GoSooners Big 12 Plays Of The Week For 9-27

[jbragg10]

Pitt at Syracuse....Now we're talking about a Pitt team who averages scoring only 21.67 points per game favored by almost 3 scores going on the road for the first time against a conference foe.Syracuse (+15) over Pitt ***

That reason alone is why I am playing Pitt in this game.
That was the first thing that popped out at me when I was originally looking at this game!

:bbsmile:

 

[GoBlue34]

NEVER count a good running team out. Especially when they are double digit dogs.

Good and ANYTHING Syracuse football should never been in the same sentence. Talent aside, the coach will be fired at the end of the year if not sooner. Team has quit, has nothing to play for.

Both have horrible coaches but agree with the above poster that Pitt has by leaps and bounds better talent that the Cuse. Actually a pretty big win for Pitt last week too so they might have a little mo as well.

Don't like the pick but agree on most of your others. Edit, don't like either side honestly as I think the number is right on...

 

[MonsterBuck]

Good luck this week GS, its always great to start with a winner :toast:

 

[homedawg]

I don't doubt that Wannstadt has some good players..But he doesn't have a good team.. Do you think Bowling Green and Buffalo have anywhere near the players of Pitt? Yet Pitt has trouble beating MAC teams with much inferior athletes....It's the style of coaching that is the reason why this team will never go anywhere..Yes Robinson is also bad. But not worse. He can't recruit worth a damn. But at least he has made an attempt to change his offense by bringing in Minnesota's OC. And they have a better run game than Pitt..Don't count this stat short. Look what a much inferior Oregon State team did to USC with their run game last night..This is a team that lost to Stanford in their first game..NEVER count a good running team out. Especially when they are double digit dogs.

With all due respect to say Syracuse has a better run game then Pitt is just not true. Syracuse run stats are skewed to say the least. They piled up 271 against D2 Northeastern, and 218 against Akron who just happens to have one of the worst run D's in the country (gave up 153 to Army, 194 to Ball St, and a whopping 404 to Wisconsin). While Syracuse run game was pretty much shut down against Northwestern, gaining 121 (big chunk was actually a big play Delone Carter broke so even that is misleading), and completely shut down against Penn St (25 carries for 49 yards). Throw in the fact Syracuse has no passing game, opponents can put 8 in the box and really shut down the run game. I have watched every single snap this season and Syracuse has NO players on either side of the ball. Our lineman are fat, and unathletic. No matter how bad the opponents coaching style is Syracuse has an awful time when they are inferior in talent. Pitt is easily the 2nd most talented team they have faced this year. I see McCoy running rampant, and another bad day for the Orange.
By no way am I trying to start an argument. I just wanted to give you my point of view. BOL this weekend and continued success:toast:

 

[GoSooners]

With all due respect to say Syracuse has a better run game then Pitt is just not true. Syracuse run stats are skewed to say the least. They piled up 271 against D2 Northeastern, and 218 against Akron who just happens to have one of the worst run D's in the country (gave up 153 to Army, 194 to Ball St, and a whopping 404 to Wisconsin). While Syracuse run game was pretty much shut down against Northwestern, gaining 121 (big chunk was actually a big play Delone Carter broke so even that is misleading), and completely shut down against Penn St (25 carries for 49 yards). Throw in the fact Syracuse has no passing game, opponents can put 8 in the box and really shut down the run game. I have watched every single snap this season and Syracuse has NO players on either side of the ball. Our lineman are fat, and unathletic. No matter how bad the opponents coaching style is Syracuse has an awful time when they are inferior in talent. Pitt is easily the 2nd most talented team they have faced this year. I see McCoy running rampant, and another bad day for the Orange.
By no way am I trying to start an argument. I just wanted to give you my point of view. BOL this weekend and continued success:toast:

Homedawg...I don't include Division 2 games in my running dog stats..I was surprised as anybody to see Syracuse the running dogs here..Take it as it is. Pitt has had no stronger of a strength of schdeule as Syracuse..So these stats aren't skewed. Like I've said before, it is early in the season, and running dogs system isn't perfect because we don't have alot of data to work with yet..One thing we do know is Pitt had a much better team last season as well, and barely escaped Syracuse with a win as 13 point favorites.. And in fact the only division 1 team that Pitt beat by more than 7 points last year was Eastern Michigan at home in their first game of the season....And I don't see any improvement whatsover in the Pitt offense this year..Like I stated at the top of my game analysis, it was more a play against PItt than a play for Syracuse..Simply because Pitt has yet to show me the style of a team who blows anybody out..You guys may be right about the game..But I have yet to see proof that Pitt can win in this blowout fashion...That's why I made this play.

