ok, just e-mailed pinnacle turns out ties or losses in this one. that sucks. anyways, u still win about 72% of the time. i love the qualifiers you threw in. reminds me of the Sportscenter stat last year of the Indians not losing a tuesday night game at home with a waxing moon or some stuff like that. GG n00b
Kinda scary when you have 4 different names
Giving picks from the same IP. I hope everyone is watching this. Just don't seem right I have my computer on the same network and they all have different IP addresses for each computer. I think when it comes to people following picks they should run as fast as you can away from any of these posters. Not bashing but I know alot of people follow and if it was just for fun I would mind but some people that come here are betting alot of money on this info. and sure hate to see someone get hurt with one guy playing games. I read read all the BS so I am not sure but I did read the bold print from the Mod and understand what is going on. Just my two cents.
Giving picks from the same IP. I hope everyone is watching this. Just don't seem right I have my computer on the same network and they all have different IP addresses for each computer. I think when it comes to people following picks they should run as fast as you can away from any of these posters. Not bashing but I know alot of people follow and if it was just for fun I would mind but some people that come here are betting alot of money on this info. and sure hate to see someone get hurt with one guy playing games. I read read all the BS so I am not sure but I did read the bold print from the Mod and understand what is going on. Just my two cents.
to win
say you wager
50 parley one One/TWO
50 parley two One/Three
50 parley three Two/Three
Team one wins
Team two loses
Team Three Wins
50 parley one one/TWO Loser
50 parley two One/Three Winner
50 parley three two/Three Loser
You hit one Parley for a win of $150 and lose 2 parleys so you win a total $50
So you need to hit 2 out of three to win some cash.
say you wager
50 parley one One/TWO
50 parley two One/Three
50 parley three Two/Three
Team one wins
Team two loses
Team Three Wins
50 parley one one/TWO Loser
50 parley two One/Three Winner
50 parley three two/Three Loser
You hit one Parley for a win of $150 and lose 2 parleys so you win a total $50
So you need to hit 2 out of three to win some cash.
nhoj--
If you are a skeptic about the IP addresses, either contact a local computer science guy, or watch when at least two of our names (usually mine and BigBenGodSend, but sometimes Budworth22) are on at the same time. If we were on one computer, it would be physically impossible to have both names logged in at once. This should difuse all doubt. And side note to Baker: well put about the parlays. The only way that parlays really pay is when you hit a massive percentage. Obviously if you go 3-0 on a weekend and have a 3 team parlay together, it's going to pay more than 3 individual plays, but on the same token... a 2-1 weekend is a winning weekend... just keep that in mind before parlaying stuff together very often.
As promised, Roxy, here are the plays for tonight....
Orlando (-2) @ Chicago (-105, 4 units)
Chicago (+4) vs. Orlando (+117, 4 units)
Orlando/Chicago under 101.5 (-105, 4 units)
Considering some other plays, but I will likely lay off instead. Check back for 2nd half wagering starting around 9:30. I'll give live updates on the Preds/Rush game if anyone wants it. We're rooting for Preds by 3... that'd be a nice bonus for the rest of the weekend... 42-39 does it. And if I nail this middle, knowing that not everyone got comparable numbers to this, :toast: ... beers for all. Winning 8 units when you're only trying to recover your money in very nice indeed... But I won't keep my hopes up. Rooting for the Preds by any number as a fan and the under.
I love these guys on arenafootball.com... apparently, Orlando lost to Columbus last week (should be Dallas) and Kenny McEntyre now plays offensive specialist (should be defensive specialist)... oh yeah, according to the article, both teams played Columbus last week too... Sorry, I probably shouldn't mock these guys, but it's funny how bad the editing is in the story.
