ITALIAN SOCCER by MA

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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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AC Milan at CATANIA – If anything this is the one I had originally liked the best. First leg produced 2-1 shocker with Catania winning at AC. Both have important matches on the weekend, with Milan visiting Udinese, and Catania with a travel date to ROMA (If I’m not mistaken, that’s the game that ended 7-0, or something very close to that, last year). It’s Coppa Italia, where you can always count on the unexpected to occur, but find it hard to believe that Milan is going to sit back and play a conservative 4-3-3. Believe that they are motivated enough to avenge that embarrassing 2-1 loss on home turf, and should come out if this match with a victory. Defensively, they are prone to errors on the counter-attack, and as such 1 goal for the Catanians is also in the picture. If it ends 2-1 at end of regulation, as a prelude to extra time, I’ll be very happy with that.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
AC MILAN pk and -0.5 +100 (5.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
Over 2.5 -108 (2.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Cagliari at SAMPDORIA – Fog in the forecast. Cassano and Bonazzoli paired up front to try avenge 1-0 first leg loss.<o:p></o:p>
First half: SAMPDORIA -0.5 -127 (3.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
For the game: SAMPDORIA -1.5 -120 (3 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Torino at ROMA – Forecast is for wind, rain (heavy at times). Combine this with first leg result which produced a 3-1 win for the Toro, and you have a decent recipe for the dog.<o:p></o:p>
Torino +1.5 +114 (2.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Best of luck.<o:p></o:p>
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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AC Milan at CATANIA – If anything this is the one I had originally liked the best. First leg produced 2-1 shocker with Catania winning at AC. Both have important matches on the weekend, with Milan visiting Udinese, and Catania with a travel date to ROMA (If I’m not mistaken, that’s the game that ended 7-0, or something very close to that, last year). It’s Coppa Italia, where you can always count on the unexpected to occur, but find it hard to believe that Milan is going to sit back and play a conservative 4-3-3. Believe that they are motivated enough to avenge that embarrassing 2-1 loss on home turf, and should come out if this match with a victory. Defensively, they are prone to errors on the counter-attack, and as such 1 goal for the Catanians is also in the picture. If it ends 2-1 at end of regulation, as a prelude to extra time, I’ll be very happy with that.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
AC MILAN pk and -0.5 +100 (5.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
Over 2.5 -108 (2.5 units)
CATANIA 1 AC Milan 1<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Cagliari at SAMPDORIA – Fog in the forecast. Cassano and Bonazzoli paired up front to try avenge 1-0 first leg loss.<o:p></o:p>
First half: SAMPDORIA -0.5 -127 (3.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
For the game: SAMPDORIA -1.5 -120 (3 units)
<o:p>SAMPDORIA 4 Cagliari 0</o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Torino at ROMA – Forecast is for wind, rain (heavy at times). Combine this with first leg result which produced a 3-1 win for the Toro, and you have a decent recipe for the dog.<o:p></o:p>
Torino +1.5 +114 (2.5 units)
ROMA 4 Torino 0
(not even weather can stop the monster.)
When you have 3-1 aggregate lead, and are holding to a 0-0 draw at the half, you have to close the door, because even a 1-nil loss can get you through. Instead you manage to collapse. Torino's coach blamed his players after last weekend loss, claiming "what the hell am I supposed to do with this bunch", when in reality he should have been pointing the finger at himself.

<o:p>Coppa Italia Wednesday: 2W-6L-2T (-10.05 units)</o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<o:p>Back later, need to check the line-ups.</o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<o:p>Best of luck,</o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<o:p>MA</o:p>
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Coppa Italia Thursday:

Lazio at NAPOLI - See nothing that could convince me to back Lazio under current playing form, and besides, these two will tango once again on Sunday. First leg score of 2-1 for Lazio should (hopefully) be duplicated by the home side - this time. Zalayeta starting in the first half should be indicative of Naples establishing the lead. First / last goal option with this guy is an attractive option as he is quite streaky.

