Henman to bt Clement @1.63 Pinnacle 5 units
Both these guys were beaten in the first round of the Australian Open.
Henman's exit was to the in-form Tursunov so no real disgrace there. Meanwhile, Clement's true colours were shown up when he put in a woeful display against MAthiue going out in straight sets.
My feeling is that Henman has a lot more to prove with that stinging loss in the Aus Open and will be eager to get back on the winning track. I rate him as a better player overall than Clement not just based on w/L record in I.Hard, but generally. If he can get an early jump on Clement, it usually means that the wheels fall off for Clement pretty quickly.
The only H2H came last year on HArd court and HEnman took it in 3 sets. This is also tipping the scales in Henman's favour.
Both these guys were beaten in the first round of the Australian Open.
Henman's exit was to the in-form Tursunov so no real disgrace there. Meanwhile, Clement's true colours were shown up when he put in a woeful display against MAthiue going out in straight sets.
My feeling is that Henman has a lot more to prove with that stinging loss in the Aus Open and will be eager to get back on the winning track. I rate him as a better player overall than Clement not just based on w/L record in I.Hard, but generally. If he can get an early jump on Clement, it usually means that the wheels fall off for Clement pretty quickly.
The only H2H came last year on HArd court and HEnman took it in 3 sets. This is also tipping the scales in Henman's favour.
Vik to bt Djokovic @ 2.26 Pinnacle 5 units
Djokovic seems to be a favourite of many lately but has not really come up with the goods as far as I am concerned.
Vik is a very solid player on I.HArd going 9-1 last year, albeit at the challenger level. He certainly can match it with the big guns as we saw when he took LLeyont HEwitt to 5 sets in the Aus open. When you put his record up against Djokovic, there is little separating these guys. Althoug there is not H2H to go by, I think that Vik will make this one close enought to justify a punt at decents odds.
Djokovic seems to be a favourite of many lately but has not really come up with the goods as far as I am concerned.
Vik is a very solid player on I.HArd going 9-1 last year, albeit at the challenger level. He certainly can match it with the big guns as we saw when he took LLeyont HEwitt to 5 sets in the Aus open. When you put his record up against Djokovic, there is little separating these guys. Althoug there is not H2H to go by, I think that Vik will make this one close enought to justify a punt at decents odds.
Delray Beach Tournament - Outdoor HArd Court
Saulnier to bt Marach @1.84 Pinnacle 5 units
AS first glance, Saulnier had an ordinary year last year on Hard courts going 6w:13L. On closer inspection, he is pretty hard done by. Most if not all of hte 13 losses were against top 50 if not top 100 players (eg. Ancic, Johannson, Ljubicic, Sirichaphan, Youzhny, Nieminen, Dent, HEnman, Coria, Kiefer to name a few). What a poor bastard having to put up with that.
I also doubt that he was playing taht badly because most of his losses to top players wer in 3 sets or, close 2-set matches. Also, look at his I.HArd court record was something like 12w:3l which indicates that his form was not bad generally speaking.
MArach had a 5w:2l record but his wins cam against prett yweak opposition and his losses also came against weak opponents. MArach spends his time on clay mostly and Saulnier will be better suited to the playing conditions. It should also be noted that traitionally, Saulnier is a bit of a black sheep amongst French players and likes to spend a large part of his year playing on the North American HArd courts than in Europe.
I think Saulnier is value at the above odds for a straight up win.
Saulnier to bt Marach @1.84 Pinnacle 5 units
AS first glance, Saulnier had an ordinary year last year on Hard courts going 6w:13L. On closer inspection, he is pretty hard done by. Most if not all of hte 13 losses were against top 50 if not top 100 players (eg. Ancic, Johannson, Ljubicic, Sirichaphan, Youzhny, Nieminen, Dent, HEnman, Coria, Kiefer to name a few). What a poor bastard having to put up with that.
I also doubt that he was playing taht badly because most of his losses to top players wer in 3 sets or, close 2-set matches. Also, look at his I.HArd court record was something like 12w:3l which indicates that his form was not bad generally speaking.
MArach had a 5w:2l record but his wins cam against prett yweak opposition and his losses also came against weak opponents. MArach spends his time on clay mostly and Saulnier will be better suited to the playing conditions. It should also be noted that traitionally, Saulnier is a bit of a black sheep amongst French players and likes to spend a large part of his year playing on the North American HArd courts than in Europe.
I think Saulnier is value at the above odds for a straight up win.
Udomchoke to bt Gimelstob @2.04 @ pinnacle 5 units
I have to admit, I don't know a great deal about Udomchoke as much as his more famous Thai countryman Srichphan. But what I know is this, Udomchoke plays quit ea bit of tennis in the CHallenge tournsy in North America and is pretty comfortable there. ITs readily evident that hHis recent form has been very good - that was highlighted by his match atgainst NAlbandian in the first round of hte Aus Open which he fought out in 5 sets. What was particularly impressive was that actually down 2 sets to 0 and fought back to make it a 5 set match when he could quite easily have thrown in the towel - that says to me, he got balls. On the other hand it could be argued that NAlbandian wasn't fully fit at the time.
Anyway, Gimelstob is at "home" in the state and whislt he has a solid hard court record of 17:17 at challenger level in hard court tournsy, he seems to have trouble translating this success up to ATP tournaments - his record at the ATP level is 6w:12L. Yes, a few of those losses at ATP level were against very good players, but, he also lost twice to UDomchoke as well.
So, in summary, on H2H Udomchoke has the edge, he also has the confidence of his recent Aus Open "success", he has been consistently winning against good opposition on hard courts and wont be too toubled playing in the Delray beach tourny. Gimelstob hasnt had a good start to the year (1w:3l so far), he had a poor record last year in hard court ATP tournys, and he has lost to UDomchoke twice.
Balance of probabilityes favours Udomchoke in my opinion.
I have to admit, I don't know a great deal about Udomchoke as much as his more famous Thai countryman Srichphan. But what I know is this, Udomchoke plays quit ea bit of tennis in the CHallenge tournsy in North America and is pretty comfortable there. ITs readily evident that hHis recent form has been very good - that was highlighted by his match atgainst NAlbandian in the first round of hte Aus Open which he fought out in 5 sets. What was particularly impressive was that actually down 2 sets to 0 and fought back to make it a 5 set match when he could quite easily have thrown in the towel - that says to me, he got balls. On the other hand it could be argued that NAlbandian wasn't fully fit at the time.
Anyway, Gimelstob is at "home" in the state and whislt he has a solid hard court record of 17:17 at challenger level in hard court tournsy, he seems to have trouble translating this success up to ATP tournaments - his record at the ATP level is 6w:12L. Yes, a few of those losses at ATP level were against very good players, but, he also lost twice to UDomchoke as well.
So, in summary, on H2H Udomchoke has the edge, he also has the confidence of his recent Aus Open "success", he has been consistently winning against good opposition on hard courts and wont be too toubled playing in the Delray beach tourny. Gimelstob hasnt had a good start to the year (1w:3l so far), he had a poor record last year in hard court ATP tournys, and he has lost to UDomchoke twice.
Balance of probabilityes favours Udomchoke in my opinion.
Loz, you must have checked the lines right after I bet at Pinny, I bet Vik @ 2.37(+137) and after i made my bet he dropped to 2.26(+126). He is now down to 2.19(+119).......
I like him for the following reasons:
1) Almost beating Hewitt was quite impressive. Granted Hewitt wasn't 100% but Vik was up 2 sets to 1 and lost in the 4th set 7-6.
2) Vik played Davydenko fairly well earlier in the year in the second round @ Doha
3) This is only Djokovic's 2nd tournament of the year while Vik has already competed in 3.
4) Djokovic's performance in the Australian Open was not very good, averaging 2 unforced errors per game. I think he will need a few more tournaments until he is at his best.
5) Lifetime, Vik's best personal surface record is on the indoor hardcourt going 37-17 while Djokovic's best surface is clay
Recent form:Vik
Surface:Vik
H2H: N/A
I made a rather large bet on Vik....... good luck to all
I like him for the following reasons:
1) Almost beating Hewitt was quite impressive. Granted Hewitt wasn't 100% but Vik was up 2 sets to 1 and lost in the 4th set 7-6.
2) Vik played Davydenko fairly well earlier in the year in the second round @ Doha
3) This is only Djokovic's 2nd tournament of the year while Vik has already competed in 3.
4) Djokovic's performance in the Australian Open was not very good, averaging 2 unforced errors per game. I think he will need a few more tournaments until he is at his best.
5) Lifetime, Vik's best personal surface record is on the indoor hardcourt going 37-17 while Djokovic's best surface is clay
Recent form:Vik
Surface:Vik
H2H: N/A
I made a rather large bet on Vik....... good luck to all
Loz, you bet the NBA?
The best team TODAY will usually win, but who is best today is hard to guess at times.....the points are what kills you, a team can be 30 points better and they will only win by 8 and of course the spread will be 8 1/2........tough, TOUGH sport to beat....... :smoking:
The best team TODAY will usually win, but who is best today is hard to guess at times.....the points are what kills you, a team can be 30 points better and they will only win by 8 and of course the spread will be 8 1/2........tough, TOUGH sport to beat....... :smoking:
Born2Run said:Loz, you must have checked the lines right after I bet at Pinny, I bet Vik @ 2.37(+137) and after i made my bet he dropped to 2.26(+126). He is now down to 2.19(+119).......
I like him for the following reasons:
1) Almost beating Hewitt was quite impressive. Granted Hewitt wasn't 100% but Vik was up 2 sets to 1 and lost in the 4th set 7-6.
2) Vik played Davydenko fairly well earlier in the year in the second round @ Doha
3) This is only Djokovic's 2nd tournament of the year while Vik has already competed in 3.
4) Djokovic's performance in the Australian Open was not very good, averaging 2 unforced errors per game. I think he will need a few more tournaments until he is at his best.
5) Lifetime, Vik's best personal surface record is on the indoor hardcourt going 37-17 while Djokovic's best surface is clay
Recent form:Vik
Surface:Vik
H2H: N/A
I made a rather large bet on Vik....... good luck to all
Excellent summary B2Run. I like it!
At least you actually have a Pinnacle Account - I still have to sign up. But at those odds, its a real bargain I think. I really cant understand what the big fuss is about for Djokovic - though I could be am missing something, but he hasnt done anything special I think. Vik did let me down against MAyer in Auckland where I expected him to flog the German guy big time, so I was a bit hesitant in backing him. But he kind of redeemed himself against HEwitt I guess. At best a 50/50 dont you think mate. and good luck.
Born2Run said:
You know what, I love to bet the NBA but I am complete crap at it. I just tail those guys in the NBA forum who know what they are on about. ITs a cruel cruel sport like today when Kings came back from the dead to get OT - went up by 6 poits in OT only to blow it with some stupid decisions. It would have hurt less if they just bummed out in regulation time.
You seem to have bet quite abit on tennis mate, surprised there arent more thread on tennis on the RX - but I guess its mainly NB, NFL, NHL ...
Djokovic beat Ancic and Monfils at US Open
Djokovic is 18 and will be in top 40 within a yeaar
Vik played Hewitt tough, but CHOKE. Hewitt playing like garbage anyway.
Vik going opposite direction and will be out of top 300 in 3 yrs.
Djokovic playing at home in Serbia
Djokovic -113 is cheap, basically an OVER REACTION by Vik vs Hewitt match
Djokovic is 18 and will be in top 40 within a yeaar
Vik played Hewitt tough, but CHOKE. Hewitt playing like garbage anyway.
Vik going opposite direction and will be out of top 300 in 3 yrs.
Djokovic playing at home in Serbia
Djokovic -113 is cheap, basically an OVER REACTION by Vik vs Hewitt match
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=331 bgColor=#666666 border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dfdfdf><TD align=right width=166>N. Djokovic</TD><TD align=middle width=20> </TD><TD align=middle width=20>6</TD><TD align=middle width=20>7</TD><TD align=middle width=20> </TD><TD align=middle width=20> </TD><TD align=middle width=20> </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#cccccc><TD colSpan=8 height=1></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#dfdfdf><TD width=45 height=18> </TD><TD align=right width=166>R. Vik</TD><TD align=middle width=20> </TD><TD align=middle width=20>1</TD><TD align=middle width=20>5</TD><TD align=middle width=20> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Good call Railbird, although I disagree that Vik is going the other way..... he was broken 5 times today early losing the 1st set 6-1 and down 4-1 in the 2nd set before finally figuring out Djokovic somewhat and ending up 7-5. It was too little too late and I hope they face each other again soon :toast: . I will bite at 3 or 4 to 1 for sure 
Golovin to bt Bartoli @1.78 Pinnacle 5 units Toray Pacific WTA Tourny
Golovin had a solid year in 2005. Did good things in Asia in particular. Golovin is still young, but she has shown quite a lot of maturity in her game and has been able to compete strongly against top 20 players in the past.
Bartoli has her moments when she shines, but is by and large a mediocre player in the WTA.
Golovin should get this one without too much of a struggle.
Golovin had a solid year in 2005. Did good things in Asia in particular. Golovin is still young, but she has shown quite a lot of maturity in her game and has been able to compete strongly against top 20 players in the past.
Bartoli has her moments when she shines, but is by and large a mediocre player in the WTA.
Golovin should get this one without too much of a struggle.
Peschke to bt Obata @1.75 Pinnacle 10 units Toray Pacific Tournament Japan
Not much to say here. In recetn years Peschke has had a decent run of wins on carpet. Obata has been fairly disappointing and not much of a threat to top 50 players as she used to be. I dont thin kthat the home crod support will contribute too much to OBta's cause here and PEschke is certainly mature enough not to let it phase her too much. I trust that Peschke will dominate OBata like Golovin was SUPPOSED to do against Bartoli but thats another story.
This is a 10 unit play. And if I ever suggest going for a 25 unit play someone please shoot me. just kidding. I think that this one is pretty safe, but dont blame you for sitting on the sidelines whilst this recent run of limp dick plays play out.
Good luck
Not much to say here. In recetn years Peschke has had a decent run of wins on carpet. Obata has been fairly disappointing and not much of a threat to top 50 players as she used to be. I dont thin kthat the home crod support will contribute too much to OBta's cause here and PEschke is certainly mature enough not to let it phase her too much. I trust that Peschke will dominate OBata like Golovin was SUPPOSED to do against Bartoli but thats another story.
This is a 10 unit play. And if I ever suggest going for a 25 unit play someone please shoot me. just kidding. I think that this one is pretty safe, but dont blame you for sitting on the sidelines whilst this recent run of limp dick plays play out.
Good luck
