I've seen plenty of late line moves not mean a thing.
Sharp money gets in early, not late...generally speaking.
Indiana got hit early driving it to -10. At 10 sharps found value on Miss driving it down before it got pushed back up today by the public. Public loves their favorites.
Trying to follow late action will leave you broke and is largely over rated.
This is what lost the Kentucky game. 3 FG from inside the 10 yard line is never a winning formula
Never should have come down to the last few minutes, should have been up comfortably
Add in the awful defensive play calling at the end, the 40+ yards in penalties, the 3rd and 20 pass completion for 30 yards, etc
Just a bad team, with bad coaching. NC St blows also but because the Kentucky coaching is so bad he covered the game for them
Kentucky coaching is pitiful. Better coaching in pop warner This is a Div 1 team in the SEC and
they run an offense from the 40's. Says all you need to know
Yup. It was a good cap, just dumb players giving them all free yards with penalties. It really didn't help that the coaches were playing that ever losing PREVENT defense. Slapping-silly90))--> coaches
Seriously though...If NC recovered that onside kick there was a good chance they would've gotten into field goal range to steal the win. Over a minute left and 1 timeout.
Do you have any stats to back up this assertion??
I'm not speaking for GMan but I feel the same way he does. Pbv a juicier play but those 9+ point games have just seemed to come down to back door opportunities and making a juicy play takes away the doubt or should in those cases. I looked at the UK ML before taking -3, so I feel the pain big time
Not much to say about the last two days. Obviously not happy or satisfied but I've done a complete reset on the system back to what it was like in the early Bowl days to mirror exactly what I do in the NFL. We'll see what happens. Would be nice to get this one heading into NFL tomorrow.
adding...
Orange Bowl
Texas A&M vs. North Carolina
Suggested Line 1: Texas A&M -12.17
Suggested Line 2: Texas A&M -12.87
Suggested Line 3: Texas A&M -13.77
Suggested Line 4: Texas A&M -11.99
PLAY: Texas A&M Aggies -10 (10 Units)
Things have obviously not gone the way I would have liked the last two days and it has become apparent the post December 31 Bowl Games are very different and require different values in the System so what I did this time around is reset absolutely everything from what it was at the beginning of the Bowl Season and posted the lines the "original" system would have spit out and this is what I'm rolling it. Texas A&M comes into this game knowing they were probably the best options of the "others" to play against Alabama in the College Football Playoff. They obviously believe they could have given the Crimson Tide a tougher time than Notre Dame did both on offense and on defense and they will no doubt show that tonight. One thing I've learned from watching North Carolina play this season is that they can't play defense and always allow untimely touchdown drives. They allowed 45 points to Virginia Tech, 44 points to Virginia, 53 points to Wake Forest and 24+ points to Duke and Miami. The only teams they held under 24 points was Western Carolina (FCS), NC State, Boston College and Syracuse. The Aggies don't have a quick scoring offense but they have an efficient offense that is ranked #27 in rushing yards and #31 in total yards per game. North Carolina is missing a ton of star players in this game which is clearly a sign of how much they care about this game. It's a mood sinker when your top guys are out and QB Sam Howell has pretty much been left to fend for himself on the offensive side of things. Texas A&M are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus ACC Conference opponents and they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. They are also 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a Favorite and come into this game 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. North Carolina ended their season on a high but they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games coming off an ATS spread cover and 1-4 ATS in their last five games coming off a straight up win. Texas A&M will dominate this game from the get go and flex some muscle to show they belonged as the #4 seed in the CFP Final standings.
Trend of the Game: Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
Texas A&M 54, North Carolina 13
:toast:
adding...
Orange Bowl
Texas A&M vs. North Carolina
Suggested Line 1: Texas A&M -12.17
Suggested Line 2: Texas A&M -12.87
Suggested Line 3: Texas A&M -13.77
Suggested Line 4: Texas A&M -11.99
PLAY: Texas A&M Aggies -10 (10 Units)
Things have obviously not gone the way I would have liked the last two days and it has become apparent the post December 31 Bowl Games are very different and require different values in the System so what I did this time around is reset absolutely everything from what it was at the beginning of the Bowl Season and posted the lines the "original" system would have spit out and this is what I'm rolling it. Texas A&M comes into this game knowing they were probably the best options of the "others" to play against Alabama in the College Football Playoff. They obviously believe they could have given the Crimson Tide a tougher time than Notre Dame did both on offense and on defense and they will no doubt show that tonight. One thing I've learned from watching North Carolina play this season is that they can't play defense and always allow untimely touchdown drives. They allowed 45 points to Virginia Tech, 44 points to Virginia, 53 points to Wake Forest and 24+ points to Duke and Miami. The only teams they held under 24 points was Western Carolina (FCS), NC State, Boston College and Syracuse. The Aggies don't have a quick scoring offense but they have an efficient offense that is ranked #27 in rushing yards and #31 in total yards per game. North Carolina is missing a ton of star players in this game which is clearly a sign of how much they care about this game. It's a mood sinker when your top guys are out and QB Sam Howell has pretty much been left to fend for himself on the offensive side of things. Texas A&M are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus ACC Conference opponents and they are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. They are also 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games as a Favorite and come into this game 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall. North Carolina ended their season on a high but they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games coming off an ATS spread cover and 1-4 ATS in their last five games coming off a straight up win. Texas A&M will dominate this game from the get go and flex some muscle to show they belonged as the #4 seed in the CFP Final standings.
Trend of the Game: Texas A&M is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games.
Texas A&M 54, North Carolina 13
:toast:
Too many op-out players on North Carolina. All the Aggies are playing.
Defense for A&M is superior to NC.
Held their last 4 opponents to 20 points or less to finish season.
Virtually no major injuries for A&M.
Most under rated team this year in the top 25.
Would still bet A&M even if NC had a full roster.
FWIW