First half:
Over 0.5 and -1 -129 (2.5 units)

For the game:
NAPOLI -0.5 -108 (5 units)
Over 2.5 +105 (3 units)

Too many youngsters from "la Primavera" playing for both sides in the INTER MILAN / Reggin match. Anything can happen, so pass.

Good luck,

MA
 

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Coppa Italia Thursday:

Lazio at NAPOLI - See nothing that could convince me to back Lazio under current playing form, and besides, these two will tango once again on Sunday. First leg score of 2-1 for Lazio should (hopefully) be duplicated by the home side - this time. Zalayeta starting in the first half should be indicative of Naples establishing the lead. First / last goal option with this guy is an attractive option as he is quite streaky.

First half:
Over 0.5 and -1 -129 (2.5 units)
NAPOLI 0 Lazio 0

For the game:
NAPOLI -0.5 -108 (5 units)
Over 2.5 +105 (3 units)
NAPOLI 1 Lazio 1

Too many youngsters from "la Primavera" playing for both sides in the INTER MILAN / Reggin match. Anything can happen, so pass.

Good luck,

MA

Coppa Italia Thursday: 0W-3L-0 (-11.625)

best of luck to all.
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Entering the halfway mark of each respective league, with the following numbers:

SERIE B:
W73 L80 T36 (-45.716 units)

SERIE A:
W102 L90 T47 (+70.977 units)

obviously I'm swimming to different shores.

best of luck to all.

MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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SERIE B<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1:place>Rimini</st1:place></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1:place>MESSINA</st1:place></st1:City><o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Rimini</st1:place></st1:City> pk and +0.5 -106 (8 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Bologna</st1:place></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1:place>PISA</st1:place></st1:City><o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Bologna</st1:place></st1:City> pk -107 (7.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Ascoli at TRIESTINA<o:p></o:p>
Ascoli pk and +0.5 -111 (4.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1:place>VICENZA</st1:place></st1:City><o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Lecce</st1:place></st1:City> pk and -0.5 -118 (4 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Avellino</st1:place></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1:place>BRESCIA</st1:place></st1:City><o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Brescia</st1:place></st1:City> -1 -102 (4 units)<o:p></o:p>
Over 2.5 +109 (3 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>Treviso</st1:place></st1:City> at <st1:City><st1:place>MODENA</st1:place></st1:City><o:p></o:p>
<st1:City><st1:place>MODENA</st1:place></st1:City> -0.5 +100 (3.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
Over 2 and 2.5 -110 (3.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
SERIE A<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Atalanta at <st1:City><st1:place>GENOA</st1:place></st1:City><o:p></o:p>
Atalanta pk and +0.5 -115 (3 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
<st1:place>Torino</st1:place> at FIORENTINA<o:p></o:p>
<st1:place>Torino</st1:place> +1 +113 (4.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
My recommendations are <st1:City><st1:place>Rimini</st1:place></st1:City> at pk and +0.5, and <st1:City><st1:place>Bologna</st1:place></st1:City> at pk, each with fair value at the best bet level.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
Best of luck to all,<o:p></o:p>
<o:p> </o:p>
MA<o:p></o:p>
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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For the Torino at FIORENTINA match, adding:

First half:
Over 1 +107 (2.5 units)

For the game:
OVER 2.5 -112 (3.5 units)
Team total - Torino over 0.5 -112 (3 units)

MA
 

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SERIE B - Saturday, January 19: 4W - 3L - 3T (-0.385 units)

SERIE A - Saturday, January 19: 2W - 1L - 2T (+3.05 units)
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Greetings,

SERIE A - Sunday, January 20th

AC Milan at UDINESE
AC Milan -0.5 117 (7.5 units)
Over 2.5 -120 (3 units)

Empoli at LIVORNO
Empoli +0.5 -130 (4 units)

Lazio at NAPOLI
Lazio pk and +0.5 +108 (5.5 units)
Over 2 and 2.5 -119 (3 units)
First half: Over 0.5 and -1 -126 (3 units)

Sampdoria at JUVENTUS
Sampdoria +1 -109 (3 units)

Catania at ROMA
ROMA -1.5 +101 (3 units)

AC Milan -0.5 is a best bet with unfair juice that will only get worst tomorrow.
Lazio is your "back door" medium play.; As psycho as I may be, I think they might just pull it off outright for the unexpected win.


