GoSooners Big 12 Plays Of The Week For 10-18

[SoonerBS]

Like GS stated, we were touting the Longhorns in preseason as a very underrated team. We were right. It was easy betting on Texas whenever they were still "proving " to the nation that they were better than what they were given credit for, but whenever they beat Oklahoma, they had proved it. I bet Mizzou last week, too, because it was a classic letdown situation for Texas and a rebound situation for Mizzou. It turned out to be the wrong bet. But, here's the difference in a "fan" and a gambler -- gambler's are looking for edges and angles to bet while fans bet their favorites and have a hard time understanding why others don't follow suit.

It will be increasingly difficult for me to bet Texas again until they get beat and it has nothing to do with them beating Oklahoma. The fact is their schedule is nearly impossible and they WILL have a game eventually where they will not execute nearly as flawlessly as they have these last two games. The law of averages say that they will lose soon. I refuse to blindly put money on them knowing that this is the case and I think GS is the same way.

 

[SoonerBS]

Sorry about the duplicate post . . .

 

[silver7]

If They're Going To Lose

It'll be on 11/1.

 

[AR_23]

Kansas didn't lose to Iowa State

Cover wise was what i was trying to imply.

 

[GoSooners]

Like GS stated, we were touting the Longhorns in preseason as a very underrated team. We were right. It was easy betting on Texas whenever they were still "proving " to the nation that they were better than what they were given credit for, but whenever they beat Oklahoma, they had proved it. I bet Mizzou last week, too, because it was a classic letdown situation for Texas and a rebound situation for Mizzou. It turned out to be the wrong bet. But, here's the difference in a "fan" and a gambler -- gambler's are looking for edges and angles to bet while fans bet their favorites and have a hard time understanding why others don't follow suit.

It will be increasingly difficult for me to bet Texas again until they get beat and it has nothing to do with them beating Oklahoma. The fact is their schedule is nearly impossible and they WILL have a game eventually where they will not execute nearly as flawlessly as they have these last two games. The law of averages say that they will lose soon. I refuse to blindly put money on them knowing that this is the case and I think GS is the same way.

BS...This is kind of a tricky situation with Texas-OSU this week. What bothers me is the line of OSU compared to Mizzou...The line was just 4 for Mizzou..But it is now -12.5 against a team who also beat Mizzou..On their home field no less..So this takes any line value on Texas away for this game. We're talking about a team who is only 7 places better in the polls giving double digits. True it was the same situation with Mizzou last week in the polls. But the trick is doing it twice..And to an undefeated team who is NOT coming off a loss this week like Mizzou was....The line for this game is basically based on one game that was played last week. And nothing else..If it was OSU playing Texas last week we would be talking about less than a TD spread. Would they have done the same thing to OSU as they did to Mizzou? Maybe...Maybe not. I agree..Texas schedule is very very difficult..It is very hard to excecute the same every game, because different teams throw different shcemes at you. And it's very hard for ANY team to stay sharp when playing 4 top 10 teams in a row. Killer schedule.

Fellas...I'm going to be away from the computer during the day this week because I have jury duty..So I'm probably not going to have time to start a thread until at least Wednesday night or Thursday...Good luck this week.

 

[bellyputter]

Ok St would have gotten 13 or 14 from Texas last week.

 

[GoSooners]

Ok St would have gotten 13 or 14 from Texas last week.

BP...I don't see how OSU could have gotten that much...But your the line guru..I only cap em..Bottom line this week is we know Texas is playing a team we all know is better than Mizzou and getting more points...I have a feeling that if OSU had played Mizzou in Stillwater they probably would have won by 3 TD's...Then what line would they have got against Texas? :wink:

 

[bellyputter]

The week that Ok St played at Missouri, Missouri had a power rating 11 pts higher(14 minus home field) than Ok St. Give Ok St 4 or 5 pts improvement(that's a lot) from there win @ Mo, but Texas also improved their rating beating Boomer Sooner. Texas opened 7(power rating +4) against Missouri, making me certain that Texas would have been around 2 TDs. Also, many people thought Ok St might have trouble coming back to earth last week.

 

[bellyputter]

Also, Missouri would still be a slight favorite on a neutral field(believe it or not) over Ok St. How many pts would Ok St be favored this week against Colorado? Probably not quite 21.5.

 

[GoSooners]

many people thought Ok St might have trouble coming back to earth last week.

I hope OSU stays on Mars for one more week.

 

[bellyputter]

I hope OSU stays on Mars for one more week.

Did I help at all? I'm really not very bright, just old and a little wise.

 

[GoSooners]

Did I help at all?

Yes

 

[billbeater]

Sooner, what do you feel about your Sooners covering 18.5 or 19 at Kansas State?

Looks like a play upon initial look? Receiver out for OU, but how do you see this playing out?
I see a pounding like 49 - 10

Thanks in advance

 

[CoachLT]

GoSooners, the BEST is yet too come. :toast: LT

 

[GoSooners]

Sooner, what do you feel about your Sooners covering 18.5 or 19 at Kansas State?

Looks like a play upon initial look? Receiver out for OU, but how do you see this playing out?
I see a pounding like 49 - 10

Thanks in advance

bill...I think the main problem with OU isn't WR Manuel Johnson being out, but linebacker Ryan Reynolds being out..He was the heart of the defense before he got hurt against Texas. And OU has had to do some reshuffling to their defense by moving a safety into the LB slot. When you do this your not only losing a strong player in the safety position, but your now getting a weaker player in the LB slot. These weaknesses tend to show their ugly head more when you hit the road..As it is, OU gave up 31 points to Kansas Saturday..And if it hadn't been for a couple redzone interceptions Kansas would have scored even more. That's why I don't feel comfortable giving this many points on the road..I also don't like the fact that OU's special teams are terrible in almost every facet of the game..And KSU has good special teams that I'm sure will pull out all of the stops here since they have nothing to lose..OU might be able to cover this spread on talent alone..KSU is afterall the worst defensive team in the league..But I just have a standing rule that I don't give 3 TD's on the road in the Big 12...No matter how good it looks.

 

[DeltaU46]

How was jury duty GS? Want to hang yourself?

:hanging:

 

[GoSooners]

How was jury duty GS? Want to hang yourself?

:hanging:

It was a short trial...We convicted the mofo today...He won't be robbing any more old ladies anytime soon..

 

[AlwaysKeen]

I had to serve a couple of years ago and this lady we had to convict for a DUI ended up having like 3 previous DUI's...sent her to the big house..

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Had to serve last year and this guy we had convicted for rape had 6 previous convictions in which 2 included rape. Hes now serving life....

 

[billbeater]

should you get to rape 3 people before the heavy hand of justice cuts your balls off?

hes serving, we should serve him on a platter (life @ 30k per year) looks like he fucked us good