is ready to return from the disabled list. It seems like forever since we've heard from him, but Jackson is finally making real progress from his hamstring injury, going 2-for-4 with a double and an RBI for Single-A Stockton on Wednesday.

Felix Pie OF, Orioles (Yahoo: 3 percent owned, ESPN: 2 percent)

There were high hopes for Pie this spring based on his furious finish last season, however an injury to the latissimus dorsi muscle in his back in April sidelined him for over two months. Fortunately for fantasy owners, the former blue chip prospect is starting to kick it into gear. Pie is batting .364 (16-for-44) with two homers, two doubles, one triple, eight RBI, seven runs scored and two stolen bases over his last 11 games. He could be a nice source for power and speed down the stretch.

Carlos Delgado 1B, Red Sox (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.3 percent)

Searching for a left-handed complement to Mike Lowell at first base, the Red Sox signed Delgado to a minor league contract over the weekend. The 38-year-old slugger took an 0-fer in his debut with the PawSox on Monday night, but went 2-for-4 on Wednesday. Delgado has yet to play the field in his first two games, so he still has some hurdles to cross before earning a promotion to the major league roster, but his power potential should be on your radar in AL-only leagues regardless.

Jeremy Guthrie SP, Orioles (Yahoo: 6 percent owned, ESPN: 2.4 percent)

Honestly, I wouldn't even be afraid of using Guthrie for some matchups in mixed leagues at the moment. Friday's start against the Rays is probably one I would avoid, but there's no denying that Guthrie is on a real roll right now right now, going 3-1 with a 1.77 ERA and 21/3 K/BB ratio over his last five starts. Sure, there is some luck involved here, but he is easily pitching his best ball since the late part of the 2008 season. Grab him with upcoming starts against the Mariners, White Sox and Angels in mind.

NL ONLY

Sam Demel RP, Diamondbacks (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.3 percent)

It was pretty clear that Aaron Heilman was just getting a night off Tuesday, but Demel was still able to secure his first major league save opportunity. With interim D-Backs manager Kirk Gibson refusing to name an official closer, that's worth something. Demel, 24, has adjusted pretty well to the big leagues since coming over from the A's for Conor Jackson, compiling a 4.13 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 21/5 K/BB ratio in 24 innings and a groundball rate of 47.9 percent. He's worth stashing to see if he'll get a few more opportunities as a potential closer of the future.

Fernando Martinez OF, Mets (Yahoo: 0 percent owned, ESPN: 0.1 percent)

This has generally been a pretty disappointing season for Martinez, though he was swinging the bat pretty well at the time of his promotion over the weekend, batting .324 (11-for-34) with two homers, three doubles and three RBI in his last 10 games with the Bisons. It looks like the former top prospect will get a chance to play most of the time in right field, at least until Jason Bay returns from a concussion. Jeff Francoeur will still play a little bit, which hurts his value in most fantasy leagues, however he should be owned on potential alone.

Jamey Carroll 2B/3B/SS/OF, Dodgers (Yahoo: 2 percent owned, ESPN: 0.3 percent)

Carroll is a known commodity among fantasy owners. Besides the oddity of nearly identical batting lines in 2008 and 2009, we know that Carroll is a good on-base man with decent speed and no real power to speak of. As long as you have your expectations in check, however, he's just fine to own in NL-only leagues. The veteran utility man is playing regularly at shortstop while Rafael Furcal is sidelined with a back injury. With his eligibility all around the diamond, he's plenty useful right now.

Mike Sweeney 1B, Phillies (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.3 percent)

Ross Gload was doing an excellent job filling in for Ryan Howard, however he is likely to join the big man on the disabled list after suffering a groin injury during Wednesday's game against the Dodgers. This means the recently-acquired Sweeney is the last man standing at first base. Hey, never underestimate the ability to have a pulse. The 37-year-old hasn't been able to stay healthy himself for several years now, but he has enough pop to be worth a short-term play in NL-only formats.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Chipper No More
Friday the 13th doesn't really have the same juice in the summer, does it? What's going to happen? Is your third baseman going to go down with an ACL tear? Will your closer get arrested? Is one of your starters going to get suspended seven games for kicking a man in the head? Nah, that's all too improbable.

And even if something crazy happens in baseball - it usually does - life will go on. Your weekend will still be full of sun and fun. And we'll be here to help you recover from all the strange, strange things that are happening right now.

* Yeah, that's right, you've probably heard that Chipper Jones tore the ACL in his left knee and his season - and possibly career - is most likely over. Because of his age (38) and the general creakiness of his body in recent years, he's most likely a dropper. His production hasn't been so great these last couple of years - hopefully, you weren't depending on him in a shallow mixed league.

A reasonable replacement might just exist on his own team. All-Star Omar Infante might live up to his latest honor for your deep-league fantasy team. Infante won't keep the gaudy batting average as his batted ball luck falls back to earth (his BABIP is .376 this year, and .312 for his career. But he will put together a reasonable batting average close to .300 with the odd home run or stole base. Since Jones rapidly lost his power over the last couple of years, that's about all you could have hoped from form him in a deeper league.

* Ryan Ludwick went deep for his third homer in the last three games Thursday night. The quick-and-easy analysis said that he would suffer from a power outage in the spacious San Diego park, but right-handers have not actually had their home run power dampened too badly there. Consider the park factor for home runs for right-handed batters was 73 in St. Louis (meaning home runs by right-handers have been suppressed by 27% there) and is actually 92 in San Diego. Look at that - Ludwick gets a power boost, and is a great pickup for your final bench spot.

* Ryan Braun returned to the Brewer's lineup on Thursday, but went hitless in five at-bats with two strikeouts. His season-long power dip is still on, and a sore wrist won't help things. Braun needs to pull the ball like he used to to regain that power - and a few more flyballs wouldn't hurt, as he's putting the ball on the ground more than ever before. People don't usually hit more than 32 home runs in three consecutive seasons and then lose their power this badly, but his owners may have to admit that his power resurgence may not come until 2011.

* Michael Brantley had four base hits, and though they were all singles, he scored a run and stole a base. Recently, he's shown the promise he had in the minor leagues by getting on base and flashing his wheels. He doesn't have any power to speak of, but in anything deeper than a shallow mixed league, Brantley is a great pickup for managers looking for speed.

* There is some he-said, he-said going down about Josh Willingham's knee. One report has him with a torn meniscus in his left knee and off-season surgery impending. The other report - from the mouth of the player - is that he's fine. Either way, the streaky outfielder is in the middle of a poor streak and is showing his worst power in three years. In mixed leagues, he's already a dropper.

NL Quick Hits: Jonathon Broxton blew a save by allowing four runs without getting an out and control was once again the problem - hopefully he'll get it together, the strikeouts are still there … Fellow closer Francisco Rodriguez was released from police custody and promptly suspended two games by his team … Pat Burrell hit a slam and another home run on Thursday and is single-handedly powering the Giants right now, but the bottom could drop out at any moment … Starlin Castro got another four hits and is on fire since he moved to the second spot in the order - there's some luck involved, but he also makes a lot of contact on balls in the zone, so he could be pretty valuable, if only as a short-term injury replacement … Philadelphia rejoices as Ryan Howard (ankle) took grounders at first base and some swings in the cage; he continues to target August 17th for his return … Unfortunately for Domonic Brown, Shane Victorino is healthy and the team is talking about demoting the rookie soon … John Axford has mostly harnessed his fastball, but he walked the bases loaded Thursday night and his control bears watching, especially with Trevor Hoffman poaching the odd save on the way to 600 … Aramis Ramirez missed another game Thursday with a sore ribcage, but should be back in today … Nyjer Morgan (hip) took batting practice.

AL Quick Hits: Back spasms don't sound sweet, but hearing that Bobby Jenks is only experiencing them and isn't hurt worse sounds good to his owners; Matt Thornton and J.J. Putz will get some saves with him out … Travis Hafner will take batting practice today and if it goes well he'll go on a rehab assignment for that same old shoulder problem … Looks like Nick Punto (hamstring) will return sometime this weekend whoopee … Kevin Slowey threw a bullpen and is ready for Sunday's start … Unfortunately for Andy Pettitte, he was scratched from a simulated game because tightness in his injured groin, but he is still aiming for August 22nd … Marc Rzepczynski was recalled and makes an okay spot start against the Angels on Friday; "Scrabble" would be a better spot start if he was currently performing more like the ground-ball and strikeout-machine of last year, but the rehab stint has not gone very well for him … Jed Lowrie hit his first home run and is outplaying Marco Scutaro right now … 2009 draftee Kyle Gibson hasn't shown incredible strikeout ability, but he gets bushels of groundballs and has been promoted to Triple-A and will be pitching for the Twins soon enough … Conor Jackson could return this weekend, but most fantasy owners just want to see more of Chris Carter and are probably rooting against him.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Chipper No More
Friday the 13th doesn't really have the same juice in the summer, does it? What's going to happen? Is your third baseman going to go down with an ACL tear? Will your closer get arrested? Is one of your starters going to get suspended seven games for kicking a man in the head? Nah, that's all too improbable.

And even if something crazy happens in baseball - it usually does - life will go on. Your weekend will still be full of sun and fun. And we'll be here to help you recover from all the strange, strange things that are happening right now.

* Yeah, that's right, you've probably heard that Chipper Jones tore the ACL in his left knee and his season - and possibly career - is most likely over. Because of his age (38) and the general creakiness of his body in recent years, he's most likely a dropper. His production hasn't been so great these last couple of years - hopefully, you weren't depending on him in a shallow mixed league.

A reasonable replacement might just exist on his own team. All-Star Omar Infante might live up to his latest honor for your deep-league fantasy team. Infante won't keep the gaudy batting average as his batted ball luck falls back to earth (his BABIP is .376 this year, and .312 for his career. But he will put together a reasonable batting average close to .300 with the odd home run or stole base. Since Jones rapidly lost his power over the last couple of years, that's about all you could have hoped from form him in a deeper league.

* Ryan Ludwick went deep for his third homer in the last three games Thursday night. The quick-and-easy analysis said that he would suffer from a power outage in the spacious San Diego park, but right-handers have not actually had their home run power dampened too badly there. Consider the park factor for home runs for right-handed batters was 73 in St. Louis (meaning home runs by right-handers have been suppressed by 27% there) and is actually 92 in San Diego. Look at that - Ludwick gets a power boost, and is a great pickup for your final bench spot.

* Ryan Braun returned to the Brewer's lineup on Thursday, but went hitless in five at-bats with two strikeouts. His season-long power dip is still on, and a sore wrist won't help things. Braun needs to pull the ball like he used to to regain that power - and a few more flyballs wouldn't hurt, as he's putting the ball on the ground more than ever before. People don't usually hit more than 32 home runs in three consecutive seasons and then lose their power this badly, but his owners may have to admit that his power resurgence may not come until 2011.

* Michael Brantley had four base hits, and though they were all singles, he scored a run and stole a base. Recently, he's shown the promise he had in the minor leagues by getting on base and flashing his wheels. He doesn't have any power to speak of, but in anything deeper than a shallow mixed league, Brantley is a great pickup for managers looking for speed.

* There is some he-said, he-said going down about Josh Willingham's knee. One report has him with a torn meniscus in his left knee and off-season surgery impending. The other report - from the mouth of the player - is that he's fine. Either way, the streaky outfielder is in the middle of a poor streak and is showing his worst power in three years. In mixed leagues, he's already a dropper.

NL Quick Hits: Jonathon Broxton blew a save by allowing four runs without getting an out and control was once again the problem - hopefully he'll get it together, the strikeouts are still there … Fellow closer Francisco Rodriguez was released from police custody and promptly suspended two games by his team … Pat Burrell hit a slam and another home run on Thursday and is single-handedly powering the Giants right now, but the bottom could drop out at any moment … Starlin Castro got another four hits and is on fire since he moved to the second spot in the order - there's some luck involved, but he also makes a lot of contact on balls in the zone, so he could be pretty valuable, if only as a short-term injury replacement … Philadelphia rejoices as Ryan Howard (ankle) took grounders at first base and some swings in the cage; he continues to target August 17th for his return … Unfortunately for Domonic Brown, Shane Victorino is healthy and the team is talking about demoting the rookie soon … John Axford has mostly harnessed his fastball, but he walked the bases loaded Thursday night and his control bears watching, especially with Trevor Hoffman poaching the odd save on the way to 600 … Aramis Ramirez missed another game Thursday with a sore ribcage, but should be back in today … Nyjer Morgan (hip) took batting practice.

