Line reading 101

1968 · Jun 7, 2009

Reds/Cubs

06/07 06:21AM: -110 / +105
06/07 10:53AM: -107 / -103

Reds fit rule #3 based on the above.

1968 · Jun 7, 2009

letsgohoosiers said:
I think the Yankees will be a play. WagerStreet currently has them at -135 while Matchbook is -143, that's a fairly large difference. WagerStreet doesn't move lines much.

I agree. What do you think though with Tampa's adjustment overnight at 5dimes from +135 to +128 compared to just a 2 cent move on the yankees?

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

1968 said:
Ok guys we have 4 games going off in an hour.

921 KAN - K Davies
922 TOR - R Halladay

917 LAA - J Saunders
918 DET - R Porcello

919 TAM - M Garza
920 NYY - Chambrlain

901 CUB - R Wells
902 CIN - B Arroyo

Let's see who fits what and see if we cant all agree on the play. Ill just got up and logged on, ill start looking at each one, let me know what you see and we can compare.

based on ML plays toronto is definitely the strongest (though it was .12 yesterday and lost). you also have to consider the matchup...toronto RL is highly worth the consideration.

based on rule #3 tampa bay qualifies at .06 change, which is semi-significant. i haven't looked into any other rules, are the yankees a STRONG play based off of any other rules? stronger than the rays are considered in #3?

for LAA and DET - do you take the very first .10cent number?
<table cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td>06/07</td><td>12:21 AM</td><td style="text-align: center;">+108</td><td style="text-align: center;">-113</td></tr><tr class="alternate"><td>06/07</td><td>09:25 AM</td><td style="text-align: center;">+106</td><td style="text-align: center;">-116</td></tr><tr><td>06/07</td><td>09:30 AM</td><td style="text-align: center;">+102</td><td style="text-align: center;">-112
</td></tr></tbody></table>
as right there, if you take the first .10cent number it would only be a .02cent change in the angel's favor. or do you consider the number still being bet down at 9:30am? if that's the case, it would make LAA the play. somebody please clarify.

also, cincinnati looks like the play on rule #3 at a .07 change according to my stamp and .08 according to 1968's.

discuss

Funnyb25 · Jun 7, 2009

Rule #1

Tigers currently -123 at matchbook....

-120-118 everywhere else...... keep on eye on that one fellas

1968 · Jun 7, 2009

yea, tigers look like the play.

1968 · Jun 7, 2009

i gotta get some food, brb fellas.

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

Funnyb25 said:
Tigers currently -123 at matchbook....

-120-118 everywhere else...... keep on eye on that one fellas

if matchbook has the worst number, that team is the play?

Funnyb25 · Jun 7, 2009

just gotta check it closer to gametime... shit's movin everytime i take a sip.

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

1968 said:
i gotta get some food, brb fellas.

same. when you get back, please take a look at my past few posts and correct me where i'm wrong so i can be more helpful. i got most of it, maybe even all just need some things clarified

Funnyb25 · Jun 7, 2009

zjp6050 said:
if matchbook has the worst number, that team is the play?

yes sir... according to rule 1

letsgohoosiers · Jun 7, 2009

1968 said:
I agree. What do you think though with Tampa's adjustment overnight at 5dimes from +135 to +128 compared to just a 2 cent move on the yankees?

I put much more faith on the stale lines than 5Dimes movement.

Stale lines (Arb opportunities) was what prompted me to create this thread. 5Dimes movement/BetJam movement was just something I wanted to point out.

Paddywack · Jun 7, 2009

Here's what I have for rule #4

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ontGrowAutofit/> <w:SplitPgBreakAndParaMark/> <w

ontVertAlignCellWithSp/> <w

ontBreakConstrainedForcedTables/> <w

ontVertAlignInTxbx/> <w:Word11KerningPairs/> <w:CachedColBalance/> </w:Compatibility> <m:mathPr> <m:mathFont m:val="Cambria Math"/> <m:brkBin m:val="before"/> <m:brkBinSub m:val="--"/> <m:smallFrac m:val="off"/> <m:dispDef/> <m:lMargin m:val="0"/> <m:rMargin m:val="0"/> <m:defJc m:val="centerGroup"/> <m:wrapIndent m:val="1440"/> <m:intLim m:val="subSup"/> <m:naryLim m:val="undOvr"/> </m:mathPr></w:WordDocument> </xml><![endif]--><style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:"Cambria Math"; panose-1:2 4 5 3 5 4 6 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:1; mso-generic-font-family:roman; mso-font-format

