Soderling to bt Lopez @ 1.67 Pinnacle Sports 10 units
The H2H is 2:2. Soderling has won the last two meetings which were on hard and carpet surfaces. Lopez won the first two encounters, but one match was played on clay so that should be weighted accordingly.
All matches have been close - going to 3 sets, so dont think this will necessarily be a walk in the park for Lopez.
However, Lopez comes from Australia after a relatively average run.
On the other hand, Soderling has been in top form having just recently won the Helibron challenger tournament which is played on, you guessed it -carpet. So I think that Soderling should hit the ground running whilst Lopez might find it a bit harder finding his feet.
Notably the only encoutner on this surface was won by Soderling. And Soderling's record on carpet over the past 3 years alone is seomthing pretty crazy lke 18:3 overall. In contrast Felicity Lopez has had only been limited (6w:5L over last 2 years)
Whilst odds of around 1.67 might seem a little stingy, I am prepared to put a 10 unit play on this as the signs look right.