 

[homedawg]

Homedawg...I don't include Division 2 games in my running dog stats..I was surprised as anybody to see Syracuse the running dogs here..Take it as it is. Pitt has had no stronger of a strength of schdeule as Syracuse..So these stats aren't skewed. Like I've said before, it is early in the season, and running dogs system isn't perfect because we don't have alot of data to work with yet..One thing we do know is Pitt had a much better team last season as well, and barely escaped Syracuse with a win as 13 point favorites.. And in fact the only division 1 team that Pitt beat by more than 7 points last year was Eastern Michigan at home in their first game of the season....And I don't see any improvement whatsover in the Pitt offense this year..Like I stated at the top of my game analysis, it was more a play against PItt than a play for Syracuse..Simply because Pitt has yet to show me the style of a team who blows anybody out..You guys may be right about the game..But I have yet to see proof that Pitt can win in this blowout fashion...That's why I made this play.

Fair enough. I sure hope your right!!

 

[GoSooners]

I'm probably not going to do anything with the UCONN-Louisville game tonight. UCONN could be the running dogs here, but I'm not sure..Louisville's rushing numbers went through the roof against KSU. But I'm not sure if that game was a one hit wonder or not..I'll probably have to see more of these two teams before I'll know where they stand..Whatever side your on good luck tonight.

 

[Conan]

I'm probably not going to do anything with the UCONN-Louisville game tonight. UCONN could be the running dogs here, but I'm not sure..Louisville's rushing numbers went through the roof against KSU. But I'm not sure if that game was a one hit wonder or not..I'll probably have to see more of these two teams before I'll know where they stand..Whatever side your on good luck tonight.

I'm with you. I could use a night off.
I think I'll just flip a quarter for tonight's game then do nothing about it.
I'm guaranteed to come out 25 cents ahead.

 

[masterv35]

Colorado at Florida State...Colorado is coming off a huge non conference win over WV, and FSU is coming off a disappointing national television debut against Wake. So the question is can FSU bounce back from that crappy performance. I'm not going to kid you, I've gone back and forth on this game this week. There are legitimate arguments for both teams..FSU will more than likely look a little sharper on offense than they did last week..It couldn't have been any worse a start for this team with 7 turnovers and 139 yards in penalties. And although their offense looked like shit, their defense really impressed me in giving up only 275 total yards after their offense turned it over what seemed like every series. So I have no problem with FSU on that side of the ball. And they'll also be getting a few Criminoles off of a 3 games suspension for this game. Which could help the general attitude of the team.. But the problem I have with this game is the line. FSU started the season out scoring 115 points against 2 Sisters Of The Poor schools. But managed just one field goal against Wake..And really didn't get any kind of sniff of the endzone all night..They played 2 QB's and still had no success in any phase of the game. They have no passing game (5 int's last week). Colorado on the other hand held a WV team with a better QB to under 50 yards passing..So how much better is this FSU team going to fare? I would say not much more if any..I look for FSU to keep it on the gound more this week to cut down on mistakes. And I'm sure they'll move the ball on Colorado. But getting it in the endzone is another thing. I won't kid you, it does bother me a little that Colorado is leaving home for the first time. But I really don't expect any kind of letdown from the Buffs, even though they have Texas on board next week. This is a team who is 3-0, and has a chance to knock off WV and FSU back to back and get themselves in the top 25 for the first time. Plus a 4-0 start is cruicial for the Buffs before entering the rugged Big 12 where they'll have to play Texas, at Kansas, at Mizzou, OSU, at Texas A&M and at Nebraska. So Hawkins probably knows that the more wins they can get early the better chance to get to a bowl. If Cody Hawkins can cut down on mistakes by this hard hitting FSU defense and not give them any easy scores, I think Colorado can hang here. With the total at around 40, this has to tell you a low scoring field goal fest is probably expected. And if it's a low scoring FG fest I prefer to be getting the two field goals....Takling Colorado (+6) over Florida State **

Sooners, new to the boards posting, but been following the boards for a couple years now. You touch on it briefly in your write-up, but i believe the first road game factor for Colorado will play heavily into the seminoles hands this week. Gonna be tough to play your first road game across the country in a hostile environment. This is a typical "get the fans hopes up" game that seminoles fans have gotten used to in recent years. Follow up a poor performance (last week vs. wake) with a nice win over a mediocre team only to disappoint the following week. FSU is very tough playing in Jacksonville, 8-1 in nine games (usually against decent opponents). Colorado is getting respect for beating a WVU team who has clearly lost their luster. FSU played a wake defense last week who has more than a few nfl players. I look for Fsu to win this one by 13+.

Love your analysis, and added a few of your "best bets" this year to my card. Just thought id get my first rx post out of the way and happened to be in disagreement with a game. Good luck.