Best of luck to all,

MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Parma at INTER MILAN

First half:
INTER MILAN -0.5 and -1 -104 (2.5 units)

For the game:
INTER MILAN -1.5 and -2 +106 (2.5 units)

In theory this should end 3-0, or 4-0. But you never know in SERIE A, just look at Palermo losing at home to Siena...

Best of luck,

MA
 

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Parma at INTER MILAN

First half:
INTER MILAN -0.5 and -1 -104 (2.5 units)

For the game:
INTER MILAN -1.5 and -2 +106 (2.5 units)

In theory this should end 3-0, or 4-0. But you never know in SERIE A, just look at Palermo losing at home to Siena...

Best of luck,

MA

Love Inter - 1 1/2

bol
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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sorry I'm late.

Coppa Italia:
First game - Catania at UDINESE.

Under 2 and 2.5 -108 (2 units)
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Pardon my unavailability to post the YTD prior to this round of Coppa Italia.<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
COPPA ITALIA YTD: 17W – 21L – 4T (-5.21 units)<o:p></o:p>
(Includes the 2 units -under 2 and 2.5- loser on the Catania / Udinese match, which went over at the half. Looks like another extremely volatile day in Coppa Italia, so best to take it easy)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
ROMA at SAMPDORIA – If anyone had the chance to watch the Sampdoria / Juventus game on the weekend, it would not have been difficult to notice Sampdoria playing a very defensive 4-5-1. They’re only objective was to frustrate Juve and steal a point on the road. Both these two have relatively easy home games on the weekend, with Sampdoria home to Siena (although MA thinks Siena could surprise), while Roma is home to Palermo, a team that they usually toy with. Sampdoria is in much better form than earlier than the year, and at the PK line are worth a shot.<o:p></o:p>
SAMPDORIA PK +103 (6.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
Over 2.5 -112 (2.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
JUVENTUS at INTER MILAN – Key factors to consider: Inter played awful against Parma, and not only deserved to lose, they did lose. Unfortunately, at times, it is the officiating that decides who wins, or rather, who gets the benefit of the calls. Next match for Inter will be an extremely tough date with Udinese, who is no pushover against the big teams. Juventus always shows-up for these types of matches.<o:p></o:p>
JUVENTUS +0.5 +107 (3 units)<o:p></o:p>
Under 2.5 -111 (3.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Don’t usually recommend plays for Coppa Italia. It’s quite unpredictable, and besides, I went from up 25+ units, to -5 units for the year. Nonetheless, I think the Samp is worth a shot as a decent medium play.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
SERIE A YTD: 110W – 95L – 50T (+82.627 units)<o:p></o:p>
AC MILAN at ATALANTA – Both teams should be able to find the back of the net at least once. AC matches up well against ATALANTA, who also has difficulty at the midfield level; as such, they should finally have some space to attack. This game will be totally different than the Udinese / Milan defensive struggle.<o:p></o:p>
AC MILAN -1 +119 (6 units)<o:p></o:p>
Over 2.5 and 3 +122 (3.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
First half: AC Milan pk and -0.5 -109 (2.5 units)<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
If this was not midweek play, AC Milan would be a strong best bet. Also, they have cost me a lot this year, so will keep this one as a decent medium play.<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
Best of luck ,<o:p></o:p>
<o:p></o:p>
MA<o:p></o:p>
 

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inter did not lose to parma. They won 3-2 on the 3rd minute of extra time.
 

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