GoSooners Big 12 Plays Of The Week For 10-18

[hello3]

you da man, best of luck !

 

[919]

GS, UCONN Running Dog?

Thanks.

 

[GoSooners]

GS, UCONN Running Dog?

Thanks.

UCONN didn't make my list this week..It could be because of their strength of schedule..They have better rushing numbers than Rutgers..But Rutgers has had the much tougher strength of schedule. So the numbers are a little biased in UCONN's favor.. And UCONN barely qualifies as a dog now that the line is down to 1...Tough call..Good luck

 

[jblonghorn]

Thanks BP...I've been watching the message boards to try to get a feel for what's happening behind the scenes with this defense. I've heard rumor about Harris being moved there..It makes sense since he has more linebacker size and can actually tackle someone.. Personally I wish they would junk the whole system and go to a 4-2-5 scheme. Seems like this would be a better way to go for all of the spread offenses and no strong rushing teams to speak of except OSU..

And with all this uncertainty you still don't like the #16 team in the land getting 20.5 points? Seems like a gift to me. GL this weekend.

 

[GoSooners]

This week's plays so far:

OU-Kansas (OVER 60.5) **
Baylor (+17) over OSU **
Missouri (+6) over Texas **
Georgia Tech (-2) over Clemson **
New Mexico State (+2) over San Jose St. **
Colorado St. (+21.5) over Utah **
Memphis (+8) over East Carolina ***
SMU (+13.5) over Houston ***
Penn St. (-24.5) over Michigan ***


This is the first week that I'm trying this..But I've been doing pretty good this season with my one star (1 unit) plays. But I haven't included anything in my thread under 2 stars. A lot of plays this week. But smaller risk. We'll see how it goes...Good luck


Maryland (+2) over Wake Forest *
Virginia Tech (+3) over Boston College *
South Carolina (+2.5) over LSU *
OU (-19.5) over Kansas *
Arizona (+3) over Cal *
Texas A&M (+21) over Texas Tech *
Stanford (-2.5) over UCLA *
Toledo-N.Illinois (UNDER 47.5) *

 

[DeltaU46]

Looking good GS!

:money8:

 

[CHAELLA]

Sooners

Hey! love your picks. Do you have a best bet this week ? If you dont witch one of your 3 stars do u like best. Thank

 

[ProphetablePicks]

Good luck this weekend Sooners. I like Northern Illinois to win by at least 14 in a big time revenge game ..

 

[DR.DEATHS]

LOVE YOUR PLAYS THIS WEEK.

HOPE YOU HAVE A BIG DAY


BEST OF LUCK MY FRIEND!:toast:

 

[Addict101]

I'm looking at the Wake/Maryland under 44.5...Last game I'll ask you about, I swear. Love hearing your thoughts on sides/totals, you know your shit.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

This week's plays so far:

OU-Kansas (OVER 60.5) ** no totals for me
Baylor (+17) over OSU ** Played
Missouri (+6) over Texas ** lean Mizzou (almost played them at 7)
Georgia Tech (-2) over Clemson ** Played
New Mexico State (+2) over San Jose St. ** lean NM St.
Colorado St. (+21.5) over Utah ** Strong Lean CSU (almost/may play it)
Memphis (+8) over East Carolina *** medium lean Memphis
SMU (+13.5) over Houston *** Played
Penn St. (-24.5) over Michigan *** Played

On 4 of these (may add CSU)




Maryland (+2) over Wake Forest * check
Virginia Tech (+3) over Boston College * check
South Carolina (+2.5) over LSU * check
OU (-19.5) over Kansas * no play lean KU
Arizona (+3) over Cal * check
Texas A&M (+21) over Texas Tech * no play lean Aggies
Stanford (-2.5) over UCLA * check
Toledo-N.Illinois (UNDER 47.5) * me don't likey totals

On 5 of these

good to see us seeing eye to eye as usual

lets crack them nuts :drink:

 

[knowthegame]

This week's plays so far:

OU-Kansas (OVER 60.5) **
Baylor (+17) over OSU **
Missouri (+6) over Texas **
Georgia Tech (-2) over Clemson **
New Mexico State (+2) over San Jose St. **
Colorado St. (+21.5) over Utah **
Memphis (+8) over East Carolina ***
SMU (+13.5) over Houston ***
Penn St. (-24.5) over Michigan ***


This is the first week that I'm trying this..But I've been doing pretty good this season with my one star (1 unit) plays. But I haven't included anything in my thread under 2 stars. A lot of plays this week. But smaller risk. We'll see how it goes...Good luck


Maryland (+2) over Wake Forest *
Virginia Tech (+3) over Boston College *
South Carolina (+2.5) over LSU *
OU (-19.5) over Kansas *
Arizona (+3) over Cal *
Texas A&M (+21) over Texas Tech *
Stanford (-2.5) over UCLA *
Toledo-N.Illinois (UNDER 47.5) *

GL with the card Go Sooners, I like Penn St. large also.