 

[GoSooners]

Sooners, new to the boards posting, but been following the boards for a couple years now. You touch on it briefly in your write-up, but i believe the first road game factor for Colorado will play heavily into the seminoles hands this week. Gonna be tough to play your first road game across the country in a hostile environment. This is a typical "get the fans hopes up" game that seminoles fans have gotten used to in recent years. Follow up a poor performance (last week vs. wake) with a nice win over a mediocre team only to disappoint the following week. FSU is very tough playing in Jacksonville, 8-1 in nine games (usually against decent opponents). Colorado is getting respect for beating a WVU team who has clearly lost their luster. FSU played a wake defense last week who has more than a few nfl players. I look for Fsu to win this one by 13+.

Love your analysis, and added a few of your "best bets" this year to my card. Just thought id get my first rx post out of the way and happened to be in disagreement with a game. Good luck.

Actually, what your saying concerns me more than anything about the game. Plus the heat and humidity..That's why i made this my smallest play..The thing I'm hoping for is Colorado hangs around or possibly has a small second half lead. That would probably get me the cover..Otherwise, if the Buffs find themselves getting behind early, then I'm in agreement with you. It could be a long game. The thing we don't know this early in the season is how well Colorado's defense stacks up against Wake's defense from last week. And what kind of changes Jimbo Fisher is going to make to their offensive schemes..Lots of if's. But this early in the season nothing surprises me. Just look at OSU last night..Everybody is beatable on another teams field.. I do know one thing, if Colorado loses this game, we're going to be getting some good value on them next week at home against Texas. So a loss here could be a blessing in disguise on the spread for a bigger play next week...Good luck this weekend. And welcome to the RX.

 

[GoSooners]

OSU (-16.5) over Troy ***
Kansas St. (-20.5) over ULL ***
Nebraska (-6.5) over Virginia Tech **
Colorado (+6) over Florida State **
Oregon State (+25) over USC ** (Win)
Ole Miss (+23) over Florida **** (Best Bet)
Syracuse (+15) over Pitt ***
Cal (-26.5) over Colorado St. ***
Maryland (+11) over Clemson ** (The best running dog that I've seen this week)

 

[GoSooners]

OSU (-16.5) over Troy ***
Kansas St. (-20.5) over ULL ***
Nebraska (-6.5) over Virginia Tech **
Colorado (+6) over Florida State **
Oregon State (+25) over USC ** (Win)
Ole Miss (+23) over Florida **** (Best Bet)
Syracuse (+15) over Pitt ***
Cal (-26.5) over Colorado St. ***
Maryland (+11) over Clemson ** (The best running dog of the week)
Tennessee (+7) over Auburn ** ( Tenn is another running dog)
Georgia (-6.5) over Bama ** (Georgia will show why they are best team in the SEC and defend their home field. Better QB. Better defense.)

 

[CoolBreeze22]

great card GoSooners!!! I love the Ole Miss pick, think they have a shot at the upset!! I can't wait for your bowl picks!!! You're going to crush the books!!

 

[Mr.Cover123]

I'm on Ole Miss too. Also on their TT over 13 do you like that bet too?

 

[GoSooners]

I'm on Ole Miss too. Also on their TT over 13 do you like that bet too?

Definitely like it. This could be the best offense that Florida has faced..Much of what happens here is up to Jevon Snead not making silly mistakes and throwing int's..If he keeps it clean this game could get interesting..I think the over also looks good for this game....Good luck

 

[FBEye]

GS...how's this 3 team 10 pt. teaser grab ya? WMU+6, Miss+32, Okie State -7 -120 juice

 

[GoSooners]

GS...how's this 3 team 10 pt. teaser grab ya? WMU+6, Miss+32, Okie State -7 -120 juice

You might be alright...I really haven't looked at any games involving the MAC. I usually try to stay away form that conference as much as I can because they can be so unpredictable. Have you looked at CAL for a teaser? I came very close to making CAL my Best Bet play. Teams coming off a bye week who are double digit favorites coming off a loss cover their spreads a high percentage of the time......Good luck

 

[VoiceofReason101]

you have mail

 

[FBEye]

You might be alright...I really haven't looked at any games involving the MAC. I usually try to stay away form that conference as much as I can because they can be so unpredictable. Have you looked at CAL for a teaser? I came very close to making CAL my Best Bet play. Teams coming off a bye week who are double digit favorites coming off a loss cover their spreads a high percentage of the time......Good luck

will do on Cal with another one replacing WMU....how in the world can I not put in a Rubberband game from our reptilian friend?:lol:

 

[MightyGinseng]

I'm beginning to think Georgia could be a big play. BOL