AL Quick Hits: Back spasms don't sound sweet, but hearing that Bobby Jenks is only experiencing them and isn't hurt worse sounds good to his owners; Matt Thornton and J.J. Putz will get some saves with him out … Travis Hafner will take batting practice today and if it goes well he'll go on a rehab assignment for that same old shoulder problem … Looks like Nick Punto (hamstring) will return sometime this weekend whoopee … Kevin Slowey threw a bullpen and is ready for Sunday's start … Unfortunately for Andy Pettitte, he was scratched from a simulated game because tightness in his injured groin, but he is still aiming for August 22nd … Marc Rzepczynski was recalled and makes an okay spot start against the Angels on Friday; "Scrabble" would be a better spot start if he was currently performing more like the ground-ball and strikeout-machine of last year, but the rehab stint has not gone very well for him … Jed Lowrie hit his first home run and is outplaying Marco Scutaro right now … 2009 draftee Kyle Gibson hasn't shown incredible strikeout ability, but he gets bushels of groundballs and has been promoted to Triple-A and will be pitching for the Twins soon enough … Conor Jackson could return this weekend, but most fantasy owners just want to see more of Chris Carter and are probably rooting against him.
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Dog Days Ahead

We've entered mid-August, that sweltering part of the baseball season where pitchers begin to complain of dead arms and relatively minor injuries can end a player's season. It's also the part of year where fantasy owners are starting to gear up for their postseason run, so the importance of every decision can be magnified.

Fortunately, we've got a great slate of two-start pitchers for you this week, with plenty of recommendable options. Also, be sure to check out this week's streamers and match-ups.

Going Twice...



American League

Strong Plays

Clay Buchholz: LAA (Haren), TOR (Marcum)
John Danks: @MIN (Baker), @KC (Greinke)
Justin Verlander: @NYY (Sabathia), CLE (Tomlin)
Zack Greinke: CLE (Tomlin), CWS (Danks)
Dan Haren: @BOS (Buchholz), @MIN (Baker)
CC Sabathia: DET (Verlander), SEA (Hernandez)
Brett Anderson: TOR (Marcum), TB (Garza)
Felix Hernandez: @BAL (Bergesen), @NYY (Sabathia)
Matt Garza: TEX (Lee), @OAK (Anderson)
Cliff Lee: @TB (Sonnanstine), @BAL (Bergesen)
Shaun Marcum: @OAK (Anderson), @BOS (Buchholz)

Decent Plays

Josh Tomlin: @KC (Greinke), @DET (Verlander)
Max Scherzer: @NYY (Vazquez), CLE (Masterson)
Scott Baker: CWS (Danks), LAA (Haren)
Javier Vazquez: DET (Scherzer), SEA (Fister)
Dallas Braden: TOR (Cecil), TB (Sonnanstine)
Andy Sonnanstine: TEX (Harden), @OAK (Braden)

At Your Own Risk

Brad Bergesen: SEA (Hernandez), TEX (Lee)
Kevin MIllwood: SEA (French), TEX (Harden)
Rich Harden: @TB (Sonnanstine), @BAL (Millwood)

National League

Strong Plays

Tommy Hanson: WAS (Olsen), @CHC (Wells)
Bronson Arroyo: @ARI (Hudson), @LAD (Kershaw)
Wandy Rodriguez: NYM (Santana), @FLA (Nolasco)
Chad Billingsley: @ATL (Jurrjens), CIN (Cueto)
Clayton Kershaw: COL (Francis), CIN (Arroyo)
Jon Niese: @HOU (Happ), @PIT (McDonald)
Johan Santana: @HOU (Rodriguez), @PIT (Duke)
Roy Oswalt: SF (Zito), WAS (Hernandez)
Jon Garland: @CHC (Wells), @MIL (Bush)
Barry Zito: @PHI (Oswalt), @STL (Wainwright)

Decent Plays

Daniel Hudson: CIN (Arroyo), COL (Francis)
Jair Jurrjens: LAD (Billingsley), @CHC (Gorzelanny)
Tom Gorzelanny: SD (Correia), ATL (Jurrjens)
Randy Wells: SD (Garland), ATL (Hanson)
Jeff Francis: @LAD (Kershaw), @ARI (Hudson)
Chris Volstad: @PIT (McDonald), HOU (Happ)
Ricky Nolasco: @PIT (Duke), HOU (Rodriguez)
J.A. Happ: NYM (Niese), @FLA (Volstad)
James McDonald: FLA (Volstad), NYM (Niese)
Kevin Correia: @CHC (Gorzelanny), @MIL (Narveson)
Scott Olsen: @ATL (Hanson), @PHI (Oswalt)

At Your Own Risk

Zach Duke: FLA (Nolasco), NYM (Santana)


Streamer City



The following pitchers are generally available in over 50 percent of fantasy leagues and have favorable match-ups this week:

American League

Friday, 8/20: Edwin Jackson @ KC
Jackson has been sharp since coming over to the White Sox in a deadline deal, and he draws an easy match-up in Kansas City this week.

Friday, 8/20: Brian Duensing vs. LAA
The lefty has been effective since joining the Twins rotation and owns a 1.99 ERA at Target Field this season.

Friday, 8/20: Jeremy Hellickson @ OAK
The impressive rookie is getting swooped up in many leagues but remains largely under the radar. Grab him for this favorable tilt if you can.

National League

Friday, 8/20: Jake Westbrook vs. MIL
Westbrook's stuff has played exceedingly well in the Senior Circuit thus far, and he'll look to keep it up against the Brew Crew at home.

Friday, 8/20: Ian Kennedy vs. COL
Kennedy has posted a 3.86 ERA at home this year.

Friday, 8/20: Mike Minor @ CHC
Atlanta's top rookie has impressed in his early major-league exposure, and merits a look against the Cubs.

<!--RW-->


Total Games



American League

6: BOS, CWS, CLE, KC, LAA, MIN, SEA, TOR
7: BAL, DET, NYY, OAK, TB, TEX

National League

5: MIL, STL
6: ARI, CIN, COL, PHI, SF, WAS
7: ATL, CHC, FLA, HOU, LAD, NYM, PIT, SD


Lefty/Righty Breakdown



American League

BAL: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
BOS: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
CWS: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
CLE: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
DET: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
KC: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
LAA: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
MIN: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
NYY: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
OAK: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
SEA: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
TB: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
TEX: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
TOR: 2 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP

National League

ARI: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
ATL: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
CHC: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
CIN: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
COL: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
FLA: 3 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP
HOU: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
LAD: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
MIL: 4 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
NYM: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
PHI: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
PIT: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
SD: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
SF: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
STL: 2 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
WAS: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP


The Infirmary



You can get a full listing of injured players at Rotoworld's Injury Page, but here's the latest on a few prominent players who have been out of action:

Chipper Jones: Out for the season
Kris Medlen: Out for the season
Omar Infante: Returning this week
Carlos Gomez: Returning this week
Geovany Soto: Out until late August
Russell Martin: Out for the season
Jack Wilson: Out for the season
Ryan Howard: Returning this week?
Chase Utley: Out until early September
Wade Davis: Out until late August
Jeff Niemann: Out until late August
Carlos Pena: Returning this week
Kevin Youkilis: Out for the season
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Pat the Bat and Casey at Bat
Another double feature this week -- Week That Was by Glenn Colton and August Trade Woes by Bobby Colton.


Pat Burrell: Pat the Bat has had a pretty darn good week. Burrell hit another two jacks (one a granny) to lead the Giants to a win over the hapless Cubbies. As of Thursday, the Bat had 10 HR in just over 150 AB since moving to the city by the bay. So, what will the last 6 plus weeks bring? Bet on continued power numbers but a batting average decline. The problem is that if he hits a slump, he could find himself on the pine given the glut of outfielders at Bochy's disposal. Conclusion -- if you need to make a big move, Burrell is worth the risk. If you are already solid in the power categories, no need to take the risk.


Casey McGehee: Mighty Casey was at bat this week. On Thursday, Casey McGehee went 4-4 for a second straight game (including a dinger and three RBI). At the beginning of the year, there was talk of a tenuous hold on the job due to Mat Gamel's presence in AAA. Not any more. McGehee has been just plain solid -- .285 with 18 HR and 74 RBI can be on my team any day (and thanks to the foresight of Nate Ravitz, Casey is on our NFBC team helping to try to dig us out of our injury riddled weak mid summer). Casey has proven he is here to stay. If there are doubters out there, fleece them. This guy will man the hot corner for the Brew Crew for years to come. Final note on Casey: Sometimes minor league numbers can be deceiving. Casey hit only 12 HR in the minors in 08 and only 10 HR in 07. So, there was reason to doubt his ability to hit for power in the bigs. However, players often find their power later. If they hit for average in the minors, look at the 2b numbers -- there might be a clue of power to come. Casey had 30 doubles in AAA in 08. I missed that sign. I will not next time.


Starlin Castro: Starlin Castro collected another four hits Thursday in the Cubbies loss to Pat the Bat and the Giants. As of Thursday, Castro was sporting a stellar .320 average. All questions about whether he is ready to produce in the bigs have been answered. If you are in a keeper league, point the lack of pop and see if you can pry Castro away. This kid is for real and will be a centerpiece of your team for years to come. After all, he is hitting .320 at the age of 20 despite having played only ¼ of a season at AA and having skipped AAA.


Jarod Saltalamacchia: Salty rewarded the Sox faith in starting him Thursday when he doubled twice. After a big start to his major league career in Atlanta, Salty has fallen on hard times. Fantasy players are quick to write off young phenoms who hit a skid. Don't make that mistake. Salty is a switch hitting catcher who is all of 25 and already in his 4th major league season. In AL-only leagues, Salty makes a good risk. He throws better than Victor Martinez (though that Is not saying much) and with the Youk injury, there is room for Victor to play 1b more often. Buy.


Shane Victorino: The Flyin Hawaiin came off the DL this week and immediately took back his starting job. Activate him right away. Shane is often overshadowed by the likes of Howard, Rollins, and Utley, but this guy can play and can carry a fantasy team. Yes, the average is below par, but in just over 400 AB, he already has 15 HR and 23 SB. A 20-30 season is in reach despite the injury. Given that he hit over .280 in each of the last 5 years, I expect a much better batting average the rest of the way. Buy.


Marcus Thames: Marcus Thames reemerged this week, homering in the 8th inning and then slapping the game winning hit in the 9th of a comeback victory over Cliff Lee and Texas. What was interesting about the games Tuesday and Wednesday was that Joe Girardi installed Thames in the 3 hole while Tex was at home for the birth of his son. That shows serious faith in Thames. I would not be surprised to see Marcus get a lot of AB's against LHP as either Curtis Granderson (who cant hit lefties) or Brett Gardner (who has never played a full season in the bigs) takes the pine. In deep AL leagues, that makes Thames a Buy.


John Danks: John Danks just keeps on keeping on. Despite doubts about his workload at a tender young age, Danks is having another very strong campaign. Wednesday, Danks gave up just one run in 8 innings to help the ChiSox beat the Twins. Danks now has a 3.19 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Those in pennant races or keeper leagues planning for next year can buy with confidence. This kid is for real. I just wish Rick and I trusted him instead of James Shields or John Lackey.


Jacoby Ellsbury: The see-saw continues for Ellsbury. This week he stole 4 bases in one game Monday, stole another later in the week and seemed poised to be a fantasy stud the rest of the way. Then, he got hit in his left side and now needs to be reexamined and may end up on the shelf again. What can you do? If you own him, you have to hold and hope. However, just remember, if you drafted Jacoby high, this is not your fault -- it is Terry Francona's. Ellsbury got hurt in a collision with 3B Adrian Beltre. That would not have happened had Ellsbury been in CF where he belongs. There simply is no excuse for moving Ellsbury out of position to make room for light hitting, 37 year old Mike Cameron. Fantasy lesson -- lower the dollar value of players playing new positions -- they come with added risk.


Ian Desmond: The best way to win at fantasy baseball is to have a smart partner. Rick and I are in a neck and neck battle for the FSTA experts league title. Rick convinced me that we had to stick with Ian Desmond. Well, Ian made Rick look like a genius as he hit two dingers Wednesday to up his August average to .333. So far this season, the 24 year old is hitting .265 with 9 HR and 12 SB over 358 AB. As he matures and gets more big league time under his belt, his numbers will get even better. Buy now while his market value is still pretty low.


