Line reading 101

[ray]

2 winners 2 losers for me ##)

 

[goblue12]

2 winners 2 losers for me ##)

Assuming you bet on the Angels, you had a profitable day. @)

 

[waidosas]

Letsgohoosiers how long have you been tracking this, seems to hit at a good rate? Thanks.

 

[Paddywack]

for rule 3 you look at the open 5 dime line at 5 dimes. Than in the morning the line shifts back, re-opens to 10 dimes. So you compare the open 5 dime line to the re-open 10 dime line

A dime line is when its ten cents apart. A nickel line is when its 5 cents apart. You don't call these 5 dime lines or 10 dime lines.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

RULE #4

Remember the opening number.

Look at the opening number. Now look at how the line has moved. If the opening number was the best number for the team, and since they've moved the line far away from that team, bet that team.

I'll explain with games from yesterday.

Line History:
Jamaica

Game:
New York Mets
vs
Washington Nationals
MONEYLINES
06/04 04:10PM: +113 / -123
06/05 08:02AM: +111 / -121
06/05 08:49AM: +108 / -118
06/05 08:54AM: +105 / -115
06/05 10:50AM: +104 / -114
06/05 11:23AM: +103 / -113
06/05 11:23AM: +102 / -112
06/05 11:25AM: +101 / -111
06/05 01:38PM: +100 / -110
06/05 05:21PM: -101 / -109
06/05 06:24PM: -103 / -107
06/05 06:54PM: -105 / -105
06/05 07:01PM: -106 / -104

BetJamaica is one of the 5 books to offer afternoon lines, by that I mean lines that are available 4:00 the day before. Them and Pinnacle are the only reduced juice books to offer this, TheGreek and CRIS/Bookmaker offer 20 cent lines.

The number they opened with for the Mets was +113. Now look at the line movement. Never again did that line hit +113. The Mets won in extras.

Now, I need to emphasize thi

 

[waidosas]

Letsgohoosiers how long have you been tracking this ? Thanks.

 

[himeshforex]

hey waidosas .... seen you following the system to a good extent...looking forward to more analysis from you and trying to crack it ....looks interesting.... and letsgo..... can you share from when ur actually tracking this method ...cheers .

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Odd, my message got cut off. I forget what I wrote exactly.

I wanted to point out the difference between "sharp" line movement and "public" line movement.

Sharp movement happens during two times - once the line opens in the afternoon (at Pinnacle/CRIS/Olympic) and overnight. Public line movement happens hours before the game.

I'm not going to be posting "plays" and tracking a record. I just want to give information that you can use for analysis like I do.

For example, I've decided to bet on Arizona tonight using the rules.

Arizona
Line opened at -114 at BetJam, already up to -129
Steady ascending movement, no moves back to SDG
5Dimes .05 line was -120, when changed to .10 this morning it was -130
Bad line at Wager Street (-120) compared to Matchbook (-125)

The play filled multiple rules I had. Am I going to track, backtrack, and figure out records for each rule? No. That's a ton of work and I don't have the time for it.

 

[Hip2Bsq]

06/05 10:22PM: -126 / +116
06/06 12:37AM: -121 / +116
06/06 07:40AM: -129 / +124
06/06 08:45AM: -133 / +123 Rule #3 = play on the Fav.


06/05 10:25PM: +120 / -130
06/06 12:30AM: +122 / -127
06/06 12:52AM: +121 / -126
06/06 02:04AM: +120 / -125
06/06 02:28AM: +121 / -126
06/06 06:05AM: +119 / -124
06/06 07:41AM: +113 / -118
06/06 07:41AM: +114 / -119
06/06 08:12AM: +110 / -120 Rule 3 = play on the dog.


These are the first two I see working my way down from the top of the card for Sat. Anyone care to confirm? I could not get the next one to paste without messing the other one up so I will put it in the next post.

 

[Hip2Bsq]

06/05 10:26PM: -119 / +109
06/05 11:35PM: -120 / +110
06/05 11:56PM: -122 / +112
06/06 12:31AM: -120 / +115
06/06 12:53AM: -126 / +121
06/06 07:41AM: -129 / +124
06/06 08:46AM: -130 / +120 This is the AZ game LGH was talking about above. Shows a play on AZ.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

I'm making write ups for today's games, but Washington +130 at WagerStreet is just standing out right now. Every book has it +110 or less, this is a huge difference. Need to bet it.

