Guru's Golden Picks: AFL Week 4

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14-10 Rush... Preds hit their first FG of the season... now 1 for 8 on the year. About 8 minutes left is what I believe I saw.
 

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timeout Chicago with 6:30 left 2nd and 10 on their own 5... ugly game... Jermey McDaniel's name hasn't been uttered in awhile... he's due.
 

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Preds had a stop and Hohensee went for it on 4th and 10 and picked it up... unreal...
 

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14-10 Rush timeout on the field with 2:30 left in the half with the Rush on the Preds 15.
 

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the second half line on the N.O. game is about right, so we'll lay off unless Pinny opens up different numbers than what MyBookie has.
 

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Preds D has absolutely come to play today. Philyaw has thrown 4 balls away and they just absolutely blew up a Chicago rushing attempt on 3rd and 2... 4th and 3, Chicago likely kicking at the 1 minute warning.
 

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FG wide somehow... it bounced off the top of the crossbar and went through... probably should've been ruled good because of that, but I'm not sure of the ruling about the top of the crossbar. Preds take over with 55 seconds left down 4 getting the ball first in the 2nd half.
 

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Preds have I'd guess about 50 rushing yards after the 20ish yard TD run for the Preds... but a personal foul to be put down after the kickoff... meaning we're probably going to get another Chicago score... onside kick almost surely coming for the Preds... 8 penalties for 55 yards... 17-14 Preds, 35 seconds left in the half.
 

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TD Chicago... fortunately this one wasn't McDaniel... 21-17 Rush with 19 seconds left.
 

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Jay Gruden needs to change his panties... He played for a FG when Chicago is getting the ball first in the 2nd half (I was incorrect before... my apologies).

1 out of 9 now on FGs... 21-17 Rush at the half... Ugly football... Ugly, ugly football.
 

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I use AFL stattracker... it's working ok tonight... you can find it on arenafootball.com.
 

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Alright, I'm not going to openly make this a play, but Chicago's probably killing Orlando in the 2nd half of this game. It's real hard to score when your defense is your best offense. My suggestion would be to play on Chicago because they really outplayed Orlando in the 1st half and probably will do so in the 2nd half, but I'm not posting against my Preds, nor will I count it in the standings... Hope I'm wrong. Anyway, the o/u at 45 is probably about right... It's a nice middle situation, especially if you have 101.5 as your number of target. They've got it at 83 for the game right now...
 

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No play in the other game either... just don't like how it's going... So it's just the under in the Orlando game and the hope for a perfect middle... but the way this is going, it's looking grimm... Though if Orlando picks up a stop and scores, they're up the magic number... Wishful thinking.

--AFLGuru
 

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Preds defense forcing the turnover on the goalline thanks to a JERMEY MCDANIEL fumble.
 

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Fryzel TD rec.

PAT pending... sorry about this 2nd half guys... but it's a long half still and if we hit our middle, we should be golden anyway.
 

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