Chan Ho Park: I have been accused of being too hard on Chan Ho. Nonsense. This guy killed the Yankees every time he took the hill in a game that was still in reach. Given his 6.10 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, it is really a surprise the Yankees sent him packing? What is mind boggling is that the rebuilding Pirates took him on. What possible good will the 37 year old with awful numbers do for Pittsburgh? None of course. In his 3 innings for the Pirates, he has already given up 7 hits and 4 runs. That ERA of 12.00 and WHIP of 2.33 is even worse than he posted in the Bronx. Ugh.


And now, as promised another two for one special:

August Trade Woes
By Bobby Colton

Unlike the trades that happen before the July 31 deadline, August trades are rarely good for fantasy owners. Players traded in August are primarily fringe starters that end up banished to the bench of their new club. Here's a look at potential trade candidates who are at risk of losing all value. Note: Starting pitchers have been omitted from this list as they are likely to remain starters and will most likely retain value if not gain it.

Carlos Beltran (OF) – Beltran has a wonderful pedigree and rumors are that he has cleared waivers. The only problem is that he hasn't hit at all, hasn't played well in the field, and hasn't shown an inclination to steal any bases. Although Thursday's matinee looked like the resurgence of the Beltran Met fans know and love (3-3, 2B, rbi, great mobility on bases and in field), he still could be headed towards a part-time role if the Mets do find a taker. My only advice is to hang on to Beltran for as long as the Mets do and hope right on with the Mets that he regains value.

Lyle Overbay (1B) – Overbay could make a nice left-handed half of a first base platoon for a contender (Texas, Atlanta, Boston) thanks to his .348 OBP against righties. Of course, he may not fit the same criteria as the others on this list because he's being forced out of his job while Adam Lind gets introduced to first base. Overbay may not be a great player to own the rest of this season regardless of whether he gets dealt.

Adam LaRoche (1B) – Last season LaRoche seemed destined to be stuck in a reserve role after being sent from Pittsburg to Boston on July 23rd. Fortunately for LaRoche and his owners, Casey Kotchman took the bullet for him when the two were swapped, giving LaRoche the starting first baseman gig in Atlanta once more. LaRoche would seem to be a great platoon option for contenders, except for the fact that he's hitting 80 points higher against fellow lefties. If LaRoche gets traded, he would probably only be traded to a team looking for an everyday guy thanks to those atrocious splits.

Russell Branyan (1B) – Branyan didn't make much sense for the Mariners when they acquired him, and now he makes less sense since he's blocking Justin Smoak from getting a chance at a full time gig (although I am a proponent for keeping the prospect in AAA because he clearly is overmatched right now). Branyan probably wouldn't even be a platoon guy if he's traded, just a late-inning pinch-hitter or insurance guy. His owners need to cross their fingers hoping he's not on the move.

Ty Wigginton (UTL) – Perhaps the most glaring omission from the July 31st trade deadline, the second least likely All-Star (behind Omar Infante) could be on the move this month. Wigginton has played most of the infield this season, meaning he has value for any contender as a versatile bench bat at the very least. If Wiggy is traded this month, you can be sure he won't have even half the value he currently holds.

Brandon Inge (3B) – While there is some confusion, it does not appear that Inge has been placed on waivers quite yet. With Chipper out for the year, Atlanta is an obvious potential home for Inge's slick fielding and power bat. Brandon should keep all his value if he lands in Atlanta (although he will have to contend with Omar Infante when Martin Prado returns). If he lands anywhere else the same might not be said for his playing time.

Juan Rivera (OF) – When the Angels admit that they can't catch Texas (which should come any day now), Rivera could be a prime trade candidate. Since Rivera is losing time to rookie center fielder Peter Bourjos, there seems to be no place for the slugger in Anaheim, or LA, or wherever they play. A bat like that could prove useful to any contending team. He would have less value on a new team than he currently does, if that's possible.

Brad Hawpe (OF) – Hawpe is in a similar situation to Juan Rivera and Lyle Overbay in the sense that he is not an everyday guy for his own team. Hawpe can play both corner outfield spots and first base, making him a nice left-handed bat off the bench for a playoff team willing to pay him. If his power comes back to the way it was over the last four years, he could be boon for a playoff team. A trade would hurt his value significantly though.

Chone Figgins (2B) – Figgins' name has been tossed around a little bit in conjunction with the Mets and the Braves, but moving his gigantic new deal could prove impossible. Should Figgins actually be on the move, he would probably retain a starting gig, making him the exception to the general rule for August deals. Figgins owners don't fret a potential trade. In fact, embrace it.

And last, but not least, Schultz says: "I will be in Woodstock for the week, likely without computer access - will return next week"

Response: Good stuff from Bobby on what may happen this month and how to plan accordingly. As for Schultz, the lawyer/music critic/fantasy sportswriter deserves a day off. Have fun buddy!
 

hacheman@therx.com
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Joined
Jan 2, 2002
Messages
139,222
Tokens
Pat the Bat and Casey at Bat
Another double feature this week -- Week That Was by Glenn Colton and August Trade Woes by Bobby Colton.


Pat Burrell: Pat the Bat has had a pretty darn good week. Burrell hit another two jacks (one a granny) to lead the Giants to a win over the hapless Cubbies. As of Thursday, the Bat had 10 HR in just over 150 AB since moving to the city by the bay. So, what will the last 6 plus weeks bring? Bet on continued power numbers but a batting average decline. The problem is that if he hits a slump, he could find himself on the pine given the glut of outfielders at Bochy's disposal. Conclusion -- if you need to make a big move, Burrell is worth the risk. If you are already solid in the power categories, no need to take the risk.


Casey McGehee: Mighty Casey was at bat this week. On Thursday, Casey McGehee went 4-4 for a second straight game (including a dinger and three RBI). At the beginning of the year, there was talk of a tenuous hold on the job due to Mat Gamel's presence in AAA. Not any more. McGehee has been just plain solid -- .285 with 18 HR and 74 RBI can be on my team any day (and thanks to the foresight of Nate Ravitz, Casey is on our NFBC team helping to try to dig us out of our injury riddled weak mid summer). Casey has proven he is here to stay. If there are doubters out there, fleece them. This guy will man the hot corner for the Brew Crew for years to come. Final note on Casey: Sometimes minor league numbers can be deceiving. Casey hit only 12 HR in the minors in 08 and only 10 HR in 07. So, there was reason to doubt his ability to hit for power in the bigs. However, players often find their power later. If they hit for average in the minors, look at the 2b numbers -- there might be a clue of power to come. Casey had 30 doubles in AAA in 08. I missed that sign. I will not next time.


Starlin Castro: Starlin Castro collected another four hits Thursday in the Cubbies loss to Pat the Bat and the Giants. As of Thursday, Castro was sporting a stellar .320 average. All questions about whether he is ready to produce in the bigs have been answered. If you are in a keeper league, point the lack of pop and see if you can pry Castro away. This kid is for real and will be a centerpiece of your team for years to come. After all, he is hitting .320 at the age of 20 despite having played only ¼ of a season at AA and having skipped AAA.


Jarod Saltalamacchia: Salty rewarded the Sox faith in starting him Thursday when he doubled twice. After a big start to his major league career in Atlanta, Salty has fallen on hard times. Fantasy players are quick to write off young phenoms who hit a skid. Don't make that mistake. Salty is a switch hitting catcher who is all of 25 and already in his 4th major league season. In AL-only leagues, Salty makes a good risk. He throws better than Victor Martinez (though that Is not saying much) and with the Youk injury, there is room for Victor to play 1b more often. Buy.


Shane Victorino: The Flyin Hawaiin came off the DL this week and immediately took back his starting job. Activate him right away. Shane is often overshadowed by the likes of Howard, Rollins, and Utley, but this guy can play and can carry a fantasy team. Yes, the average is below par, but in just over 400 AB, he already has 15 HR and 23 SB. A 20-30 season is in reach despite the injury. Given that he hit over .280 in each of the last 5 years, I expect a much better batting average the rest of the way. Buy.


Marcus Thames: Marcus Thames reemerged this week, homering in the 8th inning and then slapping the game winning hit in the 9th of a comeback victory over Cliff Lee and Texas. What was interesting about the games Tuesday and Wednesday was that Joe Girardi installed Thames in the 3 hole while Tex was at home for the birth of his son. That shows serious faith in Thames. I would not be surprised to see Marcus get a lot of AB's against LHP as either Curtis Granderson (who cant hit lefties) or Brett Gardner (who has never played a full season in the bigs) takes the pine. In deep AL leagues, that makes Thames a Buy.


John Danks: John Danks just keeps on keeping on. Despite doubts about his workload at a tender young age, Danks is having another very strong campaign. Wednesday, Danks gave up just one run in 8 innings to help the ChiSox beat the Twins. Danks now has a 3.19 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Those in pennant races or keeper leagues planning for next year can buy with confidence. This kid is for real. I just wish Rick and I trusted him instead of James Shields or John Lackey.


Jacoby Ellsbury: The see-saw continues for Ellsbury. This week he stole 4 bases in one game Monday, stole another later in the week and seemed poised to be a fantasy stud the rest of the way. Then, he got hit in his left side and now needs to be reexamined and may end up on the shelf again. What can you do? If you own him, you have to hold and hope. However, just remember, if you drafted Jacoby high, this is not your fault -- it is Terry Francona's. Ellsbury got hurt in a collision with 3B Adrian Beltre. That would not have happened had Ellsbury been in CF where he belongs. There simply is no excuse for moving Ellsbury out of position to make room for light hitting, 37 year old Mike Cameron. Fantasy lesson -- lower the dollar value of players playing new positions -- they come with added risk.


Ian Desmond: The best way to win at fantasy baseball is to have a smart partner. Rick and I are in a neck and neck battle for the FSTA experts league title. Rick convinced me that we had to stick with Ian Desmond. Well, Ian made Rick look like a genius as he hit two dingers Wednesday to up his August average to .333. So far this season, the 24 year old is hitting .265 with 9 HR and 12 SB over 358 AB. As he matures and gets more big league time under his belt, his numbers will get even better. Buy now while his market value is still pretty low.


Chan Ho Park: I have been accused of being too hard on Chan Ho. Nonsense. This guy killed the Yankees every time he took the hill in a game that was still in reach. Given his 6.10 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, it is really a surprise the Yankees sent him packing? What is mind boggling is that the rebuilding Pirates took him on. What possible good will the 37 year old with awful numbers do for Pittsburgh? None of course. In his 3 innings for the Pirates, he has already given up 7 hits and 4 runs. That ERA of 12.00 and WHIP of 2.33 is even worse than he posted in the Bronx. Ugh.


And now, as promised another two for one special:

August Trade Woes
By Bobby Colton

Unlike the trades that happen before the July 31 deadline, August trades are rarely good for fantasy owners. Players traded in August are primarily fringe starters that end up banished to the bench of their new club. Here's a look at potential trade candidates who are at risk of losing all value. Note: Starting pitchers have been omitted from this list as they are likely to remain starters and will most likely retain value if not gain it.

Carlos Beltran (OF) – Beltran has a wonderful pedigree and rumors are that he has cleared waivers. The only problem is that he hasn't hit at all, hasn't played well in the field, and hasn't shown an inclination to steal any bases. Although Thursday's matinee looked like the resurgence of the Beltran Met fans know and love (3-3, 2B, rbi, great mobility on bases and in field), he still could be headed towards a part-time role if the Mets do find a taker. My only advice is to hang on to Beltran for as long as the Mets do and hope right on with the Mets that he regains value.

Lyle Overbay (1B) – Overbay could make a nice left-handed half of a first base platoon for a contender (Texas, Atlanta, Boston) thanks to his .348 OBP against righties. Of course, he may not fit the same criteria as the others on this list because he's being forced out of his job while Adam Lind gets introduced to first base. Overbay may not be a great player to own the rest of this season regardless of whether he gets dealt.

Adam LaRoche (1B) – Last season LaRoche seemed destined to be stuck in a reserve role after being sent from Pittsburg to Boston on July 23rd. Fortunately for LaRoche and his owners, Casey Kotchman took the bullet for him when the two were swapped, giving LaRoche the starting first baseman gig in Atlanta once more. LaRoche would seem to be a great platoon option for contenders, except for the fact that he's hitting 80 points higher against fellow lefties. If LaRoche gets traded, he would probably only be traded to a team looking for an everyday guy thanks to those atrocious splits.

Russell Branyan (1B) – Branyan didn't make much sense for the Mariners when they acquired him, and now he makes less sense since he's blocking Justin Smoak from getting a chance at a full time gig (although I am a proponent for keeping the prospect in AAA because he clearly is overmatched right now). Branyan probably wouldn't even be a platoon guy if he's traded, just a late-inning pinch-hitter or insurance guy. His owners need to cross their fingers hoping he's not on the move.