Couple notes on the other games if anyone is considering action... Georgia is in a bit of a rough spot without their two fullbacks playing. Both will be out tonight @ Austin. John Fitzgerald is playing lights out for the Wranglers right now, but tonight's test will be his toughest, going against a really solid Georgia team that is set up just like Predator teams of old and last year's New Orleans team that won the Southern Division. Interesting game to watch tonight, as all signs point to a Georgia romp... but Georgia's offense hasn't been able to get it going most of the year. This might be a good time for rookie offensive specialist Troy Bergeron to have a 4 or 5 TD bustout game. All of the hype around this kid is good... Can't wait to see him play on TV for the first time in a few weeks when they play Orlando.
In regards to the New Orleans/Tampa game... This is an ugly game to cap. New Orleans simply doesn't lose at home. Andy Kelly has been lights out. Aaron Bailey is making some sick catches (including 2 incredible TD catches last week against Philly). Just some ridiculous stuff going on for the Voodoo. Defense played well against Graziani and gang last week. This team is ranked #1 in all of the power polls for a reason. The problem? Tampa might be #3 (with Orlando and possibly Georgia between them... sick... 4 teams in the South are amongst the best 5 in the AFL). Marcum gets his boys up for these games they have no business being in. This is one of these that he knows shouldn't be overly close. Friday night in New Orleans? Going to be a massive home field advantage for the Voodoo. Shane Stafford has almost no targets to throw the ball to and the defense has been worn down their last two games against Austin and Orlando in the 2nd halfs. All the pressure for the Storm is going to be on Clif Dell and David Saunders (who is still banged up himself) to make Stafford look good without Toliver and Solomon. If Tampa's offense gets going early, the defense is good enough to hold New Orleans a couple times. But if New Orleans jumps out early on Tampa, it's going to be a very long game in the Bayou for the Storm, just like their trip was last year, when Stafford threw three pick sixes and was replaced by Pat O'Hara. If we see Stoney Case tonight for the Storm (backup QB), this one will be one of my favorite games of the year to watch... Always love watching Tampa get routed.
Best of luck on your action.
--AFLGuru:toast:
If you are a skeptic about the IP addresses, either contact a local computer science guy, or watch when at least two of our names (usually mine and BigBenGodSend, but sometimes Budworth22) are on at the same time. If we were on one computer, it would be physically impossible to have both names logged in at once. This should difuse all doubt. And side note to Baker: well put about the parlays. The only way that parlays really pay is when you hit a massive percentage. Obviously if you go 3-0 on a weekend and have a 3 team parlay together, it's going to pay more than 3 individual plays, but on the same token... a 2-1 weekend is a winning weekend... just keep that in mind before parlaying stuff together very often.
As promised, Roxy, here are the plays for tonight....
Orlando (-2) @ Chicago (-105, 4 units)
Chicago (+4) vs. Orlando (+117, 4 units)
Orlando/Chicago under 101.5 (-105, 4 units)
Considering some other plays, but I will likely lay off instead. Check back for 2nd half wagering starting around 9:30. I'll give live updates on the Preds/Rush game if anyone wants it. We're rooting for Preds by 3... that'd be a nice bonus for the rest of the weekend... 42-39 does it. And if I nail this middle, knowing that not everyone got comparable numbers to this, :toast: ... beers for all. Winning 8 units when you're only trying to recover your money in very nice indeed... But I won't keep my hopes up. Rooting for the Preds by any number as a fan and the under.
I love these guys on arenafootball.com... apparently, Orlando lost to Columbus last week (should be Dallas) and Kenny McEntyre now plays offensive specialist (should be defensive specialist)... oh yeah, according to the article, both teams played Columbus last week too... Sorry, I probably shouldn't mock these guys, but it's funny how bad the editing is in the story.
Couple notes on the other games if anyone is considering action... Georgia is in a bit of a rough spot without their two fullbacks playing. Both will be out tonight @ Austin. John Fitzgerald is playing lights out for the Wranglers right now, but tonight's test will be his toughest, going against a really solid Georgia team that is set up just like Predator teams of old and last year's New Orleans team that won the Southern Division. Interesting game to watch tonight, as all signs point to a Georgia romp... but Georgia's offense hasn't been able to get it going most of the year. This might be a good time for rookie offensive specialist Troy Bergeron to have a 4 or 5 TD bustout game. All of the hype around this kid is good... Can't wait to see him play on TV for the first time in a few weeks when they play Orlando.
In regards to the New Orleans/Tampa game... This is an ugly game to cap. New Orleans simply doesn't lose at home. Andy Kelly has been lights out. Aaron Bailey is making some sick catches (including 2 incredible TD catches last week against Philly). Just some ridiculous stuff going on for the Voodoo. Defense played well against Graziani and gang last week. This team is ranked #1 in all of the power polls for a reason. The problem? Tampa might be #3 (with Orlando and possibly Georgia between them... sick... 4 teams in the South are amongst the best 5 in the AFL). Marcum gets his boys up for these games they have no business being in. This is one of these that he knows shouldn't be overly close. Friday night in New Orleans? Going to be a massive home field advantage for the Voodoo. Shane Stafford has almost no targets to throw the ball to and the defense has been worn down their last two games against Austin and Orlando in the 2nd halfs. All the pressure for the Storm is going to be on Clif Dell and David Saunders (who is still banged up himself) to make Stafford look good without Toliver and Solomon. If Tampa's offense gets going early, the defense is good enough to hold New Orleans a couple times. But if New Orleans jumps out early on Tampa, it's going to be a very long game in the Bayou for the Storm, just like their trip was last year, when Stafford threw three pick sixes and was replaced by Pat O'Hara. If we see Stoney Case tonight for the Storm (backup QB), this one will be one of my favorite games of the year to watch... Always love watching Tampa get routed.
Best of luck on your action.
--AFLGuru:toast:
Scary o/u number in New Orleans... I could see this one easily drifting either way. If Tampa can't get the offense going, New Orleans is going to run away from this one early. This might cause for an over 2nd half, but if the score is, say 28-10 at the half in favor of New Orleans, getting to 100 would be very difficult... And if Tampa controls the game, the clock is going to move a lot faster. The less time a game takes in the Graveyard, the better your chances.
Adding: Arizona ml @ New York (1 unit +162): All of the variables are determined for this game now. Shredrick Bonner is going to be the starting QB, and everything looks like the Rattlers REALLY want to win this game. Evan Hlvacek is also coming back from injury this week, giving Bonner a full compliment of WRs to choose from. The mistakes that Joe Germaine has made Bonner won't. If Bonner QBs the Colorado game, they're 2-2 at worst... This is going to be a very interesting fight in the West the rest of the way with the Avengers from La La Land holding a two game lead on both of the "premier" teams. Todd Shell (Az coach) doesn't want to get run out of town in his first year as coach, but this is a team and franchise that deemed losing the Arena Bowl 3 straight years wasn't good enough and ran out Danny White, who I'll guarantee will be coaching somewhere next year. Aaron Garcia and gang are always tough at home, but this team just hasn't clicked yet with the system that Weylan Harding has brought in. I think there are too many points in this spread right now, but seeing how points haven't mattered in 72% of the games and we've already got the two units on Arizona to cover 6.5, this is a solid play with significant odds.
This wouldn't be called an upset by the AFL experts if it were to happen.
Best of luck-
--AFLGuru
This wouldn't be called an upset by the AFL experts if it were to happen.
Best of luck-
--AFLGuru
Orlando's in a world of hurt on this game... lay off of it. Regarding the o/u... I really do honestly believe this game goes under this total of 92 as well. However, as I've said before, betting unders in the AFL makes points SO much more valuable than when betting overs. That being said, 92 is a lot worse than 101.5, but I still think it's worth a play for a small amount. I would recommend for you to ride on Philly and Arizona this weekend. Though other cappers are on Dallas and the 7 points, I think Dallas gets demolished this weekend. The Az line is gonna fly down when the Bonner news leaks. That's probably your best play on the current board. Hope this helps.
--AFLGuru
--AFLGuru
