As mentioned earlier the CFP (and Bowl Games) in general are all new territory for my system. Losses will happen but I actually got some data knowledge from that Alabama-ND game and applied it to my lines for this game and have a pick. Enjoy the game everyone!
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Sugar Bowl (CFP Semi-Final)
Ohio State vs. Clemson
Suggested Line 1: Clemson -9.94
Suggested Line 2: Clemson -10.15
Suggested Line 3: Clemson -10.45
Suggested Line 4: Clemson -10.61
PLAY: Clemson Tigers -7 (10 Units)
The stage is set for Clemson and Alabama to get together once again and play for a National Championship but my system thinks Ohio State is going to have something to say about that and they have not forgotten about last year's loss to Clemson when they took a big lead and blew that lead and lost. Or will they? A lot of people felt Ohio State should NOT be in this game because they managed to play only 6 games but you cannot name another 2-3 teams in the Country that are better talent wise and that belong here instead of the Buckeyes so here we are. Dabo Swinney thinks Ohio State is the 11th best team in the Country and one thing I never really understood is why coaches or players feel the need to give their opponents bulletin board material. It makes no sense and I've never been a fan of it. Having said that Dabo did that for a reason. He is acting like the bully before this game even starts and he noticed something I noticed this season and that's that something is not right with this Ohio State team. I lived in Columbus for years and I know them very well and something is off. QB Justin Fields has not been as good as advertised in the second half of the season and if RB Trey Sermon doesn't go off for 300+ rushing yards against Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship Game a few weeks ago the Buckeyes probably lose. Clemson had the one blip this season against Notre Dame when their superstar Heisman winning and future #1 overall NFL Draft Pick QB Trevor Lawrence went down with an injury. Even then the Tigers should have beat Notre Dame but they didn't. They did however show what they can do in a huge blowout win over Notre Dame in the ACC Championship Game. We all know the Big Ten had a down year this year and Ohio State struggled with Rutgers, Indiana and Northwestern last week. Clemson won't let them off the hook. My System likes Clemson to win this game BIG! Ohio State has always been a good Underdog bet but they are 1-5 ATS in their six games versus ACC Conference opponents and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning record. That says a lot. Clemson is an incredible 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a Favorite on a Neutral Field and they are an incredible 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games played on a Neutral Field. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Bowl Games and 4-1 ATS in their last five CFP Semi-Final Bowl Games. My system likes Clemson big and as much as Dabo was being a dick in the weeks leading up to this game, he knows whats up or he wouldn't have made those comments. CLEMSON WINS BIG!
Trend of the Game: Clemson is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games played on a Neutral Field.
Clemson 42, Ohio State 13
:toast:
adding...
Sugar Bowl (CFP Semi-Final)
Ohio State vs. Clemson
Suggested Line 1: Clemson -9.94
Suggested Line 2: Clemson -10.15
Suggested Line 3: Clemson -10.45
Suggested Line 4: Clemson -10.61
PLAY: Clemson Tigers -7 (10 Units)
The stage is set for Clemson and Alabama to get together once again and play for a National Championship but my system thinks Ohio State is going to have something to say about that and they have not forgotten about last year's loss to Clemson when they took a big lead and blew that lead and lost. Or will they? A lot of people felt Ohio State should NOT be in this game because they managed to play only 6 games but you cannot name another 2-3 teams in the Country that are better talent wise and that belong here instead of the Buckeyes so here we are. Dabo Swinney thinks Ohio State is the 11th best team in the Country and one thing I never really understood is why coaches or players feel the need to give their opponents bulletin board material. It makes no sense and I've never been a fan of it. Having said that Dabo did that for a reason. He is acting like the bully before this game even starts and he noticed something I noticed this season and that's that something is not right with this Ohio State team. I lived in Columbus for years and I know them very well and something is off. QB Justin Fields has not been as good as advertised in the second half of the season and if RB Trey Sermon doesn't go off for 300+ rushing yards against Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship Game a few weeks ago the Buckeyes probably lose. Clemson had the one blip this season against Notre Dame when their superstar Heisman winning and future #1 overall NFL Draft Pick QB Trevor Lawrence went down with an injury. Even then the Tigers should have beat Notre Dame but they didn't. They did however show what they can do in a huge blowout win over Notre Dame in the ACC Championship Game. We all know the Big Ten had a down year this year and Ohio State struggled with Rutgers, Indiana and Northwestern last week. Clemson won't let them off the hook. My System likes Clemson to win this game BIG! Ohio State has always been a good Underdog bet but they are 1-5 ATS in their six games versus ACC Conference opponents and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning record. That says a lot. Clemson is an incredible 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a Favorite on a Neutral Field and they are an incredible 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games played on a Neutral Field. The Tigers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Bowl Games and 4-1 ATS in their last five CFP Semi-Final Bowl Games. My system likes Clemson big and as much as Dabo was being a dick in the weeks leading up to this game, he knows whats up or he wouldn't have made those comments. CLEMSON WINS BIG!
Trend of the Game: Clemson is 17-4 ATS in their last 21 games played on a Neutral Field.
Clemson 42, Ohio State 13
:toast: