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If you can't beat them, join them......just picked up 300 shares of SSO (Ultra s&p)--with resistance being broken, S&P should climb to mid 870's. In at $23.09. Out of all short postions except for FAZ, will ride this POS...nice rising wedge on S&P, reversal is coming but will ride uptrend. SSO up .13 a share in the time it took to type this....
 

Oh boy!
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If you can't beat them, join them......just picked up 300 shares of SSO (Ultra s&p)--with resistance being broken, S&P should climb to mid 870's. In at $23.09. Out of all short postions except for FAZ, will ride this POS...nice rising wedge on S&P, reversal is coming but will ride uptrend. SSO up .13 a share in the time it took to type this....

Nice going Nole.

:toast:
 

Breaking Bad Snob
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This guy posts 2-3 videos a day with excellent analysis. Here is today's noon report.

<object width="425" height="344"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/zhTXmTX434Y&hl=en&fs=1"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/zhTXmTX434Y&hl=en&fs=1" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true" width="425" height="344"></embed></object>
 

RX Jesus
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Dec 4, 2007
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tried to get into faz sub 9.00 but it took a big jump with about 15 minutes left in the day and im not paying 9.25 going into the night... will get back on the ship tomorrow hopefully
 

Breaking Bad Snob
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Yep, the economy is great. RALLY!!

27zm1ol.gif
 

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Handicapper
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As you can see by the chart these things can decay. But I've stayed in FAZ for a couple months between November and January and came out ok. This particular time I'm in deep but this thing can turn around and make the money back, even with chasing it down.

The problem I have with setting stops is that I re-invest after it has gone down further, thinking it will eventually go up. For example, let's say I buy at 40 and set a stop at 30 and it hits so I lose 25%. So I figure I'll buy when it hits 20 and it does only to go down to 15 and I'm out another 25%! These things don't go straight down either.

It's tough to know when a stock will go up or down. FAZ was going up in the mid $30's until Geithner promised to buy out toxic assets. Then the price goes down 4 or 5 dollars over night after the markets have closed. Who knows if it will continue going down when the market opens in the morning?

One big reason I do invest in FAZ is because I believe the sector (Financials) still will get worse. When it continues to get worse FAZ will go up.

It's not that they can decay...it's that they do decay. They will always decay to zero...over time. The prospectus tells you that as well.Any long term charts on any of these x2 and x3 funds goes to zero.

They aren't meant to buy and hold...at all. It's a short term trade or hedge...for a couple of days...Max. One day is best to avoid the decay factor.

I've tried to warn you guys about this...they will always go to zero. If you don't understand why...you don't understand what you are dealing with.

Setting stops or using charts on these instruments is ridiculous. There are no technicals on the instrument...only on the index it represents...and because of the decay...it only tracks the index daily...over time it doesn't track it at all.

What you are doing is madness. I've seen this before...and it ended terribly for a group of investors that were convinced, like you, that they had found the holy grail.

You will get wiped out doing this.
 

Oh boy!
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It's not that they can decay...it's that they do decay. They will always decay to zero...over time. The prospectus tells you that as well.Any long term charts on any of these x2 and x3 funds goes to zero.

They aren't meant to buy and hold...at all. It's a short term trade or hedge...for a couple of days...Max. One day is best to avoid the decay factor.

I've tried to warn you guys about this...they will always go to zero. If you don't understand why...you don't understand what you are dealing with.

Setting stops or using charts on these instruments is ridiculous. There are no technicals on the instrument...only on the index it represents...and because of the decay...it only tracks the index daily...over time it doesn't track it at all.

What you are doing is madness. I've seen this before...and it ended terribly for a group of investors that were convinced, like you, that they had found the holy grail.

You will get wiped out doing this.

What you write here amounts to an "I told you so". I really believe you don't mean it in that vein. I really believe that you are trying to warn us here and I appreciate that.

However, when the market goes south again, and it will, then FAZ and SKF and SRS will go up. Take a look at the history of SKF and all the times it held support at 100 and went back up to over 175. It's happened at least 8 times in the last year.

Yes, these ETFs have suffered decay as you said they would. However this is only once vs. 8 times that it has made money. I posted in the "sell" thread several times last fall of how I invested in SKF and made money. I've made more money trading these ETFs than I have lost. I am still ahead. I only started tracking this recently so only my recent gains/losses are shown here.

Sure, FAZ will never go up to 100 again. However, I do believe it will more than double again and I believe it will happen multiple times due to the inherent weakness of the financial sector. Whether it goes down to 6 or 3 or 1 it will more than double after that. If you don't believe me look at FAS. It has more than tripled in the recent upswing. That's what makes these ETFs investible.

With that being said, I value your input here and I hope you continue to post in this thread. I believe you have valuable insights to offer.
 

New member
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Good luck with this trade. I would suggest keeping this on a very short leash. Both my S&P and DJIA charts are showing perfect rising wedges and are trading right at the resistance lines, the resistance/support lines of this wedge are powerful and have not been breached. I am pretty certain that this rally is on life support. Just my take.
 

Oh boy!
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Good luck with this trade. I would suggest keeping this on a very short leash. Both my S&P and DJIA charts are showing perfect rising wedges and are trading right at the resistance lines, the resistance/support lines of this wedge are powerful and have not been breached. I am pretty certain that this rally is on life support. Just my take.

I would agree to keep it on a short leash.

I'm counting on another late-day rally along with BAC beating their numbers Monday morning.
 

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Handicapper
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What you write here amounts to an "I told you so". I really believe you don't mean it in that vein. I really believe that you are trying to warn us here and I appreciate that.

However, when the market goes south again, and it will, then FAZ and SKF and SRS will go up. Take a look at the history of SKF and all the times it held support at 100 and went back up to over 175. It's happened at least 8 times in the last year.

Yes, these ETFs have suffered decay as you said they would. However this is only once vs. 8 times that it has made money. I posted in the "sell" thread several times last fall of how I invested in SKF and made money. I've made more money trading these ETFs than I have lost. I am still ahead. I only started tracking this recently so only my recent gains/losses are shown here.

Sure, FAZ will never go up to 100 again. However, I do believe it will more than double again and I believe it will happen multiple times due to the inherent weakness of the financial sector. Whether it goes down to 6 or 3 or 1 it will more than double after that. If you don't believe me look at FAS. It has more than tripled in the recent upswing. That's what makes these ETFs investible.

With that being said, I value your input here and I hope you continue to post in this thread. I believe you have valuable insights to offer.

It's not my intent to say I told you so...and I've stated my opinion more than once.

I should just shut up...you guys are big boys. Good luck.
 

Oh boy!
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It's not my intent to say I told you so...and I've stated my opinion more than once.

I should just shut up...you guys are big boys. Good luck.

I think you provide a needed service to warn people about the decay. I think you and I agree about the postential for that.

Thanks for posting.

:103631605
 

New member
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for all it's worth boys , i appreciate all your post as i chime in to this this forum . im new to the market so reading these post and listining to you guys is teaching me alot . thanks again for all your work and input ! :drink:
 

Breaking Bad Snob
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I think this may be the new sell, sell, sell thread.

I hate to see it go, but it's been on the same page for the last 10 days.
 

Oh boy!
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for all it's worth boys , i appreciate all your post as i chime in to this this forum . im new to the market so reading these post and listining to you guys is teaching me alot . thanks again for all your work and input ! :drink:

I'm glad to ear this OIL. I was thinking about not posting in this thread because I didn't want to be responsible for other people posting like I did only to lose money. But if people can learn from my mistakes and also from my profitable trades then I guess I'll keep posting.

This is why people like MisterMJ are so valuable. He serves to warn people about things I may not take the chance to because I may be too involved in my trades to see the forest for the trees.

I think I'll add some disclaimers the next time I post trades.
 

Oh boy!
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I think this may be the new sell, sell, sell thread.

I hate to see it go, but it's been on the same page for the last 10 days.

I think of the sell, sell, sell thread as a thread to post economic news and to discuss things of that nature. I plan to continue posting that stuff in there.

I think of this thread as to discuss actual investment strategy and actual investment. I believe you mentioned earlier that those kinds of posts were getting lost in the sell, sell, sell thread.
 

New member
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i'm glad you will keep posting quantum , man this shit is alot to learn let me tell ya ! :):) do you know of any websites that can explain the market ? all the sell, sell short , buy to cover , and all this shit ? i don't want to sound like a dipshit , but it's just new and want to learn all i can . it's all about all of us making money ! the more we all can help each other out the more we can get ! some of us appreciate all your time work to contribute to this forum ! god bless ! :toast:
 

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