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Citrus Bowl
Auburn vs. Northwestern
Suggested Line 1: Northwestern -7.17
Suggested Line 2: Northwestern -6.11
Suggested Line 3: Northwestern -6.36
Suggested Line 4: Northwestern -6.99
PLAY: Northwestern Wildcats -4.5 (10 Units)
The Northwestern Wildcats have the large task of avenging Michigan's huge 35-16 loss to Alabama in last year's edition of the Citrus Bowl and if there is any program built to do it it's the Wildcats. This is a program that was left extremely disappointed at the way they played in a 22-10 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Conference Championship Game because despite covering the +16.5 point underdog spread they really felt like they could have won that game but their run defense let them down bigtime allowing all time record breaking performance by Ohio State RB Trey Sermon. That was essentially the difference but the good news today for Northwestern is that Auburn star RB Tank Bigsby is OUT. He rushed for 800+ yards this season with 5 rushing touchdowns and an average of 6.0 yards per carry. Auburn had an up and down season where you sometimes questioned what they were thinking sticking with Bo Nix at the quarterback position and I am not a fan of the way they ended their season losing 2 of their last 3 games before putting away a pretty bad Mississippi State team in their season finale. Their losses to Texas A&M and Alabama were as deflating as it gets because they struggled so badly on offense (under 350 total yards in both games). Northwestern this season has allowed 338.8 total yards per game and are the #5 ranked points allowed team in the Country and the #5 ranked turnover defense in the Country with 14 forced turnovers in only 8 games. Auburn doesn't turn the ball over but law of averages says they will today. A few times. The Tigers are typically a tremendous team to bet on in early season non-conference games but they come into this game 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning record on the season, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four January games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus Big Ten Conference opponents. Not good. Northwestern comes into this game 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall dating back to last season. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus teams with a winning record on the season and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as a Favorite. Won't be the prettiest of games but the Wildcats will force very rare Auburn turnovers and they'll not only avenge last year's Michigan loss for the Big Ten but they'll take out their B10 Championship Game frustrations out on the Tigers.
Trend of the Game: Northwestern is 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games dating back to last season.
Northwestern 34, Auburn 17
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Citrus Bowl
Auburn vs. Northwestern
Suggested Line 1: Northwestern -7.17
Suggested Line 2: Northwestern -6.11
Suggested Line 3: Northwestern -6.36
Suggested Line 4: Northwestern -6.99
PLAY: Northwestern Wildcats -4.5 (10 Units)
The Northwestern Wildcats have the large task of avenging Michigan's huge 35-16 loss to Alabama in last year's edition of the Citrus Bowl and if there is any program built to do it it's the Wildcats. This is a program that was left extremely disappointed at the way they played in a 22-10 loss to Ohio State in the Big Ten Conference Championship Game because despite covering the +16.5 point underdog spread they really felt like they could have won that game but their run defense let them down bigtime allowing all time record breaking performance by Ohio State RB Trey Sermon. That was essentially the difference but the good news today for Northwestern is that Auburn star RB Tank Bigsby is OUT. He rushed for 800+ yards this season with 5 rushing touchdowns and an average of 6.0 yards per carry. Auburn had an up and down season where you sometimes questioned what they were thinking sticking with Bo Nix at the quarterback position and I am not a fan of the way they ended their season losing 2 of their last 3 games before putting away a pretty bad Mississippi State team in their season finale. Their losses to Texas A&M and Alabama were as deflating as it gets because they struggled so badly on offense (under 350 total yards in both games). Northwestern this season has allowed 338.8 total yards per game and are the #5 ranked points allowed team in the Country and the #5 ranked turnover defense in the Country with 14 forced turnovers in only 8 games. Auburn doesn't turn the ball over but law of averages says they will today. A few times. The Tigers are typically a tremendous team to bet on in early season non-conference games but they come into this game 0-4 ATS in their last four games versus a team with a winning record on the season, they are 0-4 ATS in their last four January games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games versus Big Ten Conference opponents. Not good. Northwestern comes into this game 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall dating back to last season. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games versus teams with a winning record on the season and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games as a Favorite. Won't be the prettiest of games but the Wildcats will force very rare Auburn turnovers and they'll not only avenge last year's Michigan loss for the Big Ten but they'll take out their B10 Championship Game frustrations out on the Tigers.
Trend of the Game: Northwestern is 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games dating back to last season.
Northwestern 34, Auburn 17
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Right! Can you people not clutter this thread. Go to the in game thread for all your comments.
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Rose Bowl (CFP Semi-Final)
Notre Dame vs. Alabama
Suggested Line 1: Alabama -16.23
Suggested Line 2: Alabama -16.72
Suggested Line 3: Alabama -15.76
Suggested Line 4: Alabama -16.19
PLAY: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +19 (10 Units)
The College Football Playoffs are finally here and the team nobody wanted to see in this thing is back for another run at it. I'm not going to over the history of how bad Notre Dame has been in bad games and how bad they have looked anytime they've been given a chance to look good but I will say this. Everyone on the planet has written off Notre Dame because of the way they played against Clemson in the ACC Conference Championship Game. What is not being discussed is that that game was a big time "Revenge" spot for Clemson who went to South Bend and lost earlier in the year in a thriller with their backup quarterback starting. The Tigers were out for blood and Notre Dame never stood a chance in the 34-10 blowout loss. It has become no secret whatsoever that if Notre Dame is going to win they are going to have to score points and lots of them. Is that possible? Yes. Clemson has the #6 ranked Total yards of offense and the #11 Points Scored Defense. Alabama has the #33 ranked Total Yards defense and the #20 ranked points defense. Notre Dame has a chance. I also think at this point the Irish are playing with house money and there isn't as much pressure with the largest CFP spread in history of the CFP. We saw Alabama allowed 46 points to Florida in the SEC Championship Game, we saw them allow 24 against Texas A&M, 48 against Ole Miss and 24 against Georgia. The only times they allowed opponents to score less than 20 was against Tennessee, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Auburn, LSU and Arkansas. Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning record on the season and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played on at a Neutral Site. Alabama comes into this game 2-6 ATS in their last eight games played in January, they are 0-5 ATS when playing on a Friday and the Crimson Tide won by only 6 points in the SEC Championship Game despite their 600+ total yards of offense. ND will find a way to keep this lower scoring than people think (it's their only chance) and they'll control the clock to keep the Bama offense off the field. My system picked them to cover so I'm going with the massive upset. This game will resemble the first Clemson-ND matchup.
Trend of the Game: Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus teams with a winning record.
Notre Dame 31, Alabama 28
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Rose Bowl (CFP Semi-Final)
Notre Dame vs. Alabama
Suggested Line 1: Alabama -16.23
Suggested Line 2: Alabama -16.72
Suggested Line 3: Alabama -15.76
Suggested Line 4: Alabama -16.19
PLAY: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +19 (10 Units)
The College Football Playoffs are finally here and the team nobody wanted to see in this thing is back for another run at it. I'm not going to over the history of how bad Notre Dame has been in bad games and how bad they have looked anytime they've been given a chance to look good but I will say this. Everyone on the planet has written off Notre Dame because of the way they played against Clemson in the ACC Conference Championship Game. What is not being discussed is that that game was a big time "Revenge" spot for Clemson who went to South Bend and lost earlier in the year in a thriller with their backup quarterback starting. The Tigers were out for blood and Notre Dame never stood a chance in the 34-10 blowout loss. It has become no secret whatsoever that if Notre Dame is going to win they are going to have to score points and lots of them. Is that possible? Yes. Clemson has the #6 ranked Total yards of offense and the #11 Points Scored Defense. Alabama has the #33 ranked Total Yards defense and the #20 ranked points defense. Notre Dame has a chance. I also think at this point the Irish are playing with house money and there isn't as much pressure with the largest CFP spread in history of the CFP. We saw Alabama allowed 46 points to Florida in the SEC Championship Game, we saw them allow 24 against Texas A&M, 48 against Ole Miss and 24 against Georgia. The only times they allowed opponents to score less than 20 was against Tennessee, Mississippi State, Kentucky, Auburn, LSU and Arkansas. Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning record on the season and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games played on at a Neutral Site. Alabama comes into this game 2-6 ATS in their last eight games played in January, they are 0-5 ATS when playing on a Friday and the Crimson Tide won by only 6 points in the SEC Championship Game despite their 600+ total yards of offense. ND will find a way to keep this lower scoring than people think (it's their only chance) and they'll control the clock to keep the Bama offense off the field. My system picked them to cover so I'm going with the massive upset. This game will resemble the first Clemson-ND matchup.
Trend of the Game: Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games versus teams with a winning record.
Notre Dame 31, Alabama 28
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REMINDER (Important): All my Systems were designed around Week 6 of the NFL Season this year. Despite tremendous success so far nothing is guaranteed. I am working and learning each and every game of each and every sport. The aim is for 60% accuracy as a success. The College Football Playoff is a whole new animal and I worked hard on trying to get the right values for my lines but this is the very first go around for both Bowl Season and CFP. GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