Ty Wigginton (UTL) – Perhaps the most glaring omission from the July 31st trade deadline, the second least likely All-Star (behind Omar Infante) could be on the move this month. Wigginton has played most of the infield this season, meaning he has value for any contender as a versatile bench bat at the very least. If Wiggy is traded this month, you can be sure he won't have even half the value he currently holds.

Brandon Inge (3B) – While there is some confusion, it does not appear that Inge has been placed on waivers quite yet. With Chipper out for the year, Atlanta is an obvious potential home for Inge's slick fielding and power bat. Brandon should keep all his value if he lands in Atlanta (although he will have to contend with Omar Infante when Martin Prado returns). If he lands anywhere else the same might not be said for his playing time.

Juan Rivera (OF) – When the Angels admit that they can't catch Texas (which should come any day now), Rivera could be a prime trade candidate. Since Rivera is losing time to rookie center fielder Peter Bourjos, there seems to be no place for the slugger in Anaheim, or LA, or wherever they play. A bat like that could prove useful to any contending team. He would have less value on a new team than he currently does, if that's possible.

Brad Hawpe (OF) – Hawpe is in a similar situation to Juan Rivera and Lyle Overbay in the sense that he is not an everyday guy for his own team. Hawpe can play both corner outfield spots and first base, making him a nice left-handed bat off the bench for a playoff team willing to pay him. If his power comes back to the way it was over the last four years, he could be boon for a playoff team. A trade would hurt his value significantly though.

Chone Figgins (2B) – Figgins' name has been tossed around a little bit in conjunction with the Mets and the Braves, but moving his gigantic new deal could prove impossible. Should Figgins actually be on the move, he would probably retain a starting gig, making him the exception to the general rule for August deals. Figgins owners don't fret a potential trade. In fact, embrace it.

And last, but not least, Schultz says: "I will be in Woodstock for the week, likely without computer access - will return next week"

Response: Good stuff from Bobby on what may happen this month and how to plan accordingly. As for Schultz, the lawyer/music critic/fantasy sportswriter deserves a day off. Have fun buddy!
 

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The day after most of your trade deadlines can be a depressing time. Didn't get those trades done last minute? Frozen out by myopic or bitter league-mates? Watch people take worse trades to spite you? Frustrated by ridiculous offers, tense negotiations and poor returns?

Yeah, all those things happened to me this past weekend. It's okay, I'll feel better because I know a lot of you are in the same boat with me. And since you all follow RotoWorld closely, you're probably waiver wire kings like me, so we'll be fine. Let's all breathe deeply and move on.

* The weekend saw baseball lose some fantasy impact characters, perhaps for the year. Jacoby Ellsbury was most prominent of the group. He ended up in a collision at first base and suffered new trauma to the same ribs he injured earlier in the season. He actually said it hurt worse than before, so the prognosis for his return is not good. Ryan Kalish, who has some speed as well, will fill in for him in center field and is an exciting prospect.

Owners looking for a speed replacement in fantasy leagues can look to Michael Brantley in Cleveland, who has been playing well recently. His eye at the plate has gotten better, and we know he has the wheels. Julio Borbon in Texas has impact speed, too, but his place in the lineup is less secure. Last but not least, Nyjer Morgan (hip) feels fine and should rejoin the Nationals on Wednesday in case he hit your waiver wire.

* The weekend also some some important news regarding the returns of superstars. Dustin Pedroia says he'll "figure it out" and basically feels good enough to return. The team needs him, so no reason to have a long rehab. Judging from the sorry state of the second base position this year, his fantasy owners need him too. On a related note, Martin Prado is going to start rehab on Monday and hopefully end it by Wednesday. The rehabbing Chase Utley also rejoins the Phillies lineup as soon as Tuesday. Maybe second base won't look so bad off once the injuries have cleared up.

* Ryan Howard, on the other hand, won't be returning on the short side of his projections. Tuesday is out, since soreness over the weekend kept him from working in the field. Team brass suggested he might even need a rehab assignment. With the news about Justin Morneau, the top-end talent at first base has taken some hits this year. Morneau's timetables keep getting longer, and reports are that he has not improved enough to step up workouts yet.

Though he won't net you the same results, Brad Hawpe is on many waiver wires and has better power than he's showing now, but isn't playing against lefties. If only it worked that way, fantasy owners could try platooning him with Mike Lowell, who is a little better against lefties over his career. If power and power alone is your aim, Carlos Pena should only need one rehab game before joining the Rays this week. Todd Helton is also back and even homered Saturday.

* In closer news, Jose Valverde went down with an abdominal strain but should avoid the DL. Phil Coke finished a couple of Tigers victories in the meantime for those scrounging for saves. We do know that Valverde has had the injury bug before, and those strains can take some time to heal even if the trainers are saying he feels better. Drew Storen collected his second of many future saves, provided that his strikeout rate rises as he learns to use his three pitches in tandem. The "big" news, though, was that Joe Torre removed Jonathan Broxton from the closer role - to be replaced by lefty Hong-Chih Kuo for now. Given Broxton's elite strikeout ability and track record, however, this seems doubtful to last, and the big fella should have his job back after a few scoreless outings.

* This bullet is not about superstars. This bullet is about Allen Craig - a backup outfielder/maybe-infielder in St. Louis. This bullet is about how, even though Tony La Russa said that playing him at third base would be the "worst thing for him and the team," Craig got a start at third base on Sunday because nominal starter Felipe Lopez has been struggling on offense and defense. This bullet will go on to mention that Craig made an error in the field on Sunday, and that he doesn't take a walk at the plate. This bullet will close by pointing out that Craig has power and is still interesting in deeper leagues because he's now battling Lopez for time instead of being stuck in the rightfield scrum with Jon Jay and Nick Stavinoha.

* Rich Harden is now hurting in the shoulder - not the glute - and finally (mercifully rejoined the disabled list. In his stead, young Derek Holland will return to the major leagues to help his teammates battle for the division. The lefty has a solid three-pitch arsenal and displayed his trademarked great control earlier this year, so in deeper leagues he's immediately interesting. If the strikeouts start approaching his minor league levels, he'll be mixed-league relevant.

* Mike Stanton went on an absolute tear this weekend, going six for 12 with two home runs. He's been hot for a while, with four home runs in the past week. With the power all the way up to eleven, and the walks there, it's only the strikeouts keeping Stanton from rocking the upper ends of his projections right now. If you can stand some batting average risk, he shouldn't be on your waiver wire right now.

NL Quick Hits: Jason Bay ran and his headaches went away, but there's no timetable yet and it may take a little while still … Fellow Nat Jordan Zimmermann had another good start and will be up soon to help in all non-win categories … Josh Willingham showed his knee wasn't so bad off with a home run and double on Sunday … Too bad Tim Lincecum's secondary stats have been poor all year, and he continues to struggle, but there's no way you can sell him low now in keeper leagues anyway … Jose Guillen arrived in San Francisco for his first game, got the best ovation he'll get all year, and is slightly relevant in 20-team leagues with five starting outfielders just because he'll probably play … Rafael Furcal (back) will turn it around pretty quickly and start rehabbing this week … Jhoulys Chacin is the replacement for Jeff Francis (shoulder), and he's immediately interesting in most leagues because of his strikeouts and groundballs … Speaking of groundballs, Carlos Silva (heart) might start rehab this week .. Though he probably won't steal the everyday job from Freddie Sanchez, Mike Fontenot and his mutton chops debuted well with the Giants and his manager said something about sticking with the hot hand … Though his manager was somewhat upbeat about his chances, Brad Penny's GM said he had a less than 50-50 shot at returning this year … Jason Heyward missed a game with his sore right knee, which wouldn't be news if he hadn't done it before … Juan Gutierrez threw and should be activated to a nebulous role in the Arizona bullpen on Wednesday … R.A. Dickey demands respect at this point, and even though knuckleballers seems inherently risky, he's been solid all season and probably shouldn't be on the wire.

AL Quick Hits: Nelson Cruz stopped some breathing over the weekend when he pulled up with a tight hamstring, but an MRI showed no tear … It seems that Kevin Slowey's elbow is okay; he no-hit the Athletics for seven innings on Sunday … Bobby Jenks may hit the DL with his back spasms … Jeremy Hellickson is perpetuating Helloween in Tampa Bay with his good games, but he only has one scheduled start left according to team sources … Andy Pettitte will "possibly" throw off a mound Tuesday while fellow Yankee veteran Lance Berkman left Sunday's game with an ankle injury, but there's no news about his return yet … Travis Hafner returned and pronked a grand slam despite the cranky shoulder (he claims he feels no pain) … Conor Jackson may be activated this week if he feels comfortable playing often … Out since Wednesday, J.J. Hardy (wrist) will remain out until Tuesday … Christian Guzman (quadriceps) played poorly for the Rangers and is now on the DL … Milton Bradley won't return this season, as he has scheduled arthroscopic surgery on his knee for Tuesday … Mike Cameron (abdomen) was scheduled to hit Friday, but no news on how it went just yet … Jed Lowrie, who had outplaying Marco Scutaro recently, missed a couple games with heat exhaustion, which doesn't help his case for more time once the Pedroia returns … Marc Rzepczynski had such a strong start Friday (six strikeouts, one walk, and two hits in seven innings) that he may stick in the rotation; Scrabble needs groundballs to succeed, so watch those totals … Mark Teahen came back over the weekend, but should only play as a utility sub for now.
 

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One In, One Out
Monday night's draft pick signing deadline was full of action, and the Nationals again stole the headlines. For the second straight summer, they shelled out a record-breaking contract to a No. 1 overall pick. Last year it was a $15.1 million deal for Stephen Strasburg, the highest sum of money ever allotted to a drafted pitcher. This year, outfielder Bryce Harper scored a five-year, $9.9 million deal. Never has an amateur position player scored more money.

Harper certainly looks like the complete package to this point. He's just 17 years of age, boasts a high-powered throwing arm, and he hit 31 homers in 66 games this season at the College of Southern Nevada. If the kid continues to develop, the Nats can look forward to a major boost in offense several years from now.

While we calculate Harper's ETA for the majors, let's hit on some other major stories from around the baseball planet...

*.Mets reliever Francisco Rodriguez is not having a great August. Last week he was arrested and charged with third-degree assault and second-degree harassment for beating up his girlfriend's father in the Family Lounge at Citi Field. On Monday, we learned that he suffered an injury during that mauling and will need surgery to repair a torn ligament in his right thumb. The Mets are doing their best to void his contract, but in the meantime must continue to play baseball games. That's where Hisanori Takahashi comes in. He successfully converted a save opportunity on Monday night against the Astros and could get chances in that role for the rest of the season. Pick him up in fantasy leagues and we'll see how this all plays out.

* Oakland closer Andrew Bailey has been stuck on the disabled list with a a strained intercostal muscle since late July and is only now beginning to make serious progress. He threw a bullpen session Sunday and played catch Monday, reporting no abnormal soreness or discomfort after each workout. If all goes well, he could return to the A's over the weekend. Craig Breslow and Michael Wuertz have picked up saves in his absence but will head back to setup duties once Bailey returns. The 26-year-old Bailey left behind a 1.56 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP and 20 saves in 23 opportunities when he was placed on the 15-day disabled list.

* Here we go again. Rangers outfielder Nelson Cruz has been placed on the disabled list with hamstring discomfort for a third time this season. He doesn't have a tear or anything, but manager Ron Washington wants to give him ample time for recovery while also resting him up for the club's postseason push. Sure, it makes sense for the Rangers, who have a healthy lead in the American League West, but it's killer timing for fantasy owners. Cruz has been a monster when healthy this season and currently sports a .968 OPS with 16 homers and 15 steals over 77 games. But we'll have to do without the slugger for at least the next two weeks.

* On to some positive news. Pirates starter James McDonald, acquired from the Dodgers at the trade deadline, held the Marlins to three hits and one earned run over seven innings Monday to earn his second victory in three outings. He's given the nothing-to-lose Bucs a real jolt since arriving in Pittsburgh with a 2.55 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 20/3 K/BB ratio over his first 17 2/3 innings. The Bucs may finally have a fantasy-relevant starter, and all they gave up to land him was veteran reliever Octavio Dotel. Nice going, Dodgers.