 

[GoSooners]

I'm looking at the Wake/Maryland under 44.5...Last game I'll ask you about, I swear. Love hearing your thoughts on sides/totals, you know your shit.

I see it as around a low to medium scoring game..Maryland is starting to get some players healthy in the defensive backfield, which could help your cause. But at any rate, the key here is how well Maryland will be able to get their running game going..They are the potential running dogs in this game. A good run game will probably lead to a lower score. Wake hasn't impressed me at all on offense the last few weeks. So if the trend continues then I think you have a good chance..Have you looked at the South Carolina/LSU under 44? Whenever I see two teams with inexperieced QB's I start looking at the under... I can see SC winning this game ugly...I don't know if anybody noticed this, but South Carolina plays up or down to their competetion. They beat the bad teams by the same types of scores and margins as they do the good teams...It's called winning ugly..That's why SC usually doesn't get any respect with the linesmakers...But they are a pretty consistent team. Especially at home where no more than 39 points have been scored in any of their games. Win or lose I look for the same kind of 20-17 type of score in this game.

 

[Conan]

If you want to know my opinion, Hawaii is very weak offensively in every phase compared to what Boise's D can handle. Hawaii's defense will not hold Boise from the start of the game and onward. Boise will get out to a fast lead, probably 2 TD's quickly. I really don't think the Bows are within 25 points of being competitive tonight on the smurf turf. They may even look desperate at times. It's not often that good teams can give Boise a game there much less teams that are down like Hawaii. I think the Broncos will pull away and win this game by 30-35 points. They like these big TV games at home.

Hmmm. A 1Q bet seems like a probable winner. Might even find <7 but 7 is definitely worth a shot. 14-0 is my 1Q prediction. See what happens.

Ouch. I never saw a minute of it but it looks like Boise didn't do enough of what they should have done. Right idea but not enough of it. Water runs uphill against me in W8.

I hope for better luck this weekend.

 

[GoSooners]

Hey! love your picks. Do you have a best bet this week ? If you dont witch one of your 3 stars do u like best. Thank

Chaella...This is a tough week because there isn't any games that really stick out to me..Which is usually what happens this time of year when everybody is getting deep into conference play. But I would have to say that my strongest play would have to be Penn State. How can you fault a team who is 6-1 ATS. Or 7-0 depending on when you got the Illinois bet.. I like taking teams who are on a roll and playing at home. PSU looks like the kind of team where your kicking yourself on Sunday for not taking them because you thought their ATS streak would come to an end. My bet is it won't come at home. If it comes at all.. I think what we're going to get here is a good defensive effort by Michigan. But very little offense..I'm thinking it's going to be a 35-7 type of game....Good luck

 

[GoSooners]

Delta, Voice, Addict Conan, Prophet, Doc, Knowthegame BOL to you guys this weekend. Let's crack some nuts...:toast:

jbLonghorn...I would wish you luck with your Horns but........:lol:

 

[r.a.]

Season: +30 Units

** Plays 26-18
*** Plays 12-12-1
**** Plays 6-1


Last week was a crazy week in the Big 12..All I can say is be prepared for more surpises in the future. OSU's win was not only the biggest in the Big 12 this season, in my opinion it was the biggest in the nation so far. Even bigger than the Oregon St. win over USC, because this was a win over the number 2 team as 14 point dogs on the Tigers home field in primetime. I really didn't see a letdown coming. But Mizzou looked very unprepared in that game. And made some uncharacteristic mistakes on offense they don't normally make.. It looked like night and day to their Nebraska game the week before. Texas on the other hand looked very sharp in handing the number 1 team OU a defeat. But by my prediction earlier in the week, you know this really didn't surprise me. But it did disappoint me. Texas threw some new offensive schemes at the OU defense that they hadn't seen this year. And they weren't able to adjust. Which is the problem that I've had with these co-defensive coordinators for the last few years..The last 5 games that OU has lost to ranked teams, they've had over 40 points scored on them each time. Which is unacceptable. Something needs to be done. And changes have to be made..Whether it be totally trashing their defensive schemes or a change in defensive coordinators..When Mack Brown's teams have slipped into mediocrity he has at least gone out and hired the best defensive coordinators. And it has paid off for them each time. Stoops may have to do the same thing if he wants to take the next step and start beating the college powers in this country. Something that OU hasn't done in over 4 years.