 

[Hip2Bsq]

Odd, my message got cut off. I forget what I wrote exactly.

Yeah, I was reading and thought... Thats something I would do. Kids or phone or some kinda interuption when my typing is already 5 minutes behind my thoughts.

I was going to ask you to please continue. LOL

Thanks for being patient and walking us through this. I think we are getting it.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Arizona
Line opened at -114 at BetJam, already up to -129
Steady ascending movement, no moves back to SDG
5Dimes .05 line was -120, when changed to .10 this morning it was -130
Bad line at Wager Street (-120) compared to Matchbook (-125)

Oakland
Line opened at -117 at BetJam, already up to -124
A few sharp moves towards Oakland, leveled off at -124
5Dimes .05 line was -119, changed to -125 at .10 line
Bad line at Wager Street (-117) compared to Matchbook (-119)

Colorado
Small movement at BetJam (+116 to +114)
Erratic movement, went from +122 to +110 back to +115
5Dimes .05 line was +122, changed to +110 at .10 line
Bad line at Wager Street (+125) compared to Matchbook (+119)

Boston
Line opened at -180 at BetJam, already up to -200
BIG TIME sharp movement (.21 in first 15 minutes)
5Dimes .05 line moved only 3 points in their favor, but 3 points away from TEX
No bad lines

Chicago Cubs
Line opened at -120 at BetJam, already up to -132
All line moves towards Chicago
5Dimes .05 line was -121, .10 line was -133, .12 movement
Matchbook has the best line

Detroit
Small movement at BetJam (-139 to -142)
Both moves towards Detroit
5Dimes movement even
No bad lines

Washington
Erratic, small line movement
5Dimes .05 line was +122, changed to +114
Horrific line at Wager Street (+130)

Pittsburgh
Small movements towards Pittsburgh
5Dimes move slightly slanted towards Pittsburgh, not significant
No bad lines

Atlanta
BIG sharp movement at BetJam on Atlanta, went from -149 to -161 in 22 minutes
All moves towards Atlanta
5Dimes overnight even
Matchbook has best lines

San Francisco
Very active and erratic movement
Open number and current number are about the same
5Dimes overnight line move towards SF .05
Matchbook has best lines

Minnesota
Small movement towards Minnesota
BetJam opened at -103 up to -109
5Dimes overnight line went .06 in Minnesota's favor
Matchbook has best lines

Philadelphia
Philles bet down in the morning, no sharp/overnight moves
5Dimes line movement insignificant
Matchbook has best lines

Cleveland
Bet down by Sharps slightly, hasn't touched the +126 opening number
.10 move Cleveland way but just went .05 back to CWS
5Dimes overnight movement from +125 to +117, .08 move
Wager Street has worse line (+125) than Matchbook (+123)

Toronto
Line has moved .12 in Toronto's favor
Consistent line moves towards Toronto
5Dimes went from -160 to -172 overnight, .12 move
Bad line at Wager Street (-165) compared to Matchbook (-168)

NY Yankees
No significant line moves at BetJam
5Dimes line moved from -187 to -192, .05 move
Matchbook as best lines on the board

 

[letsgohoosiers]

By the way if you haven't figured it out yet, Wager Street is THE trigger book in the morning.

 

[letsgohoosiers]

That's a .20 Arbitrage opportunity.

$361.43 at -110 at Matchbook
$300 at +130 at Wager Street

$28.57 profit

 

[CarolinaJ.E.D]

Is Pitt a play +139 at match and +142at Pinnacle @):think2: +148 -15806/067:05 PPIT - P. MaholmHOU - R. Oswalt +138 -146 +142 -162 +140 -160 +132 -152 +136 -146 +139 -145 +137 -147 +131 -151 +140 -160

 

[letsgohoosiers]

Is Pitt a play +139 at match and +142at Pinnacle @):think2: +148 -15806/067:05 PPIT - P. MaholmHOU - R. Oswalt +138 -146 +142 -162 +140 -160 +132 -152 +136 -146 +139 -145 +137 -147 +131 -151 +140 -160

Matchbook's lines change every minute. It's already up to +144.

Your best bet is to look right before the game, in addition to playing egregious errors (such as the Washington one).

 

[ZJP6050]

pretty big line movement in the yankee game...signal anything?

 

[Betsmart]

Letsgohoosiers,
This has been a very good thread, Thanks for taking the time to explain your system. I have found it helpful

BOL

 

[willb3rd]

I agree... Thank You.