ther; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4; mso-font-charset:0; mso-generic-font-family:swiss; mso-font-pitch:variable; mso-font-signature:-1610611985 1073750139 0 0 159 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {mso-style-unhide:no; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; margin-top:0in; margin-right:0in; margin-bottom:10.0pt; margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; mso-default-props:yes; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:Calibri; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-bidi-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-bidi-theme-font:minor-bidi;} .MsoPapDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; margin-bottom:10.0pt; line-height:115%;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in; mso-header-margin:.5in; mso-footer-margin:.5in; mso-paper-source:0;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style> 1. Tor opened at -240 now -243<o

></o

>
2. Cinci +108 to -102 <o

></o

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3. Atl -130 to -142<o

></o

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4. Bos -165 to -166<o

></o

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5. Cle +116 to +102<o

></o

>
6. St. Louis -118 to -127<o

></o

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7. Az -145 to -155<o

></o

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8. Balt +112 to +100<o

></o

>

Funnyb25 · Jun 7, 2009

yanks now have the best line at matchbook.... GO Rays

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

Funnyb25 said:
yanks now have the best line at matchbook.... GO Rays

hoosiers what do you think of the rays becoming the play based on the #1 change?

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

06/07 12:21 AM +108 -113
06/07 09:25 AM +106 -116
06/07 09:30 AM +102 -112
06/07 10:24 AM +103 -113
06/07 11:59 AM +110 -120

angels being bet back up...does this mean anything? or is it just the public moving the lines

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

seems like everyone quit just before gametime lol..

letsgohoosiers · Jun 7, 2009

zjp6050 said:
hoosiers what do you think of the rays becoming the play based on the #1 change?

Remember what I posted yesterday at the trigger books. eHorseX was the biggest money maker (5-1). Watch their book, they give you leans.

Right now they have the Tigers -115. Every other book (including Matchbook) is -119 or higher.

For the NYY game, they've got the Yanks at -143, lower than any other book. That's indicating a Yankees play.

There's lots of other triggers, but you got to wait until a few minutes before the game.

1968 · Jun 7, 2009

zjp6050 said:
based on ML plays toronto is definitely the strongest (though it was .12 yesterday and lost). you also have to consider the matchup...toronto RL is highly worth the consideration.

based on rule #3 tampa bay qualifies at .06 change, which is semi-significant. i haven't looked into any other rules, are the yankees a STRONG play based off of any other rules? stronger than the rays are considered in #3?

for LAA and DET - do you take the very first .10cent number?
<table cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td>06/07</td><td>12:21 AM</td><td style="text-align: center;">+108</td><td style="text-align: center;">-113</td></tr><tr class="alternate"><td>06/07</td><td>09:25 AM</td><td style="text-align: center;">+106</td><td style="text-align: center;">-116</td></tr><tr><td>06/07</td><td>09:30 AM</td><td style="text-align: center;">+102</td><td style="text-align: center;">-112
</td></tr></tbody></table>
as right there, if you take the first .10cent number it would only be a .02cent change in the angel's favor. or do you consider the number still being bet down at 9:30am? if that's the case, it would make LAA the play. somebody please clarify.

also, cincinnati looks like the play on rule #3 at a .07 change according to my stamp and .08 according to 1968's.

discuss

yankees did fit #1, but not anymore so to me personally, Tampa is the only thing fitting a rule to this point. (correct me if you see something I dont)

angels had a 5 cent move on the adjustment, so he said 4 cents is significant, so technically they fit #3. Tigers did fit #1, but I dont bother starting now with rule #1 till 5 mins before pitch.

Reds were an 8 center, that definately fits #3.

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

1968 said:
yankees did fit #1, but not anymore so to me personally, Tampa is the only thing fitting a rule to this point. (correct me if you see something I dont)

angels had a 5 cent move on the adjustment, so he said 4 cents is significant, so technically they fit #3. Tigers did fit #1, but I dont bother starting now with rule #1 till 5 mins before pitch.

Reds were an 8 center, that definately fits #3.

so is there any significance to the angels being bet back up? refer to post #435

ZJP6050 · Jun 7, 2009

hoosiers - where do i locate ehorsex book? or any other international books to check their line history

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