It was a rough week all the way around last week. The running dogs in my system went 11-8. Which is well below what they've been doing the last few weeks..The overall record for the running dogs this year is 73-26 YTD. Which is a little over 73%. Historically the running dogs have hit at a 77% average. But the challenge each week is finding the right running dogs..Sometimes it works. Sometimes it don't. Hopefully we'll be able to recoup some units this week..Most of my plays are going to be small. I'm also going to start putting in some 1 unit plays for the first time this week. I've been doing pretty well with these plays. So I'm going to start listing them here...Good luck


Baylor at OSU...As you all know this is a typical sandwich/letdown/lookahead spot for OSU this week between Mizzou and Texas. And even though Baylor is the Running Dogs (but very close numbers), I'm not going to make this a big play because things can go downhill in a hurry in Stillwater with this OSU offense. But Baylor QB Griffin has been hot. (9 TD's 0 int's), and he accounts for over 60% of their offense..OU did a pretty decent job at stopping him. But I have my doubts that OSU will have the same success against him..OSU did a great job on defense the other night against Mizzou..But don't forget that was one game..Before that the Pokes had given up 24, 28 and 37 points on defense at home..And i believe this Baylor team is even better than these previous three teams..Baylor still has bowl aspirations. And I believe they're going to give 100% every game to get there...They are also a ball control type of offense. So the Pokes may not get as many touches on offense as they would like..In any other circumstances I believe the linesmakers would have set this line at around 24..But they know as well as us that this is a tough spot for OSU. That's why we are seeing it at 17. This is a Big 12 South Conference game..Nothing comes this easy...OSU needs to watch out here...Taking Baylor (+17) over OSU **


Missouri at Texas...I might not have the same opinion as many of the Horns fans out there right now, but I don't think any team in this conference is going to get out with less than 1 or 2 losses. It could very well cost this conference a seat in the BCS National Championship game..But the defenses in this conference are going to have to step up before I can say any team deserves to be there..Texas has a few of the same problems that OU does..They rank over #100 in pass defense..And they don't have that one go to running back that is needed for a balanced offensive attack..Now I know they threw some new offensive schemes at the soft middle of OU's defense last week..But I seriously doubt they can get away with it twice. I also have my doubts that Texas can play with the same kind of intensity two weeks in a row..This is very hard for any team to do..Especially a team like Texas who is young on defense. They'll be playing a veteran Mizzou offense that is in my opinion more dangerous than OU's because they not only have a mobile QB and great receivers, but they also have a couple good RB's that can burn you. OSU had some great schemes in shooting the gaps on defense last week..But I look for Mizzou to make adjustments this week and throw some different looks at the Texas defense, and attack their weak secondary. This is a showcase game between the two top Heisman candidates..I expect a great performance by both QB's. And I expect a relatively high scoring game..But in my opinion Mizzou can match the Horns score for score..They are that good on offense. And the Tigers are especially dangerous as dogs. Remember when they got that last minute cover last year against OU as 10 points dogs in Norman? Win or lose they can easily do it again here. My numbers have Mizzou as a 5.5 point dog...They are also the running dogs in this game. And the circumstances with the Tigers losing and Texas winning last week make this an even stronger play. I look for this primetime game to come right down to the wire. I think everybody's going to find out in this game how much parity we have in this league..Taking Missouri (+6) over Texas **


Kansas at OU...The big question with OU this week is how are they going to replace their defensive leader LB Ryan Reynolds? The middle linebacker was the heart of the defense. And after he got hurt and left the game, Texas was able to take control with their run game in the 4th quarter. What Stoops is going to do I don't know..He's being very tight lipped about it. Stoops really doesn't have an experienced player to replace this very important position. And this is what bothers me here..I've heard a little of everything this week. That OU maybe going to a 4-2-5 defensive scheme, or move our best safety up in the position. My feeling is OU's defense won't have as much pressure put on them as last week. I really think OU's offense comes out and starts putting the hammer down right out of the gate on Kansas like they have everybody else in the first quarter. Plus Stoops teams have historically done very well ATS after a big loss. My feeling they will here too..But with Reesing and Kansas, the backdoor will always be open. I like OU slightly here..But I like the OVER even more..Taking (OVER 60.5) ** And OU (-19.5) over Kansas *

Don't know how much you pay attention to trends like this but nonetheless found this to be interesting.

In the last ten years of the Oklahoma vs. Texas game the Longhorns are 10-0, ats, the following week.

 

[sendacash]

Any concern w/ Joe Pa in a role to not run up the score?

 

[AlwaysKeen]

gosooners,

GL to you this week my friend...

 

[CHAELLA]

Thanx for the info. I really Like the Huskers 2marrow. I think they win by 17. If tehy can get the run game going i think it could be higher, 37-20. Good luck 2marrow