NL Quick Hits: Astros closer Matt Lindstrom was charged with two runs over one-third of an inning Monday in his return to the mound ... Tommy Hanson has a 1.93 ERA over his last eight starts but has not collected a win over that span ... Cubs catcher Geovany Soto is scheduled to take batting practice Tuesday and is nearing a return ... Kevin Correia pitched six scoreless innings in the Padres' defeat of the Cubs on Monday ... Tom Gorzelanny has a 5.17 ERA in six starts since the All-Star break ... The Padres are working on a plan to limit Mat Latos' workload down the stretch, but they intend to keep him plenty active ... Jeff Keppinger is day-to-day with a sprained left toe ... The Braves aren't expected to call up prospect Freddie Freeman until September ... Hong-Chih Kuo blew a save opportunity Monday against the Braves and is likely to give way to Jonathan Broxton by the end of this week ... Cubs first baseman Derrek Lee is day-to-day with a back injury ... Veterans Geoff Blum and Craig Counsell have cleared waivers ... Ike Davis has begun playing sparingly against left-handed pitchers ... Pirates infielder Ronny Cedeno is still unable to swing a bat due to shoulder discomfort ... The Rockies have placed Brad Hawpe on waivers ... Carlos Gomez is just about ready to return to the Brewers ... Jason Motte has been cleared to begin a throwing program.

AL Quick Hits: O's outfielder Adam Jones laid down a walkoff bunt to defeat the Mariners on Monday ... Carlos Pena has been activated from the disabled list ... Shaun Marcum carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning Monday against the A's and needed only 103 pitches to register his second career complete game ... Alex Rodriguez is day-to-day with left calf tightness ... Max Scherzer tossed six shutout innings Monday in the Tigers' defeat of the Yankees ... Red Sox minor leaguer Carlos Delgado will miss the rest of the week due to a tweaked back ... Nick Swisher is day-to-day with forearm tightness ... Johnny Damon is telling reporters that he would like to remain with the Tigers through next season ... Rangers third baseman Michael Young is day-to-day with neck discomfort ... Wade Davis threw a successful bullpen session Monday and is on track to return when eligible ... Rays outfielder Gabe Kapler is on the disabled list with a right ankle sprain ... Tigers third baseman Brandon Inge is drawing interest from the Cardinals, but he probably wouldn't pass through waivers ... Ichiro Suzuki is pushing for the Mariners to hire Bobby Valentine as manager ... Jason T. Berken has been diagnosed with fraying in his rotator cuff and could eventually require surgery ... Red Sox setup man Hideki Okajima could return from the disabled list by early next week.
 

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Punch-Out!!

In this week's edition of Saves and Steals, your milquetoast correspondent informs his sister that she is forbidden to date Francisco Rodriguez, checks in on the status of back spasming duo Bobby Jenks and Matt Lindstrom and analyzes the aftermath of Los Angeles' surprising decision to boot Jonathan Broxton from the closer's role.

In honor of the ongoing NFL preseason, this week's tiers are brought to you by the five levels of Super Bowl contenders for the upcoming season.


Tier 1: Elite (2) (AKA: The "New Orleans Saints" Tier.)



Mariano Rivera, New York Yankees
Jonathan Papelbon, Boston Red Sox


Tier 2: Rock Steady (7) (AKA: The "Baltimore Ravens" Tier.)



Joakim Soria, Kansas City Royals
Billy Wagner, Atlanta Braves
Carlos Marmol, Chicago Cubs
Heath Bell, San Diego Padres
Rafael Soriano, Tampa Bay Rays
Brian Wilson, San Francisco Giants
Neftali Feliz, Texas Rangers


Tier 3: OK options (7) (AKA: The "Dallas Cowboys" Tier.)



Jose Valverde, Detroit Tigers
Huston Street, Colorado Rockies
Leo Nunez, Florida Marlins
Ryan Franklin, St. Louis Cardinals
Matt Capps, Minnesota Twins
Brian Fuentes, Los Angeles Angels
pos_arrow.gif
David Aardsma, Seattle Mariners

Comment:
Jose Valverde missed almost one week while suffering from a strained abdominal muscle. He returned to the mound to earn a save Monday against the Yankees but allowed one run in the outing.

Valverde's now surrendered runs in eight of his last 11 outings, but he isn't in danger of losing his job.

Speaking of struggling closers, Huston Street has allowed seven earned runs and been slapped with two losses in August.

David Aardsma, on the other hand, has surrendered just two earned runs in his last 13 outings. He was perfect in save opportunities over that timeframe before punting Monday's chance against the Orioles by walking three and allowing a run in the tenth inning.

As always, his control bears watching. But questions about Aardsma's job security have died down and he's regained a lot of the fantasy value he lost during a long rough patch from May to the beginning of July.


Tier 4: Question marks (6) (AKA: The "Chicago Bears" Tier.)



Brad Lidge, Philadelphia Phillies
Bobby Jenks, Chicago White Sox
Francisco Cordero, Cincinnati Reds
Matt Lindstrom, Houston Astros
Kevin Gregg, Toronto Blue Jays
Chris Perez, Cleveland Indians

Comment:
White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen doesn't think Bobby Jenks, who hasn't pitched since Thursday while suffering from back spasms, will be ready to pitch by Tuesday. If not, there's a decent chance that Jenks would get placed on the DL.

J.J. Putz replaced Jenks over the weekend and was charged with losses in consecutive games against the Tigers. He allowed two earned runs apiece on Saturday and Sunday and an additional unearned run on Sunday. Clearly, Putz blew his chance to unseat Jenks.

Jenks has posted a 5.13 ERA and 1.46 WHIP this year, but he's 23-for-26 in save chances and his strikeout rate is stellar.

Matt Lindstrom was diagnosed with a muscle strain in his back during an MRI and X-ray on Wednesday, but later tests revealed no structural damage. He'd been dealing with discomfort for weeks and missed six days, returning to the mound Monday to get tagged with the loss against the Mets by allowing two runs over one-third of an inning.


Tier 5: Rollercoaster rides (8) (AKA: The "Detroit Lions" Tier.)



Alfredo Simon, Baltimore Orioles
Joel Hanrahan, Pittsburgh Pirates
Aaron Heilman, Arizona Diamondbacks
Drew Storen/Sean Burnett, Washington Nationals
Trevor Hoffman/John Axford, Milwaukee Brewers
Michael Wuertz/Craig Breslow, Oakland Athletics
pos_arrow.gif
Hong-Chih Kuo, Los Angeles Dodgers
pos_arrow.gif
Hisanori Takahashi, New York Mets

Comment:
New Orioles manager Buck Showalter said last week that Alfredo Simon will share save chances, although no other reliever has been given an opportunity since that time.

Mike Gonzalez is likely to see save chances and should be added in all formats for speculative purposes. Koji Uehara is also pitching well and should be monitored.

Drew Storen earned his second save of the season on Sunday against the Diamondbacks by pitching a perfect ninth inning. Storen hasn't allowed a run in eight of his last nine outings.

Despite a 2.61 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 7.1 K/9 rate, Nationals manager Jim Riggleman keeps hedging on naming Storen his full-time closer, so Sean Burnett has remained in the mix. Storen has more fantasy value.

Trevor Hoffman is who we thought he was. Since Brewers manager Ken Macha said that he and John Axford would share closing duties, Hoffman's lost three games and converted zero saves in four appearances. He gave up five runs in 3 1/3 innings during that time.

Axford's seven wins and 17 saves in three months since his promotion make him one of the best fantasy waiver wire pickups of the season. Axford will continue to lose some opportunities to Hoffman, but he's still a valuable fantasy reliever. Hoffman is three saves short of 600.

There was a fair chance that Hong-Chih Kuo was already owned in your mixed league. After all, he'd produced a 0.88 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and a 51/13 K/BB rate in 41 innings as the primary setup man to Jonathan Broxton. When Dodgers manager Joe Torre booted Broxton from the closer's role, Kuo's fantasy value only increased.

Broxton had been scored on in five of his last 10 appearances before the ouster, bloating his ERA from 1.93 to 3.42, and had a 12/13 K/BB ratio since his last appearance of June. He's still one of the top three most talented relievers in the game and we expect his sabbatical from the job to be ephemeral.

Kuo took the loss on Monday by giving up three runs over 1 1/3 innings to the Braves, which should expedite the change.

Francisco Rodriguez tore a ligament in his right thumb when he punched his girlfriend's father last week and will require surgery that is likely to end his season. The Mets are reportedly trying to void his contract that calls for $11.5 million next year and holds a $17.5 million vesting option for 2012.

In the meantime, New York could play matchups in K-Rod's absence. Hisanori Takahashi got the first crack at a save opportunity, converting on Monday night against the Astros. He will justifiably be a hot add in all formats today.

Bobby Parnell and Pedro Feliciano are also leading candidates for saves if Jerry Manuel decides to try out the committee approach.

<CENTER>* * * * * * * * * *</CENTER>


Injured


Joe Nathan, Minnesota Twins (Out for the season with a torn ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow)
Andrew Bailey, Oakland Athletics (15-day disabled list with a strained intercostal muscle)
Juan Gutierrez, Arizona Diamondbacks (15-day disabled list with right shoulder inflammation)
Francisco Rodriguez, New York Mets (needs surgery to repair a torn ligament in his right thumb)

Comment:
Andrew Bailey threw a pain-free 20-pitch bullpen session on Sunday and played catch Monday. It's possible that Bailey could return this weekend.

"We're still a couple days away, but it's getting close," Bailey told MLB.com. "Each and every day you're feeling better and now that I'm feeling good, it's just about getting back into baseball and game form."

Michael Wuertz and Craig Breslow will continue to swap save chances until Bailey's return.

The Deposed:
Frank Francisco, Texas Rangers
Jason Frasor, Toronto Blue Jay
Jim Johnson, Baltimore Orioles
Mike Gonzalez, Baltimore Orioles
Chad Qualls, Tampa Bay Rays
Kerry Wood, New York Yankees
Octavio Dotel, Los Angeles Dodgers
Jon Rauch, Minnesota Twins
Jonathan Broxton, Los Angeles Dodgers

<CENTER>* * * * * * * * * *</CENTER>

The Steals Department

Gregor Blanco, Kansas City's new centerfielder, is a perfect addition to all AL-only leagues now that most leagues' trade deadlines have passed. Blanco is starting every day and has swiped five bags in August.

He's hitting only .205 with a .484 OPS in 39 at-bats since joining the Royals from the Braves at the trade deadline. Blanco is a career .249 hitter who has gone deep once in 570 career at-bats. He's a one-trick pony, but he can definitely help AL-only owners make a push in the stolen base category.

The Red Sox placed Jacoby Ellsbury on the 15-day disabled list Sunday with another injury to his ribs, making Ryan Kalish an intriguing addition in all formats.

Kalish is in line for at-bats as long as Ellsbury is out and for all we know that could be the rest of the season. The 22-year-old Kalish converted 85 steals while getting caught just 16 times in the minors. This season, between Double-A and Triple-A he hit .294/.382/.502 with 13 homers and 47 RBI while going 25-of-28 in stolen base attempts in 78 games.

Kalish is batting .304 in 50 plate appearances since his promotion to the big leagues.

He has a knack for getting on base and running, which should also translate into runs scored in Boston's lineup.
 

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Things are getting wild in the American League Central. The White Sox and Twins kicked off a major three-game series on Tuesday night that ended with a 10th-inning walkoff home run by former Chicagoan and current Twins slugger Jim Thome. The veteran Thome is batting a healthy .273/.391/.593 with 17 homers and 44 RBI in just 209 at-bats this season for Minnesota and the Twins now own a four-game lead over the White Sox in the division with a little over 40 games to play.

While we move the Twins' signing of Thome up our big board of "Best Offseason Moves," let's check out what else is cooking around the baseball world...

* Red Sox outfielder Jacoby Ellsbury was diagnosed with a fractured rib on Tuesday and is almost certainly going to be shut down for the rest of the season. Fans in Boston calling the guy "soft" can now take a sharp, long look in the mirror. He played in only 18 total games this season, but many of those were played in pain and he's plenty capable of rallying for a big 2011 after several months of rest and rehab. Ellsbury will remain one of our top stolen base-oriented fantasy picks heading into next season. Rib injury and all, he still managed to swipe seven successful bags in eight attempts this year.

* Dodgers manager Joe Torre pulled Jonathan Broxton from his ninth-inning role following a blown save last Thursday against the Phillies and told reporters that Hong-Chih Kuo would get a look in the gig. Less than one week in, we're already thinking that Torre is ready to change his mind. Kuo allowed three earned runs over 1 1/3 innings Monday against the Braves and doesn't have the over-powering stuff of his counterpart. Broxton, meanwhile, has turned in two straight flawless innings and has a long-term future as the Dodgers' closer. With little left to play for, look for Torre to realign his bullpen by the weekend.

* If you read Tuesday's edition of the Daily Dose and hopped on the waiver wire to grab Hisanori Takahashi, you're both a loyal Rotoworld reader and a wise fantasy owner. For the first, we thank you. For the second, a self-induced pat on the back seems in order. Mets manager Jerry Manuel confirmed late Tuesday evening that Takahashi will see the majority of save chances for his club through the end of the season. Francisco Rodriguez, of course, was placed on the disqualified list Tuesday and will not return until 2011 due to a thumb injury that will be surgically repaired later this week. Takahashi is a must-own in all fantasy formats, but he's probably already been scooped up in most leagues.

* Well, the fun is over. At least for this season. The Reds announced Tuesday that sensational rookie Mike Leake will be shifted to the bullpen with Homer Bailey taking over for him in the starting rotation. Leake did nothing wrong -- in fact, he's done everything right -- but the Reds couldn't allow him to climb past 160-170 innings in his first professional season. Remember, the 22-year-old skipped the minor leagues altogether and topped out at 142 frames in 2009 for Arizona State University. The Redlegs are doing the right thing and currently hold a two-game lead over the Cardinals in the National League Cental. Perhaps karma will be on their side as August shifts to September and then October.

NL Quick Hits: Braves infielder Martin Prado jammed his hand Tuesday but isn't expected to miss time ... Clayton Kershaw delivered seven scoreless innings Tuesday and combined with three relievers on a shutout of the Rockies ... D'Backs starter Daniel Hudson has an impressive 27/4 K/BB ratio in 29 2/3 innings since heading over from the White Sox in late July ... Josh Willingham is expected to undergo season-ending surgery on his left knee next week ... Freddy Sanchez and Mike Fontenot will split time at second base for the Giants ... Manny Ramirez has been cleared to begin a minor league rehab assignment and may be less than one week away from the bigs ... Brewers starter Dave Bush was pulled after 91 pitches Tuesday due to a blister ... John Axford recorded his 18th save of the season Tuesday against the Cardinals ... Jeff Suppan tossed a pain-free simulated game Tuesday ... Astros outfielder Hunter Pence is batting .371 (23-for-62) in the month of August ... Wilton Lopez earned his first career save Tuesday but doesn't look like an immediate candidate for more ... Braves rookie Mike Minor has a 1.08 WHIP and a 10/3 K/BB ratio over his first two big league starts ... Ricky Nolasco threw six shutout innings and struck out nine Tuesday vs. the Pirates ... Astros infielder Jeff Keppinger has a fractured toe ... Derrek Lee (back) is expected to return to the Cubs' lineup Thursday ... Brewers reliever LaTroy Hawkins is likely to have exploratory surgery on his shoulder ... The Mets placed Francisco Rodriguez on the disqualified list.

AL Quick Hits: Yankees slugger Alex Rodriguez has a calf strain and could miss the next few games ... A's closer Andrew Bailey could begin a minor league rehab assignment as soon as Friday ... Nelson Cruz is expected to return from the disabled list as soon as he's eligible ... Brandon Morrow allowed two runs over four innings Tuesday against the A's in his first start since his 137-pitch near no-hitter ... Jays outfielder Vernon Wells is hitting just .234 with three homers and 13 RBI in 141 at-bats since the beginning of July ... Clay Buchholz has allowed just five runs over his last five starts ... Rangers third baseman Michael Young might not start Wednesday due to an ongoing neck issue ... Milton Bradley underwent knee surgery Tuesday that is likely to end his season ... Andy Pettitte still has a small strain in his groin and won't throw off a mound for another week ... Royals closer Joakim Soria is up to 34 saves on the season ... CC Sabathia earned his 16th win of the season Tuesday in a defeat of the Tigers ... 22-year-old Jeanmar Gomez is 3-1 with a 1.84 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over five major league starts ... Ian Kinsler has been cleared for infield practice ... The red-hot Matt Garza has allowed just four earned runs over 31 innings since his July 26 no-hitter ... Ryan Kalish is hitting .300/.333/.440 in 50 at-bats and hit a grand slam Tuesday ... Tigers second baseman Carlos Guillen is fighting through a knee injury ... Michael Young could be out a few more days due to a bothersome neck.
 

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Dandy Dan
And just like that, we're already past the trade deadline in most fantasy leagues. I hope that you were able to pull off a last-minute deal or two in order to upgrade your squad for the final six weeks of the season, but if not, don't fret. That's why I'm here.

The waiver wire is more important than ever right now, as head-to-head owners look for spot starters and others look to catch up in specific categories. I look forward to giving my advice right on through the final week of the season.

I went a little pitching-heavy this week, but I couldn't help it, really. There were just too many quality options widely available. Hopefully at least one of them will work out for you. Let's get started.

MIXED LEAGUES

Daniel Hudson SP, Diamondbacks (Yahoo: 21 percent owned, ESPN: 21.3 percent)

All Hudson has done since coming over from the White Sox at the trade deadline? Post a 2.12 ERA and 0.88 WHIP over his first four starts in his new digs, compiling a 27/4 K/BB ratio over 29 2/3 innings. He has fanned 19 batters over his last two outings alone. Don't forget that he missed tons of bats in the minor leagues, averaging 10.6 K/9, so even if he can't manage a strikeout per inning in the bigs, he should still be plenty useful in that category. Go ahead and pick him up for the stretch drive.

Hisanori Takahashi RP, Mets (Yahoo: 20 percent owned, ESPN: 12.4 percent)

Last week, I speculated that Takahashi was the most obvious choice for saves if Francisco Rodriguez was suspended for a lengthy period of time. Turns out a torn thumb ligament sustained in the fracas has KO'd him for the rest of the season. No matter, Takahashi is still who you want here. He successfully converted the first save chance in K-Rod's absence, which appears to be good enough for Mets manager Jerry Manuel. This could be a fluid situation over the final six weeks, but he's a must-add in most formats.

Hong-Chih Kuo RP, Dodgers (Yahoo: 37 percent owned, ESPN: 33 percent)

Jonathan Broxton worked a perfect ninth inning in Tuesday's 6-0 win over the Rockies, just one day after Kuo failed to hold a two-run lead against the Braves. Don't be shocked if Broxton regains the closer role any day now, but until Dodgers manager Joe Torre actually uses him there, Kuo must be owned in all formats. Even with Monday's uncharacteristic blowup, the southpaw has a 1.49 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 52/14 K/BB ratio in 42 1/3 innings this season, dominating both lefties and righties.

Jon Niese SP, Mets (Yahoo: 25 percent owned, ESPN: 22.1 percent)

Niese has three consecutive no-decisions to his credit, but it's not like he has deserved it. The 23-year-old southpaw has allowed exactly one run over seven innings in each of his last three starts, lowering his ERA to 3.38 over 22 starts this season. Not bad for a rookie. Even better, his xFIP of 3.98 tells us that he has mostly earned it. Niese already has 133 innings under his belt, so the Mets could shut him down at some point in September, but he's worth owning with a cookie schedule coming up.

Coco Crisp, OF Athletics (Yahoo: 11 percent owned, ESPN: 21.3 percent)

Crisp is flying under the radar as one of the hottest hitters in all of baseball right now, batting .452 (19-for-42) with two homers, five doubles, nine RBI, nine runs scored and five stolen bases over his last 11 games. More broadly, he ranks inside the top-10 fantasy outfielders in batting average, hits and stolen bases this month. Injuries have given him a bit of a stigma, but there's simply no way he should be left on the wire in most mixed leagues, especially if you are in need of stolen bases.

Anibal Sanchez SP, Marlins (Yahoo: 33 percent owned, ESPN: 30.2 percent)

I don't want to pick on J.A. Happ, but he it struck me today that he is owned in more leagues (Yahoo: 36 percent owned, ESPN: 41.3 percent) than Sanchez at the moment. Why is that, exactly? It's even crazier when you realize that Sanchez has a 2.37 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 40/12 K/BB ratio over six starts since the All-Star break. Keep in mind that he has only given up six home runs in 141 1/3 innings this season despite allowing slightly more flyballs than last season, but that's my only real area of concern. Go with him.

Pat Burrell OF, Giants (Yahoo: 13 percent owned, ESPN: 13.8 percent)

Burrell has been up-and-down since signing with the Giants (batting .338 in June and .189 in July), but fortunately for fantasy owners, he has turned it on again in August, batting .309 (17-for-55) with six home runs and 16 RBI, including five round-trippers in his last seven games. The Giants appear to be going with Jose Guillen in right field, so assuming that alignment keeps up, Burrell shouldn't lose any playing time in left. The hot-hitting won't last, but pick him up if you are in need of some short-term thump.

John Buck C, Blue Jays (Yahoo: 36 percent owned, ESPN: 20.1 percent)

Buck's ownership has taken a real hit since he was placed on the disabled list with a thumb injury earlier this month, but he's already two games into a rehab assignment with Double-A New Hampshire, highlighted by two homers and six RBI on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, rookie J.P. Arencibia was sent to the minors after Wednesday's game, setting up Buck's return for Friday. Even with the two week absence, Buck sits among the top five fantasy catchers in home runs (14) and RBI (49), so don't ignore him in mixed formats.

Shopping at the five-and-dime:

(Note: Players included are owned in less than 10 percent of Y! and ESPN leagues)

Eric Young Jr 2B/OF, Rockies (Yahoo: 2 percent owned, ESPN: 0.4 percent)

Not only has Young apparently unseated the slumping Clint Barmes from the starting second base job in Colorado, he has batted leadoff in each of the last four games. If the 25-year-old speedster sticks there, he has a chance to be very valuable down the stretch. Young has seven stolen bases in eight attempts with the big club this season and has swiped as many as 87 bases in a season in the minors. Fantasy owners have been waiting a long time for him to get a shot at regular playing time, so take a chance and plug him in a MI spot.

Jim Thome UT, Twins (Yahoo: 6 percent owned, ESPN: 2.2 percent)

Thome isn't an everyday player anymore, but he has made the most of his limited opportunities this season, slugging 17 homers and posting an 974 OPS in just 212 at-bats. That's good enough for one home run every 12.5 at-bats. He hasn't went deep that frequently since his 42-homer campaign in 2006. I'll acknowledge that the 39-year-old slugger is a bit of a drag for fantasy owners because he is only eligible in the UT spot in many formats, but he's worth speculating on in deeper formats if you need help in the power categories.

Michael Brantley OF, Indians (Yahoo: 9 percent owned, ESPN: 1.5 percent)

Brantley has finally started to match his potential of a draft-day sleeper, batting .333 (15-for-45) with two homers, one triple, six RBI, 11 runs scored and two stolen bases over 11 games since being called up from Triple-A Columbus earlier this month. Indians skipper Manny Acta has been so impressed by what he's seen from the 23-year-old outfielder that he recently suggested that Brantley could stay in center field, even after Grady Sizemore returns from knee surgery. While that's something to think about for next season, he can help in multiple categories right now.


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AL ONLY

Will Rhymes 2B, Tigers (Yahoo: 0 percent owned, ESPN: 0.1 percent)

Carlos Guillen hit the disabled list on Wednesday due to a deep bruise in his left knee. Early speculation is that he could be out of commission for three weeks. Look for Rhymes to get a chance to capitalize during his absence. The 27-year-old did just fine in an earlier stint with the team and owns a .305/.370/.415 batting line to go along with two homers, 35 RBI and 22 stolen bases with Triple-A Toledo this season. No, he isn't going to help you in the power categories, but his speed could surprise in deeper formats.

Ryan Kalish OF, Red Sox (Yahoo: 3 percent owned, ESPN: 1.1 percent)

Mike Cameron is already done for the year and it's not like fantasy owners are depending on Jacoby Ellsbury to return, so it looks like Kalish has a clear path to playing time the rest of the way. The 22-year-old outfielder has thrived in his first taste of the big leagues, batting .278 with two homers and eight RBI in his first 54 at-bats, including a grand slam against Jered Weaver on Tuesday night. Kalish, who was ranked as the organization's No. 5 prospect by Baseball America over the winter, had 13 homers and 25 stolen bases between Double-A and Triple-A this season. He's an interesting one.

Derek Holland SP Rangers (Yahoo: 2 percent owned, ESPN: 1.4 percent)

Holland wasn't all that great in his return to the rotation against the Rays on Wednesday afternoon, allowing five runs on six hits -- including two homers -- while walking four. On the positive side, he was actually pretty decent over the first four innings and still managed to register eight strikeouts. I'd shy away from using him against the Twins in his next start, but the young southpaw follows that up with promising matchups against the Athletics and Royals. Rich Harden could push him for a rotation spot in the days to come, but his potential is obviously worth stashing.

