No...I've been there twice for these games and froze my ass off both times. I think the weather is supposed to be in the low 30's by kickoff going into the high 20's later in the game. I'll tell you, when this contract is up with Arrowhead Stadium the Big 12 needs to look elsewhere up north to have this game. With all of the good stadiums with retractable roofs in Big 12 country, they don't need to be playing outdoors in 20 degree weather. Having said that, I do think Arrowhead is a pretty cool stadium. But I just like to be halfway comfortable when I'm watching a game.
I find GoSooners guilty as charged
http://f3.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sport...rts-921263744-1228431593.jpg?ympTfbADGptdz2Ar
http://f3.yahoofs.com/ymg/ept_sport...rts-921263744-1228431593.jpg?ympTfbADGptdz2Ar
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Buffalo Team Total (UNDER 24) *
If you look at the overall picture for Buffalo you see where they average over 30 points per game. But what you have to keep in mind is they've also played 4 OT games this season. With one game going 2 OT's and one other going 4 OT's. If you take their OT games out their true game average is 29 ppg. But maybe the better argument for Buffalo to go under the total lies with the Ball State defense. They only give up about 350 ypg. But more importantly they only give up an average of about 16.5 ppg on defense with an excellent tunrover margin of (+13). And this is the big reason why this team is 12-0 and in this position to win the MAC this year. In all 12 games they have played, they have not given up more than 24 points in any game this year. Despite playing 6 games where there was blowouts of 20 points or more. They've played the best two teams in the MAC the last 2 weeks and didn't give up more than 24 to either of those teams. And Central Michigan has a better offense than Buffalo. Now their defense is coming in well rested from a 10 day layoff while Buffalo comes in off a hard fought loss last week to Kent in which their defense got gashed for 312 yards rushing. Although the Buffalo defense gives up about 400 ypg, their scoring defense really isn't that bad if you take out those OT games. So even though it is unlikely that Buffalo can hold Ball State within the 15.5 spread, I still like this team total play just a bit better for a small play.
Good luck!
If you look at the overall picture for Buffalo you see where they average over 30 points per game. But what you have to keep in mind is they've also played 4 OT games this season. With one game going 2 OT's and one other going 4 OT's. If you take their OT games out their true game average is 29 ppg. But maybe the better argument for Buffalo to go under the total lies with the Ball State defense. They only give up about 350 ypg. But more importantly they only give up an average of about 16.5 ppg on defense with an excellent tunrover margin of (+13). And this is the big reason why this team is 12-0 and in this position to win the MAC this year. In all 12 games they have played, they have not given up more than 24 points in any game this year. Despite playing 6 games where there was blowouts of 20 points or more. They've played the best two teams in the MAC the last 2 weeks and didn't give up more than 24 to either of those teams. And Central Michigan has a better offense than Buffalo. Now their defense is coming in well rested from a 10 day layoff while Buffalo comes in off a hard fought loss last week to Kent in which their defense got gashed for 312 yards rushing. Although the Buffalo defense gives up about 400 ypg, their scoring defense really isn't that bad if you take out those OT games. So even though it is unlikely that Buffalo can hold Ball State within the 15.5 spread, I still like this team total play just a bit better for a small play.
Good luck!
There are many many teams...especially most of the top ones...whose numbers are distorted due to blowing teams out and putting in backups both on defense and offense....
As a psu fan...i can tell you the starters were out in the late 3 quarter early 4th quarter in half of their games or more...the offenses stop trying to score and the 2nd and 3rd team defenses are in there trying to stop the 1st team offense many times in a prevent type defense....my point is...for most of the top teams...none of their stats are going to reflect what they "could have done" had the starters played all 4 quarters of every game...
As a psu fan...i can tell you the starters were out in the late 3 quarter early 4th quarter in half of their games or more...the offenses stop trying to score and the 2nd and 3rd team defenses are in there trying to stop the 1st team offense many times in a prevent type defense....my point is...for most of the top teams...none of their stats are going to reflect what they "could have done" had the starters played all 4 quarters of every game...
I follow the SEC very closely and UF is easily 14-17 points better than anyone else in the league on offense. They dont need turnovers to score. The South Carolina game is a perfect example. UF got some early tunrovers in the game, but in the first qtr - even with two short fields (26yds and 1yd), UF had 120yds of O.
