jbragg...I may possibly make this a play..It's one of the ones that I've got on my radar..I agree with Sooner BS and Conan about this game..But the only problem with it is the line has gone up since they've played it. I think it's at -9.5 right now..And a 3-4 team giving almost double digits on the road is a little dangerous. But If SDSU has quit like those guys said, then CSU should cover the spread..
AA...For once I'm actaully liking alot more favorites this week...I think teams like TCU, Ball State and Tulsa have something to prove in front of the BCS. Tulsa in particualr could be a good play because their playing on television this week for the first time this year. I'll make up my mind about that one when they play Sunday..But it is a very temting play with the best offensive team in the country going up against the a bottom 5 offense. And with double revenge on their minds..You know how Todd Graham is. He'll rub it in as much as he can if he gets a chance to make a statement and move up in the polls.
I also believe the OSU/ TEXAS game won't come anywhere close to the total (69). These teams are gonna run the ball quite a bit, as both squads don't want the other on the field. 1st half play could be worth a look as well. I personally am not touching it, as I'll be at the game and want to watch it and not be sweating any numbers, totals. GL this weekend to all of you!
GS, I was looking at the TV angle on that one too, the Hurricanes may very well play their best game of the season. I am with you on Kansas, and Arizona, for some reason I think the cats may actually pull the upset in this one. I may put a c-note on the +500 tomorrow. One question, I really like the over in the Navy/SMU game, its set at 64, I can't see a way that Navy doesn't at least score 42 points in this game, what do you think?
I don't really have a strong opinion either way on the total in the Navy-SMU game..It's interesting that as bad as their defense is, SMU has only gone over 64 points in one game on the road..And Navy has only gone over that number once all season. A few totals that I'm liking this week are:
Vandy/Duke Over
Rice/Tulane Under
Florida St./VA Tech Over
Georgia/LSU Under
Cincy/UCONN Under
WF/Miami Under
Rutgers/Pitt Under
I liked that Rice/Tulane Under a lot when it looked like it was going to reach 70, but it's fallen to 66 now and I'm not in love with it.
The Georgia/LSU Under is worth a look for sure. I thought it was a couple of points lower than the 51 I'm seeing now, so I'm going to go take a close look right now.
Rugers/Pitt Under may be one of my favorites plays for tomorrow.
I really think you've got a solid card, GS. I expect you're going to have a very nice week.
The Georgia/LSU Under is worth a look for sure. I thought it was a couple of points lower than the 51 I'm seeing now, so I'm going to go take a close look right now.
Rugers/Pitt Under may be one of my favorites plays for tomorrow.
I really think you've got a solid card, GS. I expect you're going to have a very nice week.
AA...I think the under for that Tulane/Rice game is completely dependent on Tulane being successful running the ball and owning posession time while keeping Rice QB Clement off the field. Believe it or not the total I like best is FSU/VT...I think these two teams defensive reputations are bringing this total down. But VT probably has the weakest defense than they've had in years. And although FSU did a good job on defense in their first 3 games against a couple division 2 teams and a Wake offense that isn't very good, they have also given up alot of points in their last few games. But their offense is starting to play well in averaging 35 ppg in their last 3 while giving up almost 26 ppg on defense..if that form continues I think this game easily gets in the 50's. The totals have been bet down from 44 to 42..So I'm now liking it even more.
I'm really having trouble getting a feel for how this game is going to go..If OU's defense plays well then I think this will probably go under..I would like to see OU play one time on the road after these defensive changes before I make any plays on them..The only thing that scares me about KSU and the under total is they have the worst defense in the Big 12.
You may be on to something with the Florida State/VaTech Over angle. The Seminoles especially really need an offensive outburst to keep alive their rebound story on the season. I just have no faith at all in Bobby Bowden anymore, he seems so lost in his coaching, despite still having some talent on his teams. It's gotten to where I'll rarely bet a game involving FSU.
I agree, the K State defense is terrible, but I think OU is going to continue to try and pound the ball on the ground again. They have gone away from it all season and started trying to do it again last week. The only thing I'm worried about is if Kansas State can even slow that down.....
You could be right..If that's the case then you probably have a good chance to hit the under..If this is a one-sided blowout you have a great chance to hit the under..A general rule I follow when determining which way to play totals: When a total gets to the mid to high 40's it then takes both teams scoring to get to that number to make the over. Even if you think it's going to be a blowout and a one sided game, it could be good to take the under when it reaches this number..For instance last week I had the Northern Ill/Toledo under 48 because I felt one of these teams could score 24. But the chance of both scoring a 24/24 split was pretty slim. And it ended up being a one sided scoring game 38-7 and I won.
