Line reading 101

[letsgohoosiers]

I was debating whether or not to add international (non-US) books, and decided to. Simply just another monitor to add to the setup. Also got to add a few US books, now I'm tracking all 30 books (excluding duplicates such as ABCIslands/Jazz, Justbet/BetGuardian, Sportbet/IslandCasino).

eHorseX 4-1 +$298
bet365 2-0 +$246

And to the guy who asked why I wasn't including eHorseX earlier who I answered "not enough volume", I'll start tracking it now. These might be good books to look at.

Yesterday: 19-3 +$1997

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Yesterday's games

CWS eHorseX
FLA eHorseX
DET eHorseX
COL bet365
STL eHorseX
SDG eHorseX bet365

 

[jammanxc]

it's easy to modify a system based on a previous nights results... there's no easy way of tweaking a system.. it has been done over and over again... just beating a dead horse here...

 

[JimmyJet]

Are these correct reads on the overnight movement referred to in Rule #3:

Cin
Mil
Stl
SF
Tor
TB
Phi

 

[ZJP6050]

why in the yankees\rays game...5dimes never had a .05 cent line? it was a .07 cent instead. what does that mean

 

[ZJP6050]

As based on rule #3: please make sure i have these correct (hoosiers or 1968 or funny or whoever), as i'm still learning. in parentheses i have the cent changes in the favor of these teams. i listed them as strongest to weakest based on a .04 cent change being the minimum.



Cincinnati Reds (.07)
Tampa Bay Rays (.06)
San Diego Padres (.06)
Cleveland Indians (.05)
Oakland Athletics (.05)
Florida Marlins (.05)
Colorado Rockies (.04)
Philadelphia Phillies (.04)
Milwaukee Brewers (.04)


i also have a few questions if anyone can answer...what does it mean when 5dimes never reaches the .05cent overnight change? as in toronto\kc and pittsburgh\houston, they were more along the lines of .20cents.

Also, in the milwaukee game - why did the .05cent line shift not occur until about 7:49am? then it moved back to the .10cent at around 8:53am? what does this signify?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Are these correct reads on the overnight movement referred to in Rule #3:

Cin
Mil
Stl
SF
Tor
TB
Phi

No.

TOR, CIN, TAM are right. The rest are wrong.

SFO went from -138 to -138. No movement

These 3 had 4 point movement, which is significant, but the line is still moving towards the other team.

MIL went from +126 to +122
STL went from +125 to +121
PHI went from +123 to +119

Look at SDG, NYM, CLE, OAK, FLA in addition to the one's you had right and understand why they qualify as well.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

why in the yankees\rays game...5dimes never had a .05 cent line? it was a .07 cent instead. what does that mean

Yankees Rays yesterday had a high juice (-200), after a certain number (-160?) they go to .07 overnight rather than .05.

 

[1968]

it's easy to modify a system based on a previous nights results... there's no easy way of tweaking a system.. it has been done over and over again... just beating a dead horse here...

if you do not care for something, please leave- do not bring a negative mentality in here please.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

As based on rule #3: please make sure i have these correct (hoosiers or 1968 or funny or whoever), as i'm still learning. in parentheses i have the cent changes in the favor of these teams. i listed them as strongest to weakest based on a .04 cent change being the minimum.



Cincinnati Reds (.07)
Tampa Bay Rays (.06)
San Diego Padres (.06)
Cleveland Indians (.05)
Oakland Athletics (.05)
Florida Marlins (.05)
Colorado Rockies (.04)
Philadelphia Phillies (.04)
Milwaukee Brewers (.04)


i also have a few questions if anyone can answer...what does it mean when 5dimes never reaches the .05cent overnight change? as in toronto\kc and pittsburgh\houston, they were more along the lines of .20cents.

Also, in the milwaukee game - why did the .05cent line shift not occur until about 7:49am? then it moved back to the .10cent at around 8:53am? what does this signify?

You're missing Toronto (.10) and NY Mets (.05). Also, I wouldn't put too much into the .04 moves as the line moves the other way.

As said in the other post, when they don't go .05 that's because the juice was too high on the favorite for them to offer a .05 line.

Milwaukee game was likely because the line manager fell asleep.

 

[ZJP6050]

Yankees Rays yesterday had a high juice (-200), after a certain number (-160?) they go to .07 overnight rather than .05.

alright. so you take the line that the .05cent starts, and then the line that the .10cent morning line starts and compare? do you disregard all numbers in between? and what should i look for after the morning .10cent open.

 

[ZJP6050]

You're missing Toronto (.10) and NY Mets (.05). Also, I wouldn't put too much into the .04 moves as the line moves the other way.

As said in the other post, when they don't go .05 that's because the juice was too high on the favorite for them to offer a .05 line.

Milwaukee game was likely because the line manager fell asleep.

i left out toronto because i was confused about the .05cent line change being absent, but now i have it. thanks buddy, i'm trying!

 

[letsgohoosiers]

if you do not care for something, please leave- do not bring a negative mentality in here please.

It's funny because there was no tweaking of the system at all. In fact the first post of this thread in the first sentence outlined EXACTLY what was done to get the 19-3 record yesterday, that was the basis of this thread.

 

[ZJP6050]

also - with the mets game, since it never reached the .05 and .10 cent lines...do you take the biggest spike in the line change as the .10cent line? (though it never actually reaches .10) so the mets would be a .04cent change?

 

[letsgohoosiers]

alright. so you take the line that the .05cent starts, and then the line that the .10cent morning line starts and compare? do you disregard all numbers in between? and what should i look for after the morning .10cent open.

Take the reduced juice line (whether that's .07 or .05) and compare it with the morning regular juice line.

 

[ZJP6050]

06/06 10:07 PM -105 -105
06/07 12:17 AM -104 -101
06/07 01:32 AM -105 +100
06/07 04:48 AM -106 +101
06/07 07:50 AM -107 +102
06/07 09:31 AM -109 -101


here is for the mets game...sorry to keep posting. as it's -105 to -105, do you consider the .05cent line at -104 and -101? or the actual -105 and +100. because you said it would've been .05cent (from -104) and i read it as .04 from -105

 

[letsgohoosiers]

also - with the mets game, since it never reached the .05 and .10 cent lines...do you take the biggest spike in the line change as the .10cent line? (though it never actually reaches .10) so the mets would be a .04cent change?

06/07 12:17am: -104 / -101
06/07 01:32am: -105 / +100
06/07 04:48am: -106 / +101
06/07 07:50am: -107 / +102
06/07 09:31am: -109 / -101

 

[waidosas]

CIN looks good

 

[letsgohoosiers]

06/06 10:07 PM -105 -105
06/07 12:17 AM -104 -101
06/07 01:32 AM -105 +100
06/07 04:48 AM -106 +101
06/07 07:50 AM -107 +102
06/07 09:31 AM -109 -101


here is for the mets game...sorry to keep posting. as it's -105 to -105, do you consider the .05cent line at -104 and -101? or the actual -105 and +100. because you said it would've been .05cent (from -104) and i read it as .04 from -105

-104 and -101 is a .05 line. The total juice is .05.

 

[1968]

Are these correct reads on the overnight movement referred to in Rule #3:

Cin
Mil
Stl
SF
Tor
TB
Phi

Hey bud, here are a few-
tampa
06/07 03:52AM: +135 / -140
06/07 07:44AM: +128 / -138

toronto
06/07 12:39AM: +235 / -245
06/07 08:39AM: +235 / -255

reds
06/07 06:21AM: -110 / +105
06/07 09:36AM: -113 / +103