Regardless of Bama's avg scoring, lately they have had issues getting the ball in the endzone. Against MSU they had 12pts at halftime and were getting all they wanted until an Arenas punt return for a TD. Bama scored 16pts on special teams in that game (one INT return to the MSU 2ydline). Against Auburn, they only had 10pts at halftime. Against Tennessee, a truly horrible team, Bama didnt score it's 2nd TD until 1min in the 3Q. Against LSU, Bama scored as many points in regulation as UF scored in the first half. Bama's been living off of that first half beating of UGA. In the second half of the year, they have lived off of crappy teams. UF has also (to a degree) but they have beaten those teams to a pulp.
The point is that I think this is a line play more than a total play. I also think that if you play the total it has to be the over as 30 from UF is a high probability. (Of course all of this assumes the normal play from both teams). JMO
I agree. And I'm not really sure how much Dr. Bob considers this when capping games. But I know there is a big difference in a game when OU is playing their second units in the last of the third and the fourth quarters while Leach is keeping Harrell in the game throwin TD passes against freshman backups. Taking the stats out I think what you have to look at game after game in which OU is scoring over 60 points a game. You keep expecting that to end. But OU hasn't scored less than 58 points in a game since Oct.18th. But I think the important thing to remember is since OU has gotten their defense straightened out from the early season injuries, in their last 4 games against some very good offenses (Nebraska, Texas A&M, OSU, Texas Tech) the Sooners have held those teams to an average of just 12 first half points despite the games being blowouts at the half.
There is a big difference in driving the length of a field and getting the ball in the opponents red zone. For one thing there are many more things you can do on offense when you have good field position. And Florida with their (+20) turnover margin has had plenty of opportunities. Plus something else you need to add on is the 5 or 6 blocked punts that they've had this season that's led to easy scores. And then their return team probably puts them in good position now and then. What I'm saying is if you take all of those things out of the equation I don't believe Florida has an offense that is 17 points better than everybody else. I would agree with you if they were like an OU or a Missouri who are averaging over 550 ypg on offense. But Florida only averages 425 ypg. Georgia averages 418 ypg. That doesn't add up to being 17 points better. Florida lives off of plays from their defense and special teams. I'm not taking anything away from their offense. But they are consistently good and get it done in every game on defense. And they might get it done here too. But it won't be as easy as their other games because Bama simply don't give other teams gifts. And when two teams like this get together this almost always adds up to a lower scoring game than expected.
Look at the FSU game. UF drove the field all game on them and their defense is pretty good.
I understand your point, I'm just saying that UF deosnt need turnovers and special teams play to score points. Alabama does.
UF avg's 450 on O and closer to 500 (@497/gm) when you look at the last 8 games. Not to mention that the backups have played A LOT for UF.
I understand your point, I'm just saying that UF deosnt need turnovers and special teams play to score points. Alabama does.
UF avg's 450 on O and closer to 500 (@497/gm) when you look at the last 8 games. Not to mention that the backups have played A LOT for UF.
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Florida State is a bad example of a good defense. They play in a league with the most anemic offenses that I've ever seen. Did you know that nobody in that league averages even 400 ypg on offense? That's why when any of those teams go out of conference they get lit up. Just look at Georgia Tech last week. They have one of the top defenses in the ACC who hasn't given up more than 28 points in any ACC game all year, but had 42 points scored on them by Georgia. A team who is statistically identical to Florida. I've watched all of Florida's games for the last few games. And they remind me of Cincinnati last season. They are the most opportunistic team that I've seen this year outside of maybe Oklahoma. They took advantage bigtime against South Carolina and Georgia in causing turnovers and then causing those teams to implode. Like i said, there's nothing wrong with that because they get it done every week. But take my word for it, they aren't 17 points better than anybody in the SEC on offense. They'll find out tomorrow that Bama's defense is infinitely better than Florida State's. But I'm sure Florida will find a way to win that game like they have 8 in a row. But this one won't be as easy.
Their defense is as good as the next team and we'll just have to agree to disagree on UFs offense. IMO, they are BY FAR the best O in the SEC.
Believe me UF knows Bama is better than FSU, but Bama's Defense isn't THAT good - certainly nothing like the 1992 comparison that's been going around.
I still say UF wins by at least 14 and scores at least 30pts.
Believe me UF knows Bama is better than FSU, but Bama's Defense isn't THAT good - certainly nothing like the 1992 comparison that's been going around.
I still say UF wins by at least 14 and scores at least 30pts.
I don't disagree with you that Florida can score over 30 points in this game. I just have my doubts that Bama can match that on offense. It's Florida's defense that has impressed me the most this year. I haven't seen Teabow have to drive his offense the length of the field very often. They can thank their defense for that.
