Guru's Golden Picks: AFL Week 4

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Heavy steam on Columbus. Any reason for this or concerns?

Down to 10.5 at Oly.

IS
 

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I've never worried about steam in the AFL. Not going to start worrying now. No new injuries that I can see reported. Remember that this line opened at 8, so people might be thinking that the number is too high now... Also was at 11.5 yesterday. I just think these numbers are negligible. If Chicago is going to cover 7, they're probably going to cover 13.5 as well. Don't worry about it. Watch for 2nd halfers today. Could be a lot of good money in the 2nd half of some of these games.

--AFLGuru
 

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Yeah... you'll see me do this every now and then. As I said, I believe points are negligible in this Chicago game. Never know, and maybe it'll come back to bite me... but I think if Chicago is going to win this game, they're going to send a message to Orlando in doing so. Keith Gispert is also a solid kicker that I trust to make at least 80% of PATs.
 

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Just feeling it tonight... Feeling a great night. Figure I should update that just in case anyone was interested. Good night is coming. Just feeling it. Me and the guys in #1314 agree that tonight's gonna be a good night. Just a feeling.

Games start in about 40 minutes.

--AFLGuru
 

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Ooopss..............just a heads up..............
I know "points don't matter" for AFL (generally), but BET365 has Arizona at +3 tonight.........:icon_conf
 

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wow.............so does BETCOM.................has the line moved that much????/

I had it at -3 earlier this week????
 

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Big Wave--

The line moved because Shredrick Bonner was announced out of tonight's game.

And to everyone else who's posting about this Grand Rapids-Austin game... Please, anyone out there. Anyone. Without cheating and looking, name me 7 guys on both teams. Go ahead. Try it. I doubt most of you can do it because I can probably barely do it...
 

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Alright, just for sh*ts and giggles, let's see how many I can get....

Austin: John Fitzgerald, Tacoma Fontaine, Bobby Pesavento, Clint Dodson.... damn... I suck....

Grand Rapids: Michael Bishop, Nick Browder, Chris Jackson, Cecil Doggette... yup...

This probably proves my point as to why no one should bet this game except Ace, who valiently punches numbers like no one else. So unless you're tailing him or someone else who either is great with numbers or a genius who lives in one of these cities and can name more players than I can off of these teams, stop betting the game.

--AFLGuru:toast:
 

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Okay, I should have gotten Charlie Davidson and Ira Gooch on Austin... but I cheated and looked for those... it's Tony Dodson, not Clint Dodson....

For Grand Rapids, definitely should've gotten Chris Avery...

That's 6 for Austin and 5 for Grand Rapids. You all let me know if you know someone who can give me 7 on either team without cheating.
 

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Boy that's a terrible start... Chicago and New York both turn it over to start the game...
 

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7-0 Kats

7-0 Destroyers

Not a terrible start and a terrible start. Is anyone here reading this, or am I talking to myself?
 

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You have an audience now. Lets go Chi-town, and lets see some points in the big apple, need to pick up the pace there.
 

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Goodness, both double digit favorites are losing... let me rephrase... down a stop.
 

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Poor Ace too... 2 TDs in the first 5 minutes in Grand Rapids...
 

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Columbus now up 21-13, over looking good, Chi looking sluggish. Also, Chi faked the first EP, they did not miss the kick.

AFLGuru, thank you for all of the quality information you have freely given to this forum, much appreciated by this Sabercats fan in nocal.

I am on Chi, Chi/Col over, and NY/Nash over. Good luck tonight.
 

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Chicago is doing the same thing that Orlando did... annoying the hell out of me. 21-14 Kats... lots of points but an ominous feel... I thought New York was gonna kill Nashville in this game. But hell, for the sake of over 5.5 wins for Nashville, go get 'em Kats, but let's get over the 100.5
 

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Keep going with the Chicago updates Quest. I don't have a live feed... best I've got is gametracker.

By the way, Bonner is going to be suited up tonight but won't start. Might come off the bench in case of injury to Germaine or if he just looks that bad.
 

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28-21 Columbus, Robinson took the kickoff back all the way for Columbus, was not touched. Chicago continues to look sluggish on defense. Hopefully Philyaw will keep scoring until halftime and they can come out in the second half and get some stops.
 

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