bol to us man, I am also going to be taking aek at 1.2 (which is widely available) for 6.5%. The handicap at -1.5 something I haven't decide on yet, at 1.7 it's about where it should be...I might go small on it if I watch the game in the stadium (some rationale this for gambling Jack ha? Well, who doesn't like the action..).
Was also thinking of fading panathinaikos but I really can't factor in the officiating in this game which as per usual, and in every league be it the belgian (he, he...), the german (he, he...) or even the champions league can mess up a perfectly good bet if you don't know their intentions...
We got some pretty weird odds for the greek league this week with the books not much capping the games on performance and team quality but getting the officiating angles straight from their local "experts". For example panionios who are the pits and are struggling to avoid relegation going against a very good kalamaria team are favoured at 1.4 and are getting -1 goal on the handicap, and not only that but they are favoured on the handicap at 1.6!!! Same goes for two other struggling teams at the bottom of the table, kalithea and ofi, where for no other reason than the various "fix" scenarios ofi are getting -1 goal away!!! We are talking here about two teams that are about par in league position!!!! Now all that have got jackie wondering...surely it's not worth riding the fix trend here as the odds have been butchered, but is it worth fading them? That's a question I have not anwered yet...Games don't start until seven tommorow evening so I ll have plenty of time to think about it.
Nothing else really sticks out, either I am getting bored, or the books are getting sharper...