Brayan Pena C, Royals (Yahoo: 0 percent owned, ESPN: 0 percent)

Hang with me for a second. Sure, Pena is batting just .161 this season, but don't get all bent out of shape about 56 measly at-bats. Besides, he's barely had the chance to even play. That should change in the days to come, at least if we can take Ned Yost at his word. Jason Kendall has batted just .225 with zero homers and five doubles since the start of June, so he hardly deserves to be starting right now. Remember that Pena batted .273 with six homers and 18 RBI in 165 at-bats last season, so there's still upside here.

NL ONLY

Lorenzo Cain, OF Padres (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, ESPN: 0.3 percent)

Here's one of my favorite late-season sleepers. Cain didn't play much after his initial call-up from Triple-A Nashville last month, but he has been on fire since taking the place of Carlos Gomez on the roster on August 6, batting .355 (11-for-31) with two stolen bases and six runs scored, including back-to-back multi-hit games this week. Cain's stock took a bit of a hit because of a knee injury last season, but the 24-year-old outfielder rebounded to bat .317/.402/.432 with 26 stolen bases between Double-A and Triple-A this season. He deserves to play, even after Carlos Gomez returns.

Wilton Lopez RP, Astros (Yahoo: 1 percent owned, 0.3 percent)

Struggling closer Matt Lindstrom was placed on the disabled list after Wednesday's game due to a bad back. Brandon Lyon should be considered the favorite for saves in his absence, but don't overlook Lopez here. He secured his first major league save in Tuesday's win over the Mets and has a very solid 2.94 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 39/5 K/BB ratio in 52 innings this season, inducing grounders at more than 50 percent. The Astros are clearly in rebuilding mode, so it wouldn't hurt for them to give the younger guy a shot at the role. Watch him.

Brandon Allen 1B, Diamondbacks (Yahoo: 0 percent owned, ESPN: 0.1 percent)

Here's one for the speculative set. We learned on Wednesday that the hot-hitting Adam LaRoche has reportedly passed through waivers and can now be traded to any team. Assuming the Diamondbacks swap him to a contender, Allen should get the call from the minor leagues. The 24-year-old first baseman is currently batting .265/.405/.551 with 23 homers, 74 RBI and a 956 OPS for Triple-A Reno. He struggled in his first taste of the majors last season, striking out 40 times in 104 at-bats, but his power potential is worth stashing for September.

Homer Bailey SP, Reds (Yahoo: 5 percent owned, ESPN: 0.9 percent)

Mike Leake was sent to the bullpen this week and Bailey's six shutout innings against the Marlins on Sunday had a lot to do with it. The 24-year-old right-hander hadn't started a game since mid-May due to shoulder problems, but he was very sharp in his return, allowing just three hits while striking out four and walking none. His time in the rotation may be short with Aaron Harang expected to return from the disabled list later this month or in early September, but don't forget how good he was down the stretch last season.
 

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All Hands On Deck

We've entered that late stage of the game where fantasy owners are beginning to make their final playoff push. Using the right players becomes all the more vital at this point, so carefully look over this week's two-start pitchers and streamers. We're quickly approaching September's roster expansions, so keep your eyes peeled for young players who might be able to make an impact and help your team.

Going Twice...



American League

Strong Plays

Gavin Floyd: BAL (Guthrie), NYY (Moseley)
Fausto Carmona: OAK (Gonzalez), KC (Chen)
Francisco Liriano: @TEX (Holland), @SEA (Fister)
Carl Pavano: @TEX (Lewis), @SEA (French)
Gio Gonzalez: @CLE (Carmona), @TEX (Lewis)
Colby Lewis: MIN (Pavano), TEX (Gonzalez)

Decent Plays

Jeremy Guthrie: @CWS (Floyd), @LAA (Kazmir)
John Lackey: SEA (French), @TB (Shields)
Bruce Chen: @DET (Bonderman), @CLE (Carmona)
Dustin Moseley: @TOR (Morrow), @CWS (Floyd)
James Shields: @LAA (Kazmir), BOS (Lackey)
Derek Holland: MIN (Liriano), OAK (Braden)
Brandon Morrow: NYY (Moseley), DET (Bonderman)
Mike Rzepczynski: NYY (Hughes), DET (Porcello)

At Your Own Risk

Jeremy Bonderman: KC (Chen), @TOR (Morrow)
Rick Porcello: KC (Davies), @TOR (Rzepczynski)
Scott Kazmir: TB (Shields), BAL (Guthrie)
Luke French: @BOS (Lackey), MIN (Pavano)

National League

Strong Plays

Tim Hudson: @COL (Hammel), FLA (Johnson)
Josh Johnson: @NYM (Dickey), @ATL (Lowe)
Brett Myers: @PHI (Blanton), @NYM (Santana)
Hiroki Kuroda @MIL (Bush), @COL (Hammel)
R.A. Dickey: FLA (Johnson), HOU (Norris)
Cole Hamels: HOU (Norris), @SD (Richard)
Clayton Richard: ARI (Lopez), PHI (Hamels)
Matt Cain: CIN (Volquez), ARI (Lopez)
Jaime Garcia: @PIT (Ohlendorf), @WAS (Hernandez)
Adam Wainwright: @PIT (Maholm), @WAS (Lannan)

Decent Plays

Rodrigo Lopez: @SD (Richard), @SF (Cain)
Edinson Volquez: @SF (Cain), CHC (Coleman)
Jason Hammel: ATL (Hudson), LAD (Kuroda)
Joe Blanton: HOU (Myers), @SD (Garland)
Ross Ohlendorf: STL (Garcia), @MIL (Bush)
Livan Hernandez: CHC (Coleman), STL (Garcia)

At Your Own Risk

Casey Coleman: @WAS (Hernandez), @CIN (Volquez)
Bud Norris: @PHI (Hamels), @NYM (Norris)
Dave Bush: LAD (Kuroda), PIT (Ohlendorf)
John Lannan: CHC (Zambrano), STL (Wainwright)


Streamer City



The following pitchers are generally available in over 50 percent of fantasy leagues and have favorable match-ups this week:

American League

Wednesday, 8/25: Armando Galarraga vs. KC
The Tigers right-hander is 2-0 with a 2.78 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against the Royals.

Thursday, 8/26: Edwin Jackson vs. BAL
Jackson has readjusted well to life in the American League and doesn't seem likely to slow down at home against the Orioles.

Thursday, 8/26: Vin Mazzaro @ CLE
Mazzaro has delivered a quality start in nine of his past 10 outings.

National League

Thursday, 8/26: Wade LeBlanc vs. ARI
Home match-up at Petco against strikeout-prone Diamondbacks? Yes please!

Friday, 8/27: Barry Enright @ SF
The rookie has not allowed more than three runs in any of his nine big-league starts. Might as well keep riding until he starts showing some chinks in the armor.

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Total Games



American League

6: BAL, BOS, CWS, CLE, KC, LAA, NYY, OAK, SEA, TB
7: DET, MIN, TEX, TOR

National League

6: ARI, ATL, CHC, CIN, COL, FLA, LAD, MIL, NYM, PIT, SD, SF,
7: HOU, PHI, STL, WAS


Lefty/Righty Breakdown



American League

BAL: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
BOS: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
CWS: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
CLE: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
DET: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
KC: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
LAA: 6 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP
MIN: 3 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP
NYY: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
OAK: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
SEA: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
TB: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
TEX: 2 vs. RHP, 5 vs. LHP
TOR: 7 vs. RHP, 0 vs. LHP

National League

ARI: 2 vs. RHP, 4 vs. LHP
ATL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
CHC: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
CIN: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
COL: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
FLA: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
HOU: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
LAD: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
MIL: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
NYM: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
PHI: 4 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
PIT: 3 vs. RHP, 3 vs. LHP
SD: 4 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
SF: 5 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP
STL: 5 vs. RHP, 2 vs. LHP
WAS: 6 vs. RHP, 1 vs. LHP


The Infirmary



You can get a full listing of injured players at Rotoworld's Injury Page, but here's the latest on a few prominent players who have been out of action:

Troy Glaus: Out until early September
Jason LaRue: Out for the season
Vicente Padilla: Out until September
Russell Martin: Out for the season
Francisco Rodriguez: Out for the season
Ryan Howard: Returning this week
Brian Bannister: Out until early September
Carlos Guillen: Out until early September
Lance Berkman: Out until early September
 

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No Clemens Lee
At this point, most of us have had a favorite player tarnished by the stain of steroids. If not steroids, then your favorite player has been involved in infidelity or some sort of criminal act. He's bismirched his name somehow.

It might be tempting to blame our new world order - our heroes aren't made of the same stuff they used to be, the line might be. More likely though, we could blame the new media society. It's not that baseball players are any more corrupt than they used to be, it's just that we are now more aware of their every move.

Now Roger Clemens is indicted for lying to Congress, and a new chapter is written. Not only is he embroiled in a steroid controversy, but it's gone so far that he may go to jail for it, as he was indicted by Congress for purgery. We can come down on one side of this battle or the other, but either way, the always-on media cycle will keep us up to the second on the details. Is this good? If Clemens was a greenie-popping star of the 1970s, would we "know" as much about him and his wife and their personal and medical practices?

* Thankfully, there's actual baseball news to be had. Derrek Lee makes for what should be the biggest name to move in between the two trade deadlines, as he goes to the Atlanta Braves for a high upside young rightie in Robinson Lopez, a possibly serviceable lefty in Jeffrey Lorick, and a young right-handed reliever in Tyrelle Harris. Even if it only produces two serviceable relievers, it's not a bad haul considering that the non-waiver deadline has come and gone and Lee is a free agent at the end of the year.

What can Lee owners expect in Atlanta? The bulging disc problems that Lee has had recently aren't going to magically go away, but maybe he'll power through them for a probable playoff team. He rejected a trade to an Angels team that has less than a five percent chance of making the playoffs, and accepted a trade to a team that currently has more than a ninety percent chance of making the playoffs. The carrot seems important to him.

If the carrot of competitiveness can get him going, Lee can still be a good first baseman once he hits the active Bravos roster on Friday. His home run total is low (16), but he's shown better isolated power the rest of his career and has missed time this year. It's not a stretch to say that some motivation may allow him to motor through the back issues and regain his old power for a short stretch. At the very least, we know this runs and RBI totals will embiggen. His Atlanta teammates will be on the bases more often. Behind him in Chicago, Xavier Nady and Micah Hoffpauir will battle for the playing time this year, and Tyler Colvin is a possibility long-term.

* At one point this season, Ted Lilly was a pitcher coming off of shoulder surgery that was showing a reduced strikeout rate and reduced velocity compared to his career. Then, somewhere around his ninth start this year, Lilly's velocity started to lurch back to his career levels, and since the All-Star break he's actually struck out a batter per inning while also showing his customary great control. Throw in a trade to Los Angeles, and Lilly finds himself dealing, healthy, and in a great home park. Though you may sometimes feel like apologizing for owning him, he's a great play the rest of the way.

* Wilton Lopez and his save Wednesday night threw fantasy owners for a loop, but Brandon Lyon got the save last night against the Mets. Since the team has already sunk the money into Lyon's contract, they might as well put the more reliable veteran in the closer position for now, so he's the one to own. On the other hand, the team is building for the future, and fantasy teams looking to the future may want to pick up and hold on to Wilton Lopez for now. With Lyon's strikeout rate, he's not really suited to be a closer. Matt Lindstrom went on the 15-day DL with back spasms in order to complete his fall from grace.

* Trevor Cahill continued to pitch well, holding the Rays to three runs and seven hits in eight innings. Though his strikeout rate is below average, his groundball rate is elite and is keeping his opponents from centering the ball too well. Last night, two Rays went deep off him, however, and his batted ball luck won't continue. Cahill is a good young pitcher, but he's also been lucky.

* It was a great start for Brian Matusz - six strikeouts, one walk and five hits in eight innings - but the groundballs were the best sign for him. He had nine groundballs against eight flyballs, and he'll need to keep that up in order to limit opposing sluggers' power. At the very least, he'll make a good spot starter down the stretch in most leagues.

NL Quick Hits: Carlos Lee is hot, possibly on your waiver wire, and he hit another home run last night … Carlos Gonzalez missed a game after suffering a contusion on a great late-night grab in Los Angeles Wednesday night … The third Carlos, Carlos Silva (heart), looks good and and will probably start rehab next week … Ryan Howard will begin a rehab assignment today … David Wright only missed one game with a 24-hour bug … Speedster Nyjer Morgan returned, got two hits, and stole a base, huzzah … Alejandro Sanabia had another nice start, and can limit the walks, but his limited strikeout potential means he'll walk the tightrope many days … Lefty Andrew Miller is back with the Marlins, role TBD … Brad Hawpe could be a free agent at any moment, and his fantasy value in deeper leagues depends soley on his future destination … Deeper two-catcher leagues take notice: Wilson Ramos will make his Nationals debut Friday … Tony Gwynn, Jr. (Thin Gwynn) broke a bone and will be replaced in center field most days by "unbreakable" Chris Denorfia, which should be interesting in deeper leagues.

AL Quick Hits: Uh-oh, Dustin Pedroia missed Thursday with soreness in his left foot, but it could just be normal aches and pains as he returns to regular action … Saves candidate J.J. Putz has inflammation in his knee and is day-to-day for now, and Bobby Jenks is healthier and therefore probably the closer … Ian Kinsler will get an MRI Monday, and if things check out, he'll be cleared for baseball activity … Michael Young returned to action after missing time with a sore neck … Lance Berkman hit the DL with that ankle injury … Rich Harden pitched well in the minor leagues, so Derek Holland has a short leash … Mitch Talbot showed why his luck won't last long by allowing twelve baserunners in four and two thirds innings against the Royals … Nick Punto came back from a hamstring injury and then injured his hamstring on a slide, but not too many people other than Aaron Gleeman cared … Jerry Blevins got a save, but only because he's a lefty and lefty Carlos Pena was the biggest threat in the his half-inning.
 

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Staying SMART in August
Another double feature this week -- Week That Was by Glenn Colton and Hitting the Rookie Wall by Bobby Colton.


Jake Westbrook: Jake Westbrook had another solid outing Friday, giving up just 3 earned runs while striking out 7 over six innings. In his years in Cleveland, Westbrook was a workmanlike back of the rotation roto starter. However, now that he has escaped Cleveland and is in the pennant race in St. Louis, his numbers (strikeouts and wins) have improved. The lesson to be learned? T in SMART stands for Team for a reason. The better the team, the better the numbers. For pitchers, they get more wins and get better bullpen support (thus, fewer blown saves, fewer inherited runner scoring). For hitters -- more good hitters on a team means more runners on base and more good hitters to knock in your guy when he is on base. Remember that for the last ¼ of the season and file it away for your 2011 drafts and auctions.


Kyle Davies: Kyle Davies had a strong outing against the aforementioned weak tribe, allowing three runs (2 after he left) over 7 1/3 innings. He also walked none and struck out 5. The lesson here is that the M in SMART stands for management. In planning weekly lineups, one must manage carefully and make sure to get as many starts against the Indians, Mariners, etc. Those who put an otherwise underperforming Davies into their lineup for this week were SMART.


Jason Kubel: Jason Kubel had a big night last night, going 2-4 with a three-run jack against the Angels. Kubel, who has been disappointing (though not awful) for most of the year, is hitting .294 with 23 RBI this month. This one is easy: BUY! Kubel is 28 years old, in his prime, and is on an upward trajectory over the last three years, going from 13 HR in 07 to 28 in 09 (with similar upticks in RBI and batting average). He is better than he played in the first four months of 2010 and is proving it.


Jon Lester: Jon Lester had a nightmare last night. He was lit up for 9 runs in just two-plus innings. If you own Lester, forget this ever happened. He is an ace and will continue to be one for a very long time. Indeed, even with the disaster stats from last night included, Lester has a 2.79 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. If you have an overly emotional, overreacting owner in your league that is putting pins in his Lester doll, call that owner up, fuel the fire and steal one of the best pitchers in the game.


Roy Halladay: Doc continued his drive for an NL Cy Young to go with his AL trophy. Last night, Halladay tossed seven scoreless frames in the Phils 1-0 win. Some guys are just that good. Despite calling the launching pad that is Citizen's Bank home, Doc has been special. Specifically, he has blown away 180 hitters, allowed barely a base runner per nine innings and has an ERA of just 2.16. There are very few guys you can count on to anchor your staff without risk. Doc is one of those guys.


Brad Lidge: Brad Lidge is back. The unpredictable fireballer notched his seventh straight save to preserve Doc's 16th win. Lidge has looked like the Lidge of 08. If you need saves, ring up the Lidge owner in your league, talk all about how Lidge is unpredictable and liable to blow up at any time and then land a hot closer with talent who is in the middle of a pennant race. There will be days you will feel like you are on a wild roller coaster, but most of the time it will end up being a fun ride.


Chris Young: Chris Young (the hitter) had another big night Thursday smacking a 3 run jack and a double. There were many doubters this year, but CY has quieted all of them. Not only has he already posted a 20-20 season, he is on his way to 30-30. So many pundits are "surprised" by the .275 average. I am not. Chris is in his 26 year old season in his 5th major league year. Is it really a surprise that a guy who made the bigs at age 20 and who has shown power and speed throughout would mature and up his average. I say no. Fantasy lesson -- look for the hitters who made the majors at a very young age and have been labeled before they even reach 25 or 26. Invest an extra few bucks -- those guys are the superstars of tomorrow.


Nyjer Morgan: Nyjer Morgan came off the DL and paid immediate returns. He had two hits, a swipe and two runs scored Thursday. If you have a need for speed, Nyjer is your man. He could swipe another 10-12 bases or more in the last ¼ of the season. Buy.


Fernando Martinez: In a move that just puzzles me, the Mets optioned Fernando Martinez to Triple-A Buffalo. Why? Do they really think they have a chance to make the playoffs. They couldn't really think that. There is just no excuse for failing to give a potential franchise talent time in the bigs. The Mets front office has seemed lost for years. This is just further proof .


Roger Clemens: Ok, I know he is retired and has no fantasy relevance, but this lawyer/fantasy sports writer could not resist commenting. Roger was indicted this week and charged with lying under oath when he testified before Congress. Why on earth would he testify? Whether he did or didn't use steroids and HGH, testifying was an absurd idea. Now, Roger faces the very real prospect of being imprisoned. We have a right to remain silent because remaining silent is often the smartest thing to do. Testifying was just not very smart.


And now, as promised another two for one special:

Hitting the Rookie Wall
By Bobby Colton

With just over one month to go in the season many rookies are reaching their career highs in games played. That means fatigue is becoming an issue for youngsters who may be anchoring your fantasy team. As painful as it might be, it could be time to have those rookies ride the pine rather than wearily drag your team down.

Ike Davis (1B) – We've liked Ike a whole lot less lately. Thanks to a colossal slump, Ike has been bumped to the 6 hole in the lineup. This is a particularly disheartening change considering who the Mets have in the cleanup spot (Chris Carter). Ike played in just 114 games last year and is already up to 117 this year (107 for NY and 10 for AAA Buffalo), so it is not a surprise that the recent performance has been ugly. Ike has hit just .191 this August and a comparatively robust .194 since the All-Star break. To make matters worse, he has as many extra base hits this month as he has steals (1). Like it or not, he should be on all fantasy benches for the time being.

Buster Posey (C/1B) – Buster played 115 games last season. Now that we are right smack in the middle of the dog days of August and Buster has already played 118 games, he is predictably is showing signs of slowing down. Buster has been bumped from his 4 hole in the lineup and his average, though still at .297 for August, is down 120 points from his July average. Am I going to bench him? No. Am I going to keep a close eye on his progress as August winds to a close? Absolutely. I strongly suggest you do the same.

Jason Heyward (OF) – The rookie All-Star's longest season was 127 games when he was just an 18 year old playing A ball. Thanks to a DL stint, Heyward has only played 101 games thus far. Jason is hitting just .170 this month, though that might actually not be because of fatigue. Heyward has alternated hot and cold months all year (.240/.337/.181/.356/.170 from April to August). More foreboding is the fact that Heyward's power has all but disappeared since April, having gone yard just 6 times since the inaugural month and only 2 times since May 29 (just 8 rbi in the last 2 months is not helpful either). This is particularly painful to swallow, but Jason isn't a must start anymore.

Austin Jackson (OF) – Jackson is a guy who has actually played a lot in the minors, 132 games last year and 131 the year before. Therefore, his 111 games played thus far is not out of line for him. Jackson's numbers are just a little bit down this month, but as I alluded to previously, his fatigue shouldn't kick in quite yet anyway. Unlike the other problems rookies have, speed doesn't slump. Jackson is playable the rest of the way, just don't expect him to hit .300 the rest of the season.

Brennan Boesch (OF) – Boesch isn't going to match the 131 games he played last year (he's at just 108) but he is showing the most obvious signs of fatigue in the whole league. He hit .209 in July and .155 in August making his post All-Star break average an anemic .128, 214 points below his pre All-Star break numbers. Boesch isn't even worthy of a roster spot in Detroit at this point. Cut bait and thank him for the unexpected lift he gave you in the first half.

Tyler Colvin (OF) – Tyler leap-frogged Kosuke Fukudome to earn the starting right field job, but has since cooled down considerably. After playing 116 games last year, Colvin is 111 games into this season. Not surprisingly, his average is down to .249 thanks in large part to a .160 August. With the Cubs out of contention, Colvin won't lose his job any time soon. What he probably has lost is a place on your fantasy roster.

Roger Bernadina (OF) – After a scorching June, Bernadina's average has dropped precipitously thanks in part to a .220 August average. Before last season's lost year, Bernadina played 146 games across various levels. Thus far this season, Bernadina has played in only 107. Unfortunately for Bernadina owners, his low numbers this month might have less to do with fatigue and more to do with the fact that he played some of 2010 way over his head.

Reid Brignac (2B) – Reid played just 96 games last season, but at 24 years old is more seasoned than most other rooks. Brignac's average is a paltry .107 this month, an absolutely stunning figure. He's losing at bats as it is this month so he shouldn't even be on your fantasy radar.

Stephen Strasburg (P) – Yes, the same near All-Star Stephen Strasburg. The same Stephan Strasburg with the 2.97 ERA, and of course, the same Stephen Strasburg with the 6.75 ERA over two starts lasting a total of 9.1 IP. Now his injury might have something to do with this steep drop off in production, but there is something to be said for a guy in his first professional season pitching into September. Strasburg's strikeouts alone make him a borderline must start option, just keep an eye on him.

Jaime Garcia (P) – The Cardinals have been talking about skipping Garcia at some point this month, although its seeming like that isn't happening. So far in August, Garcia has a 4.41 ERA, but has also been tagged for an extra 7 unearned. Garcia is coming off a lost year thanks to injury, so watch out for extreme fatigue come September, especially with the Cards looking toward October. Garcia is still a must start on all teams, but, much like Strasburg, one should keep an eye on him.

And last, but not least, Schultz says: "One of the many fine Cleveland sports blogs had an interesting article that re-examined the management philosophies of the Browns and Cavaliers over the past year using the ever-clarifying ability of hindsight. At this time last year Eric Mangini was being vilified for imposing order on an undisciplined team and Cavaliers ownership and management was being praised for giving the seemingly mature Le(expletive deleted) have an active role in team decisions. Oh what a difference a year makes. Now, the Browns players, especially the rookies, are on board with the Browns new philosophy and the Cavs . . . well, this is a baseball column.

I bring this up because the article made me ponder the effect of team discipline in baseball and its corresponding relationship to this fine roto-pursuit of ours. Without daily access to a team, it's near impossible to analyze the effect on the actual numbers. However, just from perusing the headlines, especially here in New York, you can get a bit of a sense as to whether lax organization plays a role in keeping players on the field. When planning for the 2011 and assessing where the Mets should fall within your hierarchy, pay close attention to what happens over the off-season. Carlos Beltran missed the first half of 2010 due to a knee surgery that it seems no one in the Mets organization knew he was having and Francisco Rodriguez will miss the rest of this year's campaign after his Sean Penn imitation went horribly awry. These stories do not emanate from a locker room that is under control. If management survives the off-season, perhaps that should play a small factor in your 2011 valuations.

For the rest of 2010, you would be well advised to scoop up Brian Duensing if he's slipped under your leagues radar. After a marvelous stint in the bullpen, he has become the Twins most reliable and dependable starter, working deep into games and post fantastic ratios. It's also worth noting that the Dave Duncan effect has worked in Jake Westbrook's favor. His ratios are about the same but now the former Indian posts above-average strikeout numbers."


Response: Very interesting stuff all around. Bobby has warned you -- rookies fade. And for next year, Schultz points out a key part of the T in SMART -- Team. If the Mets still have the rancid M&M's in charge (Minaya and Manuel), they will not be good and all the players' stats will